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North Carolina vs Duke Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 93-84
45-35 48-49
Position#19
Record17-4
FormWWWWL
Points / game82.6
Allowed / game69.2
vs
Position#32
Record16-4
FormWLWWW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game67.2
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · North Carolina v Duke
07 Feb 2026
NORT71
DUKE68
08 Mar 2025
NORT69
DUKE82
03 Feb 2024
NORT93
DUKE84
04 Mar 2023
NORT57
DUKE62
05 Feb 2022
NORT67
DUKE87
06 Mar 2021
NORT91
DUKE73
08 Feb 2020
NORT96
DUKE98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

North Carolina winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Duke winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

North CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charleston Southern
#319
W
105-60
105
60
+45
H30/12
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
W
70-57
70
57
+13
A03/01
NCAA
Clemson
#74
W
65-55
65
55
+10
A06/01
NCAA
NC State
#94
W
67-54
67
54
+13
A11/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#110
W
103-67
103
67
+36
H13/01
NCAA
Louisville
#348
W
86-70
86
70
+16
H18/01
NCAA
Boston College
#169
W
76-66
76
66
+10
A20/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#119
W
85-64
85
64
+21
H23/01
NCAA
Florida State
#196
W
75-68
75
68
+7
A27/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
L
73-74
73
74
-1
A31/01
NCAA
1H
2H
51-28
54-32
31-28
39-29
34-34
31-21
30-28
37-26
52-30
51-37
46-29
40-41
34-31
42-35
33-34
52-30
36-41
39-27
37-37
36-37
144.0Avg total
80.5Scored
63.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)82.669.2151.9+13.481%
Season at home (12)89.169.8158.8+19.392%
Season away (9)74.068.6142.6+5.467%
Last 10 (10)80.563.5144.0+17.090%
Last 5 (5)79.068.4147.4+10.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)76.087.0163.0-11.00%
vs Similar ◀ (10)75.772.1147.8+3.650%
vs Weaker (19)81.465.9147.3+15.489%
This opponent (Duke) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DukeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baylor
#58
W
78-70
78
70
+8
H21/12
NCAA
Queens Royals
#269
W
106-69
106
69
+37
H30/12
NCAA
Syracuse
#110
W
86-66
86
66
+20
H03/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#291
W
67-59
67
59
+8
A06/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
W
75-53
75
53
+22
A10/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
W
84-79
84
79
+5
H13/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
L
76-80
76
80
-4
H21/01
NCAA
Louisville
#348
W
83-69
83
69
+14
A24/01
NCAA
Clemson
#74
W
72-71
72
71
+1
H27/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
W
77-67
77
67
+10
A30/01
NCAA
1H
2H
34-32
44-38
46-33
60-36
35-33
51-33
29-27
38-32
48-23
27-30
39-39
45-40
34-38
42-42
45-34
38-35
32-26
40-45
35-29
42-38
148.7Avg total
80.4Scored
68.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)81.067.2148.2+13.880%
Season at home (13)84.767.6152.3+17.185%
Season away (7)74.166.4140.6+7.771%
Last 10 (10)80.468.3148.7+12.190%
Last 5 (5)78.473.2151.6+5.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)63.058.0121.0+5.050%
vs Similar ◀ (7)74.365.0139.3+9.386%
vs Weaker (21)81.466.2147.7+15.286%
This opponent (North Carolina) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-13-7+0+7+131st half1st half: +6.4+6.41st half: +6.3+6.32nd half2nd half: +10.6+10.62nd half: +5.8+5.8
-13-7+0+7+131st half1st half: +6.4+6.41st half: +6.3+6.32nd half2nd half: +10.6+10.62nd half: +5.8+5.8
North CarolinaDuke
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
North CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charleston Southern
#319
W
51-28
51
28
+23
H30/12
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A03/01
NCAA
Clemson
#74
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A06/01
NCAA
NC State
#94
W
30-28
30
28
+2
A11/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#110
W
52-30
52
30
+22
H13/01
NCAA
Louisville
#348
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H18/01
NCAA
Boston College
#169
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A20/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#119
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H23/01
NCAA
Florida State
#196
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A27/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A31/01
NCAA
70.4Avg total
38.4Scored
32.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.532.870.3+4.853%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.833.173.9+7.765%-
Last 30 away (13)33.232.365.5+0.938%-
Last 10 (10)38.432.070.4+6.460%-
Last 5 (5)37.234.471.6+2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)39.044.083.0-5.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)36.732.569.2+4.240%-
vs Weaker (19)37.932.370.2+5.663%-
This opponent (Duke) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DukeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baylor
#58
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H21/12
NCAA
Queens Royals
#269
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H30/12
NCAA
Syracuse
#110
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H03/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#291
W
29-27
29
27
+2
A06/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
W
48-23
48
23
+25
A10/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H13/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H21/01
NCAA
Louisville
#348
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A24/01
NCAA
Clemson
#74
W
32-26
32
26
+6
H27/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A30/01
NCAA
69.1Avg total
37.7Scored
31.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.130.367.5+6.877%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.131.770.8+7.478%-
Last 30 away (12)34.228.262.4+5.975%-
Last 10 (10)37.731.469.1+6.380%-
Last 5 (5)37.033.270.2+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)30.525.055.5+5.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)35.430.666.0+4.986%-
vs Weaker (21)38.330.869.1+7.676%-
This opponent (North Carolina) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
North Carolina wins
5
Duke wins
DateGameScore
04/03/23North Carolina v Duke57-62
04/02/23Duke v North Carolina63-57
03/04/22Duke v North Carolina77-81
05/03/22Duke v North Carolina81-94
05/02/22North Carolina v Duke67-87
06/03/21North Carolina v Duke91-73
06/02/21Duke v North Carolina87-91
07/03/20Duke v North Carolina89-76
08/02/20North Carolina v Duke96-98 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/24AGeorgia Tech73-74
27/01/24AFlorida State75-68
23/01/24HWake Forest85-64
20/01/24ABoston College76-66
18/01/24HLouisville86-70
13/01/24HSyracuse103-67
11/01/24ANC State67-54
06/01/24AClemson65-55
03/01/24APittsburgh70-57
30/12/23HCharleston Southern105-60
Dukelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/24AVirginia Tech77-67
27/01/24HClemson72-71
24/01/24ALouisville83-69
21/01/24HPittsburgh76-80
13/01/24HGeorgia Tech84-79
10/01/24APittsburgh75-53
06/01/24ANotre Dame67-59
03/01/24HSyracuse86-66
30/12/23HQueens Royals106-69
21/12/23HBaylor78-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

