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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Houston Rockets Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 14 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 02:30
Scheduled
Position#12
Record8-5
FormWWLLL
Points / game111.2
Allowed / game107.4
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.4/10
Below normal
3.5/10
Below normal
Position#5
Record10-3
FormLLWWW
Points / game116.2
Allowed / game107.4
USANBA· Paycom Center
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Oklahoma City Thunder v Houston Rockets
13 Jan 2027
OKC v HOU
upcoming
07 Feb 2026
OKC106
HOU112
21 Oct 2025
OKC125
HOU124
03 Mar 2025
OKC137
HOU128
14 Dec 2024
OKC111
HOU96
08 Nov 2024
OKC126
HOU107
27 Mar 2024
OKC126
HOU132
27 Feb 2024
OKC112
HOU95
15 Feb 2023
OKC133
HOU96
04 Feb 2023
OKC153
HOU121
01 Dec 2021
OKC110
HOU114
17 Nov 2021
OKC101
HOU89
03 Feb 2021
OKC104
HOU87
01 Feb 2021
OKC106
HOU136
31 Aug 2020
OKC104
HOU100
24 Aug 2020
OKC117
HOU114
22 Aug 2020
OKC119
HOU107
09 Jan 2020
OKC113
HOU92
09 Apr 2019
OKC112
HOU111
08 Nov 2018
OKC98
HOU80
06 Mar 2018
OKC112
HOU122
25 Dec 2017
OKC112
HOU107
23 Apr 2017
OKC109
HOU113
21 Apr 2017
OKC115
HOU113
09 Dec 2016
OKC99
HOU102
16 Nov 2016
OKC105
HOU103
22 Mar 2016
OKC111
HOU107
29 Jan 2016
OKC116
HOU108
05 Apr 2015
OKC112
HOU115
16 Nov 2014
OKC65
HOU69
11 Mar 2014
OKC106
HOU98
29 Dec 2013
OKC117
HOU86
01 May 2013
OKC100
HOU107
24 Apr 2013
OKC105
HOU102
21 Apr 2013
OKC120
HOU91
28 Nov 2012
OKC120
HOU98
13 Mar 2012
OKC103
HOU104
06 Jan 2012
OKC109
HOU94
15 Dec 2010
OKC117
HOU105
17 Nov 2010
OKC116
HOU99
24 Mar 2010
OKC122
HOU104
29 Nov 2009
OKC91
HOU100
09 Jan 2009
OKC96
HOU98
17 Nov 2008
OKC89
HOU100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oklahoma City Thunder win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Houston Rockets win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#18
W
125-114
125
114
+11
119avg 104
H27/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#14
L
96-120
96
120
-24
76avg 104
A29/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
L
98-119
98
119
-21
72avg 104
A01/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#17
W
117-112
117
112
+5
95avg 104
A03/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#17
W
124-116
124
116
+8
116avg 104
H05/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#8
W
128-97
128
97
+31
117avg 104
A07/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
114-75
114
75
+39
114avg 104
H08/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
103-123
103
123
-20
93avg 104
A11/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
108-118
108
118
-10
94avg 104
A12/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#25
L
112-113
112
113
-1
103avg 104
A14/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-27
34-26
32-32
26-29
30-33
29-32
22-29
15-26
26-35
25-27
24-30
23-27
26-30
33-18
31-36
27-28
37-20
23-24
28-30
36-42
35-28
36-21
27-27
30-21
25-19
32-17
33-23
24-16
27-26
32-33
21-38
23-26
32-28
18-28
35-32
23-30
27-33
17-24
40-25
28-31
223.2Avg total
112.5Scored
110.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)111.2107.4218.5+3.862%
Season at home (5)113.498.0211.4+15.4100%
Season away (8)109.8113.2223.0-3.538%
Last 10 (10)112.5110.7223.2+1.850%
Last 5 (5)113.0105.2218.2+7.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)114.0106.7220.7+7.367%
vs Similar (13)108.2112.5220.7-4.246%
vs Weaker (14)117.1107.3224.4+9.879%
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRockets
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#13
W
120-110
120
110
+10
126avg 106
H27/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
132-100
132
100
+32
127avg 106
A29/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#14
L
111-116
111
116
-5
98avg 106
A31/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#12
W
119-98
119
98
+21
110avg 106
H01/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
W
109-93
109
93
+16
109avg 106
