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New Zealand Breakers vs Adelaide Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 06:30
Final 109-82
33-19 19-20 34-19 23-24
Position#9
Record4-2
FormWLWLW
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game85.3
vs
Position#6
Record5-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game91.2
Allowed / game92.1
AustraliaNBLRound 7· Spark Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · New Zealand Breakers v Adelaide
30 Oct 2026
NEW 101
ADEL108
23 Jan 2026
NEW 110
ADEL112
06 Nov 2025
NEW 79
ADEL83
02 Nov 2024
NEW 109
ADEL82
30 Nov 2023
NEW 96
ADEL83
26 Oct 2023
NEW 85
ADEL97
20 Nov 2022
NEW 89
ADEL83
24 Apr 2022
NEW 60
ADEL93
12 Mar 2022
NEW 84
ADEL75
25 May 2021
NEW 94
ADEL76
26 Apr 2021
NEW 93
ADEL77
31 Jan 2020
NEW 113
ADEL89
15 Dec 2019
NEW 96
ADEL99
07 Feb 2019
NEW 107
ADEL114
28 Oct 2018
NEW 114
ADEL94
15 Dec 2017
NEW 75
ADEL90
02 Nov 2017
NEW 92
ADEL88
08 Jan 2017
NEW 95
ADEL113
29 Oct 2016
NEW 119
ADEL93
08 Jan 2016
NEW 81
ADEL87
05 Nov 2015
NEW 98
ADEL88
26 Feb 2015
NEW 111
ADEL82
12 Feb 2015
NEW 88
ADEL93
17 Oct 2014
NEW 101
ADEL80
15 Nov 2013
NEW 94
ADEL95
31 Oct 2013
NEW 93
ADEL96
28 Feb 2013
NEW 104
ADEL79
12 Oct 2012
NEW 73
ADEL59
13 Jan 2012
NEW 80
ADEL63
03 Nov 2011
NEW 99
ADEL90
30 Mar 2011
NEW 100
ADEL71
20 Jan 2011
NEW 91
ADEL77
21 Jan 2010
NEW 103
ADEL89
29 Oct 2009
NEW 99
ADEL91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

New Zealand Breakers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Adelaide winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

New Zealand BreakersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreakers
Date
Competition
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
103-87
103
87
+16
96avg 78
H16/02
NBL
Adelaide
#9
L
70-76
70
76
-6
56avg 78
A18/02
NBL
Sydney
#7
W
83-76
83
76
+7
74avg 78
A28/02
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
85-88
85
88
-3
78avg 78
A04/03
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
91-87
91
87
+4
88avg 78
H21/09
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
W
81-79
81
79
+2
69avg 78
H29/09
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
L
73-84
73
84
-11
61avg 78
A17/10
NBL
Perth
#3
W
89-85
89
85
+4
83avg 78
H19/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
62-88
62
88
-26
48avg 78
H24/10
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
93-89
93
89
+4
91avg 78
A27/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-21
29-19
20-23
28-24
14-17
21-20
12-21
23-18
15-22
23-25
22-13
23-16
17-31
25-11
21-24
22-22
24-19
27-15
21-18
19-35
11-21
22-15
27-23
21-20
13-17
20-22
17-19
23-26
24-18
17-21
27-19
21-27
17-27
18-20
16-18
11-23
18-25
31-20
23-24
21-20
166.9Avg total
83.0Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)81.585.3166.8-3.867%
Season at home (4)80.884.8165.5-4.075%
Season away (2)83.086.5169.5-3.550%
Last 10 (10)83.083.9166.9-0.960%
Last 5 (5)79.685.0164.6-5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)85.688.7174.3-3.160%
vs Similar ◀ (16)87.686.9174.6+0.750%
vs Weaker (4)87.881.0168.8+6.850%
This opponent (Adelaide) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AdelaideAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAdelaide
Date
Competition
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
84-102
84
102
-18
76avg 80
A09/02
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
W
76-70
76
70
+6
71avg 80
H18/02
NBL
Sydney
#4
L
94-102
94
102
-8
93avg 80
H22/09
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
L
97-101
97
101
-4
86avg 80
A28/09
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
W
93-83
93
83
+10
92avg 80
H03/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
W
102-100
102
100
+2
94avg 80
A05/10
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
89-79
89
79
+10
82avg 80
H11/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
79-106
79
106
-27
61avg 80
A13/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
W
77-73
77
73
+4
67avg 80
H20/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
99-93 OT
99
93
+6
78avg 80
H25/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-22
24-30
23-24
17-26
17-14
20-21
21-12
18-23
28-27
20-24
27-19
19-32
32-28
22-30
23-19
20-24
25-16
27-19
19-23
22-25
27-32
25-22
29-27
21-19
26-22
23-15
19-25
21-17
29-24
23-34
8-21
19-27
13-22
18-17
23-11
23-23
21-27
22-32
22-14
23-15
179.9Avg total
89.0Scored
90.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)91.292.1183.4-0.962%
Season at home (5)90.486.0176.4+4.480%
Season away (3)92.7102.3195.0-9.733%
Last 10 (10)89.090.9179.9-1.960%
Last 5 (5)89.290.2179.4-1.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)86.991.4178.4-4.550%
vs Similar ◀ (8)90.892.6183.4-1.950%
vs Weaker (4)100.593.0193.5+7.575%
This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +4.5+4.5Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -2.8-2.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +4.5+4.5Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -2.8-2.8
New Zealand BreakersAdelaide
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
New Zealand BreakersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
55-40
55
40
+15
H16/02
NBL
Adelaide
#9
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A18/02
NBL
Sydney
#7
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A28/02
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A04/03
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H21/09
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H29/09
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A17/10
NBL
Perth
#3
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H19/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H24/10
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A27/10
NBL
81.8Avg total
41.2Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.243.387.5+0.950%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.741.887.5+3.957%-
Last 30 away (16)42.944.787.6-1.844%-
Last 10 (10)41.240.681.8+0.640%-
Last 5 (5)38.241.279.4-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)42.643.686.2-1.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)44.744.288.9+0.444%-
vs Weaker (4)46.239.085.2+7.275%-
This opponent (Adelaide) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AdelaideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A09/02
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H18/02
NBL
Sydney
#4
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H22/09
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
L
54-58
54
58
-4
A28/09
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
W
52-35
52
35
+17
H03/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
52-54
52
54
-2
A05/10
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H11/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
52-58
52
58
-6
A13/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H20/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
L
43-59
43
59
-16
H25/10
NBL
94.0Avg total
46.2Scored
47.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.946.591.4-1.637%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.843.387.1+0.444%-
Last 30 away (14)46.350.196.4-3.929%-
Last 10 (10)46.247.894.0-1.630%-
Last 5 (5)45.449.494.8-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)42.945.688.5-2.728%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)47.045.592.5+1.562%-
vs Weaker (4)50.052.5102.5-2.525%-
This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
New Zealand Breakerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

