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Ohio vs Miami (Ohio) Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 30 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 00:00
Scheduled
Position#170
Record2-1
FormLLWWL
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game75.7
vs
Position#76
Record3-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game76.0
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Ohio v Miami (Ohio)
29 Jan 2027
OHIO v MIAM
upcoming
06 Mar 2026
OHIO108
MIAM110
01 Mar 2025
OHIO75
MIAM66
03 Feb 2024
OHIO78
MIAM69
15 Feb 2022
OHIO91
MIAM78
12 Jan 2021
OHIO78
MIAM61
08 Feb 2020
OHIO77
MIAM46
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ohio win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Miami (Ohio) win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OhioUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
74-90
74
90
-16
A14/02
NCAA
Ball State
#288
W
69-57
69
57
+12
H18/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#342
W
74-66
74
66
+8
A21/02
NCAA
Toledo
#156
L
67-79
67
79
-12
H28/02
NCAA
UMass
#189
L
82-94
82
94
-12
A04/03
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
108-110 OT
108
110
-2
H07/03
NCAA
Kent State
#52
L
75-86
75
86
-11
A12/03
NCAA
South Alabama
#257
W
86-77
86
77
+9
A03/11
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#194
W
80-70
80
70
+10
H07/11
NCAA
Purdue
#126
L
62-80
62
80
-18
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
35-43
39-47
32-15
37-42
37-25
37-41
28-41
39-38
39-37
43-57
48-54
52-46
38-40
37-46
34-35
52-42
38-31
42-39
28-37
34-43
158.6Avg total
77.7Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)76.075.7151.7+0.367%
Season at home (1)80.070.0150.0+10.0100%
Season away (2)74.078.5152.5-4.550%
Last 10 (10)77.780.9158.6-3.240%
Last 5 (5)82.284.6166.8-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)72.784.9157.6-12.29%
vs Similar (14)80.476.0156.4+4.471%
vs Weaker (4)80.564.0144.5+16.5100%
This opponent (Miami (Ohio)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami (Ohio)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Michigan
#322
W
74-64
74
64
+10
A24/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
W
69-67
69
67
+2
A27/02
NCAA
Toledo
#156
W
74-72
74
72
+2
H04/03
NCAA
Ohio
#241
W
110-108 OT
110
108
+2
A07/03
NCAA
UMass
#189
L
83-87
83
87
-4
H12/03
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
W
89-79
89
79
+10
A19/03
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
L
56-78
56
78
-22
A20/03
NCAA
James Madison
#282
W
86-77
86
77
+9
A03/11
NCAA
Bellarmine
#341
W
80-73
80
73
+7
H07/11
NCAA
Evansville
#229
W
86-78
86
78
+8
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
43-22
31-42
26-30
43-37
40-35
34-37
54-48
46-52
39-37
44-50
43-34
46-45
32-51
24-27
35-41
51-36
36-31
44-42
43-45
43-33
159.0Avg total
80.7Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)84.076.0160.0+8.0100%
Season at home (1)80.073.0153.0+7.0100%
Season away (2)86.077.5163.5+8.5100%
Last 10 (10)80.778.3159.0+2.480%
Last 5 (5)79.477.0156.4+2.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)76.073.0149.0+3.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (29)88.077.5165.6+10.593%
This opponent (Ohio) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -0.1-0.11st half: +1.7+1.72nd half2nd half: -2.9-2.92nd half: +0.5+0.5
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -0.1-0.11st half: +1.7+1.72nd half2nd half: -2.9-2.92nd half: +0.5+0.5
OhioMiami (Ohio)
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
OhioLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A14/02
NCAA
Ball State
#288
W
32-15
32
15
+17
H18/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#342
W
37-25
37
25
+12
A21/02
NCAA
Toledo
#156
L
28-41
28
41
-13
H28/02
NCAA
UMass
#189
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A04/03
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
48-54
48
54
-6
H07/03
NCAA
Kent State
#52
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A12/03
