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Miami Heat vs Golden State Warriors Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 25 Feb 2016
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 112-118
30-21 25-30 28-29 29-38
Position#8
Record32-24
FormLLWWW
Points / game96.8
Allowed / game96.5
vs
Position#1
Record50-5
FormWWLWW
Points / game115.0
Allowed / game103.5
USANBA
NBA2015-16
Meetings · Miami Heat v Golden State Warriors
17 Jan 2027
MIA v GSW
upcoming
19 Nov 2025
MIA110
GSW96
25 Mar 2025
MIA112
GSW86
26 Mar 2024
MIA92
GSW113
01 Nov 2022
MIA116
GSW109
05 Jul 2022
MIA94
GSW70
23 Mar 2022
MIA104
GSW118
01 Apr 2021
MIA116
GSW109
29 Nov 2019
MIA122
GSW105
27 Feb 2019
MIA126
GSW125
03 Dec 2017
MIA95
GSW123
23 Jan 2017
MIA105
GSW102
24 Feb 2016
MIA112
GSW118
25 Nov 2014
MIA97
GSW114
02 Jan 2014
MIA114
GSW123
12 Dec 2012
MIA95
GSW97
01 Jan 2011
MIA114
GSW107
02 Mar 2010
MIA110
GSW106
23 Dec 2008
MIA96
GSW88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Golden State Warriors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#23
W
107-103
107
103
+4
104avg 89
A30/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
105-87
105
87
+18
100avg 89
H31/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
L
102-115
102
115
-13
99avg 89
A03/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#16
W
93-90
93
90
+3
83avg 89
A04/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
W
98-95
98
95
+3
85avg 89
A06/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
93-100
93
100
-7
81avg 89
H07/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
101-119
101
119
-18
95avg 89
H10/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
115-111
115
111
+4
109avg 89
A20/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
W
114-94
114
94
+20
111avg 89
H21/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
W
101-93 OT
101
93
+8
88avg 89
H23/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-28
22-20
26-35
26-20
27-17
20-17
28-28
30-25
31-31
24-29
25-27
22-28
21-21
26-25
27-19
19-25
25-31
22-16
20-26
31-22
19-15
26-31
20-27
28-27
24-20
23-34
28-31
26-34
22-19
30-33
27-29
36-30
30-19
29-25
23-24
32-26
15-25
26-19
29-25
18-19
203.6Avg total
102.9Scored
100.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (56)96.896.5193.3+0.357%
Season at home (29)99.396.0195.3+3.262%
Season away (27)94.197.0191.1-2.952%
Last 10 (10)102.9100.7203.6+2.270%
Last 5 (5)104.8103.4208.2+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)92.7109.7202.3-17.00%
vs Similar (18)97.696.1193.7+1.661%
vs Weaker (9)96.497.6194.0-1.156%
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWarriors
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#16
W
127-107
127
107
+20
131avg 111
H28/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
108-105
108
105
+3
114avg 111
A30/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#24
W
116-95
116
95
+21
123avg 111
A01/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
W
134-121
134
121
+13
132avg 111
A04/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
W
116-108
116
108
+8
104avg 111
H07/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
W
123-110
123
110
+13
118avg 111
H10/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
W
112-104
112
104
+8
104avg 111
A11/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
105-137
105
137
-32
93avg 111
A20/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
115-112
115
112
+3
114avg 111
A21/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
102-92
102
92
+10
97avg 111
A23/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-22
24-26
39-29
32-30
34-28
39-26
18-18
17-33
18-20
37-29
27-16
34-30
43-28
31-32
29-32
31-29
36-31
37-28
18-24
25-25
42-27
27-39
24-27
30-17
29-28
28-15
34-32
21-29
31-42
31-26
17-36
26-33
33-20
30-33
30-31
22-28
30-15
28-24
18-36
26-17
224.9Avg total
115.8Scored
109.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (55)115.0103.5218.6+11.591%
Season at home (24)114.598.9213.4+15.7100%
Season away (31)115.4107.2222.5+8.284%
Last 10 (10)115.8109.1224.9+6.790%
Last 5 (5)111.4111.0222.4+0.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)114.294.8209.0+19.5100%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)114.9106.2221.1+8.785%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +6.7+6.7Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -0.7-0.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +6.7+6.7Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -0.7-0.7
Miami HeatGolden State Warriors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#23
W
55-48
55
48
+7
A30/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H31/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
L
55-60
55
60
-5
A03/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#16
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A04/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A06/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H07/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
47-54
47
54
-7
H10/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
D
52-52
52
52
+0
A20/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
W
59-44
59
44
+15
H21/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H23/02
NBA
97.0Avg total
49.5Scored
47.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.248.096.2+0.240%-
Last 30 at home (12)47.645.593.1+2.142%-
Last 30 away (18)48.649.798.2-1.139%-
Last 10 (10)49.547.597.0+2.040%-
Last 5 (5)48.848.096.8+0.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)47.751.399.0-3.70%-
vs Similar (18)48.447.495.9+1.044%-
vs Weaker (9)47.848.095.8-0.244%-
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#16
W
56-48
56
48
+8
H28/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
73-54
73
54
+19
A30/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#24
W
55-49
55
49
