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Okapi Aalst vs Mechelen Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 27 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 19:30
Scheduled
Position#4
Record5-2
FormLWWLW
Points / game91.7
Allowed / game86.9
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.2/10
Around normal
5.4/10
Around normal
Position#11
Record3-4
FormWLLLW
Points / game88.4
Allowed / game91.0
EuropeBNXT League· Okapi Forum
Other2026-27
Meetings · Okapi Aalst v Mechelen
27 Jan 2027
OKAP v MECH
upcoming
06 Dec 2025
OKAP93
MECH76
01 Mar 2025
OKAP65
MECH79
20 Apr 2024
OKAP72
MECH81
12 Jan 2024
OKAP82
MECH80
04 Dec 2022
OKAP77
MECH81
20 Feb 2022
OKAP87
MECH92
19 Oct 2019
OKAP83
MECH76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Okapi Aalst win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Mechelen win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Okapi AalstLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAalst
Date
Competition
Rotterdam
#17
W
102-92
102
92
+10
93avg 91
H02/05
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
L
85-99
85
99
-14
75avg 91
A06/05
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
W
118-90
118
90
+28
123avg 91
H09/05
BNXT League
Oostende
#6
W
95-87
95
87
+8
78avg 91
H03/10
BNXT League
Mechelen
#11
W
94-79
94
79
+15
88avg 91
A10/10
BNXT League
Leiden
#10
L
77-92
77
92
-15
74avg 91
A17/10
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#9
W
114-90
114
90
+24
110avg 91
H25/10
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
83-69
83
69
+14
82avg 91
H31/10
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#3
L
77-91
77
91
-14
no box
A08/11
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#7
W
102-100
102
100
+2
no box
H14/11
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-29
25-12
22-27
32-24
19-22
22-28
16-25
28-24
27-25
25-16
32-18
34-31
23-17
25-24
26-18
21-28
23-21
19-28
26-16
26-14
26-25
15-17
16-24
20-26
31-24
28-29
30-12
25-25
22-21
22-23
25-5
14-20
10-23
25-30
20-23
22-15
22-30
31-25
18-27
31-18
183.6Avg total
94.7Scored
88.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)91.786.9178.6+4.971%
Season at home (4)98.586.5185.0+12.0100%
Season away (3)82.787.3170.0-4.733%
Last 10 (10)94.788.9183.6+5.870%
Last 5 (5)90.688.4179.0+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)90.090.0180.0+0.050%
vs Similar (7)90.195.3185.4-5.129%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)98.185.0183.1+13.090%
This opponent (Mechelen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MechelenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMechelen
Date
Competition
Den Helder
#12
L
80-87
80
87
-7
68avg 69
H02/05
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
W
57-56
57
56
+1
49avg 69
A06/05
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
W
97-73
97
73
+24
99avg 69
H09/05
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
W
109-100
109
100
+9
107avg 69
A02/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#4
L
79-94
79
94
-15
64avg 69
H10/10
BNXT League
CB Liege
#15
W
96-78
96
78
+18
84avg 69
H17/10
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
75-109
75
109
-34
67avg 69
A24/10
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#7
L
86-95
86
95
-9
75avg 69
A30/10
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
L
83-93
83
93
-10
no box
H07/11
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#12
W
91-68
91
68
+23
no box
A14/11
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
22-27
21-14
19-25
10-16
17-17
13-17
17-6
23-7
29-16
23-32
22-18
29-33
23-20
29-27
28-20
21-23
28-19
16-26
14-26
24-21
33-20
19-20
20-17
16-31
19-28
26-26
14-24
20-21
20-27
18-31
28-16
29-15
15-23
14-27
25-28
25-25
23-11
20-12
23-20
170.6Avg total
85.3Scored
85.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)88.491.0179.4-2.643%
Season at home (3)86.088.3174.3-2.333%
Season away (4)90.293.0183.2-2.850%
Last 10 (10)85.385.3170.6+0.050%
Last 5 (5)86.288.6174.8-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)75.384.1159.4-8.940%
vs Similar (8)77.683.0160.6-5.425%
vs Weaker (7)83.976.0159.9+7.971%
This opponent (Okapi Aalst) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: +1.0+1.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: +1.0+1.0
Okapi AalstMechelen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Okapi AalstLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rotterdam
#17
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H02/05
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A06/05
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H09/05
BNXT League
Oostende
#6
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H03/10
BNXT League
Mechelen
#11
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A10/10
BNXT League
Leiden
#10
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A17/10
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#9
W
59-53
59
53
+6
H25/10
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H31/10
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#3
L
35-53
35
53
-18
A08/11
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#7
