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New Zealand Breakers vs Adelaide Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 30 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 06:30
Final 96-83
37-17 16-24 24-19 19-23
Position#5
Record3-7
FormWLLWL
Points / game86.9
Allowed / game89.6
vs
Position#9
Record4-7
FormWWLLW
Points / game85.1
Allowed / game88.9
AustraliaNBLRound 9· Spark Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · New Zealand Breakers v Adelaide
30 Oct 2026
NEW 101
ADEL108
23 Jan 2026
NEW 110
ADEL112
06 Nov 2025
NEW 79
ADEL83
02 Nov 2024
NEW 109
ADEL82
30 Nov 2023
NEW 96
ADEL83
26 Oct 2023
NEW 85
ADEL97
20 Nov 2022
NEW 89
ADEL83
24 Apr 2022
NEW 60
ADEL93
12 Mar 2022
NEW 84
ADEL75
25 May 2021
NEW 94
ADEL76
26 Apr 2021
NEW 93
ADEL77
31 Jan 2020
NEW 113
ADEL89
15 Dec 2019
NEW 96
ADEL99
07 Feb 2019
NEW 107
ADEL114
28 Oct 2018
NEW 114
ADEL94
15 Dec 2017
NEW 75
ADEL90
02 Nov 2017
NEW 92
ADEL88
08 Jan 2017
NEW 95
ADEL113
29 Oct 2016
NEW 119
ADEL93
08 Jan 2016
NEW 81
ADEL87
05 Nov 2015
NEW 98
ADEL88
26 Feb 2015
NEW 111
ADEL82
12 Feb 2015
NEW 88
ADEL93
17 Oct 2014
NEW 101
ADEL80
15 Nov 2013
NEW 94
ADEL95
31 Oct 2013
NEW 93
ADEL96
28 Feb 2013
NEW 104
ADEL79
12 Oct 2012
NEW 73
ADEL59
13 Jan 2012
NEW 80
ADEL63
03 Nov 2011
NEW 99
ADEL90
30 Mar 2011
NEW 100
ADEL71
20 Jan 2011
NEW 91
ADEL77
21 Jan 2010
NEW 103
ADEL89
29 Oct 2009
NEW 99
ADEL91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

New Zealand Breakers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Adelaide winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

New Zealand BreakersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreakers
Date
Competition
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
98-87
98
87
+11
92avg 76
H30/09
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
84-89
84
89
-5
73avg 76
H05/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
88-97
88
97
-9
82avg 76
A22/10
NBL
Adelaide
#9
L
85-97
85
97
-12
66avg 76
H26/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
L
100-103
100
103
-3
88avg 76
A28/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
91-81
91
81
+10
84avg 76
H03/11
NBL
Sydney
#7
L
85-87
85
87
-2
74avg 76
A05/11
NBL
Perth
#3
L
76-94
76
94
-18
69avg 76
A10/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
97-92
97
92
+5
81avg 76
A16/11
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
65-69
65
69
-4
51avg 76
H19/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-25
24-18
31-18
21-26
22-26
22-22
23-23
17-18
13-23
30-19
20-22
25-33
26-24
22-20
23-26
14-27
21-31
27-29
20-24
32-19
21-23
16-15
30-17
24-26
21-27
23-28
23-17
18-15
17-34
19-18
22-21
18-21
31-30
25-17
23-19
18-26
12-19
23-17
16-17
14-16
176.5Avg total
86.9Scored
89.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)86.989.6176.5-2.730%
Season at home (5)84.684.6169.2+0.040%
Season away (5)89.294.6183.8-5.420%
Last 10 (10)86.989.6176.5-2.730%
Last 5 (5)82.884.6167.4-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)92.594.5187.0-2.050%
vs Similar (17)82.483.1165.5-0.741%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)86.284.2170.4+2.055%
This opponent (Adelaide) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AdelaideAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAdelaide
Date
Competition
Melbourne United
#1
L
74-82
74
82
-8
63avg 78
H01/10
NBL
Perth
#3
L
75-82
75
82
-7
71avg 78
A06/10
NBL
Sydney
#7
L
100-109
100
109
-9
93avg 78
A08/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
W
89-80
89
80
+9
90avg 78
H14/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
L
85-102
85
102
-17
69avg 78
H19/10
NBL
Perth
#3
W
89-78
89
78
+11
88avg 78
H21/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
W
97-85
97
85
+12
102avg 78
A26/10
NBL
Perth
#3
L
88-99
88
99
-11
80avg 78
A04/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
72-82
72
82
-10
60avg 78
H11/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
96-93
96
93
+3
84avg 78
H17/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-25
24-16
14-16
17-25
17-28
14-16
29-20
15-18
22-32
26-25
24-18
28-34
23-25
16-15
15-20
35-20
28-28
14-26
23-23
20-25
23-20
16-20
28-25
22-13
24-26
20-22
26-23
27-14
22-19
22-31
24-23
20-26
15-17
16-22
16-24
25-19
18-35
17-18
31-14
30-26
175.7Avg total
86.5Scored
89.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)85.188.9174.0-3.836%
Season at home (6)84.286.2170.3-2.050%
Season away (5)86.292.2178.4-6.020%
Last 10 (10)86.589.2175.7-2.740%
Last 5 (5)88.487.4175.8+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)87.089.5176.5-2.538%
vs Similar (11)90.094.4184.4-4.436%
vs Weaker (6)96.792.8189.5+3.867%
This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.6-5.6Q1: -4.4-4.4Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: +1.9+1.9
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.6-5.6Q1: -4.4-4.4Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: +1.9+1.9
New Zealand BreakersAdelaide
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
New Zealand BreakersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H30/09
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H05/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A22/10
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H26/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
L
48-60
48
60
-12
A28/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H03/11
NBL
Sydney
#7
L
44-55
44
55
-11
A05/11
NBL
Perth
#3
L
36-52
36
52
-16
A10/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
56-47
56
47
+9
A16/11
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H19/11
NBL
90.2Avg total
43.7Scored
46.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.942.684.5-0.743%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.440.179.5-0.836%-
Last 30 away (16)44.144.888.9-0.650%-
Last 10 (10)43.746.590.2-2.840%-
Last 5 (5)41.645.687.2-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)49.544.594.0+5.0100%-
vs Similar (17)41.741.883.5-0.147%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)40.843.584.4-2.727%-
This opponent (Adelaide) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AdelaideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne United
#1
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H01/10
NBL
Perth
#3
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A06/10
NBL
Sydney
#7
L
48-57
48
57
-9
A08/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H14/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
L
42-54
42
54
-12
H19/10
NBL
Perth
#3
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H21/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A26/10
NBL
Perth
#3
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A04/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H11/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
L
35-53
35
53
-18
H17/11
NBL
86.2Avg total
39.6Scored
46.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.447.590.9-4.127%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.245.688.9-2.438%-
Last 30 away (14)43.549.693.1-6.114%-
Last 10 (10)39.646.686.2-7.010%-
Last 5 (5)38.646.084.6-7.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)41.347.188.4-5.88%-
vs Similar (11)44.647.892.5-3.236%-
vs Weaker (6)45.547.893.3-2.350%-
This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
New Zealand Breakerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