H03/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
107-117
107
117
-10
97avg 106
H05/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#18
L
99-102
99
102
-3
81avg 106
A08/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#10
W
110-100
110
100
+10
107avg 106
H10/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
115-108
115
108
+7
108avg 106
H12/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#29
W
125-118
125
118
+7
117avg 106
H14/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-35
31-31
28-19
29-25
23-21
34-14
38-34
37-31
20-27
31-17
33-32
27-40
35-26
27-25
30-24
27-23
29-29
28-21
25-23
27-20
30-33
27-24
27-25
23-35
23-35
24-12
28-29
24-26
32-24
22-16
23-28
33-32
35-20
21-31
29-28
30-29
27-27
36-26
29-36
33-29
220.9Avg total
114.7Scored
106.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)116.2107.4223.5+8.877%
Season at home (8)116.6106.8223.4+9.988%
Season away (5)115.4108.4223.8+7.060%
Last 10 (10)114.7106.2220.9+8.570%
Last 5 (5)111.2109.0220.2+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)114.0110.0224.0+4.0100%
vs Similar (12)106.5105.2211.7+1.342%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)120.8107.4228.2+13.588%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: +6.4+6.4Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +0.0+0.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: +6.4+6.4Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +0.0+0.0
Oklahoma City ThunderHouston Rockets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#18
W
67-53
67
53
+14
H27/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#14
L
59-65
59
65
-6
A29/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
L
51-62
51
62
-11
A01/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#17
W
59-48
59
48
+11
A03/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#17
W
60-44
60
44
+16
H05/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#8
W
71-49
71
49
+22
A07/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
57-36
57
36
+21
H08/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
D
59-59
59
59
+0
A11/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
50-56
50
56
-6
A12/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#25
L
44-57
44
57
-13
A14/11
NBA
110.6Avg total
57.7Scored
52.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.753.6110.3+3.050%-
Last 30 at home (14)57.151.8108.9+5.357%-
Last 30 away (16)56.355.2111.6+1.144%-
Last 10 (10)57.752.9110.6+4.850%-
Last 5 (5)56.251.4107.6+4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)62.351.7114.0+10.767%-
vs Similar (13)54.553.6108.1+0.838%-
vs Weaker (14)57.554.1111.6+3.457%-
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#13
L
63-66
63
66
-3
H27/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
57-35
57
35
+22
A29/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#14
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A31/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#12
W
62-51
62
51
+11
H01/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
W
57-50
57
50
+7
H03/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
D
57-57
57
57
+0
H05/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#18
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A08/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#10
W
54-40
54
40
+14
H10/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
56-51
56
51
+5
H12/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#29
W
63-53
63
53
+10
H14/11
NBA
106.1Avg total
56.7Scored
49.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.350.4107.8+6.970%-
Last 30 at home (17)59.951.7111.6+8.276%-
Last 30 away (13)53.948.8102.7+5.262%-
Last 10 (10)56.749.4106.1+7.370%-
Last 5 (5)55.449.6105.0+5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)61.059.0120.0+2.0100%-
vs Similar (12)53.053.1106.1-0.142%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)60.248.1108.2+12.188%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 108.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.428.4
