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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Houston Rockets Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 23 Mar 2016
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 111-107
28-27 27-29 23-21 33-30
Position#4
Record48-22
FormLWWWW
Points / game110.2
Allowed / game103.0
vs
Position#19
Record35-35
FormLWLWL
Points / game106.1
Allowed / game107.0
USANBA
NBA2015-16
Meetings · Oklahoma City Thunder v Houston Rockets
13 Jan 2027
OKC v HOU
upcoming
07 Feb 2026
OKC106
HOU112
21 Oct 2025
OKC125
HOU124
03 Mar 2025
OKC137
HOU128
14 Dec 2024
OKC111
HOU96
08 Nov 2024
OKC126
HOU107
27 Mar 2024
OKC126
HOU132
27 Feb 2024
OKC112
HOU95
15 Feb 2023
OKC133
HOU96
04 Feb 2023
OKC153
HOU121
01 Dec 2021
OKC110
HOU114
17 Nov 2021
OKC101
HOU89
03 Feb 2021
OKC104
HOU87
01 Feb 2021
OKC106
HOU136
31 Aug 2020
OKC104
HOU100
24 Aug 2020
OKC117
HOU114
22 Aug 2020
OKC119
HOU107
09 Jan 2020
OKC113
HOU92
09 Apr 2019
OKC112
HOU111
08 Nov 2018
OKC98
HOU80
06 Mar 2018
OKC112
HOU122
25 Dec 2017
OKC112
HOU107
23 Apr 2017
OKC109
HOU113
21 Apr 2017
OKC115
HOU113
09 Dec 2016
OKC99
HOU102
16 Nov 2016
OKC105
HOU103
22 Mar 2016
OKC111
HOU107
29 Jan 2016
OKC116
HOU108
05 Apr 2015
OKC112
HOU115
16 Nov 2014
OKC65
HOU69
11 Mar 2014
OKC106
HOU98
29 Dec 2013
OKC117
HOU86
01 May 2013
OKC100
HOU107
24 Apr 2013
OKC105
HOU102
21 Apr 2013
OKC120
HOU91
28 Nov 2012
OKC120
HOU98
13 Mar 2012
OKC103
HOU104
06 Jan 2012
OKC109
HOU94
15 Dec 2010
OKC117
HOU105
17 Nov 2010
OKC116
HOU99
24 Mar 2010
OKC122
HOU104
29 Nov 2009
OKC91
HOU100
09 Jan 2009
OKC96
HOU98
17 Nov 2008
OKC89
HOU100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oklahoma City Thunder winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Houston Rockets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
98-103
98
103
-5
92avg 104
A03/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
106-121
106
121
-15
98avg 104
A04/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#23
W
104-96
104
96
+8
106avg 104
A06/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
120-108
120
108
+12
123avg 104
H10/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#26
L
96-99
96
99
-3
86avg 104
H12/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
85-93
85
93
-8
80avg 104
A13/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
128-94
128
94
+34
135avg 104
H15/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#9
W
130-109
130
109
+21
122avg 104
A16/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
111-97
111
97
+14
116avg 104
A18/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
W
115-111
115
111
+4
114avg 104
A19/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
37-24
21-14
27-30
13-35
28-29
33-34
22-19
23-39
32-12
32-36
20-31
20-17
39-29
25-33
29-21
27-25
21-24
32-26
20-19
23-30
22-25
27-20
19-21
17-27
31-22
35-20
36-30
26-22
35-30
31-25
42-26
22-28
27-23
26-24
32-21
26-29
27-28
37-26
24-33
27-24
212.4Avg total
109.3Scored
103.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (70)110.2103.0213.2+7.269%
Season at home (36)109.0100.0209.1+9.075%
Season away (34)111.4106.2217.6+5.262%
Last 10 (10)109.3103.1212.4+6.260%
Last 5 (5)113.8100.8214.6+13.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)103.9111.0214.9-7.114%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)114.7104.5219.2+10.283%
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRockets
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
W
100-95
100
95
+5
92avg 95
H03/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
L
100-108
100
108
-8
85avg 95
A06/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
W
113-107
113
107
+6
106avg 95
A06/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
118-104
118
104
+14
107avg 95
A10/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#9
W
102-98
102
98
+4
92avg 95
A12/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
L
109-125
109
125
-16
92avg 95
A13/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
W
130-81
130
81
+49
131avg 95
