PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Golden State Warriors Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 21 Mar 2017
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 95-111
22-25 17-34 27-33 29-19
Position#10
Record40-29
FormWWWWW
Points / game106.9
Allowed / game106.0
vs
Position#1
Record55-14
FormLLWWW
Points / game116.2
Allowed / game104.9
USANBA· Chesapeake Energy Arena
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Oklahoma City Thunder v Golden State Warriors
08 Apr 2027
OKC v GSW
upcoming
07 Mar 2026
OKC104
GSW97
11 Nov 2025
OKC126
GSW102
10 Nov 2024
OKC116
GSW127
08 Dec 2023
OKC138
GSW136
03 Nov 2023
OKC139
GSW141
07 Mar 2023
OKC137
GSW128
30 Jan 2023
OKC120
GSW128
07 Feb 2022
OKC98
GSW110
26 Oct 2021
OKC98
GSW106
14 Apr 2021
OKC109
GSW147
09 Nov 2019
OKC114
GSW108
27 Oct 2019
OKC120
GSW92
16 Mar 2019
OKC88
GSW110
03 Apr 2018
OKC107
GSW111
22 Nov 2017
OKC108
GSW91
20 Mar 2017
OKC95
GSW111
11 Feb 2017
OKC114
GSW130
28 May 2016
OKC101
GSW108
24 May 2016
OKC118
GSW94
22 May 2016
OKC133
GSW105
27 Feb 2016
OKC118
GSW121
16 Jan 2015
OKC127
GSW115
23 Nov 2014
OKC86
GSW91
17 Jan 2014
OKC127
GSW121
29 Nov 2013
OKC113
GSW112
06 Feb 2013
OKC119
GSW98
18 Nov 2012
OKC119
GSW109
17 Feb 2012
OKC110
GSW87
29 Mar 2011
OKC115
GSW114
05 Dec 2010
OKC114
GSW109
31 Jan 2010
OKC112
GSW104
07 Dec 2009
OKC104
GSW88
31 Dec 2008
OKC107
GSW100
08 Dec 2008
OKC102
GSW112
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oklahoma City Thunder winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Golden State Warriors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#8
W
109-106
109
106
+3
104avg 98
H01/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
109-114
109
114
-5
89avg 98
A03/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
L
111-118
111
118
-7
95avg 98
A04/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
L
89-104
89
104
-15
79avg 98
A06/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
121-126
121
126
-5
107avg 98
H08/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
102-92
102
92
+10
93avg 98
H10/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
W
112-104
112
104
+8
104avg 98
H11/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
122-104
122
104
+18
116avg 98
A14/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
W
123-102
123
102
+21
125avg 98
A16/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
110-94
110
94
+16
107avg 98
H18/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-25
30-28
25-22
23-31
24-26
36-31
25-24
24-33
28-23
27-35
24-29
32-31
27-28
23-32
21-28
18-16
40-29
27-32
25-38
29-27
29-28
27-21
26-22
20-21
29-23
33-25
29-28
21-28
32-32
30-30
29-21
31-21
29-24
29-24
39-22
26-32
29-19
34-22
22-24
25-29
217.2Avg total
110.8Scored
106.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (69)106.9106.0212.8+0.958%
Season at home (35)110.4103.9214.3+6.574%
Season away (34)103.3108.1211.4-4.841%
Last 10 (10)110.8106.4217.2+4.460%
Last 5 (5)113.899.2213.0+14.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)102.5112.8215.2-10.225%
vs Similar (21)105.7106.6212.3-0.957%
vs Weaker (5)115.0105.4220.4+9.680%
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWarriors
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#9
L
108-112
108
112
-4
103avg 110
A01/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
L
87-94
87
94
-7
75avg 110
A03/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
W
112-105
112
105
+7
97avg 110
A05/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
119-111
119
111
+8
117avg 110
A07/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
86-99
86
99
-13
80avg 110
H09/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
L
102-103
102
103
-1
94avg 110
A11/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
85-107
85
107
-22
68avg 110
A12/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
W
106-104
106
104
+2
93avg 110
H15/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
122-92
122
92
+30
125avg 110
H17/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
W
117-92
117
92
+25
124avg 110
H19/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-40
23-21
36-24
23-27
26-19
25-28
22-32
14-15
29-18
20-32
35-26
28-29
35-42
26-24
33-24
25-21
28-25
22-21
24-26
12-27
24-34
29-28
23-26
26-15
22-33
22-31
19-22
22-21
35-34
23-25
20-31
28-14
34-20
33-30
36-21
19-21
27-29
36-15
31-26
23-22
206.3Avg total
104.4Scored
101.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (69)116.2104.9221.1+11.380%
Season at home (33)119.8103.2223.0+16.788%
Season away (36)112.9106.5219.4+6.472%
Last 10 (10)104.4101.9206.3+2.550%
Last 5 (5)106.499.6206.0+6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)114.9104.2219.1+10.673%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +0.8+0.8
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +0.8+0.8
Oklahoma City ThunderGolden State Warriors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#8
W
61-53
61
53
+8
H01/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
60-57
60
57
+3
A03/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
L
55-58
55
58
-3
A04/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
L
50-60
50
60
-10
A06/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
67-61
67
61
+6
H08/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
56-49
56
49
+7
H10/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
W
62-48
62
48
+14
H11/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
D
62-62
62
62
+0
A14/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
W
58-48
58
48
+10
A16/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
63-41
63
41
+22
H18/03
NBA
113.1Avg total
59.4Scored
53.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.453.9109.3+1.553%-
Last 30 at home (15)56.853.7110.5+3.160%-
