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Olimpia Milano vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 94-63
29-13 25-17 27-20 13-13
Position#1
Record14-6
FormWWWLL
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game72.8
vs
Position#12
Record8-12
FormWLLWW
Points / game85.7
Allowed / game89.5
ItalyLega ARound 21· Unipol Forum
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Varese
03 Jan 2027
MIL v VAR
upcoming
26 Jan 2026
MIL74
VAR84
02 Feb 2025
MIL119
VAR92
03 Mar 2024
MIL94
VAR63
26 Dec 2022
MIL96
VAR84
26 Mar 2022
MIL95
VAR77
05 Apr 2021
MIL81
VAR83
10 Sep 2020
MIL91
VAR77
03 Nov 2019
MIL93
VAR69
23 Dec 2018
MIL72
VAR67
08 Oct 2017
MIL74
VAR73
16 Oct 2016
MIL79
VAR71
11 Oct 2015
MIL90
VAR62
15 Mar 2015
MIL79
VAR69
20 Oct 2013
MIL84
VAR72
23 Dec 2012
MIL77
VAR83
09 Oct 2011
MIL89
VAR75
29 Dec 2010
MIL84
VAR80
31 Jan 2010
MIL74
VAR70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Sassari
#8
W
80-65
80
65
+15
78avg 77
H28/01
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#2
L
62-79
62
79
-17
48avg 77
A31/01
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
73-79
73
79
-6
69avg 77
A02/02
Euroleague
Pistoia
#10
W
78-72
78
72
+6
70avg 77
A04/02
Lega A
Real Madrid
#1
W
81-76
81
76
+5
71avg 77
H08/02
Euroleague
Brindisi
#15
W
69-55
69
55
+14
70avg 77
H11/02
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
80-57
80
57
+23
76avg 77
H14/02
Italian Cup
Venezia
#4
W
100-77
100
77
+23
94avg 77
H17/02
Italian Cup
Basket Napoli
#1
L
72-77
72
77
-5
66avg 77
H18/02
Italian Cup
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
L
77-81
77
81
-4
65avg 77
A01/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
24-23
24-10
13-12
16-21
12-23
13-13
21-22
15-15
28-19
7-30
23-15
21-24
20-9
16-23
21-16
23-19
25-10
18-25
15-22
13-14
23-11
19-17
14-13
20-17
19-6
26-12
15-22
31-20
29-17
14-21
26-19
19-24
17-19
17-17
19-17
13-22
22-17
21-23
21-19
149.0Avg total
77.2Scored
71.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)78.872.8151.6+6.070%
Season at home (10)81.172.9154.0+8.280%
Season away (10)76.572.8149.3+3.760%
Last 10 (10)77.271.8149.0+5.460%
Last 5 (5)79.669.4149.0+10.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)70.377.0147.3-6.733%
vs Similar (12)74.777.3152.0-2.742%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)80.071.1151.1+8.979%
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Treviso
#13
W
101-96
101
96
+5
98avg 83
A06/01
Lega A
CSM Oradea
#17
W
100-81
100
81
+19
98avg 83
H10/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Venezia
#4
L
92-103
92
103
-11
84avg 83
H14/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
69-81
69
81
-12
56avg 83
H21/01
Lega A
Chemnitz
#2
W
90-78
90
78
+12
88avg 83
H24/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Cremona
#11
W
83-82
83
82
+1
80avg 83
A28/01
Lega A
Leiden
#14
L
77-81
77
81
-4
64avg 83
A31/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Trento
#6
L
84-90
84
90
-6
77avg 83
A04/02
Lega A
CSM Oradea
#17
W
103-96
103
96
+7
88avg 83
A07/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Pesaro
#16
W
91-80
91
80
+11
85avg 83
H11/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-26
33-24
23-20
21-26
26-19
26-19
29-16
19-27
22-31
25-29
18-26
27-17
20-27
20-20
16-17
13-17
25-21
20-16
18-20
27-21
19-12
20-23
26-22
18-25
27-19
13-27
18-19
19-16
29-20
15-25
21-21
19-24
18-27
25-23
39-29
21-17
29-21
18-22
22-21
22-16
175.8Avg total
89.0Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)85.789.5175.2-3.840%
Season at home (11)85.084.1169.1+0.945%
Season away (9)86.496.1182.6-9.733%
Last 10 (10)89.086.8175.8+2.260%
Last 5 (5)87.685.8173.4+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)81.094.7175.7-13.714%
vs Similar (15)91.188.5179.6+2.553%
vs Weaker (8)91.282.2173.5+9.075%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +6.5+6.5Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +0.0+0.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +6.5+6.5Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +0.0+0.0
Olimpia MilanoVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#8
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H28/01
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#2
L
28-44
28
44
-16
A31/01
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A02/02
Euroleague
Pistoia
#10
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A04/02
Lega A
Real Madrid
#1
W
48-29
48
29
+19
H08/02
Euroleague
Brindisi
#15
W
36-25
36
25
+11
H11/02
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
39-23
39
23
+16
H14/02
Italian Cup
Venezia
#4
W
60-37
60
37
+23
H17/02
Italian Cup
Basket Napoli
#1
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H18/02
Italian Cup
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A01/03
Euroleague
75.9Avg total
40.9Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.035.975.9+4.160%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.634.175.8+7.575%-
