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Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 20 Mar 2012
Tip-off: 02:30
Final 95-112
29-33 27-30 22-29 17-20
Position#11
Record27-20
FormWLWLW
Points / game104.3
Allowed / game101.1
vs
Position#17
Record26-22
FormLLWWW
Points / game94.4
Allowed / game92.8
USANBA
NBA2011-12
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Dallas Mavericks
04 Feb 2027
DEN v DAL
upcoming
24 Nov 2026
DEN v DAL
upcoming
25 Mar 2026
DEN142
DAL135
01 Dec 2025
DEN121
DAL131
22 Nov 2024
DEN120
DAL123
10 Nov 2024
DEN122
DAL120
18 Dec 2023
DEN130
DAL104
03 Nov 2023
DEN125
DAL114
15 Feb 2023
DEN118
DAL109
06 Dec 2022
DEN115
DAL116
29 Oct 2021
DEN106
DAL75
13 Mar 2021
DEN103
DAL116
07 Jan 2021
DEN117
DAL124
13 Apr 2020
DEN v DAL
upcoming
29 Oct 2019
DEN106
DAL109
14 Mar 2019
DEN100
DAL99
18 Dec 2018
DEN126
DAL118
27 Jan 2018
DEN91
DAL89
16 Jan 2018
DEN105
DAL102
06 Feb 2017
DEN110
DAL87
19 Dec 2016
DEN117
DAL107
28 Mar 2016
DEN88
DAL97
06 Mar 2016
DEN116
DAL114
10 Apr 2015
DEN143
DAL144
14 Jan 2015
DEN114
DAL107
05 Mar 2014
DEN115
DAL110
23 Nov 2013
DEN102
DAL100
04 Apr 2013
DEN95
DAL94
19 Mar 2012
DEN95
DAL112
08 Feb 2012
DEN95
DAL105
10 Feb 2011
DEN121
DAL120
03 Nov 2010
DEN101
DAL102
09 Feb 2010
DEN127
DAL91
27 Dec 2009
DEN96
DAL104
13 May 2009
DEN124
DAL110
05 May 2009
DEN117
DAL105
03 May 2009
DEN109
DAL95
13 Jan 2009
DEN99
DAL97
07 Nov 2008
DEN108
DAL105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dallas Mavericks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#20
W
104-95
104
95
+9
H01/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#15
W
117-105
117
105
+12
A03/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#1
W
99-94
99
94
+5
A05/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#26
W
119-116 OT
119
116
+3
H06/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#28
L
99-100
99
100
-1
H08/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
110-97
110
97
+13
H10/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#7
L
91-94
91
94
-3
H12/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#9
W
118-117 OT
118
117
+1
H14/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#3
L
90-103
90
103
-13
H16/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
W
98-91
98
91
+7
H18/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-22
33-23
23-26
19-24
26-25
25-29
31-24
35-27
25-17
24-28
26-26
24-23
24-26
29-27
32-26
23-29
27-26
28-31
17-19
27-24
32-26
18-20
29-25
31-26
25-23
28-27
17-23
21-21
30-26
34-29
18-25
23-25
25-29
26-21
14-28
25-25
29-22
26-20
25-26
18-23
205.7Avg total
104.5Scored
101.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (47)104.3101.1205.4+3.257%
Season at home (26)103.0100.2203.1+2.858%
Season away (21)106.0102.3208.2+3.757%
Last 10 (10)104.5101.2205.7+3.370%
Last 5 (5)101.4100.4201.8+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (22)101.9103.4205.2-1.541%
vs Weaker (8)107.2100.1207.4+7.175%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
L
92-97
92
97
-5
A03/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#16
W
102-96
102
96
+6
H04/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#3
L
91-95
91
95
-4
A06/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#13
W
95-85
95
85
+10
H07/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#18
L
94-96
94
96
-2
A09/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#26
L
97-110
97
110
-13
A10/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#23
L
87-111
87
111
-24
A11/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
107-98
107
98
+9
H14/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#30
W
101-96
101
96
+5
H16/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#1
W
106-99
106
99
+7
H18/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-25
27-27
23-22
23-23
24-20
19-16
31-19
28-41
23-26
29-19
13-23
26-27
27-15
23-29
27-19
18-22
24-23
29-21
23-34
18-18
22-31
22-23
28-34
25-22
15-26
27-26
24-31
21-28
27-26
33-25
23-24
24-23
23-23
25-31
26-14
27-28
28-19
18-25
32-24
28-31
195.5Avg total
97.2Scored
98.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (48)94.492.8187.2+1.654%
Season at home (26)97.192.2189.3+4.969%
Season away (22)91.393.5184.7-2.236%
Last 10 (10)97.298.3195.5-1.150%
Last 5 (5)99.6102.8202.4-3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)96.097.2193.2-1.250%
vs Similar ◀ (21)95.793.4189.1+2.262%
vs Weaker (5)97.097.6194.6-0.640%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -2.5-2.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -2.5-2.5
Denver NuggetsDallas Mavericks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#20
W
62-45
62
45
+17
H01/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#15
L
51-54
51
54
-3
A03/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#1
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A05/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#26
D
53-53
53
53
+0
H06/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#28
L
55-57
55
57
-2
H08/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H10/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#7
W
53-50
53
50
+3
