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New Orleans Pelicans vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 05 Apr 2017
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 131-134
31-27 44-42 30-33 26-32
Position#21
Record33-44
FormWLWWL
Points / game104.1
Allowed / game105.7
vs
Position#17
Record36-40
FormWLLLW
Points / game111.5
Allowed / game111.4
USANBA· Smoothie King Center
NBA2016-17
Meetings · New Orleans Pelicans v Denver Nuggets
14 Nov 2026
NOP v DEN
upcoming
28 Oct 2026
NOP91
DEN104
13 Jan 2026
NOP116
DEN122
19 Nov 2025
NOP118
DEN125
22 Dec 2024
NOP129
DEN132
15 Nov 2024
NOP101
DEN94
17 Nov 2023
NOP115
DEN110
24 Jan 2023
NOP98
DEN99
04 Dec 2022
NOP121
DEN106
28 Jan 2022
NOP105
DEN116
08 Dec 2021
NOP114
DEN120
26 Mar 2021
NOP108
DEN113
25 Jul 2020
NOP119
DEN104
24 Jan 2020
NOP106
DEN113
31 Oct 2019
NOP122
DEN107
30 Jan 2019
NOP99
DEN105
17 Nov 2018
NOP125
DEN115
06 Dec 2017
NOP123
DEN114
04 Apr 2017
NOP131
DEN134
26 Oct 2016
NOP102
DEN107
31 Mar 2016
NOP101
DEN95
17 Nov 2015
NOP98
DEN115
15 Mar 2015
NOP111
DEN118
28 Jan 2015
NOP85
DEN93
09 Mar 2014
NOP111
DEN107
27 Dec 2013
NOP105
DEN89
25 Mar 2013
NOP110
DEN86
04 Apr 2012
NOP94
DEN92
06 Jan 2012
NOP88
DEN96
14 Mar 2011
NOP103
DEN114
29 Oct 2010
NOP101
DEN95
12 Mar 2010
NOP95
DEN102
18 Dec 2009
NOP98
DEN92
27 Apr 2009
NOP63
DEN121
25 Apr 2009
NOP95
DEN93
25 Mar 2009
NOP88
DEN101
28 Jan 2009
NOP94
DEN81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

New Orleans Pelicans winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

New Orleans PelicansUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPelicans
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#13
L
112-120
112
120
-8
97avg 95
A15/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
W
128-112
128
112
+16
128avg 95
H18/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
W
123-109
123
109
+14
121avg 95
H19/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
W
95-82
95
82
+13
83avg 95
H22/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
107-117
107
117
-10
96avg 95
A25/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#17
W
115-90
115
90
+25
116avg 95
A27/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
100-108
100
108
-8
86avg 95
A28/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
121-118
121
118
+3
116avg 95
H30/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
117-89
117
89
+28
109avg 95
H01/04
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
L
110-117
110
117
-7
103avg 95
H02/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-28
31-26
27-31
33-35
36-23
32-27
31-31
29-31
28-34
20-20
40-30
35-25
21-23
13-18
32-13
29-28
33-28
17-21
29-31
28-37
29-26
26-14
32-19
28-31
21-28
30-28
20-25
29-27
27-23
36-28
26-32
32-35
32-19
26-19
26-26
33-25
21-28
26-35
32-24
31-30
219.0Avg total
112.8Scored
106.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (77)104.1105.7209.9-1.643%
Season at home (40)107.0106.4213.4+0.652%
Season away (37)101.0105.0206.0-4.032%
Last 10 (10)112.8106.2219.0+6.660%
Last 5 (5)112.6104.4217.0+8.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)100.2109.3209.6-9.111%
vs Similar ◀ (20)107.0103.5210.5+3.560%
vs Weaker (1)105.097.0202.0+8.0100%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#28
W
129-101
129
101
+28
133avg 104
H14/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
129-114
129
114
+15
131avg 104
H17/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
105-109
105
109
-4
96avg 104
H19/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
124-125
124
125
-1
123avg 104
A21/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
W
126-113
126
113
+13
126avg 104
H23/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#16
W
125-117
125
117
+8
121avg 104
A24/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
L
90-115
90
115
-25
76avg 104
H27/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
113-122
113
122
-9
103avg 104
A29/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
114-122
114
122
