New Zealand Breakers vs Adelaide Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Jan 2017

Tip-off: 04:00

Final 95-113

20-31 20-31 32-25 23-26

Position#5

Record8-11

FormWLWLL

Points / game83.5

Allowed / game85.0

New Zealand Breakers

Adelaide 🏆

Position#2

Record12-7

FormWWWLW

Points / game91.2

Allowed / game91.7

NBL

Other2016-17

Meetings · New Zealand Breakers v Adelaide

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

New Zealand Breakers winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Adelaide winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

New Zealand Breakers Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Illawarra Hawks

100-85

100

+15

H18/11

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

78-109

109

-31

A20/11

NBL

Cairns Taipans

80-91

-11

A27/11

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

91-95

-4

H02/12

NBL

Melbourne United

74-98

-24

A04/12

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

82-75

H08/12

NBL

Adelaide

92-102

102

-10

A10/12

NBL

Perth

69-57

+12

H15/12

NBL

Sydney

80-85

-5

A30/12

NBL

Cairns Taipans

63-65

-2

A06/01

NBL

33-16

24-22

23-31

20-16

20-26

24-30

20-27

14-26

18-25

20-28

19-12

23-26

24-29

16-26

23-23

28-17

20-20

18-28

13-22

23-28

23-20

16-19

24-16

19-20

28-20

19-29

23-25

22-28

17-15

16-8

21-23

15-11

20-23

22-23

21-15

17-24

11-11

19-17

17-14

16-23

167.1Avg total

80.9Scored

86.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (19)	83.5	85.0	168.5	-1.5	42%
Season at home (9)	86.7	80.4	167.1	+6.2	67%
Season away (10)	80.7	89.1	169.8	-8.4	20%
Last 10 (10)	80.9	86.2	167.1	-5.3	30%
Last 5 (5)	77.2	76.8	154.0	+0.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	76.3	72.7	149.0	+3.7	67%
vs Similar ◀ (24)	84.0	83.2	167.2	+0.8	50%
vs Weaker (3)	83.0	79.3	162.3	+3.7	67%

This opponent (Adelaide) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Adelaide

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Brisbane Bullets

101-83

101

+18

A24/11

NBL

Sydney

91-85

A28/11

NBL

Perth

92-86 OT

H03/12

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

102-92

102

+10

H10/12

NBL

Cairns Taipans

96-83

+13

A12/12

NBL

Sydney

82-80

H16/12

NBL

Sydney

103-96

103

A18/12

NBL

Perth

78-74

H22/12

NBL

Melbourne United

73-104

104

-31

A01/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

117-85

117

+32

H05/01

NBL

36-18

21-20

20-17

24-28

20-25

25-19

21-23

25-18

25-19

21-17

22-24

12-20

20-28

29-19

25-23

28-22

23-20

19-27

32-14

22-22

31-26

10-16

15-23

26-15

25-26

24-25

30-23

24-22

24-23

17-21

18-16

19-14

17-27

26-33

8-16

22-28

37-27

30-15

29-19

21-24

180.3Avg total

93.5Scored

86.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (19)	91.2	91.7	182.9	-0.5	63%
Season at home (9)	89.1	85.8	174.9	+3.3	67%
Season away (10)	93.1	97.0	190.1	-3.9	60%
Last 10 (10)	93.5	86.8	180.3	+6.7	90%
Last 5 (5)	90.6	87.8	178.4	+2.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	95.0	100.0	195.0	-5.0	25%
vs Similar ◀ (21)	90.0	90.7	180.7	-0.7	62%
vs Weaker (5)	97.6	94.6	192.2	+3.0	80%