New Zealand Breakers: 82.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.320.6
52.4%
52.3%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.29.3
33.0%
35.1%27.9
🏀 Free throws18.013.1
72.8%
74.7%13.1
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Adelaidetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Adelaide: 88.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.022.4
47.7%
52.3%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.98.4
35.1%
35.1%25.2
🏀 Free throws24.418.2
74.6%
74.7%18.2
They take 70.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
New Zealand Breakers
WLWLWWLWLW
Adelaide
WWLWWWLLWL
#9
League position
#6
-0.9
Net rating
-2.1
108.1
Offensive rating
110.0
109.0
Defensive rating
112.1
51.2%
Effective FG%
49.4%
49.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
15.3%
Turnover %
15.4%
29.1%
Off. rebound %
32.4%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.34
33.0%
3-point %
35.1%
57.5%
Assist %
53.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence108.1 · 110.0Defence109.0 · 112.1Shooting51.2% · 49.4%3-point %33.0% · 35.1%Ball care15.3% · 15.4%Off. rebounds29.1% · 32.4%Free throws0.27 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ New Zealand Breakers   ■ Adelaide
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/24ASydney93-89
24/10/24HSouth East Melbourne62-88
19/10/24HPerth89-85
17/10/24ABrisbane Bullets73-84
29/09/24HSouth East Melbourne81-79
21/09/24HBrisbane Bullets91-87
04/03/24AIllawarra Hawks85-88
28/02/24ASydney83-76
18/02/24AAdelaide70-76
16/02/24HBrisbane Bullets103-87
Adelaidelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/24HCairns Taipans99-93 OT
20/10/24HTasmania JackJumpers77-73
13/10/24AMelbourne United79-106
11/10/24HSydney89-79
05/10/24AIllawarra Hawks102-100
03/10/24HSouth East Melbourne93-83
28/09/24ACairns Taipans97-101
22/09/24HSydney94-102
18/02/24HNew Zealand Breakers76-70
09/02/24ABrisbane Bullets84-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

New Zealand Breakers
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW67%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %67%75%50%
Points / game81.580.883.0
Allowed / game85.384.886.5
Point differential-3.8-4.0-3.5
Avg total166.8165.5169.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Adelaide
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW62%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %62%80%33%
Points / game91.290.492.7
Allowed / game92.186.0102.3
Point differential-0.9+4.4-9.7
Avg total183.4176.4195.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %12%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Melbourne United107370%91.681.8+9.8
2 Illawarra Hawks96367%98.689.4+9.1
3 New Zealand Breakers64267%81.585.3-3.8
4 Adelaide85362%91.292.1-0.9
5 Sydney105550%88.485.9+2.5
6 Perth84450%89.491.5-2.1
7 South East Melbourne93633%85.786.0-0.3
8 Brisbane Bullets62433%86.790.0-3.3
9 Tasmania JackJumpers93633%78.483.7-5.2
10 Cairns Taipans93633%84.294.0-9.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
New Zealand Breakers33193423109
Adelaide1920192482
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