PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Varese vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 69-81
20-27 20-20 16-17 13-17
Position#12
Record6-10
FormWWWWL
Points / game86.6
Allowed / game91.1
vs
Position#2
Record11-5
FormLLLWW
Points / game87.3
Allowed / game76.6
ItalyLega ARound 17· Palasport Lino Oldrini
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Varese v Virtus Bologna
27 Sep 2026
VAR69
VIR90
04 Nov 2025
VAR77
VIR83
10 Nov 2024
VAR104
VIR95
21 Jan 2024
VAR69
VIR81
04 Dec 2022
VAR100
VIR108
06 Feb 2022
VAR80
VIR81
24 Oct 2020
VAR73
VIR85
27 Feb 2020
VAR v VIR
upcoming
13 Jan 2019
VAR79
VIR86
26 Dec 2017
VAR85
VIR90
22 Nov 2015
VAR82
VIR75
14 Dec 2014
VAR83
VIR73
26 Dec 2013
VAR98
VIR89
17 Feb 2013
VAR78
VIR61
04 Mar 2012
VAR86
VIR63
28 Nov 2010
VAR91
VIR81
15 Nov 2009
VAR68
VIR78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Cremona
#11
L
68-75
68
75
-7
59avg 83
H03/12
Lega A
Chemnitz
#2
L
85-109
85
109
-24
72avg 83
A06/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Brindisi
#15
L
81-86
81
86
-5
71avg 83
A10/12
Lega A
Leiden
#14
L
79-82
79
82
-3
74avg 83
H13/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
70-74
70
74
-4
64avg 83
H17/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#16
W
88-81
88
81
+7
82avg 83
A23/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
W
116-93
116
93
+23
121avg 83
H29/12
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
101-96
101
96
+5
98avg 83
A06/01
Lega A
CSM Oradea
#17
W
100-81
100
81
+19
98avg 83
H10/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Venezia
#4
L
92-103
92
103
-11
84avg 83
H14/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-18
16-12
22-26
14-19
16-35
25-27
29-18
15-29
21-27
12-13
26-17
22-29
18-19
27-20
21-19
13-24
18-17
21-22
18-17
13-18
18-21
19-24
24-21
27-15
39-17
31-24
25-28
21-24
24-26
33-24
23-20
21-26
26-19
26-19
29-16
19-27
22-31
25-29
18-26
27-17
176.0Avg total
88.0Scored
88.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)86.691.1177.7-4.438%
Season at home (9)86.184.9171.0+1.244%
Season away (7)87.399.0186.3-11.729%
Last 10 (10)88.088.0176.0+0.040%
Last 5 (5)99.490.8190.2+8.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)82.0102.4184.4-20.40%
vs Similar (16)90.288.2178.4+2.050%
vs Weaker (6)93.782.8176.5+10.883%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#10
W
91-70
91
70
+21
86avg 81
A23/12
Lega A
Partizan
#11
W
77-75
77
75
+2
76avg 81
A28/12
Euroleague
Pesaro
#16
W
83-66
83
66
+17
90avg 81
H30/12
Lega A
Bayern
#15
W
85-83
85
83
+2
75avg 81
H03/01
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#18
W
83-68
83
68
+15
76avg 81
A05/01
Euroleague
Reggiana
#5
L
66-72
66
72
-6
59avg 81
A07/01
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
78-95
78
95
-17
71avg 81
A10/01
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
75-99
75
99
-24
72avg 81
A12/01
Euroleague
Brindisi
#15
W
103-76
103
76
+27
108avg 81
H15/01
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
73-63
73
63
+10
66avg 81
H18/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-16
23-12
16-20
24-22
23-18
18-18
19-19
17-20
15-19
26-13
17-16
25-18
22-24
20-22
23-23
20-14
26-9
22-18
15-24
20-17
16-17
13-18
24-14
13-23
21-18
24-28
15-24
18-25
15-26
14-24
25-23
21-26
35-19
23-17
20-17
25-23
19-10
8-22
18-22
28-9
158.1Avg total
81.4Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)87.376.6163.9+10.869%
Season at home (8)92.975.0167.9+17.988%
Season away (8)81.878.1159.9+3.650%
Last 10 (10)81.476.7158.1+4.770%
Last 5 (5)79.081.0160.0-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)77.282.2159.4-5.060%
vs Similar (14)82.982.6165.5+0.264%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)86.075.9161.9+10.164%
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +4.4+4.4Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: +1.4+1.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +4.4+4.4Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: +1.4+1.4
VareseVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cremona
#11
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H03/12
Lega A
Chemnitz
#2
L
41-62
41
62
-21
A06/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Brindisi
#15
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A10/12
Lega A
Leiden
#14
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H13/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H17/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#16
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A23/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
W
70-41
70
41
+29
H29/12
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
57-50
57
50
+7
A06/01
Lega A
CSM Oradea
#17
W
52-38
52
38
+14
H10/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Venezia
#4
L
47-60
47
60
-13
H14/01
Lega A
89.7Avg total
45.3Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.144.789.8+0.443%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.142.590.6+5.760%-