+6
A01/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
W
74-60
74
60
+14
A04/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
W
73-59
73
59
+14
H07/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
W
69-66
69
66
+3
H10/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
W
57-43
57
43
+14
A11/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
62-68
62
68
-6
A20/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
63-53
63
53
+10
A21/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
58-39
58
39
+19
A23/02
NBA
117.9Avg total
64.0Scored
53.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.052.7112.8+7.380%-
Last 30 at home (14)58.952.3111.1+6.686%-
Last 30 away (16)61.153.1114.2+7.975%-
Last 10 (10)64.053.9117.9+10.190%-
Last 5 (5)61.853.8115.6+8.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)62.548.0110.5+14.5100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)59.753.5113.1+6.277%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 102.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀69%
🏀🏀🏀13%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers70.6 pts a game · 69% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers12.9 pts a game · 13% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers70.535.3
50.1%
49.0%70.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.44.3
27.9%
35.3%12.9
🏀 Free throws26.919.4
72.1%
75.5%19.4
They take 85.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 15.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 18% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Golden State Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Golden State Warriors: 115.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.629.8
54.6%
49.0%59.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.913.3
39.2%
35.3%39.9
🏀 Free throws21.616.3
75.5%
75.5%16.3
They take 88.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Feb 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
WWWLLWWLWW
Golden State Warriors
WWLWWWWWWW
#8
League position
#1
+2.2
Net rating
+6.4
103.4
Offensive rating
111.4
101.2
Defensive rating
105.0
48.6%
Effective FG%
56.2%
49.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
13.2%
Turnover %
14.5%
25.2%
Off. rebound %
21.6%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.24
27.9%
3-point %
39.2%
54.5%
Assist %
69.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence103.4 · 111.4Defence101.2 · 105.0Shooting48.6% · 56.2%3-point %27.9% · 39.2%Ball care13.2% · 14.5%Off. rebounds25.2% · 21.6%Free throws0.31 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)70% · 90%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Golden State Warriors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/02/16HIndiana Pacers101-93 OT
21/02/16HWashington Wizards114-94
20/02/16AAtlanta Hawks115-111
10/02/16HSan Antonio Spurs101-119
07/02/16HLos Angeles Clippers93-100
06/02/16ACharlotte Hornets98-95
04/02/16ADallas Mavericks93-90
03/02/16AHouston Rockets102-115
31/01/16HAtlanta Hawks105-87
30/01/16AMilwaukee Bucks107-103
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/02/16AAtlanta Hawks102-92
21/02/16ALos Angeles Clippers115-112
20/02/16APortland Trail Blazers105-137
11/02/16APhoenix Suns112-104
10/02/16HHouston Rockets123-110
07/02/16HOklahoma City Thunder116-108
04/02/16AWashington Wizards134-121
01/02/16ANew York Knicks116-95
30/01/16APhiladelphia 76ers108-105
28/01/16HDallas Mavericks127-107

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW57%
HomeWLLWW62%
AwayWLWWW52%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games562927
Win %57%62%52%
Points / game96.899.394.1
Allowed / game96.596.097.0
Point differential+0.3+3.2-2.9
Avg total193.3195.3191.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%31%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (14)83% (6)88% (8)
Overtime %7%10%4%
Golden State Warriors
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW91%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLWW84%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games552431
Win %91%100%84%
Points / game115.0114.5115.4
Allowed / game103.598.9107.2
Point differential+11.5+15.7+8.2
Avg total218.6213.4222.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%67%52%
Close games (≤5 pts) won90% (10)100% (3)86% (7)
Overtime %5%8%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors5550591%115.0103.5+11.5
2 San Antonio Spurs5647984%105.292.7+12.4
3 Cleveland Cavaliers56411573%103.196.9+6.2
4 Oklahoma City Thunder56401671%109.6102.1+7.5
5 Toronto Raptors55371867%102.297.5+4.7
6 Los Angeles Clippers56371966%105.2100.4+4.7
7 Memphis Grizzlies55322358%98.199.1-1.0
8 Miami Heat56322457%96.896.5+0.3
9 Boston Celtics58332557%106.1102.1+4.0
10 Indiana Pacers57312654%102.5100.4+2.1
11 Atlanta Hawks58312753%102.5100.3+2.2
12 Chicago Bulls55292653%101.8102.3-0.5
13 Portland Trail Blazers57302753%103.5102.2+1.3
14 Dallas Mavericks57302753%101.4101.8-0.5
15 Charlotte Hornets56292752%102.0101.0+1.1
16 Utah Jazz56282850%98.497.1+1.3
17 Detroit Pistons57282949%101.5100.9+0.6
18 Houston Rockets57282949%105.4106.8-1.5
19 Washington Wizards55262947%102.6104.6-2.0
20 Orlando Magic55253045%100.1101.2-1.1
21 Sacramento Kings55243144%107.3109.1-1.8
22 Milwaukee Bucks57243342%98.6102.8-4.3
23 New York Knicks59243541%99.2101.8-2.6
24 New Orleans Pelicans56223439%102.4105.3-2.9
25 Denver Nuggets57223539%100.8104.1-3.3
26 Minnesota Timberwolves57183932%100.8104.5-3.6
27 Brooklyn Nets57154226%96.6103.6-7.0
28 Phoenix Suns57144325%100.4107.4-7.0
29 Los Angeles Lakers58114719%97.2106.7-9.5
30 Philadelphia 76ers5684814%96.0106.4-10.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat30252829112
Golden State Warriors21302938118
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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