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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Golden State Warriors Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Feb 2016
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 118-121 (OT)
30-20 27-26 26-32 20-25 15-18
Position#4
Record41-17
FormWLLWL
Points / game109.8
Allowed / game102.5
vs
Position#1
Record52-5
FormLWWWW
Points / game115.3
Allowed / game103.9
USANBA
NBA2015-16
Meetings · Oklahoma City Thunder v Golden State Warriors
08 Apr 2027
OKC v GSW
upcoming
07 Mar 2026
OKC104
GSW97
11 Nov 2025
OKC126
GSW102
10 Nov 2024
OKC116
GSW127
08 Dec 2023
OKC138
GSW136
03 Nov 2023
OKC139
GSW141
07 Mar 2023
OKC137
GSW128
30 Jan 2023
OKC120
GSW128
07 Feb 2022
OKC98
GSW110
26 Oct 2021
OKC98
GSW106
14 Apr 2021
OKC109
GSW147
09 Nov 2019
OKC114
GSW108
27 Oct 2019
OKC120
GSW92
16 Mar 2019
OKC88
GSW110
03 Apr 2018
OKC107
GSW111
22 Nov 2017
OKC108
GSW91
20 Mar 2017
OKC95
GSW111
11 Feb 2017
OKC114
GSW130
28 May 2016
OKC101
GSW108
24 May 2016
OKC118
GSW94
22 May 2016
OKC133
GSW105
27 Feb 2016
OKC118
GSW121
16 Jan 2015
OKC127
GSW115
23 Nov 2014
OKC86
GSW91
17 Jan 2014
OKC127
GSW121
29 Nov 2013
OKC113
GSW112
06 Feb 2013
OKC119
GSW98
18 Nov 2012
OKC119
GSW109
17 Feb 2012
OKC110
GSW87
29 Mar 2011
OKC115
GSW114
05 Dec 2010
OKC114
GSW109
31 Jan 2010
OKC112
GSW104
07 Dec 2009
OKC104
GSW88
31 Dec 2008
OKC107
GSW100
08 Dec 2008
OKC102
GSW112
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oklahoma City Thunder winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Golden State Warriors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#19
W
116-108
116
108
+8
115avg 103
H30/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
W
114-98
114
98
+16
115avg 103
H02/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
117-114
117
114
+3
110avg 103
H04/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
108-116
108
116
-8
100avg 103
A07/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
W
122-106
122
106
+16
112avg 103
A09/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
W
121-95
121
95
+26
122avg 103
H12/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
L
98-101
98
101
-3
91avg 103
H20/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
L
92-115
92
115
-23
76avg 103
H21/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#16
W
116-103
116
103
+13
115avg 103
A25/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
L
119-123
119
123
-4
111avg 103
A26/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-29
33-29
34-25
27-25
36-26
28-26
28-24
22-22
32-32
34-33
30-29
21-20
31-36
28-37
24-18
25-25
28-19
29-38
32-28
33-21
29-25
33-28
33-21
26-21
24-24
27-20
25-23
22-34
28-27
25-35
20-33
19-20
33-24
25-27
29-30
29-22
32-35
32-26
23-28
32-34
220.2Avg total
112.3Scored
107.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (58)109.8102.5212.3+7.471%
Season at home (32)108.299.3207.6+8.978%
Season away (26)111.8106.3218.1+5.562%
Last 10 (10)112.3107.9220.2+4.460%
Last 5 (5)109.2107.4216.6+1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (2)100.0115.5215.5-15.50%
vs Weaker (28)113.0104.5217.4+8.579%
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWarriors
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#24
W
116-95
116
95
+21
123avg 111
A01/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
W
134-121
134
121
+13
132avg 111
A04/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
W
116-108
116
108
+8
104avg 111
H07/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
W
123-110
123
110
+13
118avg 111
H10/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
W
112-104
112
104
+8
104avg 111
A11/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
105-137
105
137
-32
93avg 111
A20/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
115-112
115
112
+3
114avg 111
A21/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
102-92
102
92
+10
97avg 111
A23/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#8
W
118-112
118
112
+6
108avg 111
A25/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
130-114
130
114
+16
133avg 111
A26/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
37-29
27-16
34-30
43-28
31-32
29-32
31-29
36-31
37-28
18-24
25-25
42-27
27-39
24-27
30-17
29-28
28-15
34-32
21-29
31-42
31-26
17-36
26-33
33-20
30-33
30-31
22-28
30-15
28-24
18-36
26-17
21-30
30-25
29-28
38-29
33-30
26-33
40-28
31-23
227.6Avg total
117.1Scored
110.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (57)115.3103.9219.2+11.591%
Season at home (24)114.598.9213.4+15.7100%
Season away (33)115.9107.5223.4+8.485%
Last 10 (10)117.1110.5227.6+6.690%
Last 5 (5)114.0113.4227.4+0.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (4)114.294.8209.0+19.5100%
vs Weaker (26)114.8106.6221.5+8.285%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +2.4+2.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +2.4+2.4
Oklahoma City ThunderGolden State Warriors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#19
L
55-58
55
58
-3
H30/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
W
64-52
64
52
+12
H02/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
66-65
66
65
+1
H04/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
59-73
59
73
-14
A07/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
D
57-57
57
57
+0
A09/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
W
62-53
62
53
+9
H12/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H20/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
L
53-62
53
62
-9
H21/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#16
W
58-51
58
51
+7
A25/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
W
64-61
64
61
+3
A26/02
NBA
116.5Avg total
58.9Scored
57.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.454.1111.5+3.360%-
Last 30 at home (16)57.252.0109.2+5.269%-
Last 30 away (14)57.656.5114.1+1.150%-
Last 10 (10)58.957.6116.5+1.360%-
