Cremona vs Varese Result & Analysis

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	81.0	78.4	159.4	+2.6	47%
Season at home (8)	86.6	75.2	161.9	+11.4	75%
Season away (9)	76.0	81.1	157.1	-5.1	22%
Last 10 (10)	75.0	71.4	146.4	+3.6	50%
Last 5 (5)	71.2	70.8	142.0	+0.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	73.0	80.3	153.3	-7.3	33%
vs Similar ◀ (14)	80.0	77.4	157.4	+2.6	50%
vs Weaker (13)	83.1	74.4	157.5	+8.7	69%

This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Varese

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormVarese

Date

Competition

Brindisi

#15

81-86

-5

71avg 83

A10/12

Lega A

Leiden

#14

79-82

-3

74avg 83

H13/12

FIBA Europe Cup

Olimpia Milano

70-74

-4

64avg 83

H17/12

Lega A

Pesaro

#16

88-81

82avg 83

A23/12

Lega A

Reggiana

116-93

116

+23

121avg 83

H29/12

Lega A

Treviso

#13

101-96

101

98avg 83

A06/01

Lega A

CSM Oradea

#17

100-81

100

+19

98avg 83

H10/01

FIBA Europe Cup

Venezia

92-103

103

-11

84avg 83

H14/01

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

69-81

-12

56avg 83

H21/01

Lega A

Chemnitz

90-78

+12

88avg 83

H24/01

FIBA Europe Cup

21-27

12-13

26-17

22-29

18-19

27-20

21-19

13-24

18-17

21-22

18-17

13-18

18-21

19-24

24-21

27-15

39-17

31-24

25-28

21-24

24-26

33-24

23-20

21-26

26-19

29-16

19-27

22-31

25-29

18-26

27-17

20-27

20-20

16-17

13-17

25-21

20-16

18-20

27-21

174.1Avg total

88.6Scored

85.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	85.6	90.5	176.1	-4.9	35%
Season at home (10)	84.4	84.5	168.9	-0.1	40%
Season away (7)	87.3	99.0	186.3	-11.7	29%
Last 10 (10)	88.6	85.5	174.1	+3.1	50%
Last 5 (5)	90.4	87.8	178.2	+2.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	81.4	97.3	178.8	-15.9	11%
vs Similar ◀ (14)	90.5	88.4	178.9	+2.1	50%
vs Weaker (6)	93.7	82.8	176.5	+10.8	83%

This opponent (Cremona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

CremonaVarese

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	19.9	38.4	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.9	19.5	39.4	+0.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.1	20.3	37.3	-3.2	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	17.5	35.8	+0.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	17.6	35.6	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	15.0	21.3	36.3	-6.3	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	19.1	20.5	39.6	-1.4	43%	-
vs Weaker (13)	18.6	18.8	37.5	-0.2	46%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.3	23.1	45.4	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	24.5	21.1	45.6	+3.4	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.7	25.4	45.1	-5.6	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.1	22.5	45.6	+0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	24.8	48.2	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	20.1	28.3	48.4	-8.2	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	23.1	22.0	45.1	+1.1	36%	-
vs Weaker (6)	23.3	18.2	41.5	+5.2	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	17.3	37.3	+2.6	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.5	16.5	39.0	+6.1	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.4	18.2	35.6	-0.8	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	15.5	34.6	+3.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	16.0	33.6	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	19.3	15.0	34.3	+4.3	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	20.5	18.1	38.6	+2.4	64%	-
vs Weaker (13)	19.5	17.0	36.5	+2.5	62%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.9	21.8	44.7	+1.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.1	21.6	44.7	+1.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.8	22.0	44.8	+0.8	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.4	21.1	44.5	+2.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.8	21.6	46.4	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	21.6	23.7	45.2	-2.1	22%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	22.9	21.8	44.7	+1.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (6)	26.8	19.7	46.5	+7.2	83%	-

CremonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pesaro

#16

53-33

+20

H19/11

Lega A

Basket Napoli

34-35

-1

A26/11

Lega A

Varese

#12

30-32

-2

A03/12

Lega A

Treviso

#13

39-31

H10/12

Lega A

Tortona

40-31

H17/12

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

22-32

-10

A24/12

Lega A

Brindisi

#15

40-25

+15

H30/12

Lega A

Pistoia

#10

32-34

-2

A07/01

Lega A

Trento

53-37

+16

H13/01

Lega A

Reggiana

31-40

-9

A21/01

Lega A

70.4Avg total

37.4Scored

33.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.5	37.2	75.7	+1.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.5	35.9	78.4	+6.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	34.5	38.5	72.9	-4.0	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.4	33.0	70.4	+4.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.6	33.6	69.2	+2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	34.3	36.3	70.7	-2.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	39.6	38.6	78.3	+1.0	29%	-
vs Weaker (13)	38.2	35.8	74.0	+2.3	54%	-

