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New Orleans Pelicans vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 05 Apr 2012
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 94-92
20-18 25-28 30-21 19-25
Position#24
Record15-40
FormLWLLL
Points / game89.1
Allowed / game93.3
vs
Position#11
Record31-24
FormLWLWW
Points / game104.0
Allowed / game101.9
USANBA
NBA2011-12
Meetings · New Orleans Pelicans v Denver Nuggets
14 Nov 2026
NOP v DEN
upcoming
28 Oct 2026
NOP91
DEN104
13 Jan 2026
NOP116
DEN122
19 Nov 2025
NOP118
DEN125
22 Dec 2024
NOP129
DEN132
15 Nov 2024
NOP101
DEN94
17 Nov 2023
NOP115
DEN110
24 Jan 2023
NOP98
DEN99
04 Dec 2022
NOP121
DEN106
28 Jan 2022
NOP105
DEN116
08 Dec 2021
NOP114
DEN120
26 Mar 2021
NOP108
DEN113
25 Jul 2020
NOP119
DEN104
24 Jan 2020
NOP106
DEN113
31 Oct 2019
NOP122
DEN107
30 Jan 2019
NOP99
DEN105
17 Nov 2018
NOP125
DEN115
06 Dec 2017
NOP123
DEN114
04 Apr 2017
NOP131
DEN134
26 Oct 2016
NOP102
DEN107
31 Mar 2016
NOP101
DEN95
17 Nov 2015
NOP98
DEN115
15 Mar 2015
NOP111
DEN118
28 Jan 2015
NOP85
DEN93
09 Mar 2014
NOP111
DEN107
27 Dec 2013
NOP105
DEN89
25 Mar 2013
NOP110
DEN86
04 Apr 2012
NOP94
DEN92
06 Jan 2012
NOP88
DEN96
14 Mar 2011
NOP103
DEN114
29 Oct 2010
NOP101
DEN95
12 Mar 2010
NOP95
DEN102
18 Dec 2009
NOP98
DEN92
27 Apr 2009
NOP63
DEN121
25 Apr 2009
NOP95
DEN93
25 Mar 2009
NOP88
DEN101
28 Jan 2009
NOP94
DEN81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

New Orleans Pelicans winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

New Orleans PelicansUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#29
L
89-99
89
99
-10
H16/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#27
W
102-94
102
94
+8
A18/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#23
L
92-101
92
101
-9
H22/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
97-90
97
90
+7
H23/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#1
L
86-89
86
89
-3
H25/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
L
85-97
85
97
-12
A27/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#23
W
102-87
102
87
+15
A29/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#20
L
93-99
93
99
-6
A30/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
85-88
85
88
-3
A31/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#18
L
75-92
75
92
-17
A02/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-28
21-28
24-19
16-24
26-29
21-22
23-31
32-12
26-24
19-20
27-31
20-26
29-35
25-23
22-21
21-11
22-23
26-24
24-26
14-16
20-27
18-22
17-25
30-23
27-24
30-16
24-25
21-22
27-28
27-23
16-25
23-23
14-20
25-23
28-18
18-27
21-26
20-24
17-25
17-17
184.2Avg total
90.6Scored
93.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (55)89.193.3182.5-4.227%
Season at home (27)87.592.1179.6-4.622%
Season away (28)90.794.5185.2-3.832%
Last 10 (10)90.693.6184.2-3.030%
Last 5 (5)88.092.6180.6-4.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)90.198.0188.1-7.920%
vs Similar (19)90.592.8183.3-2.437%
vs Weaker (1)71.073.0144.0-2.00%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#3
L
90-103
90
103
-13
H16/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
W
98-91
98
91
+7
H18/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
L
95-112
95
112
-17
H20/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#22
W
116-115
116
115
+1
H22/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#16
L
102-121
102
121
-19
A24/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
L
100-117
100
117
-17
A25/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#2
W
108-91
108
91
+17
A27/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#25
L
96-105
96
105
-9
A28/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#30
W
99-88
99
88
+11
A30/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
104-101
104
101
+3
A01/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-29
26-21
14-28
25-25
29-22
26-20
25-26
18-23
29-33
27-30
22-29
17-20
40-18
22-39
29-34
25-24
32-30
23-33
21-31
26-27
20-33
23-35
32-25
25-24
25-27
29-25
27-16
27-23
22-27
31-28
32-30
11-20
23-28
29-23
22-15
25-22
27-19
21-23
28-32
28-27
205.2Avg total
100.8Scored
104.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (55)104.0101.9205.9+2.256%
Season at home (28)103.1101.1204.2+2.057%
Season away (27)105.0102.6207.6+2.356%
Last 10 (10)100.8104.4205.2-3.650%
Last 5 (5)101.4100.4201.8+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)108.091.0199.0+17.0100%
vs Similar (20)101.0105.0206.1-4.040%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)104.8105.3210.1-0.656%
This opponent (New Orleans Pelicans) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -0.8-0.8
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -0.8-0.8
New Orleans PelicansDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
New Orleans PelicansLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#29
L
49-56
49
56
-7
H16/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#27
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A18/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#23
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H22/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
L
54-58
54
58
-4
H23/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#1