Last 30 away (15)54.054.1108.1-0.147%-
Last 10 (10)59.453.7113.1+5.770%-
Last 5 (5)60.249.6109.8+10.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)51.057.5108.5-6.525%-
vs Similar (21)55.353.8109.1+1.557%-
vs Weaker (5)59.451.6111.0+7.860%-
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#9
L
49-61
49
61
-12
A01/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A03/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A05/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
61-66
61
66
-5
A07/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H09/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
L
53-62
53
62
-9
A11/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
44-64
44
64
-20
A12/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
L
58-59
58
59
-1
H15/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
67-50
67
50
+17
H17/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
W
63-44
63
44
+19
H19/03
NBA
109.4Avg total
54.5Scored
54.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.953.9111.8+4.060%-
Last 30 at home (13)61.151.7112.8+9.469%-
Last 30 away (17)55.455.6111.0-0.253%-
Last 10 (10)54.554.9109.4-0.440%-
Last 5 (5)57.055.8112.8+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)57.953.9111.8+4.060%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 110.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.130.8
51.2%
50.2%61.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.99.5
38.2%
35.7%28.5
🏀 Free throws27.320.7
75.8%
77.0%20.7
They take 85.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Golden State Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Golden State Warriors: 104.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.129.1
51.0%
50.2%58.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.010.1
34.8%
35.7%30.3
🏀 Free throws21.215.9
75.0%
77.0%15.9
They take 86.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Mar 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Oklahoma City Thunder
WWWWWLLLLW
Golden State Warriors
WWWLLLWWLL
#10
League position
#1
+4.4
Net rating
+2.5
111.7
Offensive rating
105.5
107.3
Defensive rating
103.0
53.0%
Effective FG%
51.4%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
49.3%
14.5%
Turnover %
14.4%
28.7%
Off. rebound %
24.9%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.25
38.2%
3-point %
34.8%
52.6%
Assist %
66.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence111.7 · 105.5Defence107.3 · 103.0Shooting53.0% · 51.4%3-point %38.2% · 34.8%Ball care14.5% · 14.4%Off. rebounds28.7% · 24.9%Free throws0.32 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Oklahoma City Thunder   ■ Golden State Warriors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
18/03/17HSacramento Kings110-94
16/03/17AToronto Raptors123-102
14/03/17ABrooklyn Nets122-104
11/03/17HUtah Jazz112-104
10/03/17HSan Antonio Spurs102-92
08/03/17HPortland Trail Blazers121-126
06/03/17ADallas Mavericks89-104
04/03/17APhoenix Suns111-118
03/03/17APortland Trail Blazers109-114
01/03/17HUtah Jazz109-106
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/03/17HMilwaukee Bucks117-92
17/03/17HOrlando Magic122-92
15/03/17HPhiladelphia 76ers106-104
12/03/17ASan Antonio Spurs85-107
11/03/17AMinnesota Timberwolves102-103
09/03/17HBoston Celtics86-99
07/03/17AAtlanta Hawks119-111
05/03/17ANew York Knicks112-105
03/03/17AChicago Bulls87-94
01/03/17AWashington Wizards108-112

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW58%
HomeWLWWW74%
AwayLLLWW41%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games693534
Win %58%74%41%
Points / game106.9110.4103.3
Allowed / game106.0103.9108.1
Point differential+0.9+6.5-4.8
Avg total212.8214.3211.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%46%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won48% (21)40% (10)55% (11)
Overtime %6%9%3%
Golden State Warriors
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW80%
HomeWLWWW88%
AwayLWWLL72%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games693336
Win %80%88%72%
Points / game116.2119.8112.9
Allowed / game104.9103.2106.5
Point differential+11.3+16.7+6.4
Avg total221.1223.0219.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%73%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)67% (3)38% (8)
Overtime %4%6%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors69551480%116.2104.9+11.3
2 San Antonio Spurs69531677%106.598.6+7.9
3 Houston Rockets70482269%115.3108.4+6.9
4 Cleveland Cavaliers69462367%110.4106.3+4.1
5 Boston Celtics71452663%107.4104.9+2.5
6 Utah Jazz71432861%100.396.5+3.8
7 Washington Wizards70422860%108.8106.8+2.0
8 Toronto Raptors70412959%106.9103.1+3.8
9 Los Angeles Clippers70412959%107.7104.7+3.0
10 Oklahoma City Thunder69402958%106.9106.0+0.9
11 Memphis Grizzlies70403057%101.4100.4+1.0
12 Atlanta Hawks70373353%103.4104.5-1.1
13 Indiana Pacers70363451%104.1105.0-0.8
14 Milwaukee Bucks69343549%104.6104.5+0.1
15 Miami Heat70343649%102.9102.1+0.8
16 Detroit Pistons70343649%101.7102.1-0.4
17 Denver Nuggets69333648%111.1110.8+0.4
18 Chicago Bulls70333747%101.8103.1-1.3
19 Portland Trail Blazers69323746%108.3110.0-1.7
20 Charlotte Hornets70313944%104.8104.0+0.7
21 Dallas Mavericks69303943%98.1100.2-2.0
22 New Orleans Pelicans70294141%103.6106.0-2.4
23 Minnesota Timberwolves69284141%104.9105.5-0.5
24 New York Knicks69274239%105.3108.6-3.3
25 Sacramento Kings70274339%102.9106.4-3.4
26 Philadelphia 76ers70264437%102.4107.6-5.1
27 Orlando Magic71264537%100.1106.5-6.4
28 Phoenix Suns70224831%107.3112.5-5.2
29 Los Angeles Lakers70205029%104.6111.9-7.3
30 Brooklyn Nets69135619%105.8113.9-8.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Oklahoma City Thunder2217272995
Golden State Warriors25343319111
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.