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Okapi Aalst vs Mechelen Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 93-76
23-23 30-10 17-22 23-21
Position#3
Record6-3
FormLWLWW
Points / game94.4
Allowed / game88.2
vs
Position#8
Record7-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game74.1
EuropeBNXT LeagueRound 10· Okapi Forum
Other2025-26
Meetings · Okapi Aalst v Mechelen
27 Jan 2027
OKAP v MECH
upcoming
06 Dec 2025
OKAP93
MECH76
01 Mar 2025
OKAP65
MECH79
20 Apr 2024
OKAP72
MECH81
12 Jan 2024
OKAP82
MECH80
04 Dec 2022
OKAP77
MECH81
20 Feb 2022
OKAP87
MECH92
19 Oct 2019
OKAP83
MECH76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Okapi Aalst winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mechelen winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Okapi AalstLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAalst
Date
Competition
Brussels Basketball
#9
W
89-85
89
85
+4
84avg 77
A28/09
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
W
93-74
93
74
+19
87avg 77
H04/10
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
W
85-83
85
83
+2
78avg 77
A11/10
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#7
L
78-85
78
85
-7
61avg 77
A18/10
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
W
105-94
105
94
+11
97avg 77
A22/10
BNXT League
Zwolle
#14
L
81-95
81
95
-14
65avg 77
H25/10
BNXT League
Leiden
#10
W
108-83
108
83
+25
109avg 77
H01/11
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
103-106 OT
103
106
-3
88avg 77
A07/11
BNXT League
Namur
#12
W
98-82
98
82
+16
no box
A14/11
Belgian Cup
Spirou Charleroi
#11
W
108-89
108
89
+19
107avg 77
H22/11
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
19-21
22-21
28-25
18-24
23-18
21-15
31-17
22-22
23-20
16-20
24-21
19-17
25-19
17-27
17-22
23-18
28-22
38-23
16-31
18-34
27-17
18-18
18-26
23-23
31-21
28-26
26-13
25-26
21-20
22-16
21-27
33-30
25-14
21-21
19-17
30-19
27-25
24-22
27-23
182.4Avg total
94.8Scored
87.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)94.488.2182.7+6.267%
Season at home (4)97.585.2182.8+12.275%
Season away (5)92.090.6182.6+1.460%
Last 10 (10)94.887.6182.4+7.270%
Last 5 (5)99.691.0190.6+8.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)74.987.1162.0-12.212%
vs Similar (9)82.683.1165.7-0.644%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)94.284.1178.3+10.275%
This opponent (Mechelen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MechelenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMechelen
Date
Competition
KK Bosna
#4
L
82-82
82
82
+0
78avg 72
H01/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Antwerp Giants
#1
W
74-61
74
61
+13
63avg 72
H04/10
BNXT League
Zwolle
#14
W
70-66
70
66
+4
70avg 72
H11/10
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
W
92-74
92
74
+18
75avg 72
A17/10
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
77-71
77
71
+6
68avg 72
A25/10
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
W
118-83
118
83
+35
120avg 72
H01/11
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
93-76
93
76
+17
84avg 72
A08/11
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants 2
#13
W
92-67
92
67
+25
no box
A12/11
Belgian Cup
Leuven Bears
#13
L
57-81
57
81
-24
42avg 72
H15/11
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
W
85-81
85
81
+4
80avg 72
H22/11
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-17
17-21
17-27
23-17
25-17
16-16
14-23
19-5
22-22
12-15
21-13
15-16
21-24
18-28
26-9
27-13
19-16
17-19
22-17
19-19
26-27
35-20
27-13
30-23
26-19
21-18
22-15
24-24
28-22
26-12
24-17
14-16
11-15
16-20
15-16
15-30
20-22
25-21
16-16
24-22
158.2Avg total
84.0Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)83.274.1157.4+9.188%
Season at home (5)80.874.4155.2+6.480%
Season away (3)87.373.7161.0+13.7100%
Last 10 (10)84.074.2158.2+9.880%
Last 5 (5)89.077.6166.6+11.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)76.082.4158.4-6.450%
vs Similar (4)80.079.8159.8+0.250%
vs Weaker (11)84.673.5158.2+11.182%
This opponent (Okapi Aalst) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +5.2+5.2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +2.5+2.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +5.2+5.2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +2.5+2.5
Okapi AalstMechelen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Okapi AalstLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brussels Basketball
#9
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A28/09
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H04/10
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A11/10
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#7
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A18/10
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A22/10
BNXT League
Zwolle
#14
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H25/10
BNXT League
Leiden
#10
W
54-44
54
44
+10
H01/11
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A07/11
BNXT League
Namur
#12
W
58-44
58
44
+14
A14/11
Belgian Cup
Spirou Charleroi
#11
W
57-44
57
44
+13
H22/11
BNXT League
90.8Avg total
48.0Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.942.386.2+1.647%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.941.989.9+6.050%-
