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Notre Dame vs Wake Forest Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 64-81
26-27 38-54
Position#302
Record10-12
FormLLLLW
Points / game70.7
Allowed / game71.5
vs
Position#142
Record14-9
FormWLLLL
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game73.1
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Notre Dame v Wake Forest
27 Feb 2024
NOTR70
WAKE65
04 Feb 2023
NOTR64
WAKE81
09 Mar 2021
NOTR80
WAKE77
02 Feb 2021
NOTR79
WAKE58
29 Jan 2020
NOTR90
WAKE80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Notre Dame winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Wake Forest winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Notre DameUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jacksonville
#246
W
59-43
59
43
+16
H28/12
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
L
65-76
65
76
-11
H30/12
NCAA
Boston College
#221
L
63-70
63
70
-7
A04/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#117
L
64-81
64
81
-17
A07/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#241
W
73-72 OT
73
72
+1
H11/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#180
L
73-78
73
78
-5
A15/01
NCAA
Florida State
#342
L
71-84
71
84
-13
H18/01
NCAA
Boston College
#221
L
72-84
72
84
-12
H21/01
NCAA
NC State
#66
L
82-85
82
85
-3
A25/01
NCAA
Louisville
#367
W
76-62
76
62
+14
H28/01
NCAA
1H
2H
21-19
38-24
34-33
31-43
38-34
25-36
28-41
36-40
30-29
35-36
40-36
33-42
29-39
42-45
35-36
37-48
42-39
40-46
46-24
30-38
143.3Avg total
69.8Scored
73.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)70.771.5142.3-0.845%
Season at home (16)71.269.4140.6+1.962%
Season away (6)69.377.3146.7-8.00%
Last 10 (10)69.873.5143.3-3.730%
Last 5 (5)74.878.6153.4-3.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)71.372.4143.7-1.150%
vs Similar (14)71.671.2142.9+0.450%
vs Weaker (6)76.267.2143.3+9.050%
This opponent (Wake Forest) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Wake ForestUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia Tech
#138
W
77-75
77
75
+2
H31/12
NCAA
North Carolina
#117
L
79-88
79
88
-9
A05/01
NCAA
Louisville
#367
W
80-72
80
72
+8
A07/01
NCAA
Florida State
#342
W
90-75
90
75
+15
H12/01
NCAA
Boston College
#221
W
85-63
85
63
+22
A15/01
NCAA
Clemson
#60
W
87-77
87
77
+10
H18/01
NCAA
Virginia
#36
L
67-76
67
76
-9
H21/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#72
L
79-81
79
81
-2
A26/01
NCAA
NC State
#66
L
77-79
77
79
-2
H28/01
NCAA
Duke
#39
L
73-75
73
75
-2
A01/02
NCAA
1H
2H
38-38
39-37
38-37
41-51
43-26
37-46
44-35
46-40
41-31
44-32
48-38
39-39
32-42
35-34
39-49
40-32
37-31
40-48
34-41
39-34
155.5Avg total
79.4Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)77.273.1150.3+4.161%
Season at home (14)79.570.9150.4+8.679%
Season away (9)73.776.6150.2-2.933%
Last 10 (10)79.476.1155.5+3.350%
Last 5 (5)76.677.6154.2-1.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)68.874.1142.9-5.333%
vs Similar (8)75.874.4150.1+1.462%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)85.872.9158.7+12.875%
This opponent (Notre Dame) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +1.3+1.31st half: +2.6+2.62nd half2nd half: -5.1-5.12nd half: +0.7+0.7
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +1.3+1.31st half: +2.6+2.62nd half2nd half: -5.1-5.12nd half: +0.7+0.7
Notre DameWake Forest
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Notre DameLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jacksonville
#246
W
21-19
21
19
+2
H28/12
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H30/12
NCAA
Boston College
#221
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A04/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#117
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A07/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#241
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H11/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#180
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A15/01
NCAA
Florida State
#342
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H18/01
NCAA
Boston College
#221
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H21/01
NCAA
NC State
#66
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A25/01
