PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Houston Rockets Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 153-121
38-19 41-34 44-28 30-40
Position#20
Record24-27
FormWLWLL
Points / game116.6
Allowed / game115.8
vs
Position#28
Record13-39
FormLLWWL
Points / game109.7
Allowed / game116.9
USANBA· Paycom Center
NBA2022-23
Meetings · Oklahoma City Thunder v Houston Rockets
13 Jan 2027
OKC v HOU
upcoming
07 Feb 2026
OKC106
HOU112
21 Oct 2025
OKC125
HOU124
03 Mar 2025
OKC137
HOU128
14 Dec 2024
OKC111
HOU96
08 Nov 2024
OKC126
HOU107
27 Mar 2024
OKC126
HOU132
27 Feb 2024
OKC112
HOU95
15 Feb 2023
OKC133
HOU96
04 Feb 2023
OKC153
HOU121
01 Dec 2021
OKC110
HOU114
17 Nov 2021
OKC101
HOU89
03 Feb 2021
OKC104
HOU87
01 Feb 2021
OKC106
HOU136
31 Aug 2020
OKC104
HOU100
24 Aug 2020
OKC117
HOU114
22 Aug 2020
OKC119
HOU107
09 Jan 2020
OKC113
HOU92
09 Apr 2019
OKC112
HOU111
08 Nov 2018
OKC98
HOU80
06 Mar 2018
OKC112
HOU122
25 Dec 2017
OKC112
HOU107
23 Apr 2017
OKC109
HOU113
21 Apr 2017
OKC115
HOU113
09 Dec 2016
OKC99
HOU102
16 Nov 2016
OKC105
HOU103
22 Mar 2016
OKC111
HOU107
29 Jan 2016
OKC116
HOU108
05 Apr 2015
OKC112
HOU115
16 Nov 2014
OKC65
HOU69
11 Mar 2014
OKC106
HOU98
29 Dec 2013
OKC117
HOU86
01 May 2013
OKC100
HOU107
24 Apr 2013
OKC105
HOU102
21 Apr 2013
OKC120
HOU91
28 Nov 2012
OKC120
HOU98
13 Mar 2012
OKC103
HOU104
06 Jan 2012
OKC109
HOU94
15 Dec 2010
OKC117
HOU105
17 Nov 2010
OKC116
HOU99
24 Mar 2010
OKC122
HOU104
29 Nov 2009
OKC91
HOU100
09 Jan 2009
OKC96
HOU98
17 Nov 2008
OKC89
HOU100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oklahoma City Thunder winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Houston Rockets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
W
133-114
133
114
+19
129avg 103
A13/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
124-110
124
110
+14
116avg 103
A14/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
W
112-102
112
102
+10
102avg 103
A15/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
W
126-106
126
106
+20
127avg 103
H19/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
L
113-118
113
118
-5
97avg 103
A21/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
W
101-99
101
99
+2
94avg 103
A23/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#16
L
132-137
132
137
-5
120avg 103
H26/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
W
112-100
112
100
+12
110avg 103
H28/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
120-128
120
128
-8
110avg 103
H31/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
L
106-112
106
112
-6
89avg 103
A02/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-35
32-22
34-28
32-29
33-31
39-27
19-32
33-20
28-24
20-26
27-30
37-22
36-20
22-24
42-29
26-33
32-33
34-26
22-32
25-27
27-18
25-29
29-27
20-25
43-39
34-38
27-32
28-28
27-25
20-29
31-24
34-22
20-38
28-25
37-31
35-34
25-34
33-33
28-17
20-28
230.5Avg total
117.9Scored
112.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (51)116.6115.8232.5+0.847%
Season at home (26)119.4115.5234.9+3.958%
Season away (25)113.8116.1229.9-2.336%
Last 10 (10)117.9112.6230.5+5.360%
Last 5 (5)114.2115.2229.4-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)150.0117.0267.0+33.0100%
vs Similar (22)115.8115.2231.0+0.645%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)116.9111.9228.7+5.071%
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRockets
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
L
100-121
100
121
-21
89avg 101
A15/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
L
132-140
132
140
-8
122avg 101
A17/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
L
117-122
117
122
-5
108avg 101
H19/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
L
104-113
104
113
-9
103avg 101
A22/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
119-114
119
114
+5
111avg 101
H24/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
L
103-108
103
108
-5
98avg 101
H26/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
95-113
95
113
-18
94avg 101
H27/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
117-114
117
114
+3
106avg 101
A29/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
W
112-106
112
106
+6
106avg 101
H02/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
L
111-117
111
117
-6
103avg 101
H04/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-31
33-31
27-29
10-30
35-37
26-36
37-29
34-38
31-36
29-17
24-30
33-39
26-26
26-24
32-37
20-26
31-26
25-30
34-25
29-33
30-25
28-18
23-28
22-37
25-37
23-37
26-23
21-16
27-37
32-20
24-29
