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New Mexico vs Nevada Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 25 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 80-73
36-35 44-38
Position#50
Record15-4
FormWWWLW
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game67.5
vs
Position#86
Record14-5
FormLWLWW
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game70.6
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · New Mexico v Nevada
05 Jan 2027
NEW v NEVA
upcoming
24 Jan 2026
NEW 80
NEVA73
03 Jan 2025
NEW 82
NEVA81
28 Jan 2024
NEW 89
NEVA55
07 Feb 2023
NEW 76
NEVA77
02 Jan 2021
NEW 74
NEVA84
31 Dec 2020
NEW 54
NEVA68
18 Feb 2020
NEW 74
NEVA88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

New Mexico winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nevada winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

New MexicoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VCU Rams
#27
W
81-78
81
78
+3
A11/12
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#224
W
75-59
75
59
+16
H14/12
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
88-65
88
65
+23
H21/12
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
53-62
53
62
-9
A31/12
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
W
78-58
78
58
+20
H04/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
W
80-70
80
70
+10
A07/01
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
91-49
91
49
+42
A10/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
W
87-64
87
64
+23
H14/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
79-83
79
83
-4
A18/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
W
83-74
83
74
+9
H22/01
NCAA
1H
2H
41-46
40-32
28-25
47-34
41-28
47-37
19-21
34-41
34-31
44-27
39-30
41-40
45-22
46-27
38-33
49-31
35-48
44-35
36-23
47-51
145.7Avg total
79.5Scored
66.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)80.867.5148.3+13.379%
Season at home (13)83.366.5149.8+16.892%
Season away (6)75.369.7145.0+5.750%
Last 10 (10)79.566.2145.7+13.380%
Last 5 (5)84.068.0152.0+16.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)77.275.2152.4+2.045%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)78.764.6143.3+14.289%
This opponent (Nevada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevadaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington State
#291
W
78-64
78
64
+14
A07/12
NCAA
Duquesne
#166
W
78-75
78
75
+3
H14/12
NCAA
Boise State
#101
W
81-66
81
66
+15
H21/12
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
W
75-62
75
62
+13
A31/12
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
W
66-65
66
65
+1
A04/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
68-73
68
73
-5
H07/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
W
92-83
92
83
+9
H11/01
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
62-71
62
71
-9
A15/01
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
81-66
81
66
+15
A17/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
87-54
87
54
+33
H21/01
NCAA
1H
2H
31-32
47-32
42-35
36-40
36-26
45-40
37-36
38-26
21-26
45-39
36-34
32-39
38-39
54-44
23-29
39-42
40-29
41-37
39-26
48-28
144.7Avg total
76.8Scored
67.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)77.070.6147.6+6.474%
Season at home (13)78.370.5148.8+7.877%
Season away (6)74.271.0145.2+3.267%
Last 10 (10)76.867.9144.7+8.980%
Last 5 (5)78.069.4147.4+8.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)70.277.5147.8-7.20%
vs Similar (17)73.671.6145.3+2.059%
vs Weaker (9)80.363.1143.4+17.2100%
This opponent (New Mexico) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +4.9+4.91st half: +3.1+3.12nd half2nd half: +8.4+8.42nd half: +5.8+5.8
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +4.9+4.91st half: +3.1+3.12nd half2nd half: +8.4+8.42nd half: +5.8+5.8
New MexicoNevada
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
New MexicoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VCU Rams
#27
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A11/12
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#224
W
28-25
28
25
+3
H14/12
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H21/12
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
19-21
19
21
-2
A31/12
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H04/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A07/01
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
45-22
45
22
+23
A10/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H14/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A18/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
W
36-23
36
23
+13
H22/01
NCAA
66.3Avg total
35.6Scored
30.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.632.267.8+3.567%-
Last 30 at home (19)36.231.467.6+4.879%-
Last 30 away (11)34.633.568.1+1.245%-
Last 10 (10)35.630.766.3+4.970%-
Last 5 (5)38.631.269.8+7.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)35.337.572.7-2.245%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)35.829.164.9+6.779%-
This opponent (Nevada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington State
#291
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A07/12
NCAA
Duquesne
#166
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H14/12
NCAA
Boise State
#101
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H21/12
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A31/12
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
L
21-26
21
26
-5
A04/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H07/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H11/01
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
23-29
23
29
-6
A15/01
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A17/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H21/01
NCAA
65.5Avg total
34.3Scored
31.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.732.466.0+1.350%-
Last 30 at home (18)36.532.168.6+4.461%-
Last 30 away (12)29.432.862.2-3.433%-
Last 10 (10)34.331.265.5+3.160%-
Last 5 (5)35.231.466.6+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)31.838.069.8-6.20%-
vs Similar (17)33.632.966.6+0.753%-
vs Weaker (9)34.628.863.3+5.867%-
This opponent (New Mexico) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
New Mexico wins
6
Nevada wins
DateGameScore
05/03/25Nevada v New Mexico67-71
04/01/25New Mexico v Nevada82-81 OT
14/02/24Nevada v New Mexico82-83
29/01/24New Mexico v Nevada89-55
08/02/23New Mexico v Nevada76-77
24/01/23Nevada v New Mexico97-94 OT
09/03/22Nevada v New Mexico79-72
02/01/22Nevada v New Mexico79-70
03/01/21New Mexico v Nevada74-84
01/01/21New Mexico v Nevada54-68
New Mexicolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/26HFresno State83-74
18/01/26ASan Diego State79-83
14/01/26HGrand Canyon87-64
10/01/26AAir Force91-49
07/01/26AColorado State80-70
04/01/26HWyoming78-58
31/12/25ABoise State53-62
21/12/25HSan Jose State88-65
14/12/25HFlorida Gulf Coast75-59
11/12/25AVCU Rams81-78
Nevadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/26HSan Jose State87-54
17/01/26AAir Force81-66
15/01/26AUtah State62-71
11/01/26HWyoming92-83
07/01/26HSan Diego State68-73
04/01/26AFresno State66-65
31/12/25AColorado State75-62
21/12/25HBoise State81-66
14/12/25HDuquesne78-75
07/12/25AWashington State78-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

New Mexico
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW79%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayWLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19136
Win %79%92%50%
Points / game80.883.375.3
Allowed / game67.566.569.7
Point differential+13.3+16.8+5.7
Avg total148.3149.8145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%69%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nevada
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW74%
HomeWWLWW77%
AwayWWWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19136
Win %74%77%67%
Points / game77.078.374.2
Allowed / game70.670.571.0
Point differential+6.4+7.8+3.2
Avg total147.6148.8145.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%38%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)60% (5)100% (1)
Overtime %5%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State1916384%83.768.3+15.4
2 New Mexico1915479%80.867.5+13.3
3 San Diego State1914574%81.372.1+9.3
4 Nevada1914574%77.070.6+6.4
5 Grand Canyon1913668%74.768.3+6.4
6 Wyoming2012860%79.672.2+7.5
7 Colorado State2012860%77.870.9+7.0
8 Boise State2012860%78.072.8+5.2
9 UNLV1910953%78.976.7+2.2
10 Fresno State2091145%71.870.7+1.1
11 San Jose State2061430%70.275.7-5.5
12 Air Force2031715%61.377.2-15.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
New Mexico364480
Nevada353873
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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