NCAA
Louisville
#367
W
46-24
46
24
+22
H28/01
NCAA
67.3Avg total
34.3Scored
33.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.733.268.9+2.667%-
Last 30 at home (20)35.131.266.3+3.970%-
Last 30 away (10)36.937.174.0-0.260%-
Last 10 (10)34.333.067.3+1.370%-
Last 5 (5)38.434.873.2+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)35.432.067.4+3.470%-
vs Similar (14)34.534.869.3-0.357%-
vs Weaker (6)39.231.370.5+7.883%-
This opponent (Wake Forest) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Wake ForestLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia Tech
#138
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H31/12
NCAA
North Carolina
#117
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A05/01
NCAA
Louisville
#367
W
43-26
43
26
+17
A07/01
NCAA
Florida State
#342
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H12/01
NCAA
Boston College
#221
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A15/01
NCAA
Clemson
#60
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H18/01
NCAA
Virginia
#36
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H21/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#72
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A26/01
NCAA
NC State
#66
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H28/01
NCAA
Duke
#39
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A01/02
NCAA
76.2Avg total
39.4Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.433.270.7+4.267%-
Last 30 at home (19)39.631.971.5+7.679%-
Last 30 away (11)33.735.569.2-1.745%-
Last 10 (10)39.436.876.2+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)38.040.278.2-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)33.434.768.1-1.256%-
vs Similar (8)35.436.271.6-0.950%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)41.331.172.4+10.383%-
This opponent (Notre Dame) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Notre Dame wins
2
Wake Forest wins
Notre Damelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/23HLouisville76-62
25/01/23ANC State82-85
21/01/23HBoston College72-84
18/01/23HFlorida State71-84
15/01/23ASyracuse73-78
11/01/23HGeorgia Tech73-72 OT
07/01/23ANorth Carolina64-81
04/01/23ABoston College63-70
30/12/22HMiami (FL)65-76
28/12/22HJacksonville59-43
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/23ADuke73-75
28/01/23HNC State77-79
26/01/23APittsburgh79-81
21/01/23HVirginia67-76
18/01/23HClemson87-77
15/01/23ABoston College85-63
12/01/23HFlorida State90-75
07/01/23ALouisville80-72
05/01/23ANorth Carolina79-88
31/12/22HVirginia Tech77-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Notre Dame
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW45%
HomeLWLLW62%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22166
Win %45%62%0%
Points / game70.771.269.3
Allowed / game71.569.477.3
Point differential-0.8+1.9-8.0
Avg total142.3140.6146.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%31%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)75% (4)0% (3)
Overtime %5%6%0%
Wake Forest
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL61%
HomeWWWLL79%
AwayLWWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games23149
Win %61%79%33%
Points / game77.279.573.7
Allowed / game73.170.976.6
Point differential+4.1+8.6-2.9
Avg total150.3150.4150.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%57%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)60% (5)25% (4)
Overtime %9%7%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virginia2117481%70.360.9+9.5
2 NC State2318578%79.969.8+10.1
3 Clemson2318578%73.866.6+7.2
4 Duke2216673%72.963.7+9.2
5 Pittsburgh2316770%73.968.0+5.9
6 North Carolina2215768%78.571.7+6.8
7 Virginia Tech2314961%73.967.5+6.4
8 Wake Forest2314961%77.273.1+4.1
9 Syracuse23131057%74.470.6+3.9
10 Miami (FL)44242055%76.372.7+3.6
11 Boston College23111248%65.769.1-3.3
12 Stanford22101245%68.965.5+3.4
13 Notre Dame22101245%70.771.5-0.8
14 Georgia Tech2281436%67.271.1-3.9
15 SMU Mustangs2381535%69.274.1-4.9
16 Florida State2371630%69.775.2-5.5
17 California2231914%59.668.3-8.7
18 Louisville2231914%62.774.5-11.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Notre Dame263864
Wake Forest275481
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