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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Golden State Warriors Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 09 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 01:30
Scheduled
Position#20
Record5-6
FormWWWLL
Points / game108.0
Allowed / game111.5
vs
Position#7
Record8-5
FormLWWWW
Points / game115.9
Allowed / game110.9
USANBA· Paycom Center
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Oklahoma City Thunder v Golden State Warriors
08 Apr 2027
OKC v GSW
upcoming
07 Mar 2026
OKC104
GSW97
11 Nov 2025
OKC126
GSW102
10 Nov 2024
OKC116
GSW127
19 Jul 2024
OKC83
GSW90
08 Dec 2023
OKC138
GSW136
03 Nov 2023
OKC139
GSW141
07 Mar 2023
OKC137
GSW128
30 Jan 2023
OKC120
GSW128
07 Feb 2022
OKC98
GSW110
26 Oct 2021
OKC98
GSW106
13 Aug 2021
OKC84
GSW94
14 Apr 2021
OKC109
GSW147
09 Nov 2019
OKC114
GSW108
27 Oct 2019
OKC120
GSW92
16 Mar 2019
OKC88
GSW110
03 Apr 2018
OKC107
GSW111
22 Nov 2017
OKC108
GSW91
20 Mar 2017
OKC95
GSW111
11 Feb 2017
OKC114
GSW130
28 May 2016
OKC101
GSW108
24 May 2016
OKC118
GSW94
22 May 2016
OKC133
GSW105
27 Feb 2016
OKC118
GSW121
16 Jan 2015
OKC127
GSW115
23 Nov 2014
OKC86
GSW91
17 Jan 2014
OKC127
GSW121
29 Nov 2013
OKC113
GSW112
06 Feb 2013
OKC119
GSW98
18 Nov 2012
OKC119
GSW109
17 Feb 2012
OKC110
GSW87
29 Mar 2011
OKC115
GSW114
05 Dec 2010
OKC114
GSW109
31 Jan 2010
OKC112
GSW104
07 Dec 2009
OKC104
GSW88
31 Dec 2008
OKC107
GSW100
08 Dec 2008
OKC102
GSW112
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oklahoma City Thunder win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Golden State Warriors win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#28
L
126-128
126
128
-2
73avg 94
H08/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#9
L
110-113
110
113
-3
15avg 94
A12/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
W
114-112 OT
114
112
+2
70avg 94
H14/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
89-116
89
116
-27
59avg 94
A16/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#12
W
116-104
116
104
+12
105avg 94
A21/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#8
W
96-84
96
84
+12
83avg 94
H23/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#25
W
108-101
108
101
+7
97avg 94
H25/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
125-114
125
114
+11
119avg 94
H27/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#16
L
96-120
96
120
-24
76avg 94
A29/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
98-119
98
119
-21
72avg 94
A01/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
44-35
38-29
20-33
24-31
28-29
21-27
30-23
31-34
25-33
34-28
26-23
15-16
15-33
32-21
22-25
20-37
34-28
31-16
28-36
23-24
24-27
20-21
26-16
26-20
23-20
20-26
34-30
31-25
33-27
34-26
32-32
26-29
30-33
29-32
22-29
15-26
26-35
25-27
24-30
23-27
218.9Avg total
107.8Scored
111.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)108.0111.5219.5-3.545%
Season at home (6)113.2109.2222.3+4.067%
Season away (5)101.8114.4216.2-12.620%
Last 10 (10)107.8111.1218.9-3.350%
Last 5 (5)104.6107.6212.2-3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)104.6113.6218.2-9.020%
vs Similar (11)107.0109.6216.6-2.655%
vs Weaker (14)120.1109.9230.0+10.379%
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWarriors
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#30
W
111-106
111
106
+5
85avg 91
H11/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
101-89
101
89
+12
67avg 91
A14/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#5
W
128-118
128
118
+10
101avg 91
H17/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
105-127
105
127
-22
72avg 91
A22/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#2
L
108-111
108
111
-3
69avg 91
H24/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
L
122-131
122
131
-9
75avg 91
A25/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#8
W
134-114
134
114
+20
102avg 91
A27/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#13
W
119-114
119
114
+5
93avg 91
A29/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
112-95
112
95
+17
102avg 91
H31/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#25
W
124-112
124
112
+12
88avg 91
H02/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-25
37-31
28-25
22-25
29-29
21-34
22-13
29-13
35-26
32-32
38-33
23-27
33-34
19-32
16-36
37-25
34-33
22-27
34-24
18-27
25-22
29-35
38-45
30-29
28-32
32-24
40-28
34-30
30-23
34-25
29-33
26-33
15-38
38-15
32-27
27-15
29-37
34-20
29-28
32-27
228.1Avg total
116.4Scored
111.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)115.9110.9226.8+5.062%
Season at home (6)117.8106.7224.5+11.283%
Season away (7)114.3114.6228.9-0.343%
Last 10 (10)116.4111.7228.1+4.770%
Last 5 (5)122.2113.2235.4+9.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)105.0117.7222.7-12.70%
vs Similar (13)112.5113.4225.9-0.846%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)120.2116.0236.2+4.273%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: +2.7+2.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: +2.7+2.7
Oklahoma City ThunderGolden State Warriors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#28
W
82-64
82
64
+18
H08/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#9
L
49-56
49
56
-7
A12/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
L
59-61
59
61
-2
H14/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
47-54
47
54
-7
A16/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#12
W
65-44
65
44
+21
A21/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#8
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H23/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#25
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H25/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
67-53
67
53
+14
H27/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#16
L
59-65
59
65
-6
A29/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
