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North Carolina vs SMU Mustangs Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 08 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 82-67
39-24 43-43
Position#111
Record9-6
FormLWWLW
Points / game84.6
Allowed / game79.2
North Carolina 🏆
USA
vs
SMU Mustangs
USA
Position#58
Record11-3
FormWWWWL
Points / game85.4
Allowed / game72.1
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · North Carolina v SMU Mustangs
26 Jan 2027
NORT v SMU
upcoming
07 Jan 2025
NORT82
SMU 67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

North Carolina winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
SMU Mustangs winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

North CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Auburn
#12
L
72-85
72
85
-13
H27/11
NCAA
Michigan State
#17
L
91-94 OT
91
94
-3
H28/11
NCAA
Alabama
#34
L
79-94
79
94
-15
H05/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
W
68-65
68
65
+3
H07/12
NCAA
La Salle
#272
W
93-67
93
67
+26
H14/12
NCAA
Florida
#6
L
84-90
84
90
-6
A18/12
NCAA
UCLA
#66
W
76-74
76
74
+2
A21/12
NCAA
Campbell
#222
W
97-81
97
81
+16
H30/12
NCAA
Louisville
#26
L
70-83
70
83
-13
A01/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#241
W
74-73
74
73
+1
A04/01
NCAA
1H
2H
32-40
40-45
34-43
48-39
34-43
45-51
31-30
37-35
42-25
51-42
34-46
50-44
32-40
44-34
40-29
57-52
31-37
39-46
39-32
35-41
161.0Avg total
80.4Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)84.679.2163.8+5.460%
Season at home (9)87.778.6166.2+9.167%
Season away (6)80.080.2160.2-0.250%
Last 10 (10)80.480.6161.0-0.250%
Last 5 (5)80.280.2160.4+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)82.389.7172.0-7.30%
vs Similar ◀ (10)83.682.3165.9+1.360%
vs Weaker (17)81.868.6150.4+13.282%
This opponent (SMU Mustangs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SMU MustangsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Prairie View A&M
#364
W
110-69
110
69
+41
H19/11
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#116
L
79-84
79
84
-5
H23/11
NCAA
California Baptist
#179
W
79-77
79
77
+2
A27/11
NCAA
Washington State
#148
W
77-60
77
60
+17
A28/11
NCAA
Alabama State
#156
W
101-72
101
72
+29
H04/12
NCAA
Virginia
#230
W
63-51
63
51
+12
H07/12
NCAA
LSU
#255
W
74-64
74
64
+10
H14/12
NCAA
Boston College
#298
W
103-77
103
77
+26
A21/12
NCAA
Longwood
#151
W
98-82
98
82
+16
H29/12
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
62-89
62
89
-27
H04/01
NCAA
1H
2H
51-46
59-23
38-33
41-51
45-32
34-45
27-31
50-29
49-39
52-33
30-28
33-23
27-33
47-31
47-40
56-37
45-43
53-39
32-41
30-48
157.1Avg total
84.6Scored
72.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)85.472.1157.4+13.379%
Season at home (10)86.671.4158.0+15.280%
Season away (4)82.273.8156.0+8.575%
Last 10 (10)84.672.5157.1+12.180%
Last 5 (5)80.072.6152.6+7.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)62.089.0151.0-27.00%
vs Similar ◀ (7)77.375.1152.4+2.143%
vs Weaker (21)84.072.0156.0+12.176%
This opponent (North Carolina) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: -1.6-1.61st half: +2.5+2.52nd half2nd half: +1.7+1.72nd half: +9.6+9.6
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: -1.6-1.61st half: +2.5+2.52nd half2nd half: +1.7+1.72nd half: +9.6+9.6
North CarolinaSMU Mustangs
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
North CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Auburn
#12
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H27/11
NCAA
Michigan State
#17
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H28/11
NCAA
Alabama
#34
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H05/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H07/12
NCAA
La Salle
#272
W
42-25
42
25
+17
H14/12
NCAA
Florida
#6
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A18/12
NCAA
UCLA
#66
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A21/12
NCAA
Campbell
#222
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H30/12
NCAA
Louisville
#26
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A01/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#241
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A04/01
NCAA
71.4Avg total
34.9Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.536.675.1+1.957%-
Last 30 at home (20)39.636.476.0+3.265%-
Last 30 away (10)36.337.273.5-0.940%-
Last 10 (10)34.936.571.4-1.640%-
Last 5 (5)35.236.872.0-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)33.343.076.3-9.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)38.640.479.0-1.840%-
vs Weaker (17)39.433.372.6+6.176%-
This opponent (SMU Mustangs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SMU MustangsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Prairie View A&M
#364
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H19/11
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#116
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H23/11
NCAA
California Baptist
#179
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A27/11
NCAA
Washington State
#148
L
27-31
27
31
-4
A28/11
NCAA
Alabama State
#156
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H04/12
NCAA
Virginia
#230
W
30-28
30
28
+2
H07/12
NCAA
LSU
#255
L
27-33
27
33
-6
H14/12
NCAA
Boston College
#298
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A21/12
NCAA
Longwood
#151
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H29/12
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H04/01
NCAA
75.7Avg total
39.1Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.634.973.6+3.763%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.834.173.8+5.778%-
Last 30 away (12)36.936.273.2+0.742%-
Last 10 (10)39.136.675.7+2.570%-
Last 5 (5)36.237.073.2-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)32.041.073.0-9.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)37.435.172.6+2.343%-
vs Weaker (21)38.934.373.2+4.571%-
This opponent (North Carolina) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
North Carolina wins
0
SMU Mustangs wins
No previous meetings.
North Carolinalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/25ANotre Dame74-73
01/01/25ALouisville70-83
30/12/24HCampbell97-81
21/12/24AUCLA76-74
18/12/24AFlorida84-90
14/12/24HLa Salle93-67
07/12/24HGeorgia Tech68-65
05/12/24HAlabama79-94
28/11/24HMichigan State91-94 OT
27/11/24HAuburn72-85
SMU Mustangslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/25HDuke62-89
29/12/24HLongwood98-82
21/12/24ABoston College103-77
14/12/24HLSU74-64
07/12/24HVirginia63-51
04/12/24HAlabama State101-72
28/11/24AWashington State77-60
27/11/24ACalifornia Baptist79-77
23/11/24HMississippi St.79-84
19/11/24HPrairie View A&M110-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

