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Real Madrid vs Obradoiro CAB Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 10:30
Final 79-69
28-20 10-17 23-19 18-13
Position#1
Record25-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game87.6
Allowed / game78.6
Real Madrid 🏆
Spain
vs
Obradoiro CAB
Spain
Position#15
Record8-22
FormWLLLW
Points / game80.4
Allowed / game85.1
SpainACBRound 31· WiZink Center
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Real Madrid v Obradoiro CAB
07 Mar 2027
MAD v OKA
upcoming
28 Apr 2024
MAD79
OKA69
02 Oct 2022
MAD93
OKA79
26 Sep 2021
MAD78
OKA68
20 Oct 2020
MAD84
OKA77
14 Apr 2019
MAD94
OKA70
08 Apr 2018
MAD78
OKA65
18 Dec 2016
MAD106
OKA59
01 May 2016
MAD111
OKA81
21 Dec 2014
MAD91
OKA73
15 Dec 2013
MAD82
OKA59
24 May 2013
MAD90
OKA75
14 Apr 2013
MAD61
OKA64
23 Oct 2011
MAD81
OKA67
07 Mar 2010
MAD92
OKA80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Obradoiro CAB winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Palencia
#18
W
86-78
86
78
+8
87avg 84
A24/03
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
101-94
101
94
+7
100avg 84
H29/03
Euroleague
Manresa
#9
L
72-83
72
83
-11
66avg 84
H31/03
ACB
Baskonia
#9
L
91-95
91
95
-4
86avg 84
H05/04
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
L
79-85
79
85
-6
72avg 84
A07/04
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
64-62
64
62
+2
64avg 84
A11/04
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
95-92
95
92
+3
86avg 84
H14/04
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
79-70
79
70
+9
73avg 84
A21/04
ACB
Baskonia
#9
W
90-74
90
74
+16
87avg 84
H23/04
Euroleague
Baskonia
#9
W
101-90
101
90
+11
103avg 84
H25/04
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-13
26-17
23-26
20-22
20-21
24-26
28-28
29-19
15-17
19-24
18-19
20-23
27-17
21-25
16-23
27-30
11-27
22-18
25-19
21-21
16-9
15-16
13-17
20-20
22-20
15-25
31-20
27-27
20-17
17-9
26-19
16-25
26-17
22-20
22-16
20-21
23-21
23-19
28-23
27-27
168.1Avg total
85.8Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)87.678.6166.3+9.083%
Season at home (14)90.578.5169.0+12.086%
Season away (16)85.178.8163.9+6.481%
Last 10 (10)85.882.3168.1+3.570%
Last 5 (5)85.877.6163.4+8.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)89.887.0176.8+2.875%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)86.082.2168.2+3.872%
This opponent (Obradoiro CAB) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Obradoiro CABSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCAB
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#7
L
72-81
72
81
-9
60avg 73
H04/02
ACB
Unicaja
#2
L
78-90
78
90
-12
66avg 73
H10/02
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
L
77-78
77
78
-1
72avg 73
A03/03
ACB
Valencia
#4
L
75-97
75
97
-22
66avg 73
H10/03
ACB
Murcia
#6
L
81-94
81
94
-13
72avg 73
A16/03
ACB
Breogan
#16
W
83-72
83
72
+11
86avg 73
H23/03
ACB
Barcelona
#3
L
84-89
84
89
-5
80avg 73
H31/03
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
L
79-98
79
98
-19
72avg 73
A06/04
ACB
Manresa
#9
L
86-94
86
94
-8
80avg 73
H13/04
ACB
Bilbao
#13
W
75-72
75
72
+3
65avg 73
A21/04
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-24
14-14
17-20
19-23
18-16
18-18
22-31
20-25
26-13
11-18
18-27
22-20
20-27
20-22
18-20
17-28
15-22
15-25
23-23
28-24
25-14
16-13
21-23
21-22
15-25
29-21
24-16
16-27
23-27
23-21
26-20
7-30
20-15
15-23
26-27
25-29
19-18
19-22
22-19
15-13
165.5Avg total
79.0Scored
86.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)80.485.1165.5-4.727%
Season at home (15)81.984.9166.8-3.133%
Season away (15)78.985.3164.3-6.420%
Last 10 (10)79.086.5165.5-7.520%
Last 5 (5)81.485.0166.4-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)80.389.1169.4-8.88%
vs Similar (16)80.283.2163.5-3.038%
vs Weaker (1)78.082.0160.0-4.00%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -5.1-5.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -5.1-5.1
Real MadridObradoiro CAB
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Palencia
#18
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A24/03
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#16
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H29/03
Euroleague
Manresa
#9
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H31/03
ACB
Baskonia
#9
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H05/04
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A07/04
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
31-25
31
25
+6
A11/04
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#10
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H14/04
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
37-26
37
26
+11
A21/04
ACB
Baskonia
#9
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H23/04
Euroleague
Baskonia
#9
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H25/04
Euroleague
77.9Avg total
40.1Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.040.181.1+0.953%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.840.684.4+3.159%-
Last 30 away (13)37.439.476.8-2.046%-
Last 10 (10)40.137.877.9+2.360%-
Last 5 (5)39.834.674.4+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)44.840.084.8+4.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)40.340.480.6-0.152%-
