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Duke vs Wake Forest Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 01 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 75-73
41-34 34-39
Position#39
Record15-6
FormWLWLW
Points / game72.8
Allowed / game63.2
Duke 🏆
USA
vs
Wake Forest
USA
Position#142
Record14-8
FormWWLLL
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game73.0
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Duke v Wake Forest
24 Jan 2026
DUKE90
WAKE69
03 Mar 2025
DUKE93
WAKE60
12 Feb 2024
DUKE77
WAKE69
31 Jan 2023
DUKE75
WAKE73
15 Feb 2022
DUKE76
WAKE74
09 Jan 2021
DUKE79
WAKE68
11 Jan 2020
DUKE90
WAKE59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Duke winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Wake Forest winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DukeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Md.-East. Shore
#130
W
82-55
82
55
+27
H10/12
NCAA
Wake Forest
#142
L
70-81
70
81
-11
A20/12
NCAA
Florida State
#342
W
86-67
86
67
+19
H31/12
NCAA
NC State
#66
L
60-84
60
84
-24
A05/01
NCAA
Boston College
#221
W
65-64
65
64
+1
A07/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#72
W
77-69
77
69
+8
H12/01
NCAA
Clemson
#60
L
64-72
64
72
-8
A14/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
W
68-66
68
66
+2
H21/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#138
L
75-78
75
78
-3
A24/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#241
W
86-43
86
43
+43
A28/01
NCAA
1H
2H
39-21
43-34
30-39
40-42
42-25
44-42
22-44
38-40
37-33
28-31
32-43
45-26
34-30
30-42
38-38
30-28
38-45
37-33
43-25
43-18
141.2Avg total
73.3Scored
67.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)72.863.2136.0+9.671%
Season at home (11)78.558.8137.4+19.7100%
Season away (10)66.568.1134.6-1.640%
Last 10 (10)73.367.9141.2+5.460%
Last 5 (5)74.065.6139.6+8.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)68.871.8140.6-3.044%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)77.265.4142.6+11.981%
This opponent (Wake Forest) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Wake ForestUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Duke
#39
W
81-70
81
70
+11
H20/12
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#138
W
77-75
77
75
+2
H31/12
NCAA
North Carolina
#117
L
79-88
79
88
-9
A05/01
NCAA
Louisville
#367
W
80-72
80
72
+8
A07/01
NCAA
Florida State
#342
W
90-75
90
75
+15
H12/01
NCAA
Boston College
#221
W
85-63
85
63
+22
A15/01
NCAA
Clemson
#60
W
87-77
87
77
+10
H18/01
NCAA
Virginia
#36
L
67-76
67
76
-9
H21/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#72
L
79-81
79
81
-2
A26/01
NCAA
NC State
#66
L
77-79
77
79
-2
H28/01
NCAA
1H
2H
39-30
42-40
38-38
39-37
38-37
41-51
43-26
37-46
44-35
46-40
41-31
44-32
48-38
39-39
32-42
35-34
39-49
40-32
37-31
40-48
155.8Avg total
80.2Scored
75.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)77.473.0150.4+4.464%
Season at home (14)79.570.9150.4+8.679%
Season away (8)73.876.8150.5-3.038%
Last 10 (10)80.275.6155.8+4.660%
Last 5 (5)79.075.2154.2+3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)68.274.0142.2-5.838%
vs Similar (9)76.174.3150.4+1.867%
vs Weaker (12)85.872.9158.7+12.875%
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +1.2+1.21st half: +4.2+4.22nd half2nd half: +4.2+4.22nd half: +0.4+0.4
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +1.2+1.21st half: +4.2+4.22nd half2nd half: +4.2+4.22nd half: +0.4+0.4
DukeWake Forest
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DukeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Md.-East. Shore
#130
W
39-21
39
21
+18
H10/12
NCAA
Wake Forest
#142
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A20/12
NCAA
Florida State
#342
W
42-25
42
25
+17
H31/12
NCAA
NC State
#66
L
22-44
22
44
-22
A05/01
NCAA
Boston College
#221
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A07/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#72
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H12/01
NCAA
Clemson
#60
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A14/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H21/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#138
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A24/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#241
W
43-25
43
25
+18
A28/01
NCAA
69.8Avg total