-8
115avg 104
A31/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#13
W
116-113
116
113
+3
109avg 104
A02/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-23
32-20
26-33
36-25
27-19
32-27
44-34
26-34
26-26
30-25
18-29
31-29
28-35
37-27
32-32
27-31
34-31
39-28
28-31
25-23
34-26
30-27
30-22
31-42
26-29
14-26
19-32
31-28
35-32
29-34
21-29
28-27
32-24
24-32
38-30
20-36
37-30
31-28
25-29
23-26
232.2Avg total
117.1Scored
115.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (76)111.5111.4223.0+0.147%
Season at home (39)113.9110.9224.8+2.954%
Season away (37)109.0112.0221.0-2.941%
Last 10 (10)117.1115.1232.2+2.050%
Last 5 (5)111.6117.8229.4-6.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)114.5116.2230.8-1.825%
vs Similar ◀ (19)111.8112.5224.3-0.747%
vs Weaker (7)116.9108.1225.0+8.771%
This opponent (New Orleans Pelicans) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -2.3-2.3
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -2.3-2.3
New Orleans PelicansDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
New Orleans PelicansLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#13
L
52-54
52
54
-2
A15/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
W
68-50
68
50
+18
H18/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
L
48-54
48
54
-6
H19/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H22/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
W
50-49
50
49
+1
A25/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#17
W
55-40
55
40
+15
A27/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
51-56
51
56
-5
A28/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
63-51
63
51
+12
H30/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
58-38
58
38
+20
H01/04
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
L
47-63
47
63
-16
H02/04
NBA
102.2Avg total
52.6Scored
49.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.751.6103.3+0.247%-
Last 30 at home (14)50.450.3100.6+0.150%-
Last 30 away (16)52.952.7105.6+0.244%-
Last 10 (10)52.649.6102.2+3.050%-
Last 5 (5)54.849.6104.4+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)51.151.8102.9-0.744%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)51.951.1103.0+0.850%-
vs Weaker (1)55.059.0114.0-4.00%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#28
W
67-43
67
43
+24
H14/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
59-46
59
46
+13
H17/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
W
56-51
56
51
+5
H19/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
W
65-62
65
62
+3
A21/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
W
73-59
73
59
+14
H23/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#16
W
64-53
64
53
+11
A24/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
L
40-55
40
55
-15
H27/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
64-66
64
66
-2
A29/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
D
56-56
56
56
+0
A31/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#13
W
68-58
68
58
+10
A02/04
NBA
116.1Avg total
61.2Scored
54.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.855.3114.1+3.553%-
Last 30 at home (16)59.253.6112.8+5.662%-
Last 30 away (14)58.457.4115.7+1.043%-
Last 10 (10)61.254.9116.1+6.370%-
Last 5 (5)58.457.6116.0+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)62.555.8118.2+6.875%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)58.256.1114.3+2.142%-
vs Weaker (7)58.453.0111.4+5.471%-
This opponent (New Orleans Pelicans) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
New Orleans Pelicanstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

New Orleans Pelicans: 112.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.831.3
53.2%
50.2%62.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.810.9
36.6%
35.7%32.7
🏀 Free throws22.317.5
78.5%
77.0%17.5
They take 88.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 117.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.232.4
53.8%
50.2%64.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.710.8
