New Zealand Breakers vs Adelaide Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 12 Mar 2022

Tip-off: 09:00

Final 84-75

30-16 16-24 22-17 16-18

Position#10

Record4-13

FormWLLLL

Points / game77.1

Allowed / game86.9

New Zealand Breakers 🏆

Adelaide

Position#7

Record5-11

FormWLLLL

Points / game79.4

Allowed / game84.8

NBL

Other2021-22

Meetings · New Zealand Breakers v Adelaide

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

New Zealand Breakers winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Adelaide winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

New Zealand Breakers Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Melbourne United

78-89

-11

H14/01

NBL

Sydney

82-75

A16/01

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

59-83

-24

H30/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

90-67

+23

H02/02

NBL

Sydney

65-84

-19

A06/02

NBL

Cairns Taipans

84-83

A14/02

NBL

Melbourne United

73-108

108

-35

A20/02

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

87-102

102

-15

H01/03

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

62-66

-4

A05/03

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

74-92

-18

H07/03

NBL

22-21

17-17

21-27

18-24

17-24

13-10

22-23

30-18

13-23

14-30

20-14

12-16

26-20

26-13

18-24

20-10

16-25

19-26

16-9

14-24

30-12

25-23

14-32

15-16

20-30

13-30

11-24

29-24

22-20

25-29

20-30

20-23

19-23

20-15

14-12

9-16

18-19

13-20

12-27

31-26

160.3Avg total

75.4Scored

84.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	77.1	86.9	164.1	-9.8	24%
Season at home (5)	77.6	86.6	164.2	-9.0	20%
Season away (12)	76.9	87.1	164.0	-10.2	25%
Last 10 (10)	75.4	84.9	160.3	-9.5	30%
Last 5 (5)	76.0	90.2	166.2	-14.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	77.8	87.7	165.4	-9.9	19%
vs Similar (8)	79.6	81.0	160.6	-1.4	38%
vs Weaker (1)	84.0	78.0	162.0	+6.0	100%

This opponent (Adelaide) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Adelaide

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Melbourne United

78-97

-19

H22/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

89-100

100

-11

A24/01

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

71-76

-5

A28/01

NBL

Melbourne United

88-83 OT

H30/01

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

73-77

-4

A11/02

NBL

Cairns Taipans

82-71

+11

H20/02

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

71-87

-16

A25/02

NBL

Sydney

90-93

-3

H27/02

NBL

South East Melbourne

76-83

-7

H04/03

NBL

Perth

73-92

-19

H06/03

NBL

24-26

20-25

20-21

14-25

19-23

26-27

14-31

30-19

24-15

23-26

12-11

12-24

17-19

21-11

21-21

15-23

25-21

13-15

23-21

12-20

9-23

25-11

20-13

28-24

20-26

17-24

20-12

14-25

25-23

22-22

24-24

19-24

25-26

17-24

12-15

22-18

20-27

14-23

26-26

13-16

165.0Avg total

79.1Scored

85.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	79.4	84.8	164.2	-5.4	31%
Season at home (9)	82.6	84.3	166.9	-1.8	44%
Season away (7)	75.3	85.4	160.7	-10.1	14%
Last 10 (10)	79.1	85.9	165.0	-6.8	20%
Last 5 (5)	78.4	85.2	163.6	-6.8	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	79.4	86.9	166.4	-7.5	22%
vs Similar (9)	81.9	83.2	165.1	-1.3	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	82.3	83.0	165.3	-0.7	67%