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H25/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A27/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#23
W
57-40
57
40
+17
A29/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#20
W
54-51
54
51
+3
A30/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A31/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#18
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A02/04
NBA
96.1Avg total
47.2Scored
48.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.246.792.9-0.557%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.545.591.1+0.062%-
Last 30 away (17)46.747.694.4-0.953%-
Last 10 (10)47.248.996.1-1.740%-
Last 5 (5)45.846.692.4-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)44.150.194.2-6.040%-
vs Similar (19)47.845.693.4+2.263%-
vs Weaker (1)37.035.072.0+2.0100%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#3
W
51-50
51
50
+1
H16/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
W
55-42
55
42
+13
H18/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
L
56-63
56
63
-7
H20/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#22
W
62-57
62
57
+5
H22/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#16
L
55-63
55
63
-8
A24/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
L
43-68
43
68
-25
A25/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#2
W
54-52
54
52
+2
A27/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#25
L
53-55
53
55
-2
A28/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#30
W
52-51
52
51
+1
A30/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A01/04
NBA
107.2Avg total
52.9Scored
54.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.353.4105.8-1.153%-
Last 30 at home (16)53.652.4106.0+1.262%-
Last 30 away (14)50.954.6105.5-3.843%-
Last 10 (10)52.954.3107.2-1.460%-
Last 5 (5)50.053.6103.6-3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)54.052.0106.0+2.0100%-
vs Similar (20)52.353.5105.8-1.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)52.253.3105.6-1.156%-
This opponent (New Orleans Pelicans) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
02/04/12APhoenix Suns75-92
31/03/12ALos Angeles Lakers85-88
30/03/12APortland Trail Blazers93-99
29/03/12AGolden State Warriors102-87
27/03/12ALos Angeles Clippers85-97
25/03/12HSan Antonio Spurs86-89
23/03/12HLos Angeles Clippers97-90
22/03/12HGolden State Warriors92-101
18/03/12ABrooklyn Nets102-94
16/03/12HWashington Wizards89-99
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/04/12AOrlando Magic104-101
30/03/12ACharlotte Hornets99-88
28/03/12AToronto Raptors96-105
27/03/12AChicago Bulls108-91
25/03/12AMinnesota Timberwolves100-117
24/03/12AUtah Jazz102-121
22/03/12HDetroit Pistons116-115
20/03/12HDallas Mavericks95-112
18/03/12HBoston Celtics98-91
16/03/12HOklahoma City Thunder90-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
NBA 2011-12
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL27%
HomeLLLWL22%
AwayLWLLL32%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games552728
Win %27%22%32%
Points / game89.187.590.7
Allowed / game93.392.194.5
Point differential-4.2-4.6-3.8
Avg total182.5179.6185.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%11%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (15)20% (5)40% (10)
Overtime %5%4%7%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2011-12
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW56%
HomeWLWLW57%
AwayLWLWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games552827
Win %56%57%56%
Points / game104.0103.1105.0
Allowed / game101.9101.1102.6
Point differential+2.2+2.0+2.3
Avg total205.9204.2207.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%25%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (19)56% (9)60% (10)
Overtime %13%11%15%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chicago Bulls57441377%96.788.7+8.0
2 Oklahoma City Thunder55421376%102.996.3+6.6
3 Miami Heat54391572%101.093.6+7.4
4 San Antonio Spurs54391572%101.396.2+5.0
5 Los Angeles Clippers55342162%97.694.9+2.7
6 Los Angeles Lakers56342261%96.394.4+1.9
7 Indiana Pacers56332359%96.594.0+2.5
8 Orlando Magic56332359%94.393.3+1.0
9 Boston Celtics55322358%91.089.2+1.8
10 Atlanta Hawks57332458%94.792.5+2.2
11 Denver Nuggets55312456%104.0101.9+2.2
12 Memphis Grizzlies54302456%94.993.9+1.0
13 Philadelphia 76ers56312555%93.688.1+5.5
14 Houston Rockets56302654%98.197.3+0.8
15 Dallas Mavericks56302654%94.293.6+0.6
16 New York Knicks56292752%96.994.3+2.6
17 Utah Jazz56292752%98.698.9-0.4
18 Phoenix Suns55272849%96.998.0-1.1
19 Minnesota Timberwolves57273047%98.999.1-0.2
20 Portland Trail Blazers56263046%97.296.1+1.1
21 Milwaukee Bucks55253045%98.498.5-0.1
22 Golden State Warriors54213339%98.0100.2-2.2
23 Detroit Pistons55213438%90.195.2-5.1
24 Sacramento Kings56203636%98.7103.9-5.2
25 Toronto Raptors57203735%91.394.5-3.2
26 Cleveland Cavaliers53183534%93.199.3-6.2
27 Brooklyn Nets57193833%92.798.2-5.6
28 New Orleans Pelicans55154027%89.193.3-4.2
29 Washington Wizards56124421%92.9100.2-7.3
30 Charlotte Hornets5484615%87.6100.2-12.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
New Orleans Pelicans2025301994
Denver Nuggets1828212592
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