Last 5 (5)57.654.2111.8+3.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (2)56.067.5123.5-11.50%-
vs Weaker (28)57.553.1110.6+4.464%-
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#24
W
55-49
55
49
+6
A01/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
W
74-60
74
60
+14
A04/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
W
73-59
73
59
+14
H07/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
W
69-66
69
66
+3
H10/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
W
57-43
57
43
+14
A11/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
62-68
62
68
-6
A20/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
63-53
63
53
+10
A21/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
58-39
58
39
+19
A23/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#8
L
51-55
51
55
-4
A25/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
59-63
59
63
-4
A26/02
NBA
117.6Avg total
62.1Scored
55.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.852.8112.6+7.077%-
Last 30 at home (12)58.951.3110.2+7.692%-
Last 30 away (18)60.453.8114.2+6.667%-
Last 10 (10)62.155.5117.6+6.670%-
Last 5 (5)58.655.6114.2+3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (4)62.548.0110.5+14.5100%-
vs Weaker (26)59.453.5112.9+5.873%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 112.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers66.4 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.533.2
53.1%
49.0%66.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.48.8
34.6%
35.3%26.4
🏀 Free throws24.519.5
79.6%
75.5%19.5
They take 87.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Golden State Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Golden State Warriors: 117.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.430.0
54.2%
49.0%60.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.313.2
39.6%
35.3%39.6
🏀 Free throws23.417.5
74.8%
75.5%17.5
They take 88.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Feb 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Oklahoma City Thunder
LWLLWWLWWW
Golden State Warriors
WWWWLWWWWW
#4
League position
#1
+4.4
Net rating
+6.3
112.3
Offensive rating
111.3
107.9
Defensive rating
105.0
52.8%
Effective FG%
56.1%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.3%
14.4%
Turnover %
14.4%
30.2%
Off. rebound %
20.9%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.26
34.6%
3-point %
39.6%
59.3%
Assist %
66.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence112.3 · 111.3Defence107.9 · 105.0Shooting52.8% · 56.1%3-point %34.6% · 39.6%Ball care14.4% · 14.4%Off. rebounds30.2% · 20.9%Free throws0.28 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)60% · 90%
■ Oklahoma City Thunder   ■ Golden State Warriors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/16ANew Orleans Pelicans119-123
25/02/16ADallas Mavericks116-103
21/02/16HCleveland Cavaliers92-115
20/02/16HIndiana Pacers98-101
12/02/16HNew Orleans Pelicans121-95
09/02/16APhoenix Suns122-106
07/02/16AGolden State Warriors108-116
04/02/16HOrlando Magic117-114
02/02/16HWashington Wizards114-98
30/01/16HHouston Rockets116-108
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/16AOrlando Magic130-114
25/02/16AMiami Heat118-112
23/02/16AAtlanta Hawks102-92
21/02/16ALos Angeles Clippers115-112
20/02/16APortland Trail Blazers105-137
11/02/16APhoenix Suns112-104
10/02/16HHouston Rockets123-110
07/02/16HOklahoma City Thunder116-108
04/02/16AWashington Wizards134-121
01/02/16ANew York Knicks116-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL71%
HomeWWWLL78%
AwayWLWWL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games583226
Win %71%78%62%
Points / game109.8108.2111.8
Allowed / game102.599.3106.3
Point differential+7.4+8.9+5.5
Avg total212.3207.6218.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (19)57% (7)58% (12)
Overtime %5%3%8%
Golden State Warriors
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW91%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWWW85%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games572433
Win %91%100%85%
Points / game115.3114.5115.9
Allowed / game103.998.9107.5
Point differential+11.5+15.7+8.4
Avg total219.2213.4223.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%67%52%
Close games (≤5 pts) won90% (10)100% (3)86% (7)
Overtime %5%8%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors5752591%115.3103.9+11.5
2 San Antonio Spurs5950985%105.092.5+12.6
3 Cleveland Cavaliers57411672%103.096.9+6.0
4 Oklahoma City Thunder58411771%109.8102.5+7.4
5 Toronto Raptors57391868%102.497.6+4.8
6 Los Angeles Clippers58382066%105.0100.3+4.6
7 Memphis Grizzlies57342360%98.999.4-0.5
8 Boston Celtics60352558%106.1102.0+4.1
9 Miami Heat58322655%96.996.9-0.0
10 Atlanta Hawks59322754%102.5100.1+2.4
11 Indiana Pacers58312753%102.4100.3+2.1
12 Charlotte Hornets57302753%101.9100.9+1.1
13 Portland Trail Blazers59312853%103.5102.3+1.2
14 Dallas Mavericks59312853%101.7102.3-0.6
15 Chicago Bulls58302852%101.6102.3-0.8
16 Detroit Pistons58292950%101.6100.7+0.9
17 Houston Rockets59293049%105.4106.8-1.4
18 Utah Jazz57282949%98.197.1+1.0
19 Washington Wizards57273047%102.6104.5-1.9
20 Orlando Magic57253244%100.3101.8-1.6
21 Sacramento Kings57243342%107.1109.2-2.2
22 New York Knicks60253542%99.4101.7-2.3
23 Milwaukee Bucks58243441%98.7103.0-4.3
24 New Orleans Pelicans58233540%102.9105.7-2.8
25 Denver Nuggets59233639%100.8104.1-3.2
26 Minnesota Timberwolves59194032%101.1104.7-3.6
27 Brooklyn Nets58164228%97.0103.7-6.7
28 Phoenix Suns58144424%100.5107.6-7.1
29 Los Angeles Lakers60114918%97.5107.2-9.7
30 Philadelphia 76ers5885014%95.8106.4-10.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Oklahoma City Thunder3027262015118
Golden State Warriors2026322518121
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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