Last 30 away (15)42.147.089.1-4.927%-
Last 10 (10)45.344.489.7+0.950%-
Last 5 (5)52.646.899.4+5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)41.454.996.3-13.40%-
vs Similar (16)45.443.288.7+2.250%-
vs Weaker (6)50.237.888.0+12.383%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#10
W
51-28
51
28
+23
A23/12
Lega A
Partizan
#11
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A28/12
Euroleague
Pesaro
#16
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H30/12
Lega A
Bayern
#15
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H03/01
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#18
W
48-27
48
27
+21
A05/01
Euroleague
Reggiana
#5
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A07/01
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A10/01
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
29-50
29
50
-21
A12/01
Euroleague
Brindisi
#15
W
58-36
58
36
+22
H15/01
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
L
27-32
27
32
-5
H18/01
Euroleague
77.9Avg total
41.1Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.640.482.0+1.243%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.940.382.1+1.650%-
Last 30 away (16)41.440.581.9+0.938%-
Last 10 (10)41.136.877.9+4.350%-
Last 5 (5)37.639.877.4-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)37.245.482.6-8.220%-
vs Similar (14)41.943.084.9-1.136%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)43.334.878.1+8.564%-
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 87.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀37%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.9 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.316.4
54.1%
53.1%32.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.212.3
39.4%
35.7%36.9
🏀 Free throws23.517.8
75.7%
76.3%17.8
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.118.4
52.4%
53.1%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.510.3
38.9%
35.7%30.9
🏀 Free throws17.612.5
71.0%
76.3%12.5
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
LWWWWLLLLL
Virtus Bologna
WWLLLWWWWW
#12
League position
#2
+0.6
Net rating
+4.8
111.1
Offensive rating
111.1
110.4
Defensive rating
106.2
56.7%
Effective FG%
55.0%
49.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
18.1%
Turnover %
17.4%
21.2%
Off. rebound %
29.6%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.29
39.4%
3-point %
38.9%
55.7%
Assist %
65.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence111.1 · 111.1Defence110.4 · 106.2Shooting56.7% · 55.0%3-point %39.4% · 38.9%Ball care18.1% · 17.4%Off. rebounds21.2% · 29.6%Free throws0.38 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Varese   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Varese wins
10
Virtus Bologna wins
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/24HVenezia92-103
10/01/24HCSM Oradea100-81
06/01/24ATreviso101-96
29/12/23HReggiana116-93
23/12/23APesaro88-81
17/12/23HOlimpia Milano70-74
13/12/23HLeiden79-82
10/12/23ABrindisi81-86
06/12/23AChemnitz85-109
03/12/23HCremona68-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/24HLyon-Villeurbanne73-63
15/01/24HBrindisi103-76
12/01/24AAnadolu Efes75-99
10/01/24AMaccabi Tel Aviv78-95
07/01/24AReggiana66-72
05/01/24AAlba Berlin83-68
03/01/24HBayern85-83
30/12/23HPesaro83-66
28/12/23APartizan77-75
23/12/23APistoia91-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL38%
HomeWLLWL44%
AwayLLLWW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %38%44%29%
Points / game86.686.187.3
Allowed / game91.184.999.0
Point differential-4.4+1.2-11.7
Avg total177.7171.0186.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%22%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)40% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Virtus Bologna
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW69%
HomeWWLWW88%
AwayLLLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %69%88%50%
Points / game87.392.981.8
Allowed / game76.675.078.1
Point differential+10.8+17.9+3.6
Avg total163.9167.9159.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%88%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %6%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brescia1713476%86.474.7+11.6
2 Venezia1612475%82.778.1+4.6
3 Virtus Bologna1611569%87.376.6+10.8
4 Basket Napoli1711665%86.081.6+4.4
5 Olimpia Milano1610662%79.075.0+4.0
6 Reggiana169756%83.383.0+0.3
7 Trento179853%82.883.2-0.4
8 Pistoia179853%78.181.2-3.1
9 Cremona168850%81.678.4+3.2
10 Scafati178947%84.485.6-1.2
11 Sassari167944%76.982.2-5.4
12 Tortona1661038%78.280.9-2.8
13 Varese1661038%86.691.1-4.4
14 Pesaro1651131%78.886.2-7.4
15 Treviso1641225%80.184.6-4.4
16 Brindisi1731418%73.483.4-10.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese2020161369
Virtus Bologna2720171781
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.