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Toronto Raptors vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 28 Mar 2012
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 105-96
27-22 28-31 30-32 20-11
Position#25
Record16-36
FormLLWLL
Points / game90.5
Allowed / game94.6
vs
Position#11
Record29-23
FormLWLLW
Points / game104.3
Allowed / game102.1
USANBA
NBA2011-12
Meetings · Toronto Raptors v Denver Nuggets
29 Nov 2026
TOR v DEN
upcoming
31 Dec 2025
TOR103
DEN106
06 Oct 2025
TOR108
DEN112
28 Oct 2024
TOR125
DEN127
14 Jul 2024
TOR84
DEN81
20 Dec 2023
TOR104
DEN113
14 Mar 2023
TOR125
DEN110
12 Feb 2022
TOR109
DEN110
24 Mar 2021
TOR135
DEN111
14 Aug 2020
TOR117
DEN109
03 Dec 2018
TOR103
DEN106
27 Mar 2018
TOR114
DEN110
10 Jul 2017
TOR82
DEN81
31 Oct 2016
TOR105
DEN102
03 Oct 2016
TOR106
DEN108
03 Dec 2015
TOR105
DEN106
08 Dec 2014
TOR112
DEN107
01 Dec 2013
TOR98
DEN112
18 Jul 2013
TOR95
DEN78
12 Feb 2013
TOR109
DEN108
28 Mar 2012
TOR105
DEN96
10 Dec 2010
TOR116
DEN123
26 Mar 2010
TOR96
DEN97
31 Dec 2008
TOR107
DEN114
21 Oct 2008
TOR94
DEN105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toronto Raptors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Toronto RaptorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#19
L
99-105
99
105
-6
H11/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#28
W
96-88
96
88
+8
A13/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#27
L
84-98
84
98
-14
A14/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#7
W
114-110 OT
114
110
+4
A17/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#30
L
103-107
103
107
-4
A17/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#13
L
87-106
87
106
-19
A20/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#2
L
82-94
82
94
-12
H21/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#13
W
96-79
96
79
+17
H23/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#2
L
101-102 OT
101
102
-1
A25/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
L
101-117
101
117
-16
H26/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-21
28-30
23-27
20-27
21-22
33-24
21-19
21-23
22-19
24-22
15-27
23-30
26-24
21-22
25-23
31-34
29-20
24-23
14-38
36-26
24-27
20-26
24-26
19-27
23-27
28-16
18-19
13-32
25-16
14-20
31-17
26-26
30-20
25-30
18-21
21-23
26-28
23-33
24-32
28-24
196.9Avg total
96.3Scored
100.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (52)90.594.6185.1-4.131%
Season at home (25)92.493.3185.7-0.932%
Season away (27)88.895.8184.6-7.030%
Last 10 (10)96.3100.6196.9-4.330%
Last 5 (5)93.499.6193.0-6.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)90.797.1187.8-6.425%
vs Similar (16)95.994.7190.6+1.244%
vs Weaker (2)97.0102.5199.5-5.50%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
110-97
110
97
+13
H10/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#7
L
91-94
91
94
-3
H12/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#9
W
118-117 OT
118
117
+1
H14/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#3
L
90-103
90
103
-13
H16/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
W
98-91
98
91
+7
H18/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
L
95-112
95
112
-17
H20/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#22
W
116-115
116
115
+1
H22/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#16
L
102-121
102
121
-19
A24/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
L
100-117
100
117
-17
A25/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#2
W
108-91
108
91
+17
A27/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-26
18-20
29-25
31-26
25-23
28-27
17-23
21-21
30-26
34-29
18-25
23-25
25-29
26-21
14-28
25-25
29-22
26-20
25-26
18-23
29-33
27-30
22-29
17-20
40-18
22-39
29-34
25-24
32-30
23-33
21-31
26-27
20-33
23-35
32-25
25-24
25-27
29-25
27-16
27-23
208.6Avg total
102.8Scored
105.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (52)104.3102.1206.4+2.256%
Season at home (28)103.1101.1204.2+2.057%
Season away (24)105.6103.2208.8+2.454%
Last 10 (10)102.8105.8208.6-3.050%
Last 5 (5)104.2111.2215.4-7.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)108.091.0199.0+17.0100%
vs Similar (22)100.6103.8204.5-3.236%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)106.9107.9214.7-1.057%
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: +0.0+0.0
Toronto RaptorsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Toronto RaptorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#19
W
56-51
56
51
+5
H11/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#28
W
54-46
54
46
+8
A13/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#27
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A14/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#7
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A17/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#30
W
53-43
53
43
+10
A17/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#13
L
44-53
44
53
-9
A20/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#2
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H21/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#13