North Carolina
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW60%
HomeLLWWW67%
AwayWLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1596
Win %60%67%50%
Points / game84.687.780.0
Allowed / game79.278.680.2
Point differential+5.4+9.1-0.2
Avg total163.8166.2160.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%44%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)67% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %7%11%0%
SMU Mustangs
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL79%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games14104
Win %79%80%75%
Points / game85.486.682.2
Allowed / game72.171.473.8
Point differential+13.3+15.2+8.5
Avg total157.4158.0156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%80%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke1513287%80.058.4+21.6
2 Pittsburgh1512380%81.668.9+12.7
3 SMU Mustangs1411379%85.472.1+13.3
4 Clemson1612475%77.667.3+10.3
5 Wake Forest1511473%69.164.9+4.1
6 Florida State1410471%79.169.5+9.6
7 Louisville1611569%77.669.8+7.8
8 Stanford149564%76.971.9+4.9
9 North Carolina159660%84.679.2+5.4
10 Boston College159660%71.372.3-1.1
11 NC State148657%72.866.9+5.9
12 Virginia148657%61.461.5-0.1
13 Notre Dame147750%75.670.9+4.7
14 Georgia Tech168850%75.971.9+4.0
15 California147750%77.876.9+0.9
16 Syracuse157847%75.778.1-2.4
17 Virginia Tech146843%71.173.5-2.4
18 Miami (FL)1441029%78.475.1+3.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
North Carolina394382
SMU Mustangs244367
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