This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Brindisi

#15

33-40

-7

A10/12

Lega A

Leiden

#14

45-39

H13/12

FIBA Europe Cup

Olimpia Milano

39-39

H17/12

Lega A

Pesaro

#16

37-45

-8

A23/12

Lega A

Reggiana

70-41

+29

H29/12

Lega A

Treviso

#13

57-50

A06/01

Lega A

CSM Oradea

#17

52-38

+14

H10/01

FIBA Europe Cup

Venezia

47-60

-13

H14/01

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

40-47

-7

H21/01

Lega A

Chemnitz

45-37

H24/01

FIBA Europe Cup

90.1Avg total

46.5Scored

43.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.2	44.9	90.1	+0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	47.6	42.8	90.3	+4.8	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.5	47.4	89.9	-4.9	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.5	43.6	90.1	+2.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.2	46.4	94.6	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	41.7	52.0	93.7	-10.3	11%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	46.1	43.8	89.9	+2.3	50%	-
vs Weaker (6)	50.2	37.8	88.0	+12.3	83%	-

This opponent (Cremona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	18.3	39.5	+2.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.5	19.5	41.1	+2.0	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.9	17.0	37.9	+3.9	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	19.7	39.1	-0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	19.0	38.6	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	25.0	20.7	45.7	+4.3	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	21.2	19.1	40.3	+2.1	57%	-
vs Weaker (13)	20.3	16.8	37.2	+3.5	62%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	21.7	42.7	-0.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.2	21.7	41.9	-1.5	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.0	21.6	43.6	+0.4	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	20.1	41.9	+1.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	19.8	40.6	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	19.3	21.8	41.1	-2.4	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	23.1	21.7	44.9	+1.4	43%	-
vs Weaker (6)	19.8	21.5	41.3	-1.7	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	19.4	38.4	-0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.2	19.1	39.3	+1.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.7	19.7	37.4	-1.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	18.7	36.9	-0.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	18.2	34.2	-2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	13.7	23.3	37.0	-9.7	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	19.1	19.6	38.8	-0.5	43%	-
vs Weaker (13)	20.0	18.2	38.2	+1.8	69%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	22.4	43.4	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.6	19.9	39.6	-0.3	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.6	25.2	47.8	-2.6	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	21.8	42.1	-1.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	21.6	43.0	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	20.4	23.6	44.0	-3.1	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	20.0	22.0	42.0	-2.0	36%	-
vs Weaker (6)	23.7	23.5	47.2	+0.2	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.2	37.7	77.8	+2.5	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.7	38.7	80.4	+3.1	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.6	36.7	75.3	+1.9	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.6	38.4	76.0	-0.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.6	37.2	72.8	-1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	38.7	44.0	82.7	-5.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	40.4	38.7	79.1	+1.6	64%	-
vs Weaker (13)	40.3	35.1	75.4	+5.2	77%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.0	44.1	86.1	-2.0	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.8	41.6	81.4	-1.8	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	44.6	46.9	91.4	-2.3	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.1	41.9	84.0	+0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.2	41.4	83.6	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	39.8	45.3	85.1	-5.6	22%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	43.1	43.7	86.9	-0.6	36%	-
vs Weaker (6)	43.5	45.0	88.5	-1.5	33%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Cremonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cremona: 74.1 points a game scored

🏀🏀51%

🏀🏀🏀36%

🏀13%

🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 51% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 36% of the points

🏀 Free throws9.8 pts a game · 13% of the points

League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game

47%

35%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.8	18.8	55.6%	53.1%	37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.1	8.9	31.7%	35.7%	26.7
🏀 Free throws	12.4	9.8	79.0%	76.3%	9.8

They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 88.1 points a game scored

🏀🏀39%

🏀🏀🏀43%

🏀19%

🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 39% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.5 pts a game · 43% of the points

🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 19% of the points

League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game

47%

35%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	32.4	17.0	52.5%	53.1%	34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.9	12.5	41.8%	35.7%	37.5
🏀 Free throws	22.6	16.6	73.5%	76.3%	16.6

They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	31.3	15.2	48.6%	53.1%	30.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.9	9.1	33.8%	35.7%	27.3
🏀 Free throws	18.1	13.1	72.4%	76.3%	13.1

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	48.4	22.3	46.1%	53.1%	44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.7	8.7	35.2%	35.7%	26.1
🏀 Free throws	18.9	13.6	72.0%	76.3%	13.6

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.2	18.4	53.8%	53.1%	36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.0	8.9	34.3%	35.7%	26.7
🏀 Free throws	15.5	11.7	75.9%	76.3%	11.7