H12/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#9
W
64-55
64
55
+9
H14/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#3
W
51-50
51
50
+1
H16/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
W
55-42
55
42
+13
H18/03
NBA
104.0Avg total
54.3Scored
49.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.450.8103.2+1.657%-
Last 30 at home (17)52.249.5101.8+2.765%-
Last 30 away (13)52.552.5105.0+0.146%-
Last 10 (10)54.349.7104.0+4.670%-
Last 5 (5)54.648.6103.2+6.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (22)51.451.7103.0-0.355%-
vs Weaker (8)55.148.4103.5+6.862%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A03/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#16
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H04/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#3
W
52-45
52
45
+7
A06/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#13
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H07/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#18
W
53-44
53
44
+9
A09/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#26
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A10/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#23
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A11/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
60-51
60
51
+9
H14/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#30
L
48-54
48
54
-6
H16/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#1
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H18/03
NBA
96.0Avg total
48.4Scored
47.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.946.696.4+3.370%-
Last 30 at home (17)50.045.595.5+4.582%-
Last 30 away (13)49.747.997.6+1.854%-
Last 10 (10)48.447.696.0+0.860%-
Last 5 (5)48.051.099.0-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)50.244.594.8+5.8100%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)49.945.895.6+4.171%-
vs Weaker (5)49.651.6101.2-2.040%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
18/03/12HBoston Celtics98-91
16/03/12HOklahoma City Thunder90-103
14/03/12HAtlanta Hawks118-117 OT
12/03/12HMemphis Grizzlies91-94
10/03/12HNew Orleans Pelicans110-97
08/03/12HCleveland Cavaliers99-100
06/03/12HSacramento Kings119-116 OT
05/03/12ASan Antonio Spurs99-94
03/03/12AHouston Rockets117-105
01/03/12HPortland Trail Blazers104-95
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/03/12HSan Antonio Spurs106-99
16/03/12HCharlotte Hornets101-96
14/03/12HWashington Wizards107-98
11/03/12AGolden State Warriors87-111
10/03/12ASacramento Kings97-110
09/03/12APhoenix Suns94-96
07/03/12HNew York Knicks95-85
06/03/12AOklahoma City Thunder91-95
04/03/12HUtah Jazz102-96
03/03/12ANew Orleans Pelicans92-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2011-12
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW57%
HomeWLWLW58%
AwayLLLWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games472621
Win %57%58%57%
Points / game104.3103.0106.0
Allowed / game101.1100.2102.3
Point differential+3.2+2.8+3.7
Avg total205.4203.1208.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%27%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won53% (17)50% (8)56% (9)
Overtime %15%12%19%
Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2011-12
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW54%
HomeWWWWW69%
AwayLLLLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games482622
Win %54%69%36%
Points / game94.497.191.3
Allowed / game92.892.293.5
Point differential+1.6+4.9-2.2
Avg total187.2189.3184.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%35%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won41% (17)67% (6)27% (11)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chicago Bulls50401080%97.588.5+9.0
2 Oklahoma City Thunder47361177%102.496.2+6.2
3 Miami Heat46341274%102.193.6+8.5
4 San Antonio Spurs45301567%100.496.8+3.6
5 Orlando Magic49301961%93.692.6+1.0
6 Los Angeles Clippers46281861%97.995.3+2.6
7 Los Angeles Lakers47281960%95.493.6+1.8
8 Philadelphia 76ers48282058%94.787.6+7.1
9 Denver Nuggets47272057%104.3101.1+3.2
10 Atlanta Hawks48272156%93.391.2+2.1
11 Indiana Pacers45252056%94.993.0+2.0
12 Memphis Grizzlies45252056%94.693.2+1.4
13 Boston Celtics47262155%90.689.9+0.7
14 Dallas Mavericks48262254%94.492.8+1.6
15 Houston Rockets48252352%97.797.4+0.2
16 Utah Jazz47242351%97.498.4-1.0
17 Minnesota Timberwolves48242450%98.397.5+0.8
18 New York Knicks47232449%97.495.5+2.0
19 Phoenix Suns47232449%96.598.1-1.6
20 Portland Trail Blazers47222547%97.295.2+2.0
21 Milwaukee Bucks46202643%97.298.8-1.5
22 Golden State Warriors44192543%98.299.7-1.5
23 Cleveland Cavaliers45182740%94.798.5-3.8
24 Detroit Pistons47173036%90.295.6-5.5
25 Sacramento Kings47173036%97.0102.9-5.9
26 Toronto Raptors47153232%90.294.1-3.8
27 Brooklyn Nets49153431%92.398.6-6.3
28 New Orleans Pelicans47133428%89.193.4-4.3
29 Washington Wizards46103622%93.4101.9-8.5
30 Charlotte Hornets4683817%86.899.7-12.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets2927221795
Dallas Mavericks33302920112
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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