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Niigata vs Aomori Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 27 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 10:10
Final 84-93
22-18 23-32 22-20 17-23
Position#14
Record6-36
FormLLWLL
Points / game72.4
Allowed / game85.7
vs
Aomori 🏆
Japan
Position#8
Record22-20
FormWWLLW
Points / game85.1
Allowed / game87.0
JapanB2.League· City Hall Plaza Aore Nagaoka
Other2023-24
Meetings · Niigata v Aomori
27 Feb 2024
NIIG84
AOMO93
26 Feb 2024
NIIG68
AOMO85
31 Dec 2023
NIIG80
AOMO85
30 Dec 2023
NIIG75
AOMO73
19 Apr 2015
NIIG86
AOMO49
18 Apr 2015
NIIG78
AOMO72
13 Apr 2014
NIIG94
AOMO76
12 Apr 2014
NIIG72
AOMO85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Niigata winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aomori winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NiigataJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNiigata
Date
Competition
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
72-84
72
84
-12
61avg 61
H27/01
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
92-104 OT
92
104
-12
no box
H28/01
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
83-88
83
88
-5
69avg 61
A31/01
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
55-95
55
95
-40
36avg 61
H03/02
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
68-81
68
81
-13
56avg 61
H04/02
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
70-116
70
116
-46
45avg 61
A10/02
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
71-122
71
122
-51
40avg 61
A11/02
B2.League
Nara
#11
W
97-94
97
94
+3
88avg 61
A17/02
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
75-95
75
95
-20
58avg 61
A18/02
B2.League
Aomori
#8
L
68-85
68
85
-17
59avg 61
H26/02
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-23
16-16
16-18
20-27
20-22
25-16
24-20
18-29
21-22
18-22
19-26
25-18
12-26
16-20
13-28
14-21
16-20
21-25
14-15
17-21
16-28
17-32
17-32
20-24
21-41
25-27
13-28
12-26
30-26
19-25
24-21
24-22
20-28
25-15
18-27
12-25
21-27
12-21
20-17
15-20
171.5Avg total
75.1Scored
96.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (42)72.485.7158.1-13.314%
Season at home (20)72.583.6156.1-11.015%
Season away (22)72.287.6159.8-15.414%
Last 10 (10)75.196.4171.5-21.310%
Last 5 (5)76.2102.4178.6-26.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)73.785.8159.5-12.117%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Aomori) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AomoriJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAomori
Date
Competition
Shizuoka
#9
L
82-86
82
86
-4
75avg 73
H27/01
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
93-81
93
81
+12
87avg 73
H28/01
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
W
102-98
102
98
+4
100avg 73
H31/01
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
80-88
80
88
-8
58avg 73
H03/02
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
74-84 OT
74
84
-10
no box
H04/02
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
84-74
84
74
+10
81avg 73
A10/02
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
86-81
86
81
+5
79avg 73
A11/02
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
96-105
96
105
-9
96avg 73
H17/02
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
78-102
78
102
-24
64avg 73
H18/02
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
85-68
85
68
+17
88avg 73
A26/02
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-25
19-21
21-24
19-16
21-14
23-18
23-27
26-22
24-25
25-25
26-24
27-24
17-27
23-18
21-19
19-24
17-12
19-24
16-16
15-15
16-22
19-21
24-18
25-13
22-16
28-15
16-31
20-19
28-29
27-25
19-27
22-24
23-18
19-24
22-34
14-26
27-21
21-12
17-20
20-15
172.7Avg total
86.0Scored
86.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (42)85.187.0172.1-1.852%
Season at home (22)82.087.6169.6-5.545%
Season away (20)88.586.3174.8+2.260%
Last 10 (10)86.086.7172.7-0.750%
Last 5 (5)85.886.0171.8-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)83.196.1179.3-13.029%
vs Similar (18)85.686.1171.7-0.450%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)86.079.6165.6+6.480%
This opponent (Niigata) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.6-6.6Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -5.4-5.4Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: -5.6-5.6Q4: +0.9+0.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.6-6.6Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -5.4-5.4Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: -5.6-5.6Q4: +0.9+0.9
NiigataAomori
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NiigataLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H27/01
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H28/01
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A31/01
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
28-46
28
46
-18
H03/02
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H04/02
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
33-60
33
60
-27
A10/02
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
46-68
46
68
-22
A11/02
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
49-51
49
51
-2
A17/02
B2.League
Nara
#11
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A18/02
B2.League
Aomori
#8
L
33-48
33
48
-15
H26/02
B2.League
87.3Avg total
39.1Scored
48.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.343.981.2-6.523%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.243.380.5-6.119%-
