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New Zealand Breakers vs Adelaide Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 06 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 06:30
Final 79-83
14-22 33-21 21-23 11-17
Position#7
Record3-7
FormLWLLW
Points / game88.3
Allowed / game89.2
vs
Position#3
Record6-2
FormLWWLW
Points / game90.4
Allowed / game84.6
AustraliaNBLRound 8· Spark Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · New Zealand Breakers v Adelaide
30 Oct 2026
NEW 101
ADEL108
23 Jan 2026
NEW 110
ADEL112
06 Nov 2025
NEW 79
ADEL83
02 Nov 2024
NEW 109
ADEL82
30 Nov 2023
NEW 96
ADEL83
26 Oct 2023
NEW 85
ADEL97
20 Nov 2022
NEW 89
ADEL83
24 Apr 2022
NEW 60
ADEL93
12 Mar 2022
NEW 84
ADEL75
25 May 2021
NEW 94
ADEL76
26 Apr 2021
NEW 93
ADEL77
31 Jan 2020
NEW 113
ADEL89
15 Dec 2019
NEW 96
ADEL99
07 Feb 2019
NEW 107
ADEL114
28 Oct 2018
NEW 114
ADEL94
15 Dec 2017
NEW 75
ADEL90
02 Nov 2017
NEW 92
ADEL88
08 Jan 2017
NEW 95
ADEL113
29 Oct 2016
NEW 119
ADEL93
08 Jan 2016
NEW 81
ADEL87
05 Nov 2015
NEW 98
ADEL88
26 Feb 2015
NEW 111
ADEL82
12 Feb 2015
NEW 88
ADEL93
17 Oct 2014
NEW 101
ADEL80
15 Nov 2013
NEW 94
ADEL95
31 Oct 2013
NEW 93
ADEL96
28 Feb 2013
NEW 104
ADEL79
12 Oct 2012
NEW 73
ADEL59
13 Jan 2012
NEW 80
ADEL63
03 Nov 2011
NEW 99
ADEL90
30 Mar 2011
NEW 100
ADEL71
20 Jan 2011
NEW 91
ADEL77
21 Jan 2010
NEW 103
ADEL89
29 Oct 2009
NEW 99
ADEL91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

New Zealand Breakers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Adelaide winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

New Zealand BreakersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreakers
Date
Competition
Brisbane Bullets
#10
L
95-104
95
104
-9
no box
H19/09
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
82-114
82
114
-32
no box
A21/09
NBL
Perth
#5
L
78-89
78
89
-11
no box
H27/09
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
75-97
75
97
-22
65avg 78
A04/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
117-88
117
88
+29
114avg 78
H08/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
81-87
81
87
-6
78avg 78
H12/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
82-65
82
65
+17
70avg 78
H17/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
88-104
88
104
-16
77avg 78
A19/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
L
83-84
83
84
-1
62avg 78
H23/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
102-60
102
60
+42
101avg 78
A31/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
24-25
22-28
29-30
15-34
18-21
22-34
27-25
17-25
25-19
17-18
19-27
15-22
19-17
18-31
23-27
30-24
30-25
27-23
30-16
15-21
31-13
19-28
16-25
20-18
20-13
23-11
19-23
17-28
21-28
25-19
25-29
25-11
32-28
15-29
11-16
31-18
21-16
27-10
23-16
177.5Avg total
88.3Scored
89.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)88.389.2177.5-0.930%
Season at home (6)89.386.2175.5+3.233%
Season away (4)86.893.8180.5-7.025%
Last 10 (10)88.389.2177.5-0.930%
Last 5 (5)87.280.0167.2+7.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)84.7100.2184.9-15.50%
vs Similar ◀ (13)88.184.2172.3+3.854%
vs Weaker (2)89.094.0183.0-5.00%
This opponent (Adelaide) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AdelaideAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAdelaide
Date
Competition
Sydney
#4
W
95-88
95
88
+7
88avg 86
A13/02
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
75-85
75
85
-10
63avg 86
A16/02
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
87-80
87
80
+7
83avg 86
H28/09
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
110-79
110
79
+31
104avg 86
A02/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
98-89
98
89
+9
96avg 86
H09/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
79-103
79
103
-24
73avg 86
H11/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
W
88-71
88
71
+17
88avg 86
H16/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
91-86
91
86
+5
80avg 86
A18/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
80-81
80
81
-1
81avg 86
A26/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
90-88
90
88
+2
79avg 86
H02/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
28-19
18-30
26-17
16-15
29-11
15-28
15-31
27-23
21-24
29-20
10-13
36-23
22-15
27-22
25-19
21-20
30-22
25-30
22-17
19-29
22-25
23-25
15-24
28-16
22-11
16-18
22-26
19-17
25-19
20-21
27-29
17-14
20-26
18-19
25-22
21-19
20-22
31-26
18-21
174.3Avg total
89.3Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)90.484.6175.0+5.875%
Season at home (5)88.486.2174.6+2.280%
Season away (3)93.782.0175.7+11.767%
Last 10 (10)89.385.0174.3+4.370%
Last 5 (5)85.685.8171.4-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)94.997.8192.7-2.844%
vs Similar ◀ (9)91.292.0183.2-0.833%
vs Weaker (5)95.481.6177.0+13.8100%
This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: +4.5+4.5Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -1.4-1.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: +4.5+4.5Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -1.4-1.4
New Zealand BreakersAdelaide
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
New Zealand BreakersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brisbane Bullets
#10
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H19/09
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
33-55
33
55
-22
A21/09
NBL
Perth
#5
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H27/09
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A04/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
60-49
60
49
+11
H08/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H12/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H17/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
38-56
38
56
-18
A19/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
57-39
57
39
+18
H23/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
52-34
52
34
+18
A31/10
NBL
87.3Avg total
44.6Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.647.591.1-4.033%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.245.690.8-0.344%-
Last 30 away (14)41.649.891.4-8.121%-
Last 10 (10)44.642.787.3+1.950%-
Last 5 (5)46.638.885.4+7.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)41.550.391.7-8.820%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)44.945.290.1-0.246%-
vs Weaker (2)50.542.593.0+8.050%-
This opponent (Adelaide) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AdelaideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sydney
#4
W
51-41
51
41
+10
A13/02
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
W
45-26
45
26
+19
A16/02
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H28/09
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
58-38
58
38
+20
A02/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H09/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
41-54
41
54
-13
H11/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
W
50-27
50
27
+23
H16/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A18/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A26/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H02/11
NBL
85.8Avg total
46.6Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.545.194.6+4.460%-
Last 30 at home (15)50.144.494.5+5.767%-
Last 30 away (15)48.945.894.7+3.153%-
Last 10 (10)46.639.285.8+7.470%-
Last 5 (5)42.639.682.2+3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)49.747.497.1+2.356%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)48.744.092.7+4.756%-
vs Weaker (5)50.239.890.0+10.480%-
This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
New Zealand Breakerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