35.5Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.933.370.1+3.663%-
Last 30 at home (20)38.532.170.6+6.470%-
Last 30 away (10)33.735.669.3-1.950%-
Last 10 (10)35.534.369.8+1.250%-
Last 5 (5)37.036.273.2+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)32.937.770.6-4.833%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)38.631.470.0+7.276%-
This opponent (Wake Forest) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Wake ForestLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Duke
#39
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H20/12
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#138
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H31/12
NCAA
North Carolina
#117
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A05/01
NCAA
Louisville
#367
W
43-26
43
26
+17
A07/01
NCAA
Florida State
#342
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H12/01
NCAA
Boston College
#221
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A15/01
NCAA
Clemson
#60
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H18/01
NCAA
Virginia
#36
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H21/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#72
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A26/01
NCAA
NC State
#66
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H28/01
NCAA
75.6Avg total
39.9Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.533.270.7+4.267%-
Last 30 at home (20)39.432.471.8+7.075%-
Last 30 away (10)33.734.968.6-1.250%-
Last 10 (10)39.935.775.6+4.270%-
Last 5 (5)39.438.277.6+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)33.433.967.2-0.562%-
vs Similar (9)35.336.872.1-1.444%-
vs Weaker (12)41.331.172.4+10.383%-
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Duke wins
2
Wake Forest wins
DateGameScore
20/12/22Wake Forest v Duke81-70
16/02/22Duke v Wake Forest76-74
13/01/22Wake Forest v Duke64-76
18/02/21Wake Forest v Duke60-84
09/01/21Duke v Wake Forest79-68
26/02/20Wake Forest v Duke113-101 OT
12/01/20Duke v Wake Forest90-59
Dukelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/23AGeorgia Tech86-43
24/01/23AVirginia Tech75-78
21/01/23HMiami (FL)68-66
14/01/23AClemson64-72
12/01/23HPittsburgh77-69
07/01/23ABoston College65-64
05/01/23ANC State60-84
31/12/22HFlorida State86-67
20/12/22AWake Forest70-81
10/12/22HMd.-East. Shore82-55
Wake Forestlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/23HNC State77-79
26/01/23APittsburgh79-81
21/01/23HVirginia67-76
18/01/23HClemson87-77
15/01/23ABoston College85-63
12/01/23HFlorida State90-75
07/01/23ALouisville80-72
05/01/23ANorth Carolina79-88
31/12/22HVirginia Tech77-75
20/12/22HDuke81-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Duke
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW71%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %71%100%40%
Points / game72.878.566.5
Allowed / game63.258.868.1
Point differential+9.6+19.7-1.6
Avg total136.0137.4134.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%73%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Wake Forest
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL64%
HomeWWWLL79%
AwayLLWWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22148
Win %64%79%38%
Points / game77.479.573.8
Allowed / game73.070.976.8
Point differential+4.4+8.6-3.0
Avg total150.4150.4150.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%57%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)60% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %9%7%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virginia2017385%70.560.2+10.2
2 Clemson2218482%74.766.8+7.9
3 NC State2217577%79.370.0+9.3
4 Duke2115671%72.863.2+9.6
5 North Carolina2115671%79.272.0+7.2
6 Pittsburgh2215768%74.368.2+6.1
7 Wake Forest2214864%77.473.0+4.4
8 Virginia Tech2113862%73.466.3+7.1
9 Syracuse23131057%74.470.6+3.9
10 Miami (FL)42231955%75.972.2+3.6
11 Notre Dame22101245%70.771.5-0.8
12 Boston College22101245%65.969.8-3.9
13 Stanford2191243%68.465.1+3.3
14 Georgia Tech2181338%67.771.3-3.6
15 SMU Mustangs2281436%70.074.1-4.1
16 Florida State2271532%69.874.3-4.5
17 California2131814%60.268.7-8.5
18 Louisville2121910%62.575.2-12.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Duke413475
Wake Forest343973
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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