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Okapi Aalst vs Leiden Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 108-83
23-23 31-21 28-26 26-13
Position#3
Record4-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game88.5
Allowed / game86.0
vs
Position#10
Record5-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game94.6
Allowed / game69.8
EuropeBNXT LeagueRound 6· Okapi Forum
Other2025-26
Meetings · Okapi Aalst v Leiden
17 Feb 2027
OKAP v LEI
upcoming
01 Nov 2025
OKAP108
LEI83
07 Feb 2025
OKAP80
LEI71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Okapi Aalst winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Leiden winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Okapi AalstLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAalst
Date
Competition
Mechelen
#3
W
79-78
79
78
+1
76avg 75
A30/04
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
100-78
100
78
+22
98avg 75
H03/05
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
L
61-80
61
80
-19
56avg 75
A07/05
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#10
L
88-99
88
99
-11
81avg 75
A10/05
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
W
89-85
89
85
+4
84avg 75
A28/09
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
W
93-74
93
74
+19
87avg 75
H04/10
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
W
85-83
85
83
+2
78avg 75
A11/10
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#7
L
78-85
78
85
-7
61avg 75
A18/10
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
W
105-94
105
94
+11
97avg 75
A22/10
BNXT League
Zwolle
#14
L
81-95
81
95
-14
65avg 75
H25/10
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-23
22-20
17-20
18-15
32-16
32-25
23-23
13-14
11-26
16-23
13-19
21-12
18-31
16-26
25-25
29-17
20-18
19-21
22-21
28-25
18-24
23-18
21-15
31-17
22-22
23-20
16-20
24-21
19-17
25-19
17-27
17-22
23-18
28-22
38-23
16-31
18-34
27-17
18-18
18-26
171.0Avg total
85.9Scored
85.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)88.586.0174.5+2.567%
Season at home (2)87.084.5171.5+2.550%
Season away (4)89.286.8176.0+2.575%
Last 10 (10)85.985.1171.0+0.860%
Last 5 (5)88.486.2174.6+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)72.986.3159.2-13.430%
vs Similar (9)82.683.1165.7-0.644%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)89.281.6170.8+7.573%
This opponent (Leiden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LeidenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLeiden
Date
Competition
LWD Basket
#3
L
82-84
82
84
-2
80avg 73
H26/05
DBL
LWD Basket
#3
W
90-85
90
85
+5
81avg 73
A28/05
DBL
Den Bosch
#1
L
72-85
72
85
-13
60avg 73
A01/06
DBL
Den Bosch
#1
L
63-90
63
90
-27
46avg 73
H03/06
DBL
Den Bosch
#1
L
67-86
67
86
-19
51avg 73
A05/06
DBL
BAL Weert
#18
W
83-64
83
64
+19
76avg 73
A27/09
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
W
111-68
111
68
+43
109avg 73
H04/10
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
W
87-60
87
60
+27
85avg 73
A12/10
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
W
108-89
108
89
+19
110avg 73
H18/10
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
W
84-68
84
68
+16
82avg 73
A25/10
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-26
17-19
23-22
21-17
23-15
25-26
22-23
20-21
26-23
16-24
13-19
17-19
18-32
18-21
11-20
16-17
22-21
12-25
22-19
11-21
25-12
23-17
18-20
17-15
33-15
34-17
24-17
20-19
22-12
32-18
15-14
18-16
21-21
28-23
26-23
33-22
20-21
29-13
25-18
10-16
162.6Avg total
84.7Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)94.669.8164.4+24.8100%
Season at home (2)109.578.5188.0+31.0100%
Season away (3)84.764.0148.7+20.7100%
Last 10 (10)84.777.9162.6+6.860%
Last 5 (5)94.669.8164.4+24.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)69.384.1153.4-14.818%
vs Similar (4)80.075.5155.5+4.550%
vs Weaker (15)88.475.9164.3+12.580%
This opponent (Okapi Aalst) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +0.0+0.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +0.0+0.0
Okapi AalstLeiden
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Okapi AalstLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mechelen
#3
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A30/04
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
64-41
64
41
+23
H03/05
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
L
27-49
27
49
-22
A07/05
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#10
L
34-57
34
57
-23
A10/05
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A28/09
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H04/10
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A11/10
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#7
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A18/10
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A22/10
BNXT League
Zwolle
#14
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H25/10
BNXT League
87.4Avg total
43.4Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.741.783.4-0.140%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.642.387.9+3.443%-
