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North Carolina vs Stanford Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 16 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 19:15
Scheduled
Position#116
Record3-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game70.8
vs
Position#127
Record3-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game69.2
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · North Carolina v Stanford
16 Jan 2027
NORT v STAN
upcoming
18 Jan 2025
NORT71
STAN72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

North Carolina win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Stanford win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

North CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisville
#53
W
77-74
77
74
+3
H24/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#122
W
89-82
89
82
+7
H01/03
NCAA
Clemson
#56
W
67-63
67
63
+4
H04/03
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
61-76
61
76
-15
A07/03
NCAA
Clemson
#56
L
79-80
79
80
-1
H13/03
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
L
78-82 OT
78
82
-4
H19/03
NCAA
Western Carolina
#189
W
80-72
80
72
+8
H03/11
NCAA
Wofford
#257
W
109-70
109
70
+39
H07/11
NCAA
Wyoming
#94
W
76-63
76
63
+13
H11/11
NCAA
Georgia
#68
L
70-78
70
78
-8
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
39-38
38-36
44-44
45-38
27-30
40-33
34-39
27-37
31-39
48-41
39-28
36-47
39-30
41-42
51-34
58-36
31-29
45-34
31-38
39-40
152.6Avg total
78.6Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)83.870.8154.5+13.075%
Season at home (4)83.870.8154.5+13.075%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)78.674.0152.6+4.660%
Last 5 (5)82.673.0155.6+9.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)69.369.0138.3+0.367%
vs Similar ◀ (14)74.075.6149.6-1.650%
vs Weaker (13)87.670.8158.5+16.892%
This opponent (Stanford) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StanfordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
California
#79
L
66-72
66
72
-6
A21/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
W
75-67
75
67
+8
H26/02
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
W
95-75
95
75
+20
H28/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
W
86-78
86
78
+8
A05/03
NCAA
NC State
#128
W
85-84
85
84
+1
A07/03
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
L
63-64
63
64
-1
H10/03
NCAA
East. Washington
#308
W
74-65
74
65
+9
H03/11
NCAA
Oakland
#345
W
81-63
81
63
+18
H07/11
NCAA
Rice
#209
W
91-73
91
73
+18
H10/11
NCAA
UNLV
#72
L
68-76
68
76
-8
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
25-39
41-33
32-34
43-33
34-27
61-48
45-37
41-41
37-34
48-50
23-31
40-33
34-30
40-35
38-33
43-30
45-29
46-44
33-39
35-37
150.1Avg total
78.4Scored
71.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)78.569.2147.8+9.275%
Season at home (3)82.067.0149.0+15.0100%
Season away (1)68.076.0144.0-8.00%
Last 10 (10)78.471.7150.1+6.770%
Last 5 (5)75.468.2143.6+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)71.378.7150.0-7.350%
vs Similar ◀ (14)75.973.6149.5+2.250%
vs Weaker (10)76.467.4143.8+9.080%
This opponent (North Carolina) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +1.7+1.71st half: +1.3+1.32nd half2nd half: +3.3+3.32nd half: +5.4+5.4
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +1.7+1.71st half: +1.3+1.32nd half2nd half: +3.3+3.32nd half: +5.4+5.4
North CarolinaStanford
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
North CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisville
#53
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H24/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#122
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H01/03
NCAA
Clemson
#56
L
27-30
27
30
-3
H04/03
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A07/03
NCAA
Clemson
#56
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H13/03
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H19/03
NCAA
Western Carolina
#189
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H03/11
NCAA
Wofford
#257
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H07/11
NCAA
Wyoming
#94
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H11/11
NCAA
Georgia
#68
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H14/11
NCAA
71.5Avg total
36.6Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.635.874.5+2.860%-
Last 30 at home (19)39.633.873.4+5.774%-
Last 30 away (11)37.039.376.3-2.336%-
Last 10 (10)36.634.971.5+1.750%-
Last 5 (5)38.231.870.0+6.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)31.336.367.7-5.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)34.636.971.5-2.236%-
vs Weaker (13)44.634.679.2+10.092%-
This opponent (Stanford) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StanfordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
California
#79
L
25-39
25
39
-14
A21/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H26/02
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H28/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A05/03
NCAA
NC State
#128
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A07/03
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
L
23-31
23
31
-8
H10/03
NCAA
East. Washington
#308
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H03/11
NCAA
Oakland
#345
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H07/11
NCAA
Rice
#209
W
45-29
45
29
+16
H10/11
NCAA
UNLV
#72
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A14/11
NCAA
67.9Avg total
34.6Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.034.769.7+0.450%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.933.067.9+1.959%-
Last 30 away (13)35.236.872.0-1.738%-
Last 10 (10)34.633.367.9+1.360%-
Last 5 (5)34.632.467.0+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)34.839.874.7-5.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)34.433.968.2+0.550%-
vs Weaker (10)36.132.768.8+3.460%-
This opponent (North Carolina) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
North Carolina wins
2
Stanford wins
DateGameScore
15/01/26Stanford v North Carolina95-90
18/01/25North Carolina v Stanford71-72
01/12/20Stanford v North Carolina63-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HGeorgia70-78
11/11/26HWyoming76-63
07/11/26HWofford109-70
03/11/26HWestern Carolina80-72
19/03/26HVCU Rams78-82 OT
13/03/26HClemson79-80
07/03/26ADuke61-76
04/03/26HClemson67-63
01/03/26HVirginia Tech89-82
24/02/26HLouisville77-74
Stanfordlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AUNLV68-76
10/11/26HRice91-73
07/11/26HOakland81-63
03/11/26HEast. Washington74-65
10/03/26HPittsburgh63-64
07/03/26ANC State85-84
05/03/26ANotre Dame86-78
28/02/26HSMU Mustangs95-75
26/02/26HPittsburgh75-67
21/02/26ACalifornia66-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

North Carolina
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeWWWL75%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %75%75%-
Points / game83.883.8-
Allowed / game70.870.8-
Point differential+13.0+13.0-
Avg total154.5154.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Stanford
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%100%0%
Points / game78.582.068.0
Allowed / game69.267.076.0
Point differential+9.2+15.0-8.0
Avg total147.8149.0144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 SMU Mustangs440100%92.067.5+24.5
2 Notre Dame440100%87.564.2+23.2
3 Virginia550100%91.869.6+22.2
4 Virginia Tech440100%89.867.8+22.0
5 NC State440100%83.862.2+21.5
6 Boston College440100%74.053.5+20.5
7 Pittsburgh440100%83.264.5+18.8
8 Georgia Tech440100%82.570.8+11.8
9 California54180%85.874.8+11.0
10 Duke43175%90.057.0+33.0
11 Miami (FL)43175%83.259.2+24.0
12 Wake Forest43175%76.262.8+13.5
13 North Carolina43175%83.870.8+13.0
14 Stanford43175%78.569.2+9.2
15 Clemson43175%84.276.8+7.5
16 Syracuse32167%85.363.3+22.0
17 Louisville32167%89.775.0+14.7
18 Florida State42250%79.080.2-1.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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