New Zealand Breakers: 85.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.820.9
51.2%
50.9%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.29.7
37.0%
33.9%29.1
🏀 Free throws20.015.0
75.0%
73.8%15.0
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Adelaidetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Adelaide: 86.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.5 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.421.7
52.4%
50.9%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.87.7
31.0%
33.9%23.1
🏀 Free throws24.819.5
78.6%
73.8%19.5
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
New Zealand Breakers
LWLLWLLLLW
Adelaide
WLLWWLWLLL
#5
League position
#9
-3.7
Net rating
-3.0
108.7
Offensive rating
107.1
112.4
Defensive rating
110.1
52.9%
Effective FG%
50.2%
55.1%
Opp. effective FG%
49.0%
15.9%
Turnover %
18.2%
25.3%
Off. rebound %
30.5%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.37
37.0%
3-point %
31.0%
51.3%
Assist %
54.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence108.7 · 107.1Defence112.4 · 110.1Shooting52.9% · 50.2%3-point %37.0% · 31.0%Ball care15.9% · 18.2%Off. rebounds25.3% · 30.5%Free throws0.30 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ New Zealand Breakers   ■ Adelaide
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/23HIllawarra Hawks65-69
16/11/23ATasmania JackJumpers97-92
10/11/23APerth76-94
05/11/23ASydney85-87
03/11/23HCairns Taipans91-81
28/10/23ASouth East Melbourne100-103
26/10/23HAdelaide85-97
22/10/23AMelbourne United88-97
05/10/23HBrisbane Bullets84-89
30/09/23HCairns Taipans98-87
Adelaidelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/23HSouth East Melbourne96-93
11/11/23HTasmania JackJumpers72-82
04/11/23APerth88-99
26/10/23ANew Zealand Breakers97-85
21/10/23HPerth89-78
19/10/23HSouth East Melbourne85-102
14/10/23HIllawarra Hawks89-80
08/10/23ASydney100-109
06/10/23APerth75-82
01/10/23HMelbourne United74-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

New Zealand Breakers
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL30%
HomeWLLWL40%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %30%40%20%
Points / game86.984.689.2
Allowed / game89.684.694.6
Point differential-2.7+0.0-5.4
Avg total176.5169.2183.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Adelaide
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW36%
HomeWLWLW50%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %36%50%20%
Points / game85.184.286.2
Allowed / game88.986.292.2
Point differential-3.8-2.0-6.0
Avg total174.0170.3178.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%17%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Melbourne United1210283%91.083.6+7.4
2 Sydney117464%95.591.7+3.8
3 Tasmania JackJumpers127558%89.085.2+3.8
4 Perth127558%89.087.9+1.1
5 South East Melbourne126650%92.491.5+0.9
6 Brisbane Bullets125742%87.789.2-1.5
7 Cairns Taipans104640%84.085.9-1.9
8 Adelaide114736%85.188.9-3.8
9 New Zealand Breakers103730%86.989.6-2.7
10 Illawarra Hawks103730%82.992.3-9.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
New Zealand Breakers3716241996
Adelaide1724192383
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