NCAA
South Alabama
#257
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A03/11
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#194
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H07/11
NCAA
Purdue
#126
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A14/11
NCAA
71.5Avg total
35.7Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.136.272.4-0.150%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.736.173.8+1.665%-
Last 30 away (13)34.136.470.5-2.331%-
Last 10 (10)35.735.871.5-0.140%-
Last 5 (5)37.239.476.6-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)34.342.576.8-8.39%-
vs Similar (14)36.134.070.1+2.164%-
vs Weaker (4)37.527.264.8+10.2100%-
This opponent (Miami (Ohio)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami (Ohio)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Michigan
#322
W
43-22
43
22
+21
A24/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
L
26-30
26
30
-4
A27/02
NCAA
Toledo
#156
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H04/03
NCAA
Ohio
#241
W
54-48
54
48
+6
A07/03
NCAA
UMass
#189
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H12/03
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A19/03
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
L
32-51
32
51
-19
A20/03
NCAA
James Madison
#282
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A03/11
NCAA
Bellarmine
#341
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H07/11
NCAA
Evansville
#229
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A14/11
NCAA
76.5Avg total
39.1Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.135.878.9+7.377%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.836.380.1+7.577%-
Last 30 away (17)42.635.477.9+7.276%-
Last 10 (10)39.137.476.5+1.760%-
Last 5 (5)37.840.478.2-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)33.036.069.0-3.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)43.435.879.2+7.779%-
This opponent (Ohio) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Ohio wins
3
Miami (Ohio) wins
DateGameScore
07/03/26Ohio v Miami (Ohio)108-110 OT
14/02/26Miami (Ohio) v Ohio90-74
01/03/25Ohio v Miami (Ohio)75-66
01/02/25Miami (Ohio) v Ohio73-69
09/03/24Miami (Ohio) v Ohio59-72
03/02/24Ohio v Miami (Ohio)78-69
16/02/22Ohio v Miami (Ohio)91-78
19/01/22Miami (Ohio) v Ohio63-86
13/01/21Ohio v Miami (Ohio)78-61
07/03/20Miami (Ohio) v Ohio65-67
Ohiolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26APurdue62-80
07/11/26HN. Carolina A&T80-70
03/11/26ASouth Alabama86-77
12/03/26AKent State75-86
07/03/26HMiami (Ohio)108-110 OT
04/03/26AUMass82-94
28/02/26HToledo67-79
21/02/26ANorthern Illinois74-66
18/02/26HBall State69-57
14/02/26AMiami (Ohio)74-90
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AEvansville86-78
07/11/26HBellarmine80-73
03/11/26AJames Madison86-77
20/03/26ATennessee56-78
19/03/26ASMU Mustangs89-79
12/03/26HUMass83-87
07/03/26AOhio110-108 OT
04/03/26HToledo74-72
27/02/26AWestern Michigan69-67
24/02/26AEastern Michigan74-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ohio
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game76.080.074.0
Allowed / game75.770.078.5
Point differential+0.3+10.0-4.5
Avg total151.7150.0152.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Miami (Ohio)
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game84.080.086.0
Allowed / game76.073.077.5
Point differential+8.0+7.0+8.5
Avg total160.0153.0163.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Akron330100%84.062.7+21.3
2 Central Michigan440100%83.865.8+18.0
3 Bowling Green330100%86.376.0+10.3
4 Miami (Ohio)330100%84.076.0+8.0
5 Western Michigan43175%79.060.8+18.2
6 Eastern Michigan32167%77.363.3+14.0
7 UMass32167%66.064.3+1.7
8 Ohio32167%76.075.7+0.3
9 Northern Illinois53260%79.473.2+6.2
10 Toledo52340%73.077.2-4.2
11 Kent State31233%83.375.3+8.0
12 Buffalo31233%77.779.0-1.3
13 Ball State41325%68.872.5-3.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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