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Obradoiro CAB vs Valencia Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 02 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#12
Record3-4
FormWWLLL
Points / game90.3
Allowed / game96.6
Obradoiro CAB
Spain
vs
Form · last 5 games
3.6/10
Below normal
4.7/10
Around normal
Valencia
Spain
Position#2
Record5-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game99.1
Allowed / game88.0
SpainACBRound 16· Pavillón Multiusos Fontes do Sar
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Obradoiro CAB v Valencia
02 Jan 2027
OKA v VAL
upcoming
10 Mar 2024
OKA75
VAL97
23 Oct 2022
OKA98
VAL103
14 May 2022
OKA85
VAL89
27 Oct 2020
OKA77
VAL78
14 Oct 2018
OKA78
VAL81
28 Jan 2018
OKA96
VAL77
23 Oct 2016
OKA75
VAL92
27 Mar 2016
OKA79
VAL91
07 Feb 2015
OKA62
VAL73
16 Nov 2013
OKA70
VAL102
16 Mar 2013
OKA74
VAL80
02 May 2012
OKA76
VAL62
29 Nov 2009
OKA73
VAL79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Obradoiro CAB win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Obradoiro CABSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCAB
Date
Competition
Estudiantes
#4
W
89-79
89
79
+10
81avg 85
H26/04
Primera FEB
Estela
#12
W
95-65
95
65
+30
92avg 85
A02/05
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
W
85-68
85
68
+17
73avg 85
H08/05
Primera FEB
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
W
90-85
90
85
+5
88avg 85
A26/09
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
107-114 OT
107
114
-7
93avg 85
H04/10
ACB
Forca Lleida
#17
W
91-89
91
89
+2
81avg 85
H11/10
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#15
W
79-72
79
72
+7
66avg 85
A17/10
ACB
Tenerife
#4
L
76-106
76
106
-30
66avg 85
A25/10
ACB
Breogan
#7
L
90-110
90
110
-20
82avg 85
H01/11
ACB
Manresa
#18
L
99-100 OT
99
100
-1
no box
A07/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-14
19-27
20-23
24-15
28-21
25-13
19-22
23-9
26-24
21-18
18-14
20-12
14-27
29-19
22-24
25-15
22-22
21-32
26-21
30-24
22-21
27-22
20-17
22-29
25-23
21-15
20-16
13-18
19-20
14-29
17-30
26-27
22-20
21-30
19-32
28-28
19-19
17-16
12-20
25-18
178.9Avg total
90.1Scored
88.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)90.396.6186.9-6.343%
Season at home (3)96.0104.3200.3-8.333%
Season away (4)86.090.8176.8-4.850%
Last 10 (10)90.188.8178.9+1.360%
Last 5 (5)87.095.4182.4-8.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)88.0100.5188.5-12.525%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (26)94.176.1170.2+18.088%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#4
L
97-102 OT
97
102
-5
86avg 94
H13/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#18
L
88-91
88
91
-3
79avg 94
H15/10
Euroleague
Murcia
#11
W
116-93
116
93
+23
113avg 94
H18/10
ACB
Paris
#14
W
104-93
104
93
+11
98avg 94
A23/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#3
W
84-75
84
75
+9
69avg 94
H25/10
ACB
Fenerbahce
#5
W
86-78
86
78
+8
73avg 94
H27/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#7
L
94-98
94
98
-4
86avg 94
A30/10
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
W
111-79
111
79
+32
no box
A01/11
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
84-73
84
73
+11
no box
A05/11
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#15
W
100-93
100
93
+7
no box
A08/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-17
28-17
12-25
19-31
23-31
25-19
24-21
16-20
25-14
33-22
28-24
30-33
32-26
25-28
26-16
21-23
27-19
14-16
18-18
25-22
19-9
17-16
24-21
26-32
25-30
17-14
26-25
26-29
20-21
26-18
31-29
34-11
24-15
16-22
11-22
33-14
22-27
19-25
30-20
29-21
183.9Avg total
96.4Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)99.188.0187.1+11.171%
Season at home (3)100.091.0191.0+9.067%
Season away (4)98.585.8184.2+12.875%
Last 10 (10)96.487.5183.9+8.970%
Last 5 (5)95.084.2179.2+10.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)90.088.4178.4+1.660%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)98.987.4186.3+11.580%
This opponent (Obradoiro CAB) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: +2.3+2.3
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: +2.3+2.3
Obradoiro CABValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Obradoiro CABLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Estudiantes
#4
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H26/04
Primera FEB
Estela
#12
W
53-34
53
34
+19
A02/05
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H08/05
Primera FEB
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A26/09
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
43-54
43
54
-11
H04/10
ACB
Forca Lleida
#17
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H11/10
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#15
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A17/10
ACB
Tenerife
#4
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A25/10
ACB
Breogan
#7
L
43-50
43
50
-7
H01/11
ACB
Manresa
#18
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A07/11
ACB
87.0Avg total
43.8Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.539.786.1+6.873%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.538.585.0+8.180%-
Last 30 away (15)46.440.987.3+5.567%-
Last 10 (10)43.843.287.0+0.660%-
