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North Carolina vs Notre Dame Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 31 Jan 2021
Tip-off: 01:00
Postponed
Position#105
Record11-5
FormWLWWW
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game69.9
vs
Position#236
Record5-9
FormLLWWL
Points / game69.9
Allowed / game72.6
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Meetings · North Carolina v Notre Dame
21 Jan 2026
NORT91
NOTR69
12 Mar 2025
NORT76
NOTR56
05 Mar 2024
NORT84
NOTR51
07 Jan 2023
NORT81
NOTR64
10 Mar 2021
NORT101
NOTR59
30 Jan 2021
NORT v NOTR
upcoming
02 Jan 2021
NORT66
NOTR65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

North Carolina win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Notre Dame win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

North CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kentucky
#273
W
75-63
75
63
+12
A19/12
NCAA
NC State
#137
L
76-79
76
79
-3
A23/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#84
L
67-72
67
72
-5
A31/12
NCAA
Notre Dame
#236
W
66-65
66
65
+1
H02/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#268
W
67-65
67
65
+2
A06/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#96
W
81-75
81
75
+6
H13/01
NCAA
Florida State
#42
L
75-82
75
82
-7
A16/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#312
W
80-73
80
73
+7
H21/01
NCAA
NC State
#137
W
86-76
86
76
+10
H23/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#215
W
75-65
75
65
+10
A27/01
NCAA
1H
2H
34-38
41-25
42-49
34-30
35-29
32-43
29-30
37-35
32-30
35-35
40-40
41-35
37-41
38-41
31-33
49-40
43-33
43-43
34-27
41-38
146.3Avg total
74.8Scored
71.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)74.569.9144.4+4.669%
Season at home (7)76.069.3145.3+6.786%
Season away (9)73.370.3143.7+3.056%
Last 10 (10)74.871.5146.3+3.370%
Last 5 (5)79.474.2153.6+5.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)73.578.4151.9-4.827%
vs Similar (10)75.871.7147.5+4.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)72.465.8138.2+6.789%
This opponent (Notre Dame) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Notre DameUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Duke
#154
L
65-75
65
75
-10
H17/12
NCAA
Purdue
#97
L
78-88
78
88
-10
H19/12
NCAA
Bellarmine
#91
W
81-70
81
70
+11
H23/12
NCAA
Virginia
#43
L
57-66
57
66
-9
H30/12
NCAA
North Carolina
#105
L
65-66
65
66
-1
A02/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#65
L
63-77
63
77
-14
A10/01
NCAA
Virginia
#43
L
68-80
68
80
-12
A13/01
NCAA
Boston College
#332
W
80-70
80
70
+10
H16/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#268
W
73-59
73
59
+14
A24/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#65
L
51-62
51
62
-11
H28/01
NCAA
1H
2H
34-41
31-34
42-47
36-41
45-36
36-34
24-30
33-36
30-29
35-37
42-35
21-42
25-37
43-43
42-32
38-38
30-22
43-37
22-31
29-31
139.4Avg total
68.1Scored
71.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)69.972.6142.4-2.736%
Season at home (8)71.973.9145.8-2.038%
Season away (6)67.270.8138.0-3.733%
Last 10 (10)68.171.3139.4-3.230%
Last 5 (5)67.069.6136.6-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)69.776.6146.3-6.915%
vs Similar (8)69.667.4137.0+2.262%
vs Weaker (9)77.069.8146.8+7.289%
This opponent (North Carolina) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +0.7+0.71st half: -0.4-0.42nd half2nd half: +2.6+2.62nd half: -2.8-2.8
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +0.7+0.71st half: -0.4-0.42nd half2nd half: +2.6+2.62nd half: -2.8-2.8
North CarolinaNotre Dame
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
North CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kentucky
#273
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A19/12
NCAA
NC State
#137
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A23/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#84
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A31/12
NCAA
Notre Dame
#236
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H02/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#268
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A06/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#96
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H13/01
NCAA
Florida State
#42
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A16/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#312
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H21/01
NCAA
NC State
#137
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H23/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#215
W
34-27
34
27
+7
A27/01
NCAA
70.7Avg total
35.7Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.534.968.4-1.443%-
Last 30 at home (12)34.833.568.2+1.250%-
Last 30 away (18)32.735.968.6-3.239%-
Last 10 (10)35.735.070.7+0.740%-
Last 5 (5)37.034.871.8+2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)32.936.369.2-3.436%-
vs Similar (10)35.536.672.1-1.150%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)32.031.463.4+0.644%-
This opponent (Notre Dame) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Notre DameLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Duke
#154
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H17/12
NCAA
Purdue
#97
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H19/12
NCAA
Bellarmine
#91
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H23/12
NCAA
Virginia
#43
L
24-30
24
30
-6
H30/12
NCAA
North Carolina
#105
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A02/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#65
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A10/01
NCAA
Virginia
#43
L
25-37
25
37
-12
A13/01
NCAA
Boston College
#332
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H16/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#268
W
30-22
30
22
+8
A24/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#65
L
22-31
22
31
-9
H28/01
NCAA
67.6Avg total
33.6Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.033.668.6+1.457%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.333.570.8+3.865%-
Last 30 away (13)32.033.665.6-1.646%-
Last 10 (10)33.634.067.6-0.450%-
Last 5 (5)32.231.463.6+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)34.936.571.5-1.646%-
vs Similar (8)33.030.563.5+2.562%-
vs Weaker (9)36.932.068.9+4.967%-
This opponent (North Carolina) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
North Carolina wins
1
Notre Dame wins
DateGameScore
02/01/21North Carolina v Notre Dame66-65
18/02/20Notre Dame v North Carolina77-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/21APittsburgh75-65
23/01/21HNC State86-76
21/01/21HWake Forest80-73
16/01/21AFlorida State75-82
13/01/21HSyracuse81-75
06/01/21AMiami (FL)67-65
02/01/21HNotre Dame66-65
31/12/20AGeorgia Tech67-72
23/12/20ANC State76-79
19/12/20AKentucky75-63
Notre Damelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/21HVirginia Tech51-62
24/01/21AMiami (FL)73-59
16/01/21HBoston College80-70
13/01/21AVirginia68-80
10/01/21AVirginia Tech63-77
02/01/21ANorth Carolina65-66
30/12/20HVirginia57-66
23/12/20HBellarmine81-70
19/12/20HPurdue78-88
17/12/20HDuke65-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

