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Okapi Aalst vs Leiden Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 17 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 19:30
Scheduled
Position#4
Record5-2
FormLWWLW
Points / game91.7
Allowed / game86.9
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.2/10
Around normal
5.1/10
Around normal
Position#10
Record3-4
FormWLLWL
Points / game77.1
Allowed / game78.4
EuropeBNXT League· Okapi Forum
Other2026-27
Meetings · Okapi Aalst v Leiden
17 Feb 2027
OKAP v LEI
upcoming
01 Nov 2025
OKAP108
LEI83
07 Feb 2025
OKAP80
LEI71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Okapi Aalst win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Leiden win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Okapi AalstLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAalst
Date
Competition
Rotterdam
#17
W
102-92
102
92
+10
93avg 92
H02/05
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
L
85-99
85
99
-14
75avg 92
A06/05
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
W
118-90
118
90
+28
123avg 92
H09/05
BNXT League
Oostende
#6
W
95-87
95
87
+8
78avg 92
H03/10
BNXT League
Mechelen
#11
W
94-79
94
79
+15
88avg 92
A10/10
BNXT League
Leiden
#10
L
77-92
77
92
-15
74avg 92
A17/10
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#9
W
114-90
114
90
+24
110avg 92
H25/10
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
83-69
83
69
+14
82avg 92
H31/10
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#3
L
77-91
77
91
-14
no box
A08/11
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#7
W
102-100
102
100
+2
no box
H14/11
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-29
25-12
22-27
32-24
19-22
22-28
16-25
28-24
27-25
25-16
32-18
34-31
23-17
25-24
26-18
21-28
23-21
19-28
26-16
26-14
26-25
15-17
16-24
20-26
31-24
28-29
30-12
25-25
22-21
22-23
25-5
14-20
10-23
25-30
20-23
22-15
22-30
31-25
18-27
31-18
183.6Avg total
94.7Scored
88.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)91.786.9178.6+4.971%
Season at home (4)98.586.5185.0+12.0100%
Season away (3)82.787.3170.0-4.733%
Last 10 (10)94.788.9183.6+5.870%
Last 5 (5)90.688.4179.0+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)90.090.0180.0+0.050%
vs Similar (7)90.195.3185.4-5.129%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)98.185.0183.1+13.090%
This opponent (Leiden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LeidenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLeiden
Date
Competition
Den Bosch
#6
W
93-75
93
75
+18
87avg 74
A01/05
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
W
100-74
100
74
+26
99avg 74
A06/05
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
W
110-102
110
102
+8
119avg 74
H09/05
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#13
W
76-71
76
71
+5
68avg 74
A02/10
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#3
L
61-77
61
77
-16
46avg 74
H10/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#4
W
92-77
92
77
+15
88avg 74
H17/10
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#12
L
64-67
64
67
-3
55avg 74
A24/10
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#9
L
83-96
83
96
-13
72avg 74
H31/10
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
99-79
99
79
+20
no box
A07/11
BNXT League
Oostende
#6
L
65-82
65
82
-17
no box
H14/11
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-21
25-18
22-18
21-18
21-21
19-18
30-14
30-21
30-25
24-22
31-26
25-29
14-23
18-15
18-21
26-12
16-23
20-16
12-25
13-13
25-26
17-15
24-16
26-20
11-11
14-14
22-17
17-25
17-24
22-19
26-25
18-28
27-21
20-26
21-22
31-10
17-20
20-23
17-24
11-15
164.3Avg total
84.3Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)77.178.4155.6-1.343%
Season at home (4)75.283.0158.2-7.825%
Season away (3)79.772.3152.0+7.367%
Last 10 (10)84.380.0164.3+4.360%
Last 5 (5)80.680.2160.8+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)73.986.1160.0-12.210%
vs Similar (9)84.782.6167.2+2.156%
vs Weaker (11)82.878.3161.1+4.564%
This opponent (Okapi Aalst) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: +2.7+2.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: +2.7+2.7
Okapi AalstLeiden
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Okapi AalstLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rotterdam
#17
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H02/05
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A06/05
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H09/05
BNXT League
Oostende
#6
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H03/10
BNXT League
Mechelen
#11
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A10/10
BNXT League
Leiden
#10
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A17/10
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#9
W
59-53
59
53
+6
H25/10
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H31/10
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#3
L
35-53
35
53
-18
A08/11
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#7
L
53-55
53
55
-2
H14/11
BNXT League
93.2Avg total
46.3Scored
46.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.145.692.7+1.553%-
Last 30 at home (16)49.546.295.8+3.256%-