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H23/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#2
W
55-50
55
50
+5
A25/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
L
49-61
49
61
-12
H26/03
NBA
96.4Avg total
49.4Scored
47.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.448.094.4-1.553%-
Last 30 at home (17)47.147.294.3-0.153%-
Last 30 away (13)45.549.094.5-3.554%-
Last 10 (10)49.447.096.4+2.480%-
Last 5 (5)47.648.696.2-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)45.147.092.1-1.958%-
vs Similar (16)47.149.196.2-1.950%-
vs Weaker (2)49.045.094.0+4.050%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H10/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#7
W
53-50
53
50
+3
H12/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#9
W
64-55
64
55
+9
H14/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#3
W
51-50
51
50
+1
H16/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
W
55-42
55
42
+13
H18/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
L
56-63
56
63
-7
H20/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#22
W
62-57
62
57
+5
H22/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#16
L
55-63
55
63
-8
A24/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
L
43-68
43
68
-25
A25/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#2
W
54-52
54
52
+2
A27/03
NBA
108.9Avg total
54.3Scored
54.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.052.9104.9-0.953%-
Last 30 at home (17)52.951.9104.8+1.059%-
Last 30 away (13)50.954.2105.2-3.346%-
Last 10 (10)54.354.6108.9-0.370%-
Last 5 (5)54.060.6114.6-6.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)54.052.0106.0+2.0100%-
vs Similar (22)51.952.8104.7-0.950%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)52.153.4105.6-1.357%-
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Toronto Raptors wins
8
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/12HOrlando Magic101-117
25/03/12AChicago Bulls101-102 OT
23/03/12HNew York Knicks96-79
21/03/12HChicago Bulls82-94
20/03/12ANew York Knicks87-106
17/03/12ACharlotte Hornets103-107
17/03/12AMemphis Grizzlies114-110 OT
14/03/12ABrooklyn Nets84-98
13/03/12ACleveland Cavaliers96-88
11/03/12HMilwaukee Bucks99-105
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/12AChicago Bulls108-91
25/03/12AMinnesota Timberwolves100-117
24/03/12AUtah Jazz102-121
22/03/12HDetroit Pistons116-115
20/03/12HDallas Mavericks95-112
18/03/12HBoston Celtics98-91
16/03/12HOklahoma City Thunder90-103
14/03/12HAtlanta Hawks118-117 OT
12/03/12HMemphis Grizzlies91-94
10/03/12HNew Orleans Pelicans110-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toronto Raptors
NBA 2011-12
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL31%
HomeWLLWL32%
AwayLWLLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games522527
Win %31%32%30%
Points / game90.592.488.8
Allowed / game94.693.395.8
Point differential-4.1-0.9-7.0
Avg total185.1185.7184.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%28%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won27% (15)0% (7)50% (8)
Overtime %8%0%15%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2011-12
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW56%
HomeWLWLW57%
AwayWWLLW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games522824
Win %56%57%54%
Points / game104.3103.1105.6
Allowed / game102.1101.1103.2
Point differential+2.2+2.0+2.4
Avg total206.4204.2208.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%25%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (18)56% (9)56% (9)
Overtime %13%11%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chicago Bulls53421179%97.489.0+8.4
2 Oklahoma City Thunder52401277%103.596.8+6.7
3 Miami Heat50361472%101.293.7+7.6
4 San Antonio Spurs50351570%100.596.1+4.4
5 Orlando Magic52331963%94.292.5+1.7
6 Los Angeles Lakers52312160%96.294.2+1.9
7 Los Angeles Clippers51302159%97.595.4+2.0
8 Atlanta Hawks53312258%94.592.4+2.2
9 Indiana Pacers50292158%96.093.2+2.7
10 Philadelphia 76ers52302258%94.387.5+6.8
11 Boston Celtics51292257%90.989.9+0.9
12 Denver Nuggets52292356%104.3102.1+2.2
13 Dallas Mavericks53292455%94.693.2+1.4
14 Memphis Grizzlies50272354%94.893.9+0.9
15 Utah Jazz52282454%98.898.9-0.1
16 Houston Rockets53282553%98.197.4+0.7
17 New York Knicks52272552%96.894.4+2.5
18 Minnesota Timberwolves53262749%99.298.7+0.5
19 Phoenix Suns52252748%97.098.3-1.4
20 Portland Trail Blazers52242846%96.895.8+1.0
21 Milwaukee Bucks52232944%97.898.8-1.0
22 Golden State Warriors50212942%98.099.7-1.8
23 Cleveland Cavaliers49183137%94.198.8-4.7
24 Sacramento Kings51183335%97.9103.4-5.4
25 Detroit Pistons51183335%89.995.6-5.7
26 Toronto Raptors52163631%90.594.6-4.1
27 Brooklyn Nets53163730%92.198.6-6.5
28 New Orleans Pelicans51143727%89.293.5-4.3
29 Washington Wizards51114022%92.8100.5-7.7
30 Charlotte Hornets4984116%87.1100.0-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Toronto Raptors27283020105
Denver Nuggets2231321196
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