Last 30 away (16)40.442.682.9-2.244%-
Last 10 (10)48.042.890.8+5.260%-
Last 5 (5)52.045.897.8+6.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)37.142.479.5-5.212%-
vs Similar (9)42.343.385.7-1.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)48.441.289.7+7.275%-
This opponent (Mechelen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MechelenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Bosna
#4
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H01/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Antwerp Giants
#1
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H04/10
BNXT League
Zwolle
#14
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H11/10
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A17/10
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A25/10
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
W
61-47
61
47
+14
H01/11
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A08/11
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants 2
#13
W
54-34
54
34
+20
A12/11
Belgian Cup
Leuven Bears
#13
L
27-35
27
35
-8
H15/11
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H22/11
BNXT League
81.7Avg total
42.6Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.941.682.4-0.743%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.542.183.6-0.541%-
Last 30 away (13)40.040.980.9-0.946%-
Last 10 (10)42.639.181.7+3.570%-
Last 5 (5)46.839.286.0+7.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)39.344.483.7-5.129%-
vs Similar (4)39.542.281.8-2.825%-
vs Weaker (11)42.238.480.5+3.864%-
This opponent (Okapi Aalst) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Okapi Aalsttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Okapi Aalst: 92.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.422.5
55.7%
54.3%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.510.2
38.5%
34.6%30.6
🏀 Free throws21.817.2
78.9%
72.4%17.2
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mechelentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mechelen: 79.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.120.5
49.9%
54.3%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.97.1
35.7%
34.6%21.3
🏀 Free throws22.117.4
78.7%
72.4%17.4
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Okapi Aalst
WWLWLWLWWW
Mechelen
WLWWWWWWWL
#3
League position
#8
+5.2
Net rating
+7.0
118.6
Offensive rating
107.3
113.4
Defensive rating
100.3
56.5%
Effective FG%
51.1%
55.1%
Opp. effective FG%
48.9%
15.5%
Turnover %
17.3%
28.2%
Off. rebound %
26.2%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.36
38.5%
3-point %
35.7%
51.4%
Assist %
52.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence118.6 · 107.3Defence113.4 · 100.3Shooting56.5% · 51.1%3-point %38.5% · 35.7%Ball care15.5% · 17.3%Off. rebounds28.2% · 26.2%Free throws0.33 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Okapi Aalst   ■ Mechelen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Okapi Aalst wins
5
Mechelen wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/25HSpirou Charleroi108-89
14/11/25ANamur98-82
07/11/25AAntwerp Giants103-106 OT
01/11/25HLeiden108-83
25/10/25HZwolle81-95
22/10/25ALWD Basket105-94
18/10/25ADonar Groningen78-85
11/10/25ADen Helder85-83
04/10/25HKortrijk93-74
28/09/25ABrussels Basketball89-85
Mechelenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/25HLimburg85-81
15/11/25HLeuven Bears57-81
12/11/25AAntwerp Giants 292-67
08/11/25ABelfius Mons93-76
01/11/25HSpirou Charleroi118-83
25/10/25ABAL Weert77-71
17/10/25ARotterdam92-74
11/10/25HZwolle70-66
04/10/25HAntwerp Giants74-61
01/10/25HKK Bosna82-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Okapi Aalst
BNXT League 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW67%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayWWLWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %67%75%60%
Points / game94.497.592.0
Allowed / game88.285.290.6
Point differential+6.2+12.2+1.4
Avg total182.7182.8182.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%75%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %11%0%20%
Mechelen
BNXT League 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW88%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %88%80%100%
Points / game83.280.887.3
Allowed / game74.174.473.7
Point differential+9.1+6.4+13.7
Avg total157.4155.2161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%40%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Antwerp Giants109190%98.976.2+22.7
2 Oostende98189%90.880.2+10.6
3 Mechelen87188%83.274.1+9.1
4 Leiden108280%93.879.0+14.8
5 Okapi Aalst96367%94.488.2+6.2
6 Brussels Basketball96367%87.083.6+3.4
7 Donar Groningen96367%81.978.6+3.3
8 Den Bosch85362%86.280.4+5.9
9 Limburg105550%85.578.0+7.5
10 Kortrijk105550%84.281.7+2.5
11 Spirou Charleroi94544%82.390.6-8.2
12 Belfius Mons104640%90.895.4-4.6
13 Zwolle93633%79.382.0-2.7
14 Leuven Bears93633%79.384.4-5.1
15 LWD Basket103730%89.998.5-8.6
16 Den Helder91811%79.989.8-9.9
17 Rotterdam101910%78.996.9-18.0
18 BAL Weert100100%65.791.9-26.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Okapi Aalst2330172393
Mechelen2310222176
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