This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

New Zealand BreakersAdelaide

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	21.5	43.0	+0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.1	20.7	42.9	+1.4	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.0	22.1	43.1	-1.1	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	21.7	42.0	-1.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	20.8	42.6	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	20.7	22.4	43.0	-1.7	33%	-
vs Similar (8)	23.4	19.8	43.1	+3.6	75%	-
vs Weaker (1)	25.0	16.0	41.0	+9.0	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	22.0	41.7	-2.2	27%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.1	21.2	41.3	-1.2	31%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.5	22.5	42.1	-3.0	24%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	22.9	43.7	-2.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	25.0	44.8	-5.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	18.9	22.3	41.2	-3.3	17%	-
vs Similar (9)	23.1	19.6	42.7	+3.6	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	14.7	27.3	42.0	-12.7	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	21.6	40.6	-2.5	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.4	21.7	41.1	-2.4	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.8	21.4	40.2	-2.6	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	21.3	39.8	-2.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	23.4	42.6	-4.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	18.9	22.0	40.9	-3.0	33%	-
vs Similar (8)	19.9	20.0	39.9	-0.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	16.0	26.0	42.0	-10.0	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	21.8	42.8	-0.8	37%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.0	21.5	42.5	-0.5	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.9	22.0	42.9	-1.1	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	20.8	40.6	-1.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	20.8	39.8	-1.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	21.0	21.6	42.6	-0.6	39%	-
vs Similar (9)	20.7	22.3	43.0	-1.7	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	21.7	21.7	43.3	+0.0	33%	-

New Zealand BreakersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Melbourne United

39-38

H14/01

NBL

Sydney

30-34

-4

A16/01

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

27-53

-26

H30/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

52-33

+19

H02/02

NBL

Sydney

35-51

-16

A06/02

NBL

Cairns Taipans

55-35

+20

A14/02

NBL

Melbourne United

33-60

-27

A20/02

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

47-49

-2

H01/03

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

39-38

A05/03

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

31-39

-8

H07/03

NBL

81.8Avg total

38.8Scored

43.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.6	43.0	83.6	-2.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.5	42.4	83.9	-0.9	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.8	43.6	83.4	-3.8	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.8	43.0	81.8	-4.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	44.2	85.2	-3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	39.6	44.3	83.9	-4.8	29%	-
vs Similar (8)	43.2	39.8	83.0	+3.5	62%	-
vs Weaker (1)	41.0	42.0	83.0	-1.0	0%	-

This opponent (Adelaide) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AdelaideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Melbourne United

44-51

-7

H22/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

45-50

-5

A24/01

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

47-41

A28/01

NBL

Melbourne United

38-30

H30/01

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

38-36

A11/02

NBL

Cairns Taipans

34-34

H20/02

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

37-50

-13

A25/02

NBL

Sydney

47-45

H27/02

NBL

South East Melbourne

42-50

-8

H04/03

NBL

Perth

34-50

-16

H06/03

NBL

84.3Avg total

40.6Scored

43.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.7	43.8	84.5	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	41.1	42.8	83.8	-1.7	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	40.5	44.5	85.0	-4.1	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.6	43.7	84.3	-3.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.8	45.8	84.6	-7.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	39.9	43.8	83.8	-3.9	33%	-
vs Similar (9)	43.8	41.9	85.7	+1.9	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	36.3	49.0	85.3	-12.7	0%	-

This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.2	20.7	37.9	-3.5	23%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.3	21.2	39.5	-2.9	21%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.3	20.2	36.6	-3.9	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.8	22.2	39.0	-5.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.2	25.0	39.2	-10.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	17.0	20.6	37.6	-3.7	24%	-
vs Similar (8)	18.4	21.4	39.8	-3.0	25%	-
vs Weaker (1)	14.0	17.0	31.0	-3.0	0%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	20.2	39.4	-0.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.6	19.1	38.7	+0.5	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.0	21.0	40.0	-2.0	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	19.5	38.7	-0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	18.0	38.4	+2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	19.1	21.6	40.7	-2.6	22%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.8	18.7	38.4	+1.1	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	19.0	16.0	35.0	+3.0	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	21.2	41.2	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.1	19.9	40.0	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.9	22.2	42.2	-2.3	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	19.7	39.5	+0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	21.0	41.8	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	20.3	21.8	42.1	-1.4	38%	-
vs Similar (8)	18.0	19.9	37.9	-1.9	38%	-
vs Weaker (1)	29.0	19.0	48.0	+10.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	21.0	40.4	-1.5	33%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.1	19.8	40.9	+1.2	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.2	21.8	40.1	-3.6	18%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	21.8	39.7	-3.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	21.4	40.6	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	18.8	20.6	39.4	-1.8	28%	-
vs Similar (9)	18.3	22.7	41.0	-4.3	22%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	27.0	18.0	45.0	+9.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.2	41.9	79.1	-4.6	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.4	41.1	79.5	-2.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.2	42.5	78.8	-6.2	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.6	41.9	78.5	-5.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.0	46.0	81.0	-11.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	37.3	42.4	79.7	-5.1	29%	-
vs Similar (8)	36.4	41.2	77.6	-4.9	38%	-
vs Weaker (1)	43.0	36.0	79.0	+7.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.7	41.1	79.9	-2.4	23%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	40.7	38.9	79.6	+1.8	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	37.2	42.8	80.1	-5.6	12%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.1	41.3	78.4	-4.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	39.4	79.0	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	37.8	42.2	80.1	-4.4	17%	-
vs Similar (9)	38.1	41.3	79.4	-3.2	22%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	46.0	34.0	80.0	+12.0	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

