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Nymburk vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 06 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 65-80
16-16 16-18 16-23 17-23
Position#10
Record9-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game72.2
vs
Varese 🏆
Position#7
Record8-4
FormLLWWL
Points / game93.1
Allowed / game88.0
EuropeFIBA Europe CupFIBA Europe Cup - Quarter-finals· Sports Center Nymburk
European cup2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nymburk winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Varese winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NymburkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNymburk
Date
Competition
Opava
#5
W
88-80
88
80
+8
87avg 83
A28/01
Czech Cup
Manisa
#13
W
69-55
69
55
+14
66avg 83
A31/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Kolin
#11
W
87-43
87
43
+44
82avg 83
A03/02
NBL
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#16
L
71-74
71
74
-3
57avg 83
A06/02
FIBA Europe Cup
USK Prague
#10
W
84-79 OT
84
79
+5
no box
A10/02
NBL
Iskra Svit
#3
W
85-61
85
61
+24
82avg 83
H14/02
Czech-Slovak Cup
USK Prague
#4
W
71-55
71
55
+16
61avg 83
H15/02
Czech-Slovak Cup
Levice
#2
W
95-82
95
82
+13
84avg 83
H16/02
Czech-Slovak Cup
Brno
#5
W
87-59
87
59
+28
84avg 83
H28/02
NBL
Decin
#2
W
101-86
101
86
+15
106avg 83
H02/03
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-20
21-18
22-29
21-13
12-14
16-13
19-15
22-13
24-17
21-6
24-17
18-3
20-14
13-23
17-20
21-17
18-18
23-20
18-21
14-14
18-21
27-15
26-10
14-15
15-18
21-13
23-12
12-12
34-22
20-19
24-22
17-19
21-14
20-18
26-13
20-14
29-17
22-27
24-17
26-25
151.2Avg total
83.8Scored
67.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)82.772.2154.8+10.575%
Season at home (6)81.767.0148.7+14.783%
Season away (6)83.777.3161.0+6.367%
Last 10 (10)83.867.4151.2+16.490%
Last 5 (5)87.868.6156.4+19.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)88.080.0168.0+8.0100%
vs Similar ◀no games
vs Weaker (28)86.969.5156.4+17.582%
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
CSM Oradea
#17
W
100-81
100
81
+19
98avg 82
H10/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Venezia
#4
L
92-103
92
103
-11
84avg 82
H14/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
69-81
69
81
-12
56avg 82
H21/01
Lega A
Chemnitz
#2
W
90-78
90
78
+12
88avg 82
H24/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Cremona
#11
W
83-82
83
82
+1
80avg 82
A28/01
Lega A
Leiden
#14
L
77-81
77
81
-4
64avg 82
A31/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Trento
#6
L
84-90
84
90
-6
77avg 82
A04/02
Lega A
CSM Oradea
#17
W
103-96
103
96
+7
88avg 82
A07/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Pesaro
#16
W
91-80
91
80
+11
85avg 82
H11/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
63-94
63
94
-31
49avg 82
A03/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-19
26-19
29-16
19-27
22-31
25-29
18-26
27-17
20-27
20-20
16-17
13-17
25-21
20-16
18-20
27-21
19-12
20-23
26-22
18-25
27-19
13-27
18-19
19-16
29-20
15-25
21-21
19-24
18-27
25-23
39-29
21-17
29-21
18-22
22-21
22-16
13-29
17-25
20-27
13-13
171.8Avg total
85.2Scored
86.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)93.188.0181.1+5.167%
Season at home (6)92.384.2176.5+8.267%
Season away (6)93.891.8185.7+2.067%
Last 10 (10)85.286.6171.8-1.450%
Last 5 (5)83.688.2171.8-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)78.894.6173.4-15.912%
vs Similar ◀ (14)92.089.1181.1+2.957%
vs Weaker (8)91.282.2173.5+9.075%
This opponent (Nymburk) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: +0.5+0.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: +0.5+0.5
NymburkVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NymburkLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Opava
#5
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A28/01
Czech Cup
Manisa
#13
W
28-27
28
27
+1
A31/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Kolin
#11
W
45-23
45
23
+22
A03/02
NBL
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#16
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A06/02
FIBA Europe Cup
USK Prague
#10
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A10/02
NBL
Iskra Svit
#3
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H14/02
Czech-Slovak Cup
USK Prague
#4
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H15/02
Czech-Slovak Cup
Levice
#2
W
54-41
54
41
+13
H16/02
Czech-Slovak Cup
Brno
#5
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H28/02
NBL
Decin
#2
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H02/03
NBL
76.6Avg total
41.9Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.736.280.9+8.480%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.234.882.0+12.4100%-
Last 30 away (16)42.437.579.9+4.962%-
Last 10 (10)41.934.776.6+7.290%-
Last 5 (5)45.436.882.2+8.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)45.038.083.0+7.0100%-
vs Similar ◀no games
vs Weaker (28)44.536.180.6+8.479%-
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSM Oradea
#17
W
52-38
52
38
+14
H10/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Venezia
#4
L
47-60
47
60
-13
H14/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H21/01
Lega A
Chemnitz
#2
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H24/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Cremona
#11
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A28/01
Lega A
Leiden
#14
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A31/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Trento
#6
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A04/02
Lega A
CSM Oradea
#17
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A07/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Pesaro
#16
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H11/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
30-54
30
54
-24
A03/03
Lega A
88.2Avg total
42.7Scored
45.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.344.789.9+0.650%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.342.490.7+5.967%-
Last 30 away (15)42.346.989.2-4.733%-
Last 10 (10)42.745.588.2-2.840%-
Last 5 (5)40.847.688.4-6.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)40.952.693.5-11.812%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)45.943.189.0+2.957%-
vs Weaker (8)48.539.588.0+9.075%-
This opponent (Nymburk) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nymburktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nymburk: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.118.2
53.4%
52.2%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.49.9
32.6%
33.8%29.7
🏀 Free throws25.616.9
66.0%
73.0%16.9
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.9 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.116.0
49.8%
52.2%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.912.3
37.4%
33.8%36.9
🏀 Free throws20.015.3
76.5%
73.0%15.3
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nymburk
WWWWWWLWWW
Varese
LWWLLWWLLW
#10
League position
#7
+24.0
Net rating
-2.1
111.3
Offensive rating
109.0
87.3
Defensive rating
111.1
51.2%
Effective FG%
53.0%
41.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.5%
19.1%
Turnover %
16.4%
40.0%
Off. rebound %
24.7%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.31
32.6%
3-point %
37.4%
66.9%
Assist %
56.5%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence111.3 · 109.0Defence87.3 · 111.1Shooting51.2% · 53.0%3-point %32.6% · 37.4%Ball care19.1% · 16.4%Off. rebounds40.0% · 24.7%Free throws0.40 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)90% · 50%
■ Nymburk   ■ Varese
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Nymburk wins
0
Varese wins
No previous meetings.
Nymburklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/24HDecin101-86
28/02/24HBrno87-59
16/02/24HLevice95-82
15/02/24HUSK Prague71-55
14/02/24HIskra Svit85-61
10/02/24AUSK Prague84-79 OT
06/02/24AGravelines-Dunkerque71-74
03/02/24AKolin87-43
31/01/24AManisa69-55
28/01/24AOpava88-80
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/24AOlimpia Milano63-94
11/02/24HPesaro91-80
07/02/24ACSM Oradea103-96
04/02/24ATrento84-90
31/01/24ALeiden77-81
28/01/24ACremona83-82
24/01/24HChemnitz90-78
21/01/24HVirtus Bologna69-81
14/01/24HVenezia92-103
10/01/24HCSM Oradea100-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nymburk
FIBA Europe Cup 2023
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL75%
HomeWLWWW83%
AwayWWLWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %75%83%67%
Points / game82.781.783.7
Allowed / game72.267.077.3
Point differential+10.5+14.7+6.3
Avg total154.8148.7161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %8%17%0%
Varese
FIBA Europe Cup 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW67%
HomeWWLWW67%
AwayWWLLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game93.192.393.8
Allowed / game88.084.291.8
Point differential+5.1+8.2+2.0
Avg total181.1176.5185.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %8%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bnei Herzliya220100%92.075.5+16.5
2 Chemnitz1211192%91.072.5+18.5
3 Bahcesehir Kol.1211192%92.976.7+16.2
4 Bilbao1211192%84.169.8+14.3
5 Nymburk129375%82.772.2+10.5
6 Rostock86275%87.277.4+9.9
7 Legia129375%88.279.6+8.6
8 Basket Zaragoza129375%81.575.6+5.9
9 Gottingen128467%86.380.2+6.1
10 Varese128467%93.188.0+5.1
11 Rapid Bucuresti32167%75.770.7+5.0
12 FC Porto149564%84.177.5+6.6
13 Manisa148657%75.475.2+0.2
14 Leiden116555%67.269.7-2.5
15 Anwil Wloclawek63350%78.268.2+10.0
16 Gravelines-Dunkerque105550%73.670.8+2.8
17 CSM Oradea126650%88.686.7+1.9
18 Boras21150%91.590.0+1.5
19 Tindastoll21150%69.069.5-0.5
20 BC Kalev/Cramo42250%73.875.2-1.5
21 Kormend21150%89.592.0-2.5
22 AEK Larnaca63350%78.882.0-3.2
23 Chernomorets21150%97.0100.5-3.5
24 Spojnia Stargard63350%79.384.2-4.8
25 Trepca63350%68.275.2-7.0
26 Caledonia Gladiators63350%71.879.2-7.3
27 Jamtland21150%71.078.5-7.5
28 Sabah Baku94544%77.783.6-5.9
29 Sporting CP104640%86.388.0-1.7
30 Bakken Bears62433%84.285.3-1.2
31 Donar Groningen31233%67.368.7-1.3
32 Levice62433%74.880.0-5.2
33 Jonava124833%83.893.3-9.5
34 Peja62433%82.593.3-10.8
35 Balkan103730%73.985.8-11.9
36 Alba Fehervar41325%85.589.5-4.0
37 Brindisi41325%77.881.8-4.0
38 Keravnos82625%79.484.9-5.5
39 Kataja82625%78.285.0-6.8
40 Den Bosch61517%79.086.7-7.7
41 TSU61517%78.786.5-7.8
42 Karhu Basket61517%82.390.7-8.3
43 Norrkoping61517%70.281.7-11.5
44 Mornar Bar61517%71.885.3-13.5
45 Pardubice2020%82.085.5-3.5
46 Parnu2020%64.573.0-8.5
47 Rabotnicki3030%66.778.3-11.7
48 Nevezis2020%86.099.0-13.0
49 Anorthosis2020%75.089.0-14.0
50 Galil Elyon1010%0.020.0-20.0
51 CSU Sibiu6060%63.283.5-20.3
52 Feniks 20102020%66.0104.0-38.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 52 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nymburk1616161765
Varese1618232380
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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