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Obradoiro CAB vs Murcia Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 27 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#12
Record3-4
FormWWLLL
Points / game90.3
Allowed / game96.6
vs
Form · last 5 games
3.6/10
Below normal
5.4/10
Around normal
Position#11
Record3-4
FormWLWLW
Points / game90.1
Allowed / game93.3
SpainACBRound 14· Pavillón Multiusos Fontes do Sar
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Obradoiro CAB v Murcia
27 Dec 2026
OKA v MUR
upcoming
29 Dec 2023
OKA79
MUR87
08 Apr 2023
OKA81
MUR79
16 Oct 2021
OKA70
MUR104
19 May 2021
OKA80
MUR83
03 Feb 2019
OKA91
MUR79
10 Feb 2018
OKA70
MUR68
23 Apr 2017
OKA78
MUR86
23 Apr 2016
OKA88
MUR69
14 Mar 2015
OKA104
MUR52
17 May 2014
OKA95
MUR86
10 Nov 2012
OKA69
MUR73
11 Mar 2012
OKA69
MUR62
18 Mar 2011
OKA90
MUR80
28 Mar 2010
OKA67
MUR79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Obradoiro CAB win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Murcia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Obradoiro CABSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCAB
Date
Competition
Estudiantes
#4
W
89-79
89
79
+10
81avg 86
H26/04
Primera FEB
Estela
#12
W
95-65
95
65
+30
92avg 86
A02/05
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
W
85-68
85
68
+17
73avg 86
H08/05
Primera FEB
MoraBanc Andorra
#17
W
90-85
90
85
+5
88avg 86
A26/09
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
107-114 OT
107
114
-7
93avg 86
H04/10
ACB
Forca Lleida
#18
W
91-89
91
89
+2
81avg 86
H11/10
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#15
W
79-72
79
72
+7
66avg 86
A17/10
ACB
Tenerife
#3
L
76-106
76
106
-30
66avg 86
A25/10
ACB
Breogan
#6
L
90-110
90
110
-20
82avg 86
H01/11
ACB
Manresa
#16
L
99-100 OT
99
100
-1
no box
A07/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-14
19-27
20-23
24-15
28-21
25-13
19-22
23-9
26-24
21-18
18-14
20-12
14-27
29-19
22-24
25-15
22-22
21-32
26-21
30-24
22-21
27-22
20-17
22-29
25-23
21-15
20-16
13-18
19-20
14-29
17-30
26-27
22-20
21-30
19-32
28-28
19-19
17-16
12-20
25-18
178.9Avg total
90.1Scored
88.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)90.396.6186.9-6.343%
Season at home (3)96.0104.3200.3-8.333%
Season away (4)86.090.8176.8-4.850%
Last 10 (10)90.188.8178.9+1.360%
Last 5 (5)87.095.4182.4-8.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)88.0100.5188.5-12.525%
vs Similar ◀ (1)90.085.0175.0+5.0100%
vs Weaker (25)94.375.7170.0+18.688%
This opponent (Murcia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMurcia
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#5
W
100-94
100
94
+6
91avg 80
H04/10
ACB
Varese
#37
W
85-58
85
58
+27
89avg 80
H07/10
Champions League
Tenerife
#3
L
77-90
77
90
-13
64avg 80
H11/10
ACB
Bamberg
#53
W
86-67
86
67
+19
80avg 80
A14/10
Champions League
Valencia
#2
L
93-116
93
116
-23
78avg 80
A18/10
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#14
W
88-81
88
81
+7
74avg 80
H24/10
ACB
Peristeri
#3
L
72-80
72
80
-8
60avg 80
H27/10
Champions League
Forca Lleida
#18
W
125-98
125
98
+27
117avg 80
H31/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
71-90
71
90
-19
no box
A08/11
ACB
Bamberg
#53
W
98-66
98
66
+32
no box
H11/11
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
28-28
24-27
30-21
16-8
23-14
27-20
19-16
13-16
20-28
24-22
20-24
15-17
19-15
32-23
20-12
14-25
22-33
24-28
33-30
18-17
19-23
26-18
25-23
15-16
17-17
18-27
22-20
34-21
26-19
25-25
40-33
20-22
19-25
16-16
16-27
29-19
21-18
15-11
33-18
173.5Avg total
89.5Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)90.193.3183.4-3.143%
Season at home (4)97.590.8188.2+6.875%
Season away (3)80.396.7177.0-16.30%
Last 10 (10)89.584.0173.5+5.560%
Last 5 (5)90.883.0173.8+7.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)85.297.5182.8-12.225%
vs Similar ◀ (6)87.793.8181.5-6.233%
vs Weaker (20)91.279.7170.9+11.585%
This opponent (Obradoiro CAB) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: +3.4+3.4
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: +3.4+3.4
Obradoiro CABMurcia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Obradoiro CABLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Estudiantes
#4
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H26/04
Primera FEB
Estela
#12
W
53-34
53
34
+19
A02/05
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H08/05
Primera FEB
MoraBanc Andorra
#17
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A26/09
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
43-54
43
54
-11
H04/10
ACB
Forca Lleida
#18
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H11/10
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#15
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A17/10
ACB
Tenerife
#3
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A25/10
ACB
Breogan
#6
L
43-50
43
50
-7
H01/11
ACB
Manresa
#16
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A07/11
ACB
87.0Avg total
43.8Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.539.786.1+6.873%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.538.585.0+8.180%-
Last 30 away (15)46.440.987.3+5.567%-
Last 10 (10)43.843.287.0+0.660%-