New Zealand Breakers wins

Adelaide wins

Date	Game	Score
12/12/21	Adelaide v New Zealand Breakers	98-85
25/05/21	New Zealand Breakers v Adelaide	94-76
26/04/21	New Zealand Breakers v Adelaide	93-77
27/02/21	Adelaide v New Zealand Breakers	62-106
27/01/21	Adelaide v New Zealand Breakers	88-78
22/01/21	Adelaide v New Zealand Breakers	94-91 OT
31/01/20	New Zealand Breakers v Adelaide	113-89
29/12/19	Adelaide v New Zealand Breakers	87-96
15/12/19	New Zealand Breakers v Adelaide	96-99
24/11/19	Adelaide v New Zealand Breakers	117-100

New Zealand Breakerslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/03/22	H	Brisbane Bullets	74-92
05/03/22	A	Tasmania JackJumpers	62-66
01/03/22	H	Illawarra Hawks	87-102
20/02/22	A	Melbourne United	73-108
14/02/22	A	Cairns Taipans	84-83
06/02/22	A	Sydney	65-84
02/02/22	H	Illawarra Hawks	90-67
30/01/22	H	Tasmania JackJumpers	59-83
16/01/22	A	Sydney	82-75
14/01/22	H	Melbourne United	78-89

Adelaidelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
06/03/22	H	Perth	73-92
04/03/22	H	South East Melbourne	76-83
27/02/22	H	Sydney	90-93
25/02/22	A	Illawarra Hawks	71-87
20/02/22	H	Cairns Taipans	82-71
11/02/22	A	Brisbane Bullets	73-77
30/01/22	H	Melbourne United	88-83 OT
28/01/22	A	Tasmania JackJumpers	71-76
24/01/22	A	Illawarra Hawks	89-100
22/01/22	H	Melbourne United	78-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

New Zealand Breakers

NBL 2021-22

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLL	24%
Home	LLWLL	20%
Away	WLWLL	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	5	12
Win %	24%	20%	25%
Points / game	77.1	77.6	76.9
Allowed / game	86.9	86.6	87.1
Point differential	-9.8	-9.0	-10.2
Avg total	164.1	164.2	164.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	6%	20%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (4)	-	50% (4)
Overtime %	6%	0%	8%

Adelaide

NBL 2021-22

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLL	31%
Home	WWLLL	44%
Away	LLLLL	14%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	9	7
Win %	31%	44%	14%
Points / game	79.4	82.6	75.3
Allowed / game	84.8	84.3	85.4
Point differential	-5.4	-1.8	-10.1
Avg total	164.2	166.9	160.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	19%	33%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (5)	50% (2)	33% (3)
Overtime %	6%	11%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Melbourne United	18	13	5	72%	87.9	79.1	+8.8
2	Perth	18	12	6	67%	89.8	82.6	+7.2
3	South East Melbourne	17	11	6	65%	85.5	83.2	+2.4
4	Illawarra Hawks	18	11	7	61%	87.4	84.4	+2.9
5	Sydney	18	11	7	61%	83.1	82.3	+0.8
6	Tasmania JackJumpers	18	9	9	50%	78.3	78.1	+0.3
7	Brisbane Bullets	19	7	12	37%	84.2	86.7	-2.5
8	Adelaide	16	5	11	31%	79.4	84.8	-5.4
9	Cairns Taipans	15	4	11	27%	76.9	83.4	-6.5
10	New Zealand Breakers	17	4	13	24%	77.1	86.9	-9.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
New Zealand Breakers	30	16	22	16	84
Adelaide	16	24	17	18	75

← all games of the day

New Zealand Breakers vs Adelaide Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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