North Carolina
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL81%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayWWWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21129
Win %81%92%67%
Points / game82.689.174.0
Allowed / game69.269.868.6
Point differential+13.4+19.3+5.4
Avg total151.9158.8142.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%75%56%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %5%8%0%
Duke
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW80%
HomeWWWLW85%
AwayLWWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20137
Win %80%85%71%
Points / game81.084.774.1
Allowed / game67.267.666.4
Point differential+13.8+17.1+7.7
Avg total148.2152.3140.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%62%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)50% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 North Carolina2117481%82.669.2+13.4
2 Duke2016480%81.067.2+13.8
3 Virginia2217577%65.457.8+7.6
4 NC State2215768%75.770.2+5.5
5 SMU Mustangs2114767%75.864.0+11.8
6 Clemson2114767%79.072.2+6.8
7 Syracuse2114767%75.472.4+3.0
8 Miami (FL)2315865%80.172.2+7.9
9 Wake Forest2013765%79.871.0+8.8
10 Pittsburgh2214864%75.666.8+8.8
11 Boston College2113862%76.472.5+3.9
12 Florida State2012860%76.573.3+3.2
13 Virginia Tech2213959%74.369.2+5.1
14 Stanford2011955%78.575.5+2.9
15 Georgia Tech22101245%73.076.0-3.0
16 California2291341%75.376.5-1.2
17 Notre Dame2271532%61.965.5-3.6
18 Louisville2161529%71.577.3-5.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
North Carolina454893
Duke354984
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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