Last 30 away (14)38.237.976.1+0.343%-
Last 10 (10)40.935.075.9+5.960%-
Last 5 (5)41.233.474.6+7.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)39.038.077.0+1.033%-
vs Similar (12)40.836.677.4+4.267%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)39.635.875.4+3.957%-
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Treviso
#13
W
57-50
57
50
+7
A06/01
Lega A
CSM Oradea
#17
W
52-38
52
38
+14
H10/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Venezia
#4
L
47-60
47
60
-13
H14/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H21/01
Lega A
Chemnitz
#2
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H24/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Cremona
#11
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A28/01
Lega A
Leiden
#14
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A31/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Trento
#6
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A04/02
Lega A
CSM Oradea
#17
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A07/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Pesaro
#16
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H11/02
Lega A
90.5Avg total
45.4Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.644.289.8+1.450%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.842.390.1+5.462%-
Last 30 away (14)43.146.489.6-3.336%-
Last 10 (10)45.445.190.5+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)42.643.886.4-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)42.452.494.9-10.014%-
vs Similar (15)45.542.988.5+2.653%-
vs Weaker (8)48.539.588.0+9.075%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 76.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.218.1
50.0%
53.1%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.49.1
33.2%
35.7%27.3
🏀 Free throws16.312.9
79.1%
76.3%12.9
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 88.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.617.4
51.8%
53.1%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.712.4
39.1%
35.7%37.2
🏀 Free throws21.016.0
76.2%
76.3%16.0
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
LLWWWWWLLW
Varese
WWLLWWLLWW
#1
League position
#12
+8.0
Net rating
+2.5
106.6
Offensive rating
112.0
98.6
Defensive rating
109.4
49.9%
Effective FG%
55.1%
47.9%
Opp. effective FG%
49.7%
16.1%
Turnover %
17.5%
28.8%
Off. rebound %
26.0%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.32
33.2%
3-point %
39.1%
60.7%
Assist %
53.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence106.6 · 112.0Defence98.6 · 109.4Shooting49.9% · 55.1%3-point %33.2% · 39.1%Ball care16.1% · 17.5%Off. rebounds28.8% · 26.0%Free throws0.26 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Varese
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Olimpia Milano wins
1
Varese wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/24ALyon-Villeurbanne77-81
18/02/24HBasket Napoli72-77
17/02/24HVenezia100-77
14/02/24HTrento80-57
11/02/24HBrindisi69-55
08/02/24HReal Madrid81-76
04/02/24APistoia78-72
02/02/24AAnadolu Efes73-79
31/01/24APanathinaikos62-79
28/01/24HSassari80-65
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/24HPesaro91-80
07/02/24ACSM Oradea103-96
04/02/24ATrento84-90
31/01/24ALeiden77-81
28/01/24ACremona83-82
24/01/24HChemnitz90-78
21/01/24HVirtus Bologna69-81
14/01/24HVenezia92-103
10/01/24HCSM Oradea100-81
06/01/24ATreviso101-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW70%
HomeWWWWW80%
AwayWLWWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %70%80%60%
Points / game78.881.176.5
Allowed / game72.872.972.8
Point differential+6.0+8.2+3.7
Avg total151.7154.0149.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)67% (3)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Varese
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW40%
HomeLWLLW45%
AwayLWWWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %40%45%33%
Points / game85.785.086.4
Allowed / game89.584.196.1
Point differential-3.9+0.9-9.7
Avg total175.2169.1182.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%27%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)40% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brescia2016480%88.375.3+13.1
2 Virtus Bologna2115671%88.676.4+12.2
3 Olimpia Milano2014670%78.872.8+6.0
4 Venezia2014670%82.076.9+5.2
5 Basket Napoli2112957%86.384.0+2.3
6 Reggiana2112957%80.681.6-1.0
7 Tortona20101050%79.278.3+0.8
8 Scafati20101050%84.086.2-2.2
9 Trento21101148%82.083.5-1.4
10 Cremona2091145%81.579.2+2.2
11 Pistoia2091145%77.983.2-5.2
12 Sassari2191243%76.581.9-5.4
13 Varese2081240%85.789.5-3.9
14 Treviso2161529%80.085.5-5.5
15 Pesaro2051525%78.386.2-7.9
16 Brindisi2041620%73.382.5-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano2925271394
Varese1317201363
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