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North Carolina vs NC State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 20 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 97-73
54-26 43-47
Position#111
Record15-11
FormLLWLW
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game76.8
North Carolina 🏆
USA
vs
NC State
USA
Position#293
Record10-15
FormLLLLW
Points / game69.4
Allowed / game68.6
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · North Carolina v NC State
09 Jan 2027
NORT v NC S
upcoming
19 Feb 2025
NORT97
NC S73
16 Mar 2024
NORT76
NC S84
02 Mar 2024
NORT79
NC S70
21 Jan 2023
NORT80
NC S69
29 Jan 2022
NORT100
NC S80
23 Jan 2021
NORT86
NC S76
25 Feb 2020
NORT85
NC S79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

North Carolina winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
NC State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

North CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC State
#293
W
63-61
63
61
+2
A11/01
NCAA
California
#268
W
79-53
79
53
+26
H16/01
NCAA
Stanford
#127
L
71-72
71
72
-1
H18/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
L
66-67
66
67
-1
A22/01
NCAA
Boston College
#298
W
102-96 OT
102
96
+6
H25/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
L
65-73
65
73
-8
A29/01
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
70-87
70
87
-17
A01/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
W
67-66
67
66
+1
H08/02
NCAA
Clemson
#22
L
65-85
65
85
-20
A11/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
W
88-82
88
82
+6
A15/02
NCAA
1H
2H
26-20
37-41
39-29
40-24
36-35
35-37
31-29
35-38
46-45
43-44
44-42
21-31
25-47
45-40
35-32
32-34
33-49
32-36
42-34
46-48
147.8Avg total
73.6Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)80.376.8157.1+3.558%
Season at home (14)85.075.8160.8+9.271%
Season away (12)74.878.0152.8-3.242%
Last 10 (10)73.674.2147.8-0.650%
Last 5 (5)71.078.6149.6-7.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)76.488.2164.6-11.80%
vs Similar (13)79.378.8158.1+0.546%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)84.369.7154.0+14.792%
This opponent (NC State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NC StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Carolina
#111
L
61-63
61
63
-2
H11/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
L
76-79
76
79
-3
A16/01
NCAA
California
#268
L
62-65
62
65
-3
H18/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
L
57-63
57
63
-6
H25/01
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
64-74
64
74
-10
A28/01
NCAA
Clemson
#22
L
58-68
58
68
-10
H01/02
NCAA
California
#268
L
62-74
62
74
-12
A06/02
NCAA
Stanford
#127
L
73-74
73
74
-1
A09/02
NCAA
Louisville
#26
L
66-91
66
91
-25
H13/02
NCAA
Boston College
#298
W
70-62
70
62
+8
H15/02
NCAA
1H
2H
20-26
41-37
45-34
31-45
29-31
33-34
26-34
31-29
37-33
27-41
31-34
27-34
30-34
32-40
33-29
40-45
27-41
39-50
44-29
26-33
136.2Avg total
64.9Scored
71.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)69.468.6137.9+0.840%
Season at home (17)71.365.8137.1+5.559%
Season away (8)65.274.4139.6-9.10%
Last 10 (10)64.971.3136.2-6.410%
Last 5 (5)65.873.8139.6-8.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)63.269.0132.2-5.823%
vs Similar (13)72.568.8141.4+3.754%
vs Weaker (4)80.561.8142.2+18.8100%
This opponent (North Carolina) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -0.5-0.51st half: -0.3-0.32nd half2nd half: -0.7-0.72nd half: -6.1-6.1
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -0.5-0.51st half: -0.3-0.32nd half2nd half: -0.7-0.72nd half: -6.1-6.1
North CarolinaNC State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
North CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC State
#293
W
26-20
26
20
+6
A11/01
NCAA
California
#268
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H16/01
NCAA
Stanford
#127
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H18/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A22/01
NCAA
Boston College
#298
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H25/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A29/01
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
25-47
25
47
-22
A01/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H08/02
NCAA
Clemson
#22
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A11/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A15/02
NCAA
71.9Avg total
35.7Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.536.974.4+0.667%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.435.775.1+3.778%-
Last 30 away (12)34.738.673.2-3.950%-
Last 10 (10)35.736.271.9-0.580%-
Last 5 (5)35.840.876.6-5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)31.645.076.6-13.40%-
vs Similar (13)38.338.576.8-0.262%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)39.131.870.8+7.3100%-
This opponent (NC State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NC StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Carolina
#111
L
20-26
20
26
-6
H11/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A16/01
NCAA
California
#268
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H18/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
L
26-34
26
34
-8
H25/01
NCAA
Duke
#7
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A28/01
NCAA
Clemson
#22
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H01/02
NCAA
California
#268
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A06/02
NCAA
Stanford
#127
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A09/02
NCAA
Louisville
#26
L
27-41
27
41
-14
H13/02
NCAA
Boston College
#298
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H15/02
NCAA
64.7Avg total
32.2Scored
32.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.131.565.6+2.653%-
Last 30 at home (18)34.830.765.4+4.156%-
Last 30 away (12)33.132.765.8+0.450%-
Last 10 (10)32.232.564.7-0.340%-
Last 5 (5)33.033.466.4-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)29.732.862.5-3.223%-
vs Similar (13)35.130.966.0+4.269%-
vs Weaker (4)45.228.874.0+16.5100%-
This opponent (North Carolina) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
North Carolina wins
3
NC State wins
DateGameScore
11/01/25NC State v North Carolina61-63
17/03/24North Carolina v NC State76-84
02/03/24North Carolina v NC State79-70
11/01/24NC State v North Carolina54-67
19/02/23NC State v North Carolina77-69
21/01/23North Carolina v NC State80-69
26/02/22NC State v North Carolina74-84
29/01/22North Carolina v NC State100-80
23/01/21North Carolina v NC State86-76
23/12/20NC State v North Carolina79-76
North Carolinalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/25ASyracuse88-82
11/02/25AClemson65-85
08/02/25HPittsburgh67-66
01/02/25ADuke70-87
29/01/25APittsburgh65-73
25/01/25HBoston College102-96 OT
22/01/25AWake Forest66-67
18/01/25HStanford71-72
16/01/25HCalifornia79-53
11/01/25ANC State63-61
NC Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/25HBoston College70-62
13/02/25HLouisville66-91
09/02/25AStanford73-74
06/02/25ACalifornia62-74
01/02/25HClemson58-68
28/01/25ADuke64-74
25/01/25HSMU Mustangs57-63
18/01/25HCalifornia62-65
16/01/25AVirginia Tech76-79
11/01/25HNorth Carolina61-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

