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Duke vs Wake Forest Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 13 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 77-69
29-27 48-42
Position#32
Record18-5
FormWWLWW
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game67.6
Duke 🏆
USA
vs
Position#119
Record16-7
FormLLWWW
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game70.4
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Duke v Wake Forest
24 Jan 2026
DUKE90
WAKE69
03 Mar 2025
DUKE93
WAKE60
12 Feb 2024
DUKE77
WAKE69
31 Jan 2023
DUKE75
WAKE73
15 Feb 2022
DUKE76
WAKE74
09 Jan 2021
DUKE79
WAKE68
11 Jan 2020
DUKE90
WAKE59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Duke winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Wake Forest winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DukeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Notre Dame
#291
W
67-59
67
59
+8
A06/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
W
75-53
75
53
+22
A10/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
W
84-79
84
79
+5
H13/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
L
76-80
76
80
-4
H21/01
NCAA
Louisville
#348
W
83-69
83
69
+14
A24/01
NCAA
Clemson
#74
W
72-71
72
71
+1
H27/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
W
77-67
77
67
+10
A30/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
L
84-93
84
93
-9
A03/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#291
W
71-53
71
53
+18
H08/02
NCAA
Boston College
#169
W
80-65
80
65
+15
H10/02
NCAA
1H
2H
29-27
38-32
48-23
27-30
39-39
45-40
34-38
42-42
45-34
38-35
32-26
40-45
35-29
42-38
35-45
49-48
33-25
38-28
36-32
44-33
145.8Avg total
76.9Scored
68.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)80.767.6148.3+13.078%
Season at home (15)83.566.5149.9+17.087%
Season away (8)75.469.8145.1+5.662%
Last 10 (10)76.968.9145.8+8.080%
Last 5 (5)76.869.8146.6+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)63.058.0121.0+5.050%
vs Similar (7)74.769.0143.7+5.771%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)81.266.3147.5+14.986%
This opponent (Wake Forest) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Wake ForestUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (FL)
#246
W
86-82 OT
86
82
+4
H06/01
NCAA
Florida State
#196
L
82-87
82
87
-5
A10/01
NCAA
Virginia
#66
W
66-47
66
47
+19
H13/01
NCAA
NC State
#94
L
76-83
76
83
-7
A17/01
NCAA
Louisville
#348
W
90-65
90
65
+25
H20/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
L
64-85
64
85
-21
A23/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
L
72-77
72
77
-5
A01/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#110
W
99-70
99
70
+29
H04/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
W
80-51
80
51
+29
A07/02
NCAA
NC State
#94
W
83-79
83
79
+4
H10/02
NCAA
1H
2H
44-37
29-36
41-42
41-45
27-21
39-26
45-35
31-48
48-33
42-32
34-33
30-52
37-27
35-50
42-28
57-42
46-20
34-31
39-45
44-34
152.4Avg total
79.8Scored
72.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)80.870.4151.2+10.470%
Season at home (16)82.767.4150.1+15.388%
Season away (7)76.477.3153.7-0.929%
Last 10 (10)79.872.6152.4+7.260%
Last 5 (5)79.672.4152.0+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)74.090.0164.0-16.00%
vs Similar (12)75.276.0151.2-0.842%
vs Weaker (17)81.767.8149.5+13.976%
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +4.8+4.81st half: +8.2+8.22nd half2nd half: +3.2+3.22nd half: -1.4-1.4
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +4.8+4.81st half: +8.2+8.22nd half2nd half: +3.2+3.22nd half: -1.4-1.4
DukeWake Forest
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DukeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Notre Dame
#291
W
29-27
29
27
+2
A06/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
W
48-23
48
23
+25
A10/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H13/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H21/01
NCAA
Louisville
#348
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A24/01
NCAA
Clemson
#74
W
32-26
32
26
+6
H27/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A30/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A03/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#291
W
33-25
33
25
+8
H08/02
NCAA
Boston College
#169
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H10/02
NCAA
68.4Avg total
36.6Scored