Last 5 (5)41.443.084.4-1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)41.247.889.0-6.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (1)43.046.089.0-3.00%-
vs Weaker (25)47.438.185.6+9.384%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#5
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H04/10
ACB
Varese
#37
W
39-22
39
22
+17
H07/10
Champions League
Tenerife
#3
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H11/10
ACB
Bamberg
#53
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A14/10
Champions League
Valencia
#2
L
36-58
36
58
-22
A18/10
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#14
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H24/10
ACB
Peristeri
#3
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H27/10
Champions League
Forca Lleida
#18
W
60-40
60
40
+20
H31/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A08/11
ACB
Bamberg
#53
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H11/11
Champions League
80.5Avg total
40.6Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.040.682.6+1.557%-
Last 30 at home (18)42.940.283.2+2.761%-
Last 30 away (12)40.741.181.8-0.450%-
Last 10 (10)40.639.980.5+0.740%-
Last 5 (5)43.639.483.0+4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)38.548.887.2-10.20%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)41.743.585.2-1.850%-
vs Weaker (20)42.938.080.9+4.870%-
This opponent (Obradoiro CAB) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Obradoiro CABtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Obradoiro CAB: 89.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.6 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.522.0
54.3%
55.8%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.09.5
31.7%
36.4%28.5
🏀 Free throws22.617.1
75.7%
76.0%17.1
They take 70.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 87.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.6 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.218.4
50.8%
55.8%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.710.7
32.7%
36.4%32.1
🏀 Free throws24.519.0
77.6%
76.0%19.0
They take 68.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Obradoiro CAB
LLLWWLWWWW
Murcia
WLWLWLWLWW
#12
League position
#11
+1.2
Net rating
+1.2
105.5
Offensive rating
97.1
104.3
Defensive rating
95.9
51.4%
Effective FG%
50.0%
56.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
9.0%
Turnover %
14.0%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.36
31.7%
3-point %
32.7%
55.2%
Assist %
53.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence105.5 · 97.1Defence104.3 · 95.9Shooting51.4% · 50.0%3-point %31.7% · 32.7%Ball care9.0% · 14.0%Free throws0.32 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Obradoiro CAB   ■ Murcia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Obradoiro CAB wins
7
Murcia wins
DateGameScore
16/03/24Murcia v Obradoiro CAB94-81
29/12/23Obradoiro CAB v Murcia79-87
08/04/23Obradoiro CAB v Murcia81-79
27/11/22Murcia v Obradoiro CAB80-84
01/05/22Murcia v Obradoiro CAB98-80
16/10/21Obradoiro CAB v Murcia70-104
19/05/21Obradoiro CAB v Murcia80-83 OT
27/12/20Murcia v Obradoiro CAB93-76
03/02/19Obradoiro CAB v Murcia91-79
18/11/18Murcia v Obradoiro CAB80-58
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26AManresa99-100 OT
01/11/26HBreogan90-110
25/10/26ATenerife76-106
17/10/26ASan Pablo Burgos79-72
11/10/26HForca Lleida91-89
04/10/26HReal Madrid107-114 OT
26/09/26AMoraBanc Andorra90-85
08/05/26HGipuzkoa85-68
02/05/26AEstela95-65
26/04/26HEstudiantes89-79
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HBamberg98-66
08/11/26AReal Madrid71-90
31/10/26HForca Lleida125-98
27/10/26HPeristeri72-80
24/10/26HLeyma Coruna88-81
18/10/26AValencia93-116
14/10/26ABamberg86-67
11/10/26HTenerife77-90
07/10/26HVarese85-58
04/10/26HBarcelona100-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Obradoiro CAB
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL43%
HomeLWL33%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%33%50%
Points / game90.396.086.0
Allowed / game96.6104.390.8
Point differential-6.3-8.3-4.8
Avg total186.9200.3176.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %29%33%25%
Murcia
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL43%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %43%75%0%
Points / game90.197.580.3
Allowed / game93.390.896.7
Point differential-3.1+6.8-16.3
Avg total183.4188.2177.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid770100%106.385.3+21.0
2 Valencia86275%100.689.1+11.5
3 Tenerife86275%87.179.6+7.5
4 Baskonia75271%95.084.3+10.7
5 Barcelona75271%97.394.4+2.9
6 Breogan85362%104.8100.1+4.6
7 Basket Zaragoza85362%92.889.1+3.6
8 Bilbao74357%92.092.6-0.6
9 Unicaja84450%87.984.1+3.8
10 Basquet Girona84450%88.195.4-7.2
11 Murcia73443%90.193.3-3.1
12 Obradoiro CAB73443%90.396.6-6.3
13 Joventut Badalona83538%90.590.4+0.1
14 Leyma Coruna83538%92.5101.2-8.8
15 San Pablo Burgos82625%91.493.0-1.6
16 Manresa82625%88.0101.0-13.0
17 MoraBanc Andorra81712%86.496.5-10.1
18 Forca Lleida81712%92.8104.6-11.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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