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Ohio vs UMass Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 09 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#170
Record2-1
FormLLWWL
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game75.7
vs
Position#168
Record2-1
FormWLWLW
Points / game66.0
Allowed / game64.3
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Ohio v UMass
09 Jan 2027
OHIO v UMAS
upcoming
06 Jan 2026
OHIO86
UMAS83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ohio win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
UMass win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OhioUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
74-90
74
90
-16
A14/02
NCAA
Ball State
#288
W
69-57
69
57
+12
H18/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#342
W
74-66
74
66
+8
A21/02
NCAA
Toledo
#156
L
67-79
67
79
-12
H28/02
NCAA
UMass
#189
L
82-94
82
94
-12
A04/03
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
108-110 OT
108
110
-2
H07/03
NCAA
Kent State
#52
L
75-86
75
86
-11
A12/03
NCAA
South Alabama
#257
W
86-77
86
77
+9
A03/11
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#194
W
80-70
80
70
+10
H07/11
NCAA
Purdue
#126
L
62-80
62
80
-18
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
35-43
39-47
32-15
37-42
37-25
37-41
28-41
39-38
39-37
43-57
48-54
52-46
38-40
37-46
34-35
52-42
38-31
42-39
28-37
34-43
158.6Avg total
77.7Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)76.075.7151.7+0.367%
Season at home (1)80.070.0150.0+10.0100%
Season away (2)74.078.5152.5-4.550%
Last 10 (10)77.780.9158.6-3.240%
Last 5 (5)82.284.6166.8-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)72.784.9157.6-12.29%
vs Similar ◀ (14)80.476.0156.4+4.471%
vs Weaker (4)80.564.0144.5+16.5100%
This opponent (UMass) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMassUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
77-86
77
86
-9
H18/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
L
82-86 OT
82
86
-4
H21/02
NCAA
Ball State
#288
L
73-74 OT
73
74
-1
A25/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
L
62-81
62
81
-19
A28/02
NCAA
Ohio
#241
W
94-82
94
82
+12
H04/03
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
W
87-83
87
83
+4
A12/03
NCAA
Toledo
#156
L
67-77
67
77
-10
A13/03
NCAA
Troy
#325
W
71-60
71
60
+11
A03/11
NCAA
Boston College
#36
L
55-71
55
71
-16
A06/11
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#107
W
72-62
72
62
+10
H12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
36-41
41-45
34-29
34-39
34-21
27-40
37-28
25-53
37-39
57-43
37-39
50-44
34-43
33-34
38-28
33-32
35-37
20-34
31-37
41-25
150.2Avg total
74.0Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)66.064.3130.3+1.767%
Season at home (1)72.062.0134.0+10.0100%
Season away (2)63.065.5128.5-2.550%
Last 10 (10)74.076.2150.2-2.240%
Last 5 (5)70.470.6141.0-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)78.683.6162.2-5.025%
vs Similar ◀ (10)80.980.9161.8+0.050%
vs Weaker (11)76.772.0148.7+4.773%
This opponent (Ohio) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -0.1-0.11st half: +1.1+1.12nd half2nd half: -2.9-2.92nd half: -2.8-2.8
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -0.1-0.11st half: +1.1+1.12nd half2nd half: -2.9-2.92nd half: -2.8-2.8
OhioUMass
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
OhioLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A14/02
NCAA
Ball State
#288
W
32-15
32
15
+17
H18/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#342
W
37-25
37
25
+12
A21/02
NCAA
Toledo
#156
L
28-41
28
41
-13
H28/02
NCAA
UMass
#189
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A04/03
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
48-54
48
54
-6
H07/03
NCAA
Kent State
#52
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A12/03
NCAA
South Alabama
#257
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A03/11
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#194
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H07/11
NCAA
Purdue
#126
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A14/11
NCAA
71.5Avg total
35.7Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.136.272.4-0.150%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.736.173.8+1.665%-
Last 30 away (13)34.136.470.5-2.331%-
Last 10 (10)35.735.871.5-0.140%-
Last 5 (5)37.239.476.6-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)34.342.576.8-8.39%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)36.134.070.1+2.164%-
vs Weaker (4)37.527.264.8+10.2100%-
This opponent (UMass) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMassLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H18/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H21/02
NCAA
Ball State
#288
W
34-21
34
21
+13
A25/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A28/02
NCAA
Ohio
#241
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H04/03
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A12/03
NCAA
Toledo
#156
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A13/03
NCAA
Troy
#325
W
38-28
38
28
+10
A03/11
NCAA
Boston College
#36
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A06/11
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#107
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H12/11
NCAA
69.5Avg total
35.3Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.534.370.8+2.157%-
Last 30 at home (13)35.132.767.8+2.454%-
Last 30 away (17)37.535.673.1+1.959%-
Last 10 (10)35.334.269.5+1.140%-
Last 5 (5)35.036.871.8-1.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)37.537.975.4-0.425%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)35.434.670.0+0.850%-
vs Weaker (11)36.332.769.0+3.582%-
This opponent (Ohio) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Ohio wins
1
UMass wins
DateGameScore
04/03/26UMass v Ohio94-82
06/01/26Ohio v UMass86-83
Ohiolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26APurdue62-80
07/11/26HN. Carolina A&T80-70
03/11/26ASouth Alabama86-77
12/03/26AKent State75-86
07/03/26HMiami (Ohio)108-110 OT
04/03/26AUMass82-94
28/02/26HToledo67-79
21/02/26ANorthern Illinois74-66
18/02/26HBall State69-57
14/02/26AMiami (Ohio)74-90
UMasslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HUMass Lowell72-62
06/11/26ABoston College55-71
03/11/26ATroy71-60
13/03/26AToledo67-77
12/03/26AMiami (Ohio)87-83
04/03/26HOhio94-82
28/02/26ABowling Green62-81
25/02/26ABall State73-74 OT
21/02/26HBuffalo82-86 OT
18/02/26HMiami (Ohio)77-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ohio
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game76.080.074.0
Allowed / game75.770.078.5
Point differential+0.3+10.0-4.5
Avg total151.7150.0152.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
UMass
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game66.072.063.0
Allowed / game64.362.065.5
Point differential+1.7+10.0-2.5
Avg total130.3134.0128.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Akron330100%84.062.7+21.3
2 Central Michigan440100%83.865.8+18.0
3 Bowling Green330100%86.376.0+10.3
4 Miami (Ohio)330100%84.076.0+8.0
5 Western Michigan43175%79.060.8+18.2
6 Eastern Michigan32167%77.363.3+14.0
7 UMass32167%66.064.3+1.7
8 Ohio32167%76.075.7+0.3
9 Northern Illinois53260%79.473.2+6.2
10 Toledo52340%73.077.2-4.2
11 Kent State31233%83.375.3+8.0
12 Buffalo31233%77.779.0-1.3
13 Ball State41325%68.872.5-3.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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