31.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.430.767.1+5.873%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.231.369.5+6.978%-
Last 30 away (12)33.829.863.5+4.067%-
Last 10 (10)36.631.868.4+4.870%-
Last 5 (5)34.231.465.6+2.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)30.525.055.5+5.550%-
vs Similar (7)34.332.466.7+1.971%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)37.730.668.3+7.176%-
This opponent (Wake Forest) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Wake ForestLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (FL)
#246
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H06/01
NCAA
Florida State
#196
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A10/01
NCAA
Virginia
#66
W
27-21
27
21
+6
H13/01
NCAA
NC State
#94
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A17/01
NCAA
Louisville
#348
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H20/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A23/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
W
37-27
37
27
+10
A01/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#110
W
42-28
42
28
+14
H04/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
W
46-20
46
20
+26
A07/02
NCAA
NC State
#94
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H10/02
NCAA
72.4Avg total
40.3Scored
32.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.135.373.4+2.857%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.234.272.3+4.072%-
Last 30 away (12)38.037.075.0+1.033%-
Last 10 (10)40.332.172.4+8.280%-
Last 5 (5)39.630.670.2+9.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)46.052.098.0-6.00%-
vs Similar (12)36.834.971.8+1.950%-
vs Weaker (17)38.534.673.1+3.965%-
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Duke wins
2
Wake Forest wins
DateGameScore
01/02/23Duke v Wake Forest75-73
20/12/22Wake Forest v Duke81-70
16/02/22Duke v Wake Forest76-74
13/01/22Wake Forest v Duke64-76
18/02/21Wake Forest v Duke60-84
09/01/21Duke v Wake Forest79-68
26/02/20Wake Forest v Duke113-101 OT
12/01/20Duke v Wake Forest90-59
Dukelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/24HBoston College80-65
08/02/24HNotre Dame71-53
03/02/24ANorth Carolina84-93
30/01/24AVirginia Tech77-67
27/01/24HClemson72-71
24/01/24ALouisville83-69
21/01/24HPittsburgh76-80
13/01/24HGeorgia Tech84-79
10/01/24APittsburgh75-53
06/01/24ANotre Dame67-59
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/24HNC State83-79
07/02/24AGeorgia Tech80-51
04/02/24HSyracuse99-70
01/02/24APittsburgh72-77
23/01/24ANorth Carolina64-85
20/01/24HLouisville90-65
17/01/24ANC State76-83
13/01/24HVirginia66-47
10/01/24AFlorida State82-87
06/01/24HMiami (FL)86-82 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Duke
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW78%
HomeWLWWW87%
AwayWWWWL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games23158
Win %78%87%62%
Points / game80.783.575.4
Allowed / game67.666.569.8
Point differential+13.0+17.0+5.6
Avg total148.3149.9145.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%67%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)50% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Wake Forest
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW70%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayLLLLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games23167
Win %70%88%29%
Points / game80.882.776.4
Allowed / game70.467.477.3
Point differential+10.4+15.3-0.9
Avg total151.2150.1153.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%75%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)100% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %9%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 North Carolina2419579%82.570.4+12.0
2 Virginia2419579%65.857.7+8.0
3 Duke2318578%80.767.6+13.0
4 SMU Mustangs2417771%76.264.6+11.6
5 Wake Forest2316770%80.870.4+10.4
6 Clemson2316770%79.072.2+6.7
7 Pittsburgh2315865%75.366.7+8.6
8 NC State2415962%75.470.6+4.8
9 Syracuse2415962%75.674.5+1.1
10 Miami (FL)25151060%78.171.8+6.2
11 Virginia Tech23131057%74.069.4+4.5
12 Boston College23131057%75.372.4+2.8
13 Florida State23131057%76.674.3+2.3
14 Stanford23121152%78.875.8+3.0
15 California24101442%75.075.9-0.9
16 Georgia Tech24101442%71.876.3-4.5
17 Notre Dame2481633%62.065.8-3.7
18 Louisville2481633%73.978.2-4.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Duke294877
Wake Forest274269
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