37.6%
35.7%32.4
🏀 Free throws23.519.9
84.7%
77.0%19.9
They take 88.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Apr 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
New Orleans Pelicans
LWWLWLWWWL
Denver Nuggets
WLLLWWLLWW
#21
League position
#17
+6.6
Net rating
+2.0
112.1
Offensive rating
116.2
105.5
Defensive rating
114.2
53.8%
Effective FG%
54.7%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
55.3%
11.1%
Turnover %
11.6%
19.1%
Off. rebound %
21.9%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.26
36.6%
3-point %
37.6%
59.0%
Assist %
64.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence112.1 · 116.2Defence105.5 · 114.2Shooting53.8% · 54.7%3-point %36.6% · 37.6%Ball care11.1% · 11.6%Off. rebounds19.1% · 21.9%Free throws0.25 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ New Orleans Pelicans   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
02/04/17HChicago Bulls110-117
01/04/17HSacramento Kings117-89
30/03/17HDallas Mavericks121-118
28/03/17AUtah Jazz100-108
27/03/17ADenver Nuggets115-90
25/03/17AHouston Rockets107-117
22/03/17HMemphis Grizzlies95-82
19/03/17HMinnesota Timberwolves123-109
18/03/17HHouston Rockets128-112
15/03/17AMiami Heat112-120
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/04/17AMiami Heat116-113
31/03/17ACharlotte Hornets114-122
29/03/17APortland Trail Blazers113-122
27/03/17HNew Orleans Pelicans90-115
24/03/17AIndiana Pacers125-117
23/03/17HCleveland Cavaliers126-113
21/03/17AHouston Rockets124-125
19/03/17HHouston Rockets105-109
17/03/17HLos Angeles Clippers129-114
14/03/17HLos Angeles Lakers129-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL43%
HomeWWWWL52%
AwayWLLWL32%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games774037
Win %43%52%32%
Points / game104.1107.0101.0
Allowed / game105.7106.4105.0
Point differential-1.6+0.7-4.0
Avg total209.9213.4206.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%30%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won52% (21)50% (14)57% (7)
Overtime %10%10%11%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW47%
HomeWWLWL54%
AwayLWLLW41%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games763937
Win %47%54%41%
Points / game111.5113.9109.0
Allowed / game111.4110.9112.0
Point differential+0.1+2.9-2.9
Avg total223.0224.8221.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%44%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won37% (19)33% (9)40% (10)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors77631482%116.0104.3+11.7
2 San Antonio Spurs76591778%106.198.3+7.8
3 Houston Rockets77522568%115.4109.0+6.4
4 Cleveland Cavaliers77502765%110.5106.9+3.5
5 Boston Celtics77502765%107.8105.1+2.8
6 Utah Jazz77473061%100.596.6+3.9
7 Toronto Raptors78473160%107.1103.1+4.0
8 Los Angeles Clippers78473160%108.5104.9+3.6
9 Washington Wizards78473160%109.4107.5+1.9
10 Oklahoma City Thunder76433357%106.8106.1+0.7
11 Memphis Grizzlies77423555%100.9100.1+0.7
12 Milwaukee Bucks77403752%104.6104.2+0.4
13 Atlanta Hawks77393851%102.7104.0-1.3
14 Portland Trail Blazers77383949%108.6109.1-0.6
15 Chicago Bulls77383949%102.6103.3-0.7
16 Indiana Pacers78384049%104.7105.6-1.0
17 Miami Heat77374048%102.8102.0+0.8
18 Denver Nuggets76364047%111.5111.4+0.1
19 Charlotte Hornets78364246%105.6104.6+0.9
20 Detroit Pistons77354245%101.0102.3-1.3
21 New Orleans Pelicans77334443%104.1105.7-1.6
22 Dallas Mavericks76324442%98.0100.4-2.4
23 Minnesota Timberwolves76314541%105.4106.2-0.7
24 Sacramento Kings77304739%102.4106.6-4.2
25 New York Knicks77294838%104.6108.3-3.7
26 Philadelphia 76ers78285036%102.6108.2-5.6
27 Orlando Magic78275135%100.9107.2-6.3
28 Los Angeles Lakers77225529%104.7112.2-7.4
29 Phoenix Suns78225628%107.3113.3-5.9
30 Brooklyn Nets78195924%106.2112.5-6.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
New Orleans Pelicans31443026131
Denver Nuggets27423332134
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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