Last 30 away (14)37.544.582.0-7.029%-
Last 10 (10)39.148.287.3-9.120%-
Last 5 (5)41.254.095.2-12.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)37.343.981.2-6.523%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Aomori) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AomoriLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shizuoka
#9
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H27/01
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H28/01
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H31/01
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H03/02
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H04/02
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A10/02
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
50-31
50
31
+19
A11/02
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
W
55-54
55
54
+1
H17/02
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H18/02
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
48-33
48
33
+15
A26/02
B2.League
85.3Avg total
44.1Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.342.785.0-0.347%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.845.288.0-2.438%-
Last 30 away (14)41.839.881.6+2.057%-
Last 10 (10)44.141.285.3+2.940%-
Last 5 (5)46.040.686.6+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)43.347.791.0-4.429%-
vs Similar (18)41.241.282.4+0.044%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)45.040.885.8+4.280%-
This opponent (Niigata) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Niigatatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Niigata: 74.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.118.7
49.1%
52.4%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.18.1
31.0%
33.6%24.3
🏀 Free throws17.212.9
75.0%
71.0%12.9
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Aomoritheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aomori: 86.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.224.9
59.0%
52.4%49.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.27.9
35.6%
33.6%23.7
🏀 Free throws19.013.4
70.5%
71.0%13.4
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Niigata
LLWLLLLLLL
Aomori
WLLWWLLWWL
#14
League position
#8
-24.9
Net rating
+1.7
100.2
Offensive rating
111.7
125.1
Defensive rating
110.0
48.1%
Effective FG%
57.1%
61.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
15.7%
Turnover %
17.0%
21.6%
Off. rebound %
24.0%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.30
31.0%
3-point %
35.6%
51.1%
Assist %
64.6%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence100.2 · 111.7Defence125.1 · 110.0Shooting48.1% · 57.1%3-point %31.0% · 35.6%Ball care15.7% · 17.0%Off. rebounds21.6% · 24.0%Free throws0.27 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)10% · 50%
■ Niigata   ■ Aomori
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Niigata wins
5
Aomori wins
DateGameScore
26/02/24Niigata v Aomori68-85
31/12/23Niigata v Aomori80-85
30/12/23Niigata v Aomori75-73
17/12/23Aomori v Niigata92-85
16/12/23Aomori v Niigata95-90
19/04/15Niigata v Aomori86-49
18/04/15Niigata v Aomori78-72
08/02/15Aomori v Niigata69-73
07/02/15Aomori v Niigata80-70
13/04/14Niigata v Aomori94-76
Niigatalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/24HAomori68-85
18/02/24ANara75-95
17/02/24ANara97-94
11/02/24AKoshigaya Alphas71-122
10/02/24AKoshigaya Alphas70-116
04/02/24HKobe68-81
03/02/24HKobe55-95
31/01/24AFukushima83-88
28/01/24HEhime Orange Vikings92-104 OT
27/01/24HEhime Orange Vikings72-84
Aomorilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/24ANiigata85-68
18/02/24HAltiri Chiba78-102
17/02/24HAltiri Chiba96-105
11/02/24AKobe86-81
10/02/24AKobe84-74
04/02/24HFukuoka74-84 OT
03/02/24HFukuoka80-88
31/01/24HKoshigaya Alphas102-98
28/01/24HShizuoka93-81
27/01/24HShizuoka82-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Niigata
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL14%
HomeLLLLL15%
AwayLLLWL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422022
Win %14%15%14%
Points / game72.472.572.2
Allowed / game85.783.687.6
Point differential-13.3-11.1-15.4
Avg total158.1156.2159.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%10%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)33% (3)20% (5)
Overtime %5%10%0%
Aomori
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW52%
HomeWLLLL45%
AwayLWWWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422220
Win %52%45%60%
Points / game85.182.088.5
Allowed / game87.087.686.3
Point differential-1.8-5.5+2.2
Avg total172.1169.6174.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%9%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won65% (17)80% (5)58% (12)
Overtime %10%9%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba4340393%90.975.8+15.2
2 Shiga43311272%88.381.4+6.8
3 Fukuoka43291467%77.974.3+3.6
4 Kumamoto43281565%85.082.7+2.3
5 Koshigaya Alphas43251858%83.774.6+9.1
6 Aomori42222052%85.187.0-1.8
7 Yamagata Wyverns43202347%81.986.3-4.4
8 Kobe43192444%78.978.1+0.7
9 Shizuoka43192444%80.481.4-1.0
10 Fukushima43182542%81.384.5-3.3
11 Nara43162737%73.777.7-4.0
12 Ehime Orange Vikings43142933%78.785.1-6.3
13 Iwate43133030%70.574.3-3.9
14 Niigata4263614%72.485.7-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Niigata2223221784
Aomori1832202393
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