Last 30 away (14)44.444.989.2-0.550%-
Last 10 (10)46.346.993.2-0.640%-
Last 5 (5)46.449.495.8-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.549.586.0-13.00%-
vs Similar (7)44.647.792.3-3.143%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)49.044.593.5+4.462%-
This opponent (Leiden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LeidenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Den Bosch
#6
W
50-39
50
39
+11
A01/05
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A06/05
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
W
54-47
54
47
+7
H09/05
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#13
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A02/10
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#3
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H10/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#4
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H17/10
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#12
D
25-25
25
25
+0
A24/10
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#9
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H31/10
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A07/11
BNXT League
Oostende
#6
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H14/11
BNXT League
80.3Avg total
40.2Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.442.381.7-2.937%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.243.484.6-2.238%-
Last 30 away (14)37.441.078.4-3.636%-
Last 10 (10)40.240.180.3+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)38.039.877.8-1.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)38.644.483.0-5.820%-
vs Similar (9)39.442.181.6-2.733%-
vs Weaker (11)40.140.580.5-0.455%-
This opponent (Okapi Aalst) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Okapi Aalsttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Okapi Aalst: 94.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.821.1
60.6%
53.2%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.711.1
40.1%
32.1%33.3
🏀 Free throws24.418.5
75.8%
71.0%18.5
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Leidentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leiden: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.922.3
54.5%
53.2%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.48.7
33.0%
32.1%26.1
🏀 Free throws17.613.5
76.7%
71.0%13.5
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Okapi Aalst
WLWWLWWWLW
Leiden
LWLLWLWWWW
#4
League position
#10
+10.6
Net rating
+2.4
108.3
Offensive rating
96.4
97.7
Defensive rating
94.0
60.4%
Effective FG%
52.5%
54.2%
Opp. effective FG%
55.9%
15.9%
Turnover %
15.8%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.26
40.1%
3-point %
33.0%
59.3%
Assist %
61.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence108.3 · 96.4Defence97.7 · 94.0Shooting60.4% · 52.5%3-point %40.1% · 33.0%Ball care15.9% · 15.8%Free throws0.39 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Okapi Aalst   ■ Leiden
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Okapi Aalst wins
2
Leiden wins
DateGameScore
17/10/26Leiden v Okapi Aalst92-77
25/04/26Leiden v Okapi Aalst85-97
01/11/25Okapi Aalst v Leiden108-83
07/02/25Okapi Aalst v Leiden80-71
12/10/24Leiden v Okapi Aalst79-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HDen Bosch102-100
08/11/26ABrussels Basketball77-91
31/10/26HBelfius Mons83-69
25/10/26HDonar Groningen114-90
17/10/26ALeiden77-92
10/10/26AMechelen94-79
03/10/26HOostende95-87
09/05/26HLWD Basket118-90
06/05/26ALimburg85-99
02/05/26HRotterdam102-92
Leidenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HOostende65-82
07/11/26ABelfius Mons99-79
31/10/26HDonar Groningen83-96
24/10/26ALeuven Bears64-67
17/10/26HOkapi Aalst92-77
10/10/26HBrussels Basketball61-77
02/10/26ARotterdam76-71
09/05/26HDen Helder110-102
06/05/26ALWD Basket100-74
01/05/26ADen Bosch93-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Okapi Aalst
BNXT League 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW71%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %71%100%33%
Points / game91.798.582.7
Allowed / game86.986.587.3
Point differential+4.9+12.0-4.7
Avg total178.6185.0170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Leiden
BNXT League 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL43%
HomeLWLL25%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %43%25%67%
Points / game77.175.279.7
Allowed / game78.483.072.3
Point differential-1.3-7.8+7.3
Avg total155.6158.2152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Antwerp Giants770100%99.378.0+21.3
2 Spirou Charleroi75271%79.068.0+11.0
3 Brussels Basketball75271%80.470.9+9.6
4 Okapi Aalst75271%91.786.9+4.9
5 Limburg64267%92.084.3+7.7
6 Oostende74357%76.973.1+3.7
7 Den Bosch74357%83.683.6+0.0
8 Zwolle63350%72.777.0-4.3
9 Donar Groningen63350%81.389.5-8.2
10 Leiden73443%77.178.4-1.3
11 Mechelen73443%88.491.0-2.6
12 Leuven Bears73443%69.974.6-4.7
13 Rotterdam62433%75.880.2-4.3
14 Kortrijk72529%83.082.4+0.6
15 CB Liege71614%77.089.0-12.0
16 Belfius Mons7070%66.989.4-22.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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