50.4%
54.0%56.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.511.1
34.2%
35.1%33.3
🏀 Free throws22.618.8
83.2%
77.3%18.8
They take 88.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 115.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.429.3
53.9%
54.0%58.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.011.7
35.5%
35.1%35.1
🏀 Free throws26.321.3
81.0%
77.3%21.3
They take 87.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Oklahoma City Thunder
LLLWWWWLLW
Houston Rockets
WWWLLWWLWW
#12
League position
#5
-1.1
Net rating
+4.5
104.8
Offensive rating
115.9
105.9
Defensive rating
111.4
50.7%
Effective FG%
53.6%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.1%
13.1%
Turnover %
13.9%
25.5%
Off. rebound %
32.7%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.30
34.2%
3-point %
35.5%
57.5%
Assist %
63.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence104.8 · 115.9Defence105.9 · 111.4Shooting50.7% · 53.6%3-point %34.2% · 35.5%Ball care13.1% · 13.9%Off. rebounds25.5% · 32.7%Free throws0.25 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Oklahoma City Thunder   ■ Houston Rockets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ALos Angeles Clippers112-113
12/11/26APortland Trail Blazers108-118
11/11/26APortland Trail Blazers103-123
08/11/26HWashington Wizards114-75
07/11/26AMemphis Grizzlies128-97
05/11/26HCleveland Cavaliers124-116
03/11/26ACleveland Cavaliers117-112
01/11/26AHouston Rockets98-119
29/10/26ADallas Mavericks96-120
27/10/26HPhoenix Suns125-114
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HUtah Jazz125-118
12/11/26HGolden State Warriors115-108
10/11/26HDenver Nuggets110-100
08/11/26APhoenix Suns99-102
05/11/26HMinnesota Timberwolves107-117
03/11/26HBoston Celtics109-93
01/11/26HOklahoma City Thunder119-98
31/10/26ADallas Mavericks111-116
29/10/26AMilwaukee Bucks132-100
27/10/26HAtlanta Hawks120-110

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL62%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1358
Win %62%100%38%
Points / game111.2113.4109.8
Allowed / game107.498.0113.2
Point differential+3.8+15.4-3.5
Avg total218.5211.4223.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%60%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Houston Rockets
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW77%
HomeWLWWW88%
AwayWWWLL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1385
Win %77%88%60%
Points / game116.2116.6115.4
Allowed / game107.4106.8108.4
Point differential+8.8+9.9+7.0
Avg total223.5223.4223.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%62%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Antonio Spurs1311285%119.5106.2+13.2
2 Los Angeles Lakers1311285%122.2114.2+7.9
3 Boston Celtics1210283%114.2103.1+11.2
4 Philadelphia 76ers1411379%112.6110.4+2.1
5 Houston Rockets1310377%116.2107.4+8.8
6 Portland Trail Blazers129375%119.6111.8+7.8
7 Minnesota Timberwolves139469%118.3106.8+11.5
8 Memphis Grizzlies139469%120.6111.7+8.9
9 Detroit Pistons128467%115.7110.2+5.4
10 Denver Nuggets117464%114.6112.8+1.8
11 Golden State Warriors138562%116.7112.4+4.3
12 Oklahoma City Thunder138562%111.2107.4+3.8
13 Atlanta Hawks137654%118.2116.8+1.3
14 Dallas Mavericks137654%113.5113.3+0.2
15 Miami Heat137654%118.7119.8-1.2
16 New York Knicks126650%109.8103.7+6.1
17 Cleveland Cavaliers147750%117.5115.9+1.6
18 Phoenix Suns115645%111.7116.1-4.4
19 Toronto Raptors125742%114.2112.8+1.4
20 Orlando Magic125742%108.3112.8-4.4
21 Indiana Pacers145936%112.1114.5-2.4
22 Charlotte Hornets124833%98.6109.6-11.0
23 Washington Wizards134931%110.0115.8-5.8
24 New Orleans Pelicans1441029%115.9124.9-9.1
25 Los Angeles Clippers113827%112.3117.5-5.3
26 Brooklyn Nets123925%110.2116.4-6.2
27 Chicago Bulls123925%114.6125.9-11.3
28 Sacramento Kings121118%108.2120.9-12.8
29 Utah Jazz131128%107.5118.6-11.2
30 Milwaukee Bucks131128%106.2120.2-14.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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