North Carolina
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW58%
HomeWWLWW71%
AwayLLLLW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261412
Win %58%71%42%
Points / game80.385.074.8
Allowed / game76.875.878.0
Point differential+3.5+9.2-3.2
Avg total157.1160.8152.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%43%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)60% (5)60% (5)
Overtime %8%14%0%
NC State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW40%
HomeLLLLW59%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games25178
Win %40%59%0%
Points / game69.471.365.2
Allowed / game68.665.874.4
Point differential+0.8+5.5-9.1
Avg total137.9137.1139.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%41%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won14% (7)25% (4)0% (3)
Overtime %4%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke2623388%81.060.8+20.2
2 Clemson2621581%77.466.4+11.0
3 Louisville2620677%79.569.0+10.5
4 SMU Mustangs2519676%82.171.4+10.8
5 Wake Forest2619773%70.666.7+3.9
6 Pittsburgh26161062%77.371.0+6.3
7 Stanford26161062%74.671.8+2.7
8 Florida State25151060%75.370.9+4.4
9 North Carolina26151158%80.376.8+3.5
10 Georgia Tech26131350%74.673.5+1.1
11 Virginia26131350%64.565.5-1.0
12 California26121446%74.775.7-1.0
13 Notre Dame25111444%73.270.9+2.3
14 Virginia Tech26111542%68.771.9-3.2
15 Boston College26111542%71.075.5-4.5
16 Syracuse27111641%74.778.6-3.9
17 NC State25101540%69.468.6+0.8
18 Miami (FL)2561924%75.279.9-4.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
North Carolina544397
NC State264773
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