H15/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
106-122
106
122
-16
97avg 95
H17/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#26
W
116-111
116
111
+5
116avg 95
H19/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
97-109
97
109
-12
85avg 95
A19/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-28
28-24
23-24
24-19
23-29
20-26
32-28
25-25
26-30
25-31
26-24
36-22
21-27
40-25
32-27
25-25
19-23
27-20
31-30
25-25
19-34
38-28
30-28
22-35
34-22
31-19
32-15
33-25
26-35
24-37
25-25
31-25
31-23
23-29
34-26
28-33
16-30
42-22
25-30
14-27
215.1Avg total
109.1Scored
106.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (70)106.1107.0213.1-0.850%
Season at home (34)105.3104.8210.0+0.556%
Season away (36)107.0109.0216.0-2.144%
Last 10 (10)109.1106.0215.1+3.160%
Last 5 (5)111.6109.6221.2+2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)102.9116.9219.8-14.00%
vs Similar (18)110.3108.2218.6+2.156%
vs Weaker (4)114.2101.0215.2+13.2100%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.3+5.3Q1: -4.1-4.1Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: -5.2-5.2Q4: +0.2+0.2
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.3+5.3Q1: -4.1-4.1Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: -5.2-5.2Q4: +0.2+0.2
Oklahoma City ThunderHouston Rockets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
58-38
58
38
+20
A03/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
61-63
61
63
-2
A04/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#23
W
64-48
64
48
+16
A06/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
64-62
64
62
+2
H10/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#26
W
53-50
53
50
+3
H12/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A13/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
66-42
66
42
+24
H15/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#9
W
66-55
66
55
+11
A16/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
53-47
53
47
+6
A18/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
W
64-54
64
54
+10
A19/03
NBA
110.2Avg total
59.8Scored
50.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.953.5111.4+4.470%-
Last 30 at home (13)57.251.1108.3+6.285%-
Last 30 away (17)58.555.4113.8+3.159%-
Last 10 (10)59.850.4110.2+9.490%-
Last 5 (5)59.648.6108.2+11.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)57.355.6112.9+1.757%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)58.152.9111.0+5.374%-
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
W
53-52
53
52
+1
H03/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
L
43-55
43
55
-12
A06/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
51-61
51
61
-10
A06/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
61-52
61
52
+9
A10/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#9
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A12/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
L
57-62
57
62
-5
A13/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
W
65-41
65
41
+24
H15/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
50-72
50
72
-22
H17/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#26
W
54-52
54
52
+2
H19/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
58-52
58
52
+6
A19/03
NBA
108.0Avg total
53.8Scored
54.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.756.1108.8-3.440%-
Last 30 at home (12)50.053.5103.5-3.550%-
Last 30 away (18)54.557.8112.3-3.333%-
Last 10 (10)53.854.2108.0-0.460%-
Last 5 (5)56.855.8112.6+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)49.959.1109.0-9.225%-
vs Similar (18)52.755.3108.1-2.639%-
vs Weaker (4)58.253.2111.5+5.075%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 109.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers66.6 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.933.3
53.8%
49.0%66.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.57.6
31.0%
35.3%22.8
🏀 Free throws24.919.9
79.9%
75.5%19.9
They take 86.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 108.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.2 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.430.6