New Zealand Breakers: 88.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.7 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.024.4
62.6%
54.6%48.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.99.6
31.1%
33.3%28.8
🏀 Free throws15.210.7
70.4%
74.8%10.7
They take 69.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Adelaidetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Adelaide: 88.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.621.5
58.7%
54.6%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.39.5
33.6%
33.3%28.5
🏀 Free throws21.216.8
79.2%
74.8%16.8
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
New Zealand Breakers
WLLWLWLLLL
Adelaide
WLWWLWWWLW
#7
League position
#3
+4.3
Net rating
+6.0
117.3
Offensive rating
117.0
113.0
Defensive rating
111.0
55.5%
Effective FG%
55.1%
54.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
16.6%
Turnover %
16.0%
32.1%
Off. rebound %
27.9%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.33
31.1%
3-point %
33.6%
59.4%
Assist %
63.9%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence117.3 · 117.0Defence113.0 · 111.0Shooting55.5% · 55.1%3-point %31.1% · 33.6%Ball care16.6% · 16.0%Off. rebounds32.1% · 27.9%Free throws0.22 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ New Zealand Breakers   ■ Adelaide
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/25AIllawarra Hawks102-60
23/10/25HBrisbane Bullets83-84
19/10/25AMelbourne United88-104
17/10/25HTasmania JackJumpers82-65
12/10/25HSouth East Melbourne81-87
08/10/25HIllawarra Hawks117-88
04/10/25ASydney75-97
27/09/25HPerth78-89
21/09/25AMelbourne United82-114
19/09/25HBrisbane Bullets95-104
Adelaidelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/25HIllawarra Hawks90-88
26/10/25AMelbourne United80-81
18/10/25ACairns Taipans91-86
16/10/25HSouth East Melbourne88-71
11/10/25HSydney79-103
09/10/25HTasmania JackJumpers98-89
02/10/25ACairns Taipans110-79
28/09/25HBrisbane Bullets87-80
16/02/25ASouth East Melbourne75-85
13/02/25ASydney95-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

New Zealand Breakers
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW30%
HomeLWLWL33%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %30%33%25%
Points / game88.389.386.8
Allowed / game89.286.293.8
Point differential-0.9+3.2-7.0
Avg total177.5175.5180.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Adelaide
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW75%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %75%80%67%
Points / game90.488.493.7
Allowed / game84.686.282.0
Point differential+5.8+2.2+11.7
Avg total175.0174.6175.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%20%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Melbourne United119282%96.984.1+12.8
2 South East Melbourne86275%98.286.9+11.4
3 Adelaide86275%90.484.6+5.8
4 Sydney105550%92.686.9+5.7
5 Perth105550%87.685.9+1.7
6 Tasmania JackJumpers105550%81.783.7-2.0
7 Brisbane Bullets114736%90.595.1-4.6
8 Illawarra Hawks93633%87.897.1-9.3
9 New Zealand Breakers103730%88.389.2-0.9
10 Cairns Taipans113827%76.793.8-17.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
New Zealand Breakers1433211179
Adelaide2221231783
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