L
53-55
53
55
-2
H14/11
BNXT League
93.2Avg total
46.3Scored
46.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.145.692.7+1.553%-
Last 30 at home (16)49.546.295.8+3.256%-
Last 30 away (14)44.444.989.2-0.550%-
Last 10 (10)46.346.993.2-0.640%-
Last 5 (5)46.449.495.8-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.549.586.0-13.00%-
vs Similar (7)44.647.792.3-3.143%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)49.044.593.5+4.462%-
This opponent (Mechelen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MechelenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Den Helder
#12
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H02/05
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A06/05
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
W
52-23
52
23
+29
H09/05
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
L
52-53
52
53
-1
A02/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#4
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H10/10
BNXT League
CB Liege
#15
W
57-41
57
41
+16
H17/10
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
35-59
35
59
-24
A24/10
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#7
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A30/10
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H07/11
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#12
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A14/11
BNXT League
86.5Avg total
44.4Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.440.880.3-1.440%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.138.581.6+4.767%-
Last 30 away (15)35.743.278.9-7.513%-
Last 10 (10)44.442.186.5+2.350%-
Last 5 (5)44.844.489.2+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)37.142.679.7-5.533%-
vs Similar (8)37.641.979.5-4.225%-
vs Weaker (7)46.435.982.3+10.671%-
This opponent (Okapi Aalst) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Okapi Aalsttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Okapi Aalst: 94.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.821.1
60.6%
53.2%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.711.1
40.1%
32.1%33.3
🏀 Free throws24.418.5
75.8%
71.0%18.5
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mechelentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mechelen: 80.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.620.6
50.7%
53.2%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.48.7
35.7%
32.1%26.1
🏀 Free throws18.713.2
70.6%
71.0%13.2
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Okapi Aalst
WLWWLWWWLW
Mechelen
WLLLWLWWWL
#4
League position
#11
+10.6
Net rating
-5.6
108.3
Offensive rating
91.3
97.7
Defensive rating
96.9
60.4%
Effective FG%
51.8%
54.2%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
15.9%
Turnover %
16.4%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.29
40.1%
3-point %
35.7%
59.3%
Assist %
59.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence108.3 · 91.3Defence97.7 · 96.9Shooting60.4% · 51.8%3-point %40.1% · 35.7%Ball care15.9% · 16.4%Free throws0.39 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Okapi Aalst   ■ Mechelen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Okapi Aalst wins
5
Mechelen wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HDen Bosch102-100
08/11/26ABrussels Basketball77-91
31/10/26HBelfius Mons83-69
25/10/26HDonar Groningen114-90
17/10/26ALeiden77-92
10/10/26AMechelen94-79
03/10/26HOostende95-87
09/05/26HLWD Basket118-90
06/05/26ALimburg85-99
02/05/26HRotterdam102-92
Mechelenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ALeuven Bears91-68
07/11/26HKortrijk83-93
30/10/26ADen Bosch86-95
24/10/26AAntwerp Giants75-109
17/10/26HCB Liege96-78
10/10/26HOkapi Aalst79-94
02/10/26ALimburg109-100
09/05/26HRotterdam97-73
06/05/26ABrussels Basketball57-56
02/05/26HDen Helder80-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Okapi Aalst
BNXT League 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW71%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %71%100%33%
Points / game91.798.582.7
Allowed / game86.986.587.3
Point differential+4.9+12.0-4.7
Avg total178.6185.0170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mechelen
BNXT League 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW43%
HomeLWL33%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%33%50%
Points / game88.486.090.2
Allowed / game91.088.393.0
Point differential-2.6-2.3-2.8
Avg total179.4174.3183.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Antwerp Giants770100%99.378.0+21.3
2 Spirou Charleroi75271%79.068.0+11.0
3 Brussels Basketball75271%80.470.9+9.6
4 Okapi Aalst75271%91.786.9+4.9
5 Limburg64267%92.084.3+7.7
6 Oostende74357%76.973.1+3.7
7 Den Bosch74357%83.683.6+0.0
8 Zwolle63350%72.777.0-4.3
9 Donar Groningen63350%81.389.5-8.2
10 Leiden73443%77.178.4-1.3
11 Mechelen73443%88.491.0-2.6
12 Leuven Bears73443%69.974.6-4.7
13 Rotterdam62433%75.880.2-4.3
14 Kortrijk72529%83.082.4+0.6
15 CB Liege71614%77.089.0-12.0
16 Belfius Mons7070%66.989.4-22.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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