This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

New Zealand BreakersAdelaide

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	19.9	41.5	+1.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.5	19.9	42.4	+2.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.7	20.0	40.7	+0.7	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	20.5	41.9	+0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	17.8	37.6	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	20.3	19.3	39.7	+1.0	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	21.7	19.8	41.5	+1.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (3)	21.7	21.3	43.0	+0.3	33%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.8	25.3	49.1	-1.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	25.0	24.1	49.1	+0.9	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.8	26.4	49.2	-3.6	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.8	23.9	49.7	+1.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.8	25.8	52.6	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	24.8	27.0	51.8	-2.2	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	23.6	25.0	48.6	-1.4	48%	-
vs Weaker (5)	24.2	25.2	49.4	-1.0	20%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	21.8	42.3	-1.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.4	19.4	40.9	+2.0	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.8	23.9	43.6	-4.1	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	23.0	42.4	-3.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	19.2	37.6	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	18.0	17.7	35.7	+0.3	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	20.7	22.4	43.1	-1.8	42%	-
vs Weaker (3)	22.0	21.0	43.0	+1.0	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.1	23.0	46.1	+0.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.9	22.1	43.0	-1.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	24.9	23.9	48.8	+1.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	21.2	43.4	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	22.0	43.4	-0.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	25.0	23.0	48.0	+2.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	22.6	22.4	45.0	+0.2	48%	-
vs Weaker (5)	23.4	25.8	49.2	-2.4	40%	-

New Zealand BreakersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Illawarra Hawks

57-38

+19

H18/11

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

44-56

-12

A20/11

NBL

Cairns Taipans

38-53

-15

A27/11

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

40-55

-15

H02/12

NBL

Melbourne United

38-48

-10

A04/12

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

39-39

H08/12

NBL

Adelaide

47-49

-2

A10/12

NBL

Perth

33-23

+10

H15/12

NBL

Sydney

42-46

-4

A30/12

NBL

Cairns Taipans

30-28

A06/01

NBL

84.3Avg total

40.8Scored

43.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.1	41.7	83.8	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	43.9	39.3	83.2	+4.6	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.4	43.9	84.3	-3.4	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.8	43.5	84.3	-2.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.2	37.0	75.2	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	38.3	37.0	75.3	+1.3	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	42.3	42.2	84.6	+0.1	46%	-
vs Weaker (3)	43.7	42.3	86.0	+1.3	67%	-

This opponent (Adelaide) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AdelaideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Brisbane Bullets

57-38

+19

A24/11

NBL

Sydney

45-44

A28/11

NBL

Perth

46-36

+10

H03/12

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

49-47

H10/12

NBL

Cairns Taipans

42-47

-5

A12/12

NBL

Sydney

41-42

-1

H16/12

NBL

Sydney

49-51

-2

A18/12

NBL

Perth

41-44

-3

H22/12

NBL

Melbourne United

43-60

-17

A01/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

67-42

+25

H05/01

NBL

93.1Avg total

48.0Scored

45.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	46.9	48.3	95.2	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	45.9	46.1	92.1	-0.2	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	47.8	50.2	98.0	-2.5	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	48.0	45.1	93.1	+2.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.2	47.8	96.0	+0.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	49.8	50.0	99.8	-0.2	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	46.2	47.4	93.6	-1.2	48%	-
vs Weaker (5)	47.6	51.0	98.6	-3.4	20%	-

This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	18.9	38.6	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.7	19.6	39.4	+0.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.6	18.2	37.9	+1.4	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	20.8	41.2	-0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	18.6	39.8	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	20.3	16.7	37.0	+3.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	20.0	19.5	39.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (3)	16.3	16.0	32.3	+0.3	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	21.9	42.9	-0.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.0	22.4	43.4	-1.4	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.0	21.4	42.4	-0.4	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	19.8	41.8	+2.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	19.4	39.4	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	20.2	23.5	43.8	-3.2	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	20.9	22.1	43.0	-1.3	38%	-
vs Weaker (5)	22.2	19.4	41.6	+2.8	80%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	20.6	41.2	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.4	18.3	40.7	+4.1	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.1	22.6	41.7	-3.6	12%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	21.9	41.6	-2.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	21.2	39.0	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	15.0	16.7	31.7	-1.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	21.0	21.0	42.1	+0.0	38%	-
vs Weaker (3)	23.0	21.0	44.0	+2.0	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.2	21.9	45.1	+1.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.7	18.1	40.9	+4.6	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	23.6	25.1	48.8	-1.5	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	21.3	43.6	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	20.6	43.0	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	25.0	26.5	51.5	-1.5	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	22.4	20.9	43.3	+1.5	62%	-
vs Weaker (5)	25.2	22.2	47.4	+3.0	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.3	39.5	79.8	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.1	37.9	80.1	+4.2	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.7	40.9	79.6	-2.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.1	42.7	82.8	-2.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	39.8	78.8	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	35.3	33.3	68.7	+2.0	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	41.0	40.6	81.6	+0.5	46%	-
vs Weaker (3)	39.3	37.0	76.3	+2.3	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.2	43.7	87.9	+0.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	43.7	40.5	84.2	+3.2	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	44.6	46.6	91.2	-1.9	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.3	41.1	85.4	+3.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.4	40.0	82.4	+2.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	45.2	50.0	95.2	-4.8	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	43.2	43.0	86.3	+0.2	57%	-
vs Weaker (5)	47.4	41.6	89.0	+5.8	60%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