This opponent (Obradoiro CAB) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Obradoiro CABLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#7
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H04/02
ACB
Unicaja
#2
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H10/02
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A03/03
ACB
Valencia
#4
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H10/03
ACB
Murcia
#6
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A16/03
ACB
Breogan
#16
W
41-27
41
27
+14
H23/03
ACB
Barcelona
#3
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H31/03
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A06/04
ACB
Manresa
#9
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H13/04
ACB
Bilbao
#13
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A21/04
ACB
78.1Avg total
38.3Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.340.578.8-2.233%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.639.978.5-1.429%-
Last 30 away (16)38.141.179.1-3.038%-
Last 10 (10)38.339.878.1-1.530%-
Last 5 (5)40.839.880.6+1.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)38.542.981.5-4.431%-
vs Similar (16)38.138.276.3-0.138%-
vs Weaker (1)38.047.085.0-9.00%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 85.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.218.2
53.2%
53.0%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.911.1
37.1%
34.9%33.3
🏀 Free throws19.815.5
78.3%
75.6%15.5
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Obradoiro CABtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Obradoiro CAB: 78.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.820.7
53.4%
53.0%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.87.3
30.7%
34.9%21.9
🏀 Free throws18.915.1
79.9%
75.6%15.1
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WWWWWLLLWW
Obradoiro CAB
WLLLWLLLLL
#1
League position
#15
+5.3
Net rating
-9.4
115.2
Offensive rating
104.2
109.9
Defensive rating
113.6
54.4%
Effective FG%
50.6%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
54.8%
16.3%
Turnover %
18.1%
30.4%
Off. rebound %
28.5%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.30
37.1%
3-point %
30.7%
68.3%
Assist %
58.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence115.2 · 104.2Defence109.9 · 113.6Shooting54.4% · 50.6%3-point %37.1% · 30.7%Ball care16.3% · 18.1%Off. rebounds30.4% · 28.5%Free throws0.31 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)70% · 20%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Obradoiro CAB
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Real Madrid wins
0
Obradoiro CAB wins
DateGameScore
16/12/23Obradoiro CAB v Real Madrid74-85
05/03/23Obradoiro CAB v Real Madrid78-84
02/10/22Real Madrid v Obradoiro CAB93-79
08/05/22Obradoiro CAB v Real Madrid88-89
26/09/21Real Madrid v Obradoiro CAB78-68
23/03/21Obradoiro CAB v Real Madrid71-87
20/10/20Real Madrid v Obradoiro CAB84-77
14/04/19Real Madrid v Obradoiro CAB94-70
21/10/18Obradoiro CAB v Real Madrid73-86
21/09/18Obradoiro CAB v Real Madrid61-81
Real Madridlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/04/24HBaskonia101-90
23/04/24HBaskonia90-74
21/04/24ABasket Zaragoza79-70
14/04/24HJoventut Badalona95-92
11/04/24AZalgiris Kaunas64-62
07/04/24ABarcelona79-85
05/04/24HBaskonia91-95
31/03/24HManresa72-83
29/03/24HCrvena zvezda101-94
24/03/24APalencia86-78
Obradoiro CABlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/04/24ABilbao75-72
13/04/24HManresa86-94
06/04/24ABasket Zaragoza79-98
31/03/24HBarcelona84-89
23/03/24HBreogan83-72
16/03/24AMurcia81-94
10/03/24HValencia75-97
03/03/24ABasquet Girona77-78
10/02/24HUnicaja78-90
04/02/24HGran Canaria72-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW83%
HomeWWWLW86%
AwayWWWLW81%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301416
Win %83%86%81%
Points / game87.690.585.1
Allowed / game78.678.578.8
Point differential+9.0+12.0+6.4
Avg total166.3169.0163.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Obradoiro CAB
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW27%
HomeLLWLL33%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %27%33%20%
Points / game80.481.978.9
Allowed / game85.184.985.3
Point differential-4.7-3.1-6.4
Avg total165.5166.8164.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)0% (2)43% (7)
Overtime %7%7%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unicaja3025583%88.377.0+11.3
2 Real Madrid3025583%87.678.6+9.0
3 Barcelona3021970%87.880.4+7.4
4 Gran Canaria31201165%84.781.2+3.5
5 Murcia30191163%84.380.2+4.1
6 Tenerife30191163%84.480.7+3.7
7 Valencia30191163%83.680.7+2.8
8 Manresa30171357%84.384.1+0.2
9 Baskonia31171455%87.887.8-0.0
10 Joventut Badalona31151648%81.786.2-4.5
11 Bilbao31131842%79.081.2-2.3
12 MoraBanc Andorra30111937%83.284.4-1.2
13 Basket Zaragoza30111937%82.285.6-3.4
14 Basquet Girona31112035%80.485.6-5.2
15 Breogan3192229%74.179.4-5.3
16 Granada3192229%81.186.8-5.7
17 Obradoiro CAB3082227%80.485.1-4.7
18 Palencia3152616%78.787.5-8.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid2810231879
Obradoiro CAB2017191369
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