Last 5 (5)41.443.084.4-1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)41.247.889.0-6.525%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (26)47.338.485.7+8.881%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#4
W
59-34
59
34
+25
H13/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#18
L
48-50
48
50
-2
H15/10
Euroleague
Murcia
#11
W
58-36
58
36
+22
H18/10
ACB
Paris
#14
W
57-54
57
54
+3
A23/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#3
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H25/10
ACB
Fenerbahce
#5
W
36-25
36
25
+11
H27/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#7
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A30/10
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A01/11
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A05/11
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#15
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A08/11
ACB
87.4Avg total
46.8Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.341.889.1+5.573%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.441.090.4+8.473%-
Last 30 away (15)45.142.687.7+2.573%-
Last 10 (10)46.840.687.4+6.270%-
Last 5 (5)41.039.480.4+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)47.839.287.0+8.680%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)47.242.389.5+4.872%-
This opponent (Obradoiro CAB) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Obradoiro CABtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Obradoiro CAB: 89.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.6 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.522.0
54.3%
55.7%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.09.5
31.7%
36.2%28.5
🏀 Free throws22.617.1
75.7%
75.8%17.1
They take 70.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 94.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.6 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.623.6
55.4%
55.7%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.210.7
35.4%
36.2%32.1
🏀 Free throws20.615.2
73.8%
75.8%15.2
They take 72.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Obradoiro CAB
LLLWWLWWWW
Valencia
WWWLWWWWLL
#12
League position
#2
+1.2
Net rating
+7.0
105.5
Offensive rating
106.7
104.3
Defensive rating
99.7
51.4%
Effective FG%
54.5%
56.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
9.0%
Turnover %
8.7%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.28
31.7%
3-point %
35.4%
55.2%
Assist %
52.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence105.5 · 106.7Defence104.3 · 99.7Shooting51.4% · 54.5%3-point %31.7% · 35.4%Ball care9.0% · 8.7%Free throws0.32 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Obradoiro CAB   ■ Valencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Obradoiro CAB wins
9
Valencia wins
DateGameScore
10/03/24Obradoiro CAB v Valencia75-97
08/10/23Valencia v Obradoiro CAB85-79
29/04/23Valencia v Obradoiro CAB87-78
23/10/22Obradoiro CAB v Valencia98-103 OT
14/05/22Obradoiro CAB v Valencia85-89
23/12/21Valencia v Obradoiro CAB91-71
16/04/21Valencia v Obradoiro CAB97-82
27/10/20Obradoiro CAB v Valencia77-78
09/02/19Valencia v Obradoiro CAB87-94
14/10/18Obradoiro CAB v Valencia78-81
Obradoiro CABlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26AManresa99-100 OT
01/11/26HBreogan90-110
25/10/26ATenerife76-106
17/10/26ASan Pablo Burgos79-72
11/10/26HForca Lleida91-89
04/10/26HReal Madrid107-114 OT
26/09/26AMoraBanc Andorra90-85
08/05/26HGipuzkoa85-68
02/05/26AEstela95-65
26/04/26HEstudiantes89-79
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26ASan Pablo Burgos100-93
05/11/26AOlimpia Milano84-73
01/11/26AMoraBanc Andorra111-79
30/10/26ABarcelona94-98
27/10/26HFenerbahce86-78
25/10/26HBaskonia84-75
23/10/26AParis104-93
18/10/26HMurcia116-93
15/10/26HMaccabi Tel Aviv88-91
13/10/26HOlympiacos97-102 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Obradoiro CAB
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL43%
HomeLWL33%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%33%50%
Points / game90.396.086.0
Allowed / game96.6104.390.8
Point differential-6.3-8.3-4.8
Avg total186.9200.3176.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %29%33%25%
Valencia
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW71%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %71%67%75%
Points / game99.1100.098.5
Allowed / game88.091.085.8
Point differential+11.1+9.0+12.8
Avg total187.1191.0184.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid770100%106.385.3+21.0
2 Valencia75271%99.188.0+11.1
3 Baskonia75271%95.084.3+10.7
4 Tenerife75271%86.779.0+7.7
5 Basket Zaragoza75271%92.687.7+4.9
6 Barcelona75271%97.394.4+2.9
7 Breogan74357%102.798.7+4.0
8 Bilbao74357%92.092.6-0.6
9 Basquet Girona74357%90.797.3-6.6
10 Unicaja73443%88.786.1+2.6
11 Murcia73443%90.193.3-3.1
12 Obradoiro CAB73443%90.396.6-6.3
13 Leyma Coruna73443%91.999.9-8.0
14 Joventut Badalona72529%89.389.9-0.6
15 San Pablo Burgos72529%88.789.3-0.6
16 MoraBanc Andorra71614%86.797.4-10.7
17 Forca Lleida71614%92.9105.6-12.7
18 Manresa71614%86.6102.3-15.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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