North Carolina
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW69%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayLLWLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %69%86%56%
Points / game74.576.073.3
Allowed / game69.969.370.3
Point differential+4.6+6.7+3.0
Avg total144.4145.3143.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%29%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Notre Dame
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL36%
HomeLWLWL38%
AwayWLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %36%38%33%
Points / game69.971.967.2
Allowed / game72.673.970.8
Point differential-2.7-2.0-3.7
Avg total142.4145.8138.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%25%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virginia Tech1613381%72.163.8+8.2
2 Virginia1411379%71.859.9+11.9
3 Florida State1310377%78.268.3+9.8
4 SMU Mustangs129375%77.567.5+10.0
5 Louisville1410471%69.164.6+4.5
6 North Carolina1611569%74.569.9+4.6
7 Pittsburgh128467%73.567.7+5.8
8 Stanford1510567%72.568.2+4.3
9 Clemson1510567%64.463.5+0.9
10 Syracuse149564%77.970.1+7.7
11 Georgia Tech138562%77.771.5+6.2
12 NC State127558%76.470.8+5.7
13 Duke127558%74.270.2+4.0
14 Wake Forest125742%70.267.8+2.3
15 Miami (FL)1661038%65.569.0-3.5
16 California1971237%66.869.9-3.1
17 Notre Dame145936%69.972.6-2.7
18 Boston College1331023%72.778.2-5.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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