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Missouri State vs Illinois State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 20 Jan 2022
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 88-63
44-34 44-29
Position#49
Record13-6
FormWWLWW
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game67.7
Missouri State 🏆
USA
vs
Illinois State
USA
Position#269
Record9-8
FormWLLLW
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game77.6
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Missouri State v Illinois State
22 Feb 2025
MISS68
ILLI70
20 Jan 2024
MISS60
ILLI69
19 Jan 2022
MISS88
ILLI63
23 Jan 2021
MISS v ILLI
upcoming
05 Feb 2020
MISS80
ILLI60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Missouri State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illinois State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Missouri StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oral Roberts
#119
W
69-60
69
60
+9
H11/12
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#7
W
75-63
75
63
+12
H16/12
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#294
W
106-70
106
70
+36
H19/12
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#35
L
58-75
58
75
-17
A23/12
NCAA
Evangel
#594
W
103-56
103
56
+47
H30/12
NCAA
Drake
#64
W
61-56
61
56
+5
H03/01
NCAA
Bradley
#164
W
71-69
71
69
+2
A06/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#110
L
84-85
84
85
-1
H08/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#187
W
81-76
81
76
+5
H13/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#242
W
74-57
74
57
+17
A15/01
NCAA
1H
2H
27-25
42-35
40-33
35-30
45-30
61-40
36-33
22-42
52-30
51-26
23-29
38-27
41-33
30-36
34-33
50-52
36-34
45-42
34-26
40-31
144.9Avg total
78.2Scored
66.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)78.667.7146.3+10.968%
Season at home (12)80.669.2149.8+11.467%
Season away (7)75.365.1140.4+10.171%
Last 10 (10)78.266.7144.9+11.580%
Last 5 (5)74.268.6142.8+5.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)59.570.5130.0-11.00%
vs Similar (8)70.062.2132.2+7.875%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)77.967.9145.8+10.174%
This opponent (Illinois State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Missouri State
#49
W
79-74 OT
79
74
+5
H02/12
NCAA
Jackson State
#286
L
55-61
55
61
-6
H04/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#345
W
81-71
81
71
+10
A11/12
NCAA
Quincy Hawks
#406
W
81-63
81
63
+18
H15/12
NCAA
Ball State
#237
W
85-64
85
64
+21
H18/12
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#312
W
81-64
81
64
+17
H21/12
NCAA
Wisconsin
#38
L
85-89
85
89
-4
A30/12
NCAA
Valparaiso
#242
L
76-81 OT
76
81
-5
A02/01
NCAA
Drake
#64
L
75-86
75
86
-11
A13/01
NCAA
Bradley
#164
W
74-65
74
65
+9
H17/01
NCAA
1H
2H
32-34
32-30
30-32
25-29
36-32
45-39
46-22
35-41
37-29
48-35
39-28
42-36
36-46
49-43
31-39
39-31
42-44
33-42
26-40
48-25
149.0Avg total
77.2Scored
71.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)79.777.6157.4+2.153%
Season at home (11)78.573.5152.0+5.173%
Season away (6)81.885.3167.2-3.517%
Last 10 (10)77.271.8149.0+5.460%
Last 5 (5)78.277.0155.2+1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)74.578.8153.3-4.431%
vs Similar (11)67.568.3135.7-0.827%
vs Weaker (4)91.284.5175.8+6.875%
This opponent (Missouri State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.2+6.21st half: +0.9+0.92nd half2nd half: +5.3+5.32nd half: +4.5+4.5
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.2+6.21st half: +0.9+0.92nd half2nd half: +5.3+5.32nd half: +4.5+4.5
Missouri StateIllinois State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Missouri StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oral Roberts
#119
W
27-25
27
25
+2
H11/12
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#7
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H16/12
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#294
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H19/12
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#35
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A23/12
NCAA
Evangel
#594
W
52-30
52
30
+22
H30/12
NCAA
Drake
#64
L
23-29
23
29
-6
H03/01
NCAA
Bradley
#164
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A06/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#110
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H08/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#187
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H13/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#242
W
34-26
34
26
+8
A15/01
NCAA
67.4Avg total
36.8Scored