Last 30 away (16)38.241.279.4-3.138%-
Last 10 (10)43.444.087.4-0.650%-
Last 5 (5)45.242.287.4+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)36.842.479.2-5.620%-
vs Similar (9)42.343.385.7-1.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)45.539.885.4+5.764%-
This opponent (Leiden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LeidenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LWD Basket
#3
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H26/05
DBL
LWD Basket
#3
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A28/05
DBL
Den Bosch
#1
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A01/06
DBL
Den Bosch
#1
L
36-53
36
53
-17
H03/06
DBL
Den Bosch
#1
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A05/06
DBL
BAL Weert
#18
W
48-29
48
29
+19
A27/09
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
W
67-32
67
32
+35
H04/10
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
W
54-30
54
30
+24
A12/10
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H18/10
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
W
49-34
49
34
+15
A25/10
BNXT League
86.6Avg total
46.5Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.941.384.2+1.557%-
Last 30 at home (12)45.043.288.2+1.858%-
Last 30 away (18)41.440.181.6+1.356%-
Last 10 (10)46.540.186.6+6.460%-
Last 5 (5)53.433.887.2+19.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)35.545.180.6-9.527%-
vs Similar (4)46.040.286.2+5.875%-
vs Weaker (15)47.438.986.3+8.573%-
This opponent (Okapi Aalst) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Okapi Aalsttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Okapi Aalst: 84.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.119.6
52.8%
54.3%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.010.1
36.1%
34.6%30.3
🏀 Free throws19.515.0
76.9%
72.4%15.0
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Leidentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leiden: 83.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.723.0
53.9%
54.3%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.58.7
35.5%
34.6%26.1
🏀 Free throws17.511.6
66.3%
72.4%11.6
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Okapi Aalst
LWLWWWLLWW
Leiden
WWWWWLLLWL
#3
League position
#10
-0.3
Net rating
+8.5
111.4
Offensive rating
107.3
111.7
Defensive rating
98.8
53.4%
Effective FG%
53.6%
54.3%
Opp. effective FG%
49.0%
16.5%
Turnover %
17.5%
27.7%
Off. rebound %
28.2%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.26
36.1%
3-point %
35.5%
55.6%
Assist %
58.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence111.4 · 107.3Defence111.7 · 98.8Shooting53.4% · 53.6%3-point %36.1% · 35.5%Ball care16.5% · 17.5%Off. rebounds27.7% · 28.2%Free throws0.30 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Okapi Aalst   ■ Leiden
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Okapi Aalst wins
1
Leiden wins
DateGameScore
07/02/25Okapi Aalst v Leiden80-71
12/10/24Leiden v Okapi Aalst79-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/25HZwolle81-95
22/10/25ALWD Basket105-94
18/10/25ADonar Groningen78-85
11/10/25ADen Helder85-83
04/10/25HKortrijk93-74
28/09/25ABrussels Basketball89-85
10/05/25ALWD Basket88-99
07/05/25ADen Bosch61-80
03/05/25HBAL Weert100-78
30/04/25AMechelen79-78
Leidenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/25ADen Helder84-68
18/10/25HLWD Basket108-89
12/10/25ASpirou Charleroi87-60
04/10/25HRotterdam111-68
27/09/25ABAL Weert83-64
05/06/25ADen Bosch67-86
03/06/25HDen Bosch63-90
01/06/25ADen Bosch72-85
28/05/25ALWD Basket90-85
26/05/25HLWD Basket82-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Okapi Aalst
BNXT League 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL67%
HomeWL50%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %67%50%75%
Points / game88.587.089.2
Allowed / game86.084.586.8
Point differential+2.5+2.5+2.5
Avg total174.5171.5176.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Leiden
BNXT League 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game94.6109.584.7
Allowed / game69.878.564.0
Point differential+24.8+31.0+20.7
Avg total164.4188.0148.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Leiden550100%94.669.8+24.8
2 Oostende550100%90.479.2+11.2
3 Mechelen440100%78.268.0+10.2
4 Antwerp Giants54180%92.467.8+24.6
5 Den Bosch54180%88.481.6+6.8
6 Donar Groningen64267%83.575.2+8.3
7 Okapi Aalst64267%88.586.0+2.5
8 Limburg53260%87.279.2+8.0
9 Brussels Basketball53260%85.483.2+2.2
10 Belfius Mons53260%87.289.4-2.2
11 Spirou Charleroi53260%82.285.6-3.4
12 Zwolle52340%79.877.8+2.0
13 Kortrijk62433%81.388.7-7.3
14 Leuven Bears51420%77.490.0-12.6
15 LWD Basket6060%89.2100.8-11.7
16 Den Helder5050%75.088.8-13.8
17 BAL Weert5050%67.288.0-20.8
18 Rotterdam6060%71.792.7-21.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Okapi Aalst23312826108
Leiden2321261383
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