PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

New Mexico vs New Mexico State Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 05 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 21:00
Scheduled
Position#93
Record3-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game93.2
Allowed / game71.0
vs
Position#294
Record1-2
FormWLWLL
Points / game66.3
Allowed / game78.3
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · New Mexico v New Mexico State
05 Dec 2026
NEW v NEW
upcoming
07 Dec 2024
NEW 83
NEW 89
02 Dec 2023
NEW 106
NEW 62
19 Nov 2022
NEW v NEW
upcoming
06 Dec 2021
NEW 76
NEW 78
14 Dec 2019
NEW 69
NEW 62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

New Mexico win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
New Mexico State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

New MexicoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevada
#86
L
60-67
60
67
-7
A25/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
W
81-76
81
76
+5
H28/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
L
74-82
74
82
-8
H05/03
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
90-94
90
94
-4
A07/03
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
93-77
93
77
+16
H13/03
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
62-64
62
64
-2
A14/03
NCAA
Utah Tech
#314
W
100-60
100
60
+40
H03/11
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#377
W
94-65
94
65
+29
H07/11
NCAA
UALR
#318
W
94-69
94
69
+25
H11/11
NCAA
Santa Clara
#66
L
85-90
85
90
-5
A15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
23-23
37-44
36-37
45-39
25-40
49-42
43-42
47-52
43-36
50-41
33-37
29-27
38-33
62-27
46-30
48-35
47-34
47-35
33-51
52-39
157.7Avg total
83.3Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)93.271.0164.2+22.275%
Season at home (3)96.064.7160.7+31.3100%
Season away (1)85.090.0175.0-5.00%
Last 10 (10)83.374.4157.7+8.950%
Last 5 (5)87.069.6156.6+17.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)79.375.6154.9+3.856%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)84.468.5152.9+15.976%
This opponent (New Mexico State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New Mexico StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UTEP
#307
W
67-63
67
63
+4
H22/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
L
70-93
70
93
-23
A27/02
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
L
85-86 OT
85
86
-1
A28/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
W
77-75 OT
77
75
+2
H06/03
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
W
79-76
79
76
+3
H07/03
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
W
68-63
68
63
+5
A11/03
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
61-69
61
69
-8
A12/03
NCAA
Western N. M.
#352
W
73-66
73
66
+7
H04/11
NCAA
Gonzaga
#275
L
68-109
68
109
-41
A07/11
NCAA
UTEP
#164
L
58-60
58
60
-2
A13/11
NCAA
1H
2H
35-25
32-38
26-48
44-45
42-36
34-40
24-33
44-35
37-33
42-43
39-28
29-35
26-37
35-32
26-31
47-35
42-47
26-62
28-28
30-32
146.6Avg total
70.6Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)66.378.3144.7-12.033%
Season at home (1)73.066.0139.0+7.0100%
Season away (2)63.084.5147.5-21.50%
Last 10 (10)70.676.0146.6-5.450%
Last 5 (5)65.673.4139.0-7.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)70.078.4148.4-8.414%
vs Similar (15)73.676.2149.8-2.647%
vs Weaker (6)77.071.7148.7+5.350%
This opponent (New Mexico) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: +0.4+0.41st half: -2.1-2.12nd half2nd half: +8.5+8.52nd half: -3.4-3.4
-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: +0.4+0.41st half: -2.1-2.12nd half2nd half: +8.5+8.52nd half: -3.4-3.4
New MexicoNew Mexico State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
New MexicoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevada
#86
D
23-23
23
23
+0
A25/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H28/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
L
25-40
25
40
-15
H05/03
NCAA
Utah State
#20
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A07/03
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H13/03
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A14/03
NCAA
Utah Tech
#314
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H03/11
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#377
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H07/11
NCAA
UALR
#318
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H11/11
NCAA
Santa Clara
#66
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A15/11
NCAA
73.0Avg total
36.7Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.733.471.1+4.363%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.232.671.8+6.676%-
Last 30 away (13)35.834.570.2+1.346%-
Last 10 (10)36.736.373.0+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)39.437.076.4+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)38.238.076.2+0.244%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)37.531.469.0+6.171%-
This opponent (New Mexico State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New Mexico StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UTEP
#307
W
35-25
35
25
+10
H22/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
L
26-48
26
48
-22
A27/02
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A28/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
L
24-33
24
33
-9
H06/03
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H07/03
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
W
39-28
39
28
+11
A11/03
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A12/03
NCAA
Western N. M.
#352
L
26-31
26
31
-5
H04/11
NCAA
Gonzaga
#275
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A07/11
NCAA
UTEP
#164
D
28-28
28
28
+0
A13/11
NCAA
67.1Avg total
32.5Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.234.768.9-0.640%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.231.365.5+2.950%-
Last 30 away (16)34.137.871.9-3.631%-
Last 10 (10)32.534.667.1-2.140%-
Last 5 (5)32.234.266.4-2.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)33.137.971.0-4.729%-
vs Similar (15)33.636.369.9-2.733%-
vs Weaker (6)35.230.765.8+4.567%-
This opponent (New Mexico) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
New Mexico wins
3
New Mexico State wins
New Mexicolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26ASanta Clara85-90
11/11/26HUALR94-69
07/11/26HNorthern Arizona94-65
03/11/26HUtah Tech100-60
14/03/26ASan Diego State62-64
13/03/26HSan Jose State93-77
07/03/26AUtah State90-94
05/03/26HColorado State74-82
28/02/26HSan Diego State81-76
25/02/26ANevada60-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26AUTEP58-60
07/11/26AGonzaga68-109
04/11/26HWestern N. M.73-66
12/03/26ASam Houston St.61-69
11/03/26AJacksonville State68-63
07/03/26HKennesaw State79-76
06/03/26HJacksonville State77-75 OT
28/02/26AMiddle Tenn. St.85-86 OT
27/02/26AWestern Kentucky70-93
22/02/26HUTEP67-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

New Mexico
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%100%0%
Points / game93.296.085.0
Allowed / game71.064.790.0
Point differential+22.2+31.3-5.0
Avg total164.2160.7175.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
New Mexico State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game66.373.063.0
Allowed / game78.366.084.5
Point differential-12.0+7.0-21.5
Avg total144.7139.0147.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State440100%105.570.5+35.0
2 Grand Canyon440100%97.270.8+26.5
3 San Diego State330100%89.073.0+16.0
4 UNLV330100%84.374.7+9.7
5 Boise State43175%104.578.8+25.8
6 New Mexico43175%93.271.0+22.2
7 Wyoming43175%81.859.8+22.0
8 Air Force43175%93.583.8+9.8
9 Colorado State43175%76.871.2+5.5
10 Fresno State43175%84.283.0+1.2
11 Nevada42250%79.073.2+5.8
12 San Jose State31233%83.081.7+1.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kennesaw State440100%95.564.8+30.8
2 Missouri State330100%85.361.3+24.0
3 Florida International330100%91.771.0+20.7
4 Western Kentucky43175%84.263.5+20.8
5 Middle Tenn. St.43175%80.876.2+4.5
6 Liberty32167%81.364.0+17.3
7 UTEP32167%71.767.3+4.3
8 Delaware42250%73.561.5+12.0
9 Louisiana Tech42250%69.863.2+6.5
10 Jacksonville State42250%80.075.5+4.5
11 Sam Houston St.42250%86.885.0+1.8
12 New Mexico State31233%66.378.3-12.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.