30.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.830.767.5+6.173%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.630.466.0+5.371%-
Last 30 away (13)38.331.269.5+7.177%-
Last 10 (10)36.830.667.4+6.290%-
Last 5 (5)33.631.064.6+2.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)31.541.072.5-9.50%-
vs Similar (8)33.628.862.4+4.975%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)37.930.568.4+7.479%-
This opponent (Illinois State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Missouri State
#49
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H02/12
NCAA
Jackson State
#286
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H04/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#345
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A11/12
NCAA
Quincy Hawks
#406
W
46-22
46
22
+24
H15/12
NCAA
Ball State
#237
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H18/12
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#312
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H21/12
NCAA
Wisconsin
#38
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A30/12
NCAA
Valparaiso
#242
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A02/01
NCAA
Drake
#64
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A13/01
NCAA
Bradley
#164
L
26-40
26
40
-14
H17/01
NCAA
70.1Avg total
35.5Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.935.168.0-2.230%-
Last 30 at home (18)32.334.967.2-2.628%-
Last 30 away (12)33.835.569.3-1.733%-
Last 10 (10)35.534.670.1+0.940%-
Last 5 (5)34.839.474.2-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)32.238.971.2-6.78%-
vs Similar (11)29.532.762.3-3.227%-
vs Weaker (4)39.533.573.0+6.075%-
This opponent (Missouri State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Missouri State wins
1
Illinois State wins
DateGameScore
02/12/21Illinois State v Missouri State79-74 OT
07/02/21Illinois State v Missouri State62-72
06/02/21Illinois State v Missouri State67-74
06/02/20Missouri State v Illinois State80-60
08/01/20Illinois State v Missouri State63-67
Missouri Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/22AValparaiso74-57
13/01/22HSouthern Illinois81-76
08/01/22HNorthern Iowa84-85
06/01/22ABradley71-69
03/01/22HDrake61-56
30/12/21HEvangel103-56
23/12/21ASt. Marys (CA)58-75
19/12/21HCentral Arkansas106-70
16/12/21HSouth Dakota St.75-63
11/12/21HOral Roberts69-60
Illinois Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/22HBradley74-65
13/01/22ADrake75-86
02/01/22AValparaiso76-81 OT
30/12/21AWisconsin85-89
21/12/21HUTSA Roadrunners81-64
18/12/21HBall State85-64
15/12/21HQuincy Hawks81-63
11/12/21AChicago State81-71
04/12/21HJackson State55-61
02/12/21HMissouri State79-74 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Missouri State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW68%
HomeWWWLW67%
AwayLWLWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19127
Win %68%67%71%
Points / game78.680.675.3
Allowed / game67.769.265.1
Point differential+10.9+11.4+10.1
Avg total146.3149.8140.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%42%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)40% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %5%0%14%
Illinois State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW53%
HomeLWWWW73%
AwayLWLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17116
Win %53%73%17%
Points / game79.778.581.8
Allowed / game77.673.585.3
Point differential+2.1+5.1-3.5
Avg total157.4152.0167.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%36%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)100% (3)0% (3)
Overtime %24%18%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 New Mexico State1715288%76.967.2+9.8
2 Louisiana Tech1815383%78.967.2+11.7
3 Liberty1913668%73.560.0+13.5
4 Missouri State1913668%78.667.7+10.9
5 Delaware1812667%75.370.8+4.4
6 Jacksonville State1711665%76.667.8+8.8
7 Middle Tenn. St.1711665%73.364.8+8.5
8 Western Kentucky1710759%76.568.2+8.3
9 UTEP179853%68.965.3+3.6
10 Sam Houston St.1910953%71.365.3+5.9
11 Kennesaw State168850%77.468.4+9.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Murray State1715288%82.663.9+18.7
2 Belmont1814478%81.270.7+10.5
3 Drake1813572%74.464.3+10.1
4 Northern Iowa179853%74.970.2+4.8
5 Southern Illinois179853%65.461.2+4.2
6 Illinois State179853%79.777.6+2.1
7 Indiana State168850%74.570.6+3.9
8 Valparaiso1991047%72.870.0+2.8
9 Illinois (Chi.)157847%69.770.3-0.7
10 Bradley1881044%71.767.1+4.6
11 Evansville1641225%59.868.0-8.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Missouri State444488
Illinois State342963
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