New Zealand Breakers wins

Adelaide wins

Date	Game	Score
10/12/16	Adelaide v New Zealand Breakers	102-92
29/10/16	New Zealand Breakers v Adelaide	119-93
03/02/16	Adelaide v New Zealand Breakers	84-106
08/01/16	New Zealand Breakers v Adelaide	81-87
05/11/15	New Zealand Breakers v Adelaide	98-88
07/10/15	Adelaide v New Zealand Breakers	90-71
28/02/15	Adelaide v New Zealand Breakers	83-94
26/02/15	New Zealand Breakers v Adelaide	111-82
12/02/15	New Zealand Breakers v Adelaide	88-93
04/01/15	Adelaide v New Zealand Breakers	74-81

New Zealand Breakerslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
06/01/17	A	Cairns Taipans	63-65
30/12/16	A	Sydney	80-85
15/12/16	H	Perth	69-57
10/12/16	A	Adelaide	92-102
08/12/16	H	Brisbane Bullets	82-75
04/12/16	A	Melbourne United	74-98
02/12/16	H	Illawarra Hawks	91-95
27/11/16	A	Cairns Taipans	80-91
20/11/16	A	Illawarra Hawks	78-109
18/11/16	H	Illawarra Hawks	100-85

Adelaidelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/01/17	H	Illawarra Hawks	117-85
01/01/17	A	Melbourne United	73-104
22/12/16	H	Perth	78-74
18/12/16	A	Sydney	103-96
16/12/16	H	Sydney	82-80
12/12/16	A	Cairns Taipans	96-83
10/12/16	H	New Zealand Breakers	102-92
03/12/16	H	Perth	92-86 OT
28/11/16	A	Sydney	91-85
24/11/16	A	Brisbane Bullets	101-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

New Zealand Breakers

NBL 2016-17

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLL	42%
Home	LWLWW	67%
Away	LLLLL	20%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	19	9	10
Win %	42%	67%	20%
Points / game	83.5	86.7	80.7
Allowed / game	85.0	80.4	89.1
Point differential	-1.5	+6.2	-8.4
Avg total	168.5	167.1	169.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	21%	44%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (6)	50% (2)	25% (4)
Overtime %	11%	0%	20%

Adelaide

NBL 2016-17

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	63%
Home	WWWWW	67%
Away	WWWWL	60%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	19	9	10
Win %	63%	67%	60%
Points / game	91.2	89.1	93.1
Allowed / game	91.7	85.8	97.0
Point differential	-0.5	+3.3	-3.9
Avg total	182.9	174.9	190.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	26%	33%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (4)	100% (2)	50% (2)
Overtime %	11%	11%	10%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Adelaide	19	12	7	63%	91.2	91.7	-0.5
2	Illawarra Hawks	21	11	10	52%	89.2	88.7	+0.5
3	Melbourne United	20	10	10	50%	85.7	83.0	+2.8
4	Sydney	22	11	11	50%	83.4	82.2	+1.2
5	Perth	18	9	9	50%	80.7	81.3	-0.6
6	Brisbane Bullets	19	9	10	47%	83.2	84.3	-1.2
7	Cairns Taipans	18	8	10	44%	80.1	81.3	-1.3
8	New Zealand Breakers	19	8	11	42%	83.5	85.0	-1.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
New Zealand Breakers	20	20	32	23	95
Adelaide	31	31	25	26	113

← all games of the day

New Zealand Breakers vs Adelaide Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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