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Nevada vs New Mexico Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 25 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 04:00
Final 67-60
0-0 23-23 0-0 44-37
Position#86
Record18-9
FormLWLLW
Points / game76.1
Allowed / game72.0
Nevada 🏆
USA
vs
New Mexico
USA
Position#50
Record21-6
FormLLWWW
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game69.5
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Nevada v New Mexico
24 Feb 2026
NEVA67
NEW 60
04 Mar 2025
NEVA67
NEW 71
13 Feb 2024
NEVA82
NEW 83
23 Jan 2023
NEVA97
NEW 94
09 Mar 2022
NEVA79
NEW 72
01 Jan 2022
NEVA79
NEW 70
25 Jan 2020
NEVA96
NEW 74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nevada winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
New Mexico winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NevadaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Air Force
#371
W
81-66
81
66
+15
A17/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
87-54
87
54
+33
H21/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
73-80
73
80
-7
A25/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
W
66-60 OT
66
60
+6
H28/01
NCAA
UNLV
#192
W
89-76
89
76
+13
H31/01
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
87-91 OT
87
91
-4
A04/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
W
69-59
69
59
+10
H08/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
57-71
57
71
-14
A15/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
L
71-87
71
87
-16
A18/02
NCAA
Utah State
#20
W
80-77
80
77
+3
H22/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
40-29
0-0
41-37
0-0
39-26
0-0
48-28
0-0
35-36
0-0
38-44
0-0
26-24
0-0
27-29
0-0
33-28
0-0
56-48
0-0
28-39
0-0
51-40
0-0
28-28
0-0
41-31
0-0
25-36
0-0
32-35
0-0
32-47
0-0
39-40
0-0
38-40
0-0
42-37
148.1Avg total
76.0Scored
72.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)76.172.0148.1+4.167%
Season at home (17)77.869.9147.6+7.982%
Season away (10)73.375.5148.8-2.240%
Last 10 (10)76.072.1148.1+3.960%
Last 5 (5)72.877.0149.8-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)74.581.5156.0-7.025%
vs Similar (19)75.072.1147.1+2.963%
vs Weaker (7)76.966.6143.4+10.386%
This opponent (New Mexico) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New MexicoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Diego State
#70
L
79-83
79
83
-4
A18/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
W
83-74
83
74
+9
H22/01
NCAA
Nevada
#86
W
80-73
80
73
+7
H25/01
NCAA
UNLV
#192
W
89-61
89
61
+28
A28/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
90-80
90
80
+10
A01/02
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
66-86
66
86
-20
H05/02
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
90-91
90
91
-1
H08/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
W
70-64
70
64
+6
A12/02
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
98-61
98
61
+37
H18/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
W
80-78
80
78
+2
A22/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
35-48
0-0
44-35
0-0
36-23
0-0
47-51
0-0
36-35
0-0
44-38
0-0
41-22
0-0
48-39
0-0
41-35
0-0
49-45
0-0
33-36
0-0
33-50
0-0
42-43
0-0
48-48
0-0
40-27
0-0
30-37
0-0
55-33
0-0
43-28
0-0
32-44
0-0
48-34
157.6Avg total
82.5Scored
75.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)81.469.5150.9+11.978%
Season at home (17)83.469.2152.5+14.282%
Season away (10)78.170.1148.2+8.070%
Last 10 (10)82.575.1157.6+7.470%
Last 5 (5)80.876.0156.8+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)76.073.9149.9+2.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)82.267.3149.6+14.985%
This opponent (Nevada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +4.5+4.5Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: +2.9+2.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +4.5+4.5Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: +2.9+2.9
NevadaNew Mexico
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NevadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Air Force
#371
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A17/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H21/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A25/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
W
26-24
26
24
+2
H28/01
NCAA
UNLV
#192
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H31/01
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A04/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
D
28-28
28
28
+0
H08/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A15/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A18/02
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H22/02
NCAA
65.7Avg total
32.4Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.933.166.0-0.243%-
Last 30 at home (18)35.131.366.4+3.861%-
Last 30 away (12)29.635.865.4-6.317%-
Last 10 (10)32.433.365.7-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)30.238.068.2-7.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)32.538.270.8-5.80%-
vs Similar (19)32.732.665.4+0.153%-
vs Weaker (7)33.631.465.0+2.143%-
This opponent (New Mexico) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New MexicoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Diego State
#70
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A18/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
W
36-23
36
23
+13
H22/01
NCAA
Nevada
#86
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H25/01
NCAA
UNLV
#192
W
41-22
41
22
+19
A28/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A01/02
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H05/02
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H08/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
W
40-27
40
27
+13
A12/02
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
55-33
55
33
+22
H18/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A22/02
NCAA
73.7Avg total
39.1Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.531.868.3+4.870%-
Last 30 at home (18)37.231.768.9+5.678%-
Last 30 away (12)35.531.967.4+3.658%-
Last 10 (10)39.134.673.7+4.560%-
Last 5 (5)40.436.677.0+3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)35.735.871.5-0.160%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)37.029.866.7+7.275%-
This opponent (Nevada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Nevada wins
5
New Mexico wins
DateGameScore
25/01/26New Mexico v Nevada80-73
05/03/25Nevada v New Mexico67-71
04/01/25New Mexico v Nevada82-81 OT
14/02/24Nevada v New Mexico82-83
29/01/24New Mexico v Nevada89-55
08/02/23New Mexico v Nevada76-77
24/01/23Nevada v New Mexico97-94 OT
09/03/22Nevada v New Mexico79-72
02/01/22Nevada v New Mexico79-70
03/01/21New Mexico v Nevada74-84
Nevadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/26HUtah State80-77
18/02/26ASan Jose State71-87
15/02/26ASan Diego State57-71
08/02/26HFresno State69-59
04/02/26ABoise State87-91 OT
31/01/26HUNLV89-76
28/01/26HGrand Canyon66-60 OT
25/01/26ANew Mexico73-80
21/01/26HSan Jose State87-54
17/01/26AAir Force81-66
New Mexicolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/26AFresno State80-78
18/02/26HAir Force98-61
12/02/26AGrand Canyon70-64
08/02/26HBoise State90-91
05/02/26HUtah State66-86
01/02/26ASan Jose State90-80
28/01/26AUNLV89-61
25/01/26HNevada80-73
22/01/26HFresno State83-74
18/01/26ASan Diego State79-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nevada
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW67%
HomeWWWWW82%
AwayWLLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271710
Win %67%82%40%
Points / game76.177.873.3
Allowed / game72.069.975.5
Point differential+4.1+7.9-2.2
Avg total148.1147.6148.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%41%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)67% (6)50% (2)
Overtime %11%12%10%
New Mexico
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW78%
HomeWWLLW82%
AwayLWWWW70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271710
Win %78%82%70%
Points / game81.483.478.1
Allowed / game69.569.270.1
Point differential+11.9+14.2+8.0
Avg total150.9152.5148.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%59%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State2723485%84.069.0+15.0
2 New Mexico2721678%81.469.5+11.9
3 San Diego State2618869%78.970.0+8.9
4 Nevada2718967%76.172.0+4.1
5 Colorado State28181064%76.771.0+5.7
6 Grand Canyon27171063%74.868.6+6.2
7 Boise State28171161%78.473.9+4.5
8 Wyoming28151354%77.173.2+4.0
9 UNLV27141352%79.978.7+1.1
10 Fresno State28121643%74.072.9+1.1
11 San Jose State2882029%71.377.5-6.2
12 Air Force2832511%62.280.4-18.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nevada02304467
New Mexico02303760
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