51-62
51
62
-11
A01/11
NBA
111.9Avg total
56.6Scored
55.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.954.8112.7+3.250%-
Last 30 at home (15)59.354.8114.1+4.553%-
Last 30 away (15)56.554.7111.3+1.847%-
Last 10 (10)56.655.3111.9+1.330%-
Last 5 (5)52.854.8107.6-2.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)55.853.6109.4+2.240%-
vs Similar (11)52.954.3107.2-1.427%-
vs Weaker (14)62.655.6118.2+7.171%-
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#30
W
61-56
61
56
+5
H11/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
50-63
50
63
-13
A14/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#5
W
67-58
67
58
+9
H17/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
52-66
52
66
-14
A22/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#2
L
56-60
56
60
-4
H24/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
L
54-57
54
57
-3
A25/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#8
W
60-56
60
56
+4
A27/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#13
W
64-48
64
48
+16
A29/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
D
53-53
53
53
+0
H31/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#25
W
63-57
63
57
+6
H02/11
NBA
115.4Avg total
58.0Scored
57.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.957.6113.5-1.633%-
Last 30 at home (13)59.056.9115.9+2.146%-
Last 30 away (17)53.658.1111.6-4.524%-
Last 10 (10)58.057.4115.4+0.650%-
Last 5 (5)58.854.2113.0+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)51.858.5110.3-6.717%-
vs Similar (13)55.456.2111.6-0.823%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)58.858.6117.5+0.255%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 109.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.227.8
51.3%
54.0%55.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.312.7
36.0%
34.9%38.1
🏀 Free throws20.616.2
78.6%
76.4%16.2
They take 89.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Golden State Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Golden State Warriors: 112.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws22.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.823.2
51.8%
54.0%46.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.814.8
38.1%
34.9%44.4
🏀 Free throws28.322.1
78.1%
76.4%22.1
They take 83.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Oklahoma City Thunder
LLWWWWLWLL
Golden State Warriors
WWWWLLLWWW
#20
League position
#7
-0.2
Net rating
+2.9
99.0
Offensive rating
102.7
99.2
Defensive rating
99.8
52.3%
Effective FG%
54.3%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
54.6%
14.0%
Turnover %
16.5%
28.7%
Off. rebound %
7.4%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.34
36.0%
3-point %
38.1%
61.5%
Assist %
68.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence99.0 · 102.7Defence99.2 · 99.8Shooting52.3% · 54.3%3-point %36.0% · 38.1%Ball care14.0% · 16.5%Off. rebounds28.7% · 7.4%Free throws0.23 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Oklahoma City Thunder   ■ Golden State Warriors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/26AHouston Rockets98-119
29/10/26ADallas Mavericks96-120
27/10/26HPhoenix Suns125-114
25/10/26HLos Angeles Clippers108-101
23/10/26HDenver Nuggets96-84
21/10/26ASan Antonio Spurs116-104
16/10/26AHouston Rockets89-116
14/10/26HIndiana Pacers114-112 OT
12/10/26AAtlanta Hawks110-113
08/10/26HMilwaukee Bucks126-128
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/26HLos Angeles Clippers124-112
31/10/26HLos Angeles Lakers112-95
29/10/26AMinnesota Timberwolves119-114
27/10/26ADenver Nuggets134-114
25/10/26APhoenix Suns122-131
24/10/26HMemphis Grizzlies108-111
22/10/26ALos Angeles Lakers105-127
17/10/26HPortland Trail Blazers128-118
14/10/26ALos Angeles Lakers101-89
11/10/26HSacramento Kings111-106

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL45%
HomeLWWWW67%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %45%67%20%
Points / game108.0113.2101.8
Allowed / game111.5109.2114.4
Point differential-3.5+4.0-12.6
Avg total219.5222.3216.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%33%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %9%17%0%
Golden State Warriors
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW62%
HomeWWLWW83%
AwayWLLWW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %62%83%43%
Points / game115.9117.8114.3
Allowed / game110.9106.7114.6
Point differential+5.0+11.2-0.3
Avg total226.8224.5228.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%67%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics109190%121.9108.7+13.2
2 Memphis Grizzlies109190%119.7107.9+11.8
3 Houston Rockets108280%121.1109.6+11.5
4 Detroit Pistons108280%113.3106.3+7.0
5 Portland Trail Blazers86275%119.2111.2+8.0
6 Philadelphia 76ers117464%110.5110.4+0.1
7 Golden State Warriors138562%115.9110.9+5.0
8 Denver Nuggets106460%114.8114.7+0.1
9 Atlanta Hawks127558%118.9116.2+2.8
10 Los Angeles Lakers127558%114.7113.7+1.0
11 Cleveland Cavaliers95456%119.3117.4+1.9
12 San Antonio Spurs116555%116.0109.5+6.5
13 Minnesota Timberwolves137654%118.2113.1+5.2
14 New Orleans Pelicans105550%116.0114.8+1.2
15 Washington Wizards105550%111.6111.3+0.3
16 Dallas Mavericks105550%114.3115.7-1.4
17 Orlando Magic105550%114.1116.8-2.7
18 Toronto Raptors115645%120.1113.3+6.8
19 Miami Heat115645%122.7121.9+0.8
20 Oklahoma City Thunder115645%108.0111.5-3.5
21 Brooklyn Nets104640%114.6116.0-1.4
22 Utah Jazz104640%110.5115.2-4.7
23 Chicago Bulls114736%117.4122.7-5.4
24 Charlotte Hornets114736%97.6108.1-10.5
25 Los Angeles Clippers93633%107.9112.0-4.1
26 Indiana Pacers113827%115.4117.3-1.9
27 New York Knicks113827%106.5115.2-8.6
28 Milwaukee Bucks113827%111.4123.3-11.9
29 Phoenix Suns92722%110.3119.0-8.7
30 Sacramento Kings110110%106.4123.5-17.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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