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	30.5	16.4	53.8%	53.1%	32.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	34.0	13.0	38.2%	35.7%	39.0
🏀 Free throws	20.0	15.2	76.0%	76.3%	15.2

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.3	18.9	53.5%	53.1%	37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.9	8.8	35.5%	35.7%	26.5
🏀 Free throws	18.9	13.7	72.7%	76.3%	13.7

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	47.6	24.2	50.9%	53.1%	48.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.8	8.7	33.9%	35.7%	26.2
🏀 Free throws	18.0	13.9	76.9%	76.3%	13.9

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Cremona

LWLWLWLWLW

Varese

WLLWWWWLLL

#11

League position

#12

+4.7

Net rating

+4.8

105.3

Offensive rating

111.1

100.6

Defensive rating

106.3

51.9%

Effective FG%

57.4%

49.6%

Opp. effective FG%

48.4%

16.8%

Turnover %

19.4%

26.2%

Off. rebound %

23.5%

0.20

Free-throw rate

0.36

31.7%

3-point %

41.8%

64.3%

Assist %

56.9%

50%

Form (last 10/10)

50%

Profile

■ Cremona ■ Varese

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Cremona wins

Varese wins

Date	Game	Score
03/12/23	Varese v Cremona	68-75
06/03/22	Varese v Cremona	90-78
17/10/21	Cremona v Varese	94-78
12/09/21	Varese v Cremona	86-78
06/09/21	Cremona v Varese	80-70
07/02/21	Varese v Cremona	110-105 OT
17/10/20	Cremona v Varese	80-67
21/12/19	Cremona v Varese	93-72
17/03/19	Varese v Cremona	83-64
14/02/19	Cremona v Varese	82-73

Cremonalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
21/01/24	A	Reggiana	71-78
13/01/24	H	Trento	99-80
07/01/24	A	Pistoia	60-64
30/12/23	H	Brindisi	75-58
24/12/23	A	Olimpia Milano	51-74
17/12/23	H	Tortona	83-67
10/12/23	H	Treviso	70-76
03/12/23	A	Varese	75-68
26/11/23	A	Basket Napoli	70-80
19/11/23	H	Pesaro	96-69

Vareselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
24/01/24	H	Chemnitz	90-78
21/01/24	H	Virtus Bologna	69-81
14/01/24	H	Venezia	92-103
10/01/24	H	CSM Oradea	100-81
06/01/24	A	Treviso	101-96
29/12/23	H	Reggiana	116-93
23/12/23	A	Pesaro	88-81
17/12/23	H	Olimpia Milano	70-74
13/12/23	H	Leiden	79-82
10/12/23	A	Brindisi	81-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cremona

Lega A 2023-24

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWL	47%
Home	WLWWW	75%
Away	LWLLL	22%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	8	9
Win %	47%	75%	22%
Points / game	81.0	86.6	76.0
Allowed / game	78.4	75.2	81.1
Point differential	+2.6	+11.4	-5.1
Avg total	159.4	161.9	157.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	41%	75%	11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (3)	0% (1)	0% (2)
Overtime %	6%	0%	11%

Varese

Lega A 2023-24

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLL	35%
Home	LLWLL	40%
Away	LLLWW	29%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	10	7
Win %	35%	40%	29%
Points / game	85.6	84.4	87.3
Allowed / game	90.5	84.5	99.0
Point differential	-4.9	-0.1	-11.7
Avg total	176.1	168.9	186.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	12%	20%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	38% (8)	40% (5)	33% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Brescia	18	14	4	78%	87.6	75.6	+12.1
2	Virtus Bologna	18	13	5	72%	87.7	76.8	+10.9
3	Venezia	18	13	5	72%	82.5	77.3	+5.2
4	Olimpia Milano	18	12	6	67%	79.4	73.9	+5.5
5	Basket Napoli	18	11	7	61%	86.2	82.7	+3.5
6	Reggiana	18	10	8	56%	81.9	82.9	-0.9
7	Scafati	18	9	9	50%	85.0	86.1	-1.1
8	Trento	18	9	9	50%	82.0	83.7	-1.7
9	Pistoia	18	9	9	50%	78.7	82.7	-4.0
10	Cremona	17	8	9	47%	81.0	78.4	+2.6
11	Tortona	18	8	10	44%	78.8	79.3	-0.5
12	Sassari	18	7	11	39%	75.8	81.8	-6.0
13	Varese	17	6	11	35%	85.6	90.5	-4.9
14	Treviso	18	5	13	28%	80.7	84.3	-3.7
15	Pesaro	18	5	13	28%	78.0	86.1	-8.1
16	Brindisi	18	4	14	22%	74.1	83.1	-9.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Cremona	12	23	22	25	82
Varese	19	20	26	18	83

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Cremona vs Varese Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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