55.2%
49.0%61.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.78.6
29.0%
35.3%25.8
🏀 Free throws30.321.2
70.0%
75.5%21.2
They take 85.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Mar 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Oklahoma City Thunder
WWWWLLWWLL
Houston Rockets
LWLWLWWWLW
#4
League position
#19
+6.2
Net rating
-2.5
109.2
Offensive rating
107.3
103.0
Defensive rating
109.8
51.7%
Effective FG%
51.1%
47.3%
Opp. effective FG%
54.6%
17.1%
Turnover %
15.2%
32.2%
Off. rebound %
29.1%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.36
31.0%
3-point %
29.0%
59.7%
Assist %
58.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence109.2 · 107.3Defence103.0 · 109.8Shooting51.7% · 51.1%3-point %31.0% · 29.0%Ball care17.1% · 15.2%Off. rebounds32.2% · 29.1%Free throws0.29 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Oklahoma City Thunder   ■ Houston Rockets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
19/03/16AIndiana Pacers115-111
18/03/16APhiladelphia 76ers111-97
16/03/16ABoston Celtics130-109
15/03/16HPortland Trail Blazers128-94
13/03/16ASan Antonio Spurs85-93
12/03/16HMinnesota Timberwolves96-99
10/03/16HLos Angeles Clippers120-108
06/03/16AMilwaukee Bucks104-96
04/03/16AGolden State Warriors106-121
03/03/16ALos Angeles Clippers98-103
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/03/16AAtlanta Hawks97-109
19/03/16HMinnesota Timberwolves116-111
17/03/16HLos Angeles Clippers106-122
15/03/16HMemphis Grizzlies130-81
13/03/16ACharlotte Hornets109-125
12/03/16ABoston Celtics102-98
10/03/16APhiladelphia 76ers118-104
06/03/16AToronto Raptors113-107
06/03/16AChicago Bulls100-108
03/03/16HNew Orleans Pelicans100-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW69%
HomeLLWLW75%
AwayWLWWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games703634
Win %69%75%62%
Points / game110.2109.0111.4
Allowed / game103.0100.0106.2
Point differential+7.2+9.0+5.2
Avg total213.2209.1217.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won52% (23)44% (9)57% (14)
Overtime %6%6%6%
Houston Rockets
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL50%
HomeLWWLW56%
AwayWWWLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games703436
Win %50%56%44%
Points / game106.1105.3107.0
Allowed / game107.0104.8109.0
Point differential-0.8+0.5-2.1
Avg total213.1210.0216.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%15%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won70% (23)77% (13)60% (10)
Overtime %9%9%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors7063790%115.3104.2+11.1
2 San Antonio Spurs70591184%104.392.3+12.0
3 Cleveland Cavaliers70502071%103.997.8+6.1
4 Toronto Raptors69482170%103.098.3+4.8
5 Oklahoma City Thunder70482269%110.2103.0+7.2
6 Los Angeles Clippers69432662%104.6101.1+3.5
7 Miami Heat69402958%99.397.9+1.4
8 Boston Celtics71413058%106.0102.3+3.7
9 Atlanta Hawks71413058%102.699.1+3.5
10 Charlotte Hornets71413058%103.0100.8+2.2
11 Memphis Grizzlies71413058%99.2100.5-1.3
12 Indiana Pacers70373353%101.8100.3+1.4
13 Chicago Bulls69363352%101.8102.9-1.1
14 Detroit Pistons71373452%102.1101.5+0.7
15 Portland Trail Blazers71363551%104.5104.1+0.4
16 Dallas Mavericks70353550%102.9103.3-0.4
17 Washington Wizards70353550%103.2103.9-0.8
18 Houston Rockets70353550%106.1107.0-0.8
19 Utah Jazz70343649%97.896.5+1.3
20 Milwaukee Bucks71304142%99.1102.6-3.5
21 Orlando Magic70294141%100.8103.1-2.3
22 Denver Nuggets71294241%102.3104.9-2.7
23 New York Knicks71284339%98.5101.4-2.9
24 Sacramento Kings70274339%106.4109.2-2.8
25 New Orleans Pelicans69264338%103.3106.4-3.1
26 Minnesota Timberwolves70224831%101.7105.8-4.0
27 Brooklyn Nets70195127%98.3104.8-6.5
28 Phoenix Suns70195127%100.2107.6-7.4
29 Los Angeles Lakers69145520%97.7106.6-8.9
30 Philadelphia 76ers7196213%96.9107.5-10.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Oklahoma City Thunder28272333111
Houston Rockets27292130107
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