34-28
34-25
33-33
17-28
28-20
21-20
27-35
24-30
39-32
227.8Avg total
111.0Scored
116.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (52)109.7116.9226.5-7.225%
Season at home (26)108.7113.0221.6-4.331%
Season away (26)110.7120.8231.4-10.119%
Last 10 (10)111.0116.8227.8-5.830%
Last 5 (5)107.6111.6219.2-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)109.2116.9226.2-7.724%
vs Similar (5)108.6117.0225.6-8.420%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -2.9-2.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -2.9-2.9
Oklahoma City ThunderHouston Rockets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
W
67-57
67
57
+10
A13/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
72-58
72
58
+14
A14/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A15/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
W
58-44
58
44
+14
H19/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
W
66-59
66
59
+7
A21/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
W
52-47
52
47
+5
A23/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#16
D
77-77
77
77
+0
H26/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
47-54
47
54
-7
H28/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
48-63
48
63
-15
H31/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
L
58-67
58
67
-9
A02/02
NBA
116.9Avg total
59.3Scored
57.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.858.9116.7-1.143%-
Last 30 at home (16)58.558.8117.3-0.344%-
Last 30 away (14)57.159.0116.1-1.943%-
Last 10 (10)59.357.6116.9+1.750%-
Last 5 (5)56.461.6118.0-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)74.054.0128.0+20.0100%-
vs Similar (22)56.658.9115.5-2.336%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)59.459.6119.0-0.157%-
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
63-62
63
62
+1
A15/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
L
61-73
61
73
-12
A17/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
W
60-53
60
53
+7
H19/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
52-50
52
50
+2
A22/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
D
56-56
56
56
+0
H24/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
58-43
58
43
+15
H26/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
48-74
48
74
-26
H27/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
59-57
59
57
+2
A29/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
W
67-58
67
58
+9
H02/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
L
48-55
48
55
-7
H04/02
NBA
115.3Avg total
57.2Scored
58.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.158.4114.5-2.347%-
Last 30 at home (18)55.455.2110.7+0.256%-
Last 30 away (12)57.163.2120.2-6.133%-
Last 10 (10)57.258.1115.3-0.960%-
Last 5 (5)56.057.4113.4-1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)55.959.0114.8-3.140%-
vs Similar (5)57.255.6112.8+1.680%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 117.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.731.6
52.9%
54.5%63.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.012.4
38.8%
35.8%37.2
🏀 Free throws21.217.5
82.5%
78.1%17.5
They take 91.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 111.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers68.2 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.434.1
55.5%
54.5%68.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.78.0
30.0%
35.8%24.0
🏀 Free throws26.818.8
70.1%
78.1%18.8
They take 88.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Feb 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Oklahoma City Thunder
LLWLWLWWWW
Houston Rockets
LWWLLWLLLL
#20
League position
#28
+5.2
Net rating
-5.7
116.3
Offensive rating
108.7
111.0
Defensive rating
114.4
54.7%
Effective FG%
52.3%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
11.3%
Turnover %
16.6%
25.7%
Off. rebound %
32.6%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.30
38.8%
3-point %
30.0%
56.6%
Assist %
55.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence116.3 · 108.7Defence111.0 · 114.4Shooting54.7% · 52.3%3-point %38.8% · 30.0%Ball care11.3% · 16.6%Off. rebounds25.7% · 32.6%Free throws0.23 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Oklahoma City Thunder   ■ Houston Rockets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/23AHouston Rockets106-112
31/01/23HGolden State Warriors120-128
28/01/23HCleveland Cavaliers112-100
26/01/23HAtlanta Hawks132-137
23/01/23ADenver Nuggets101-99
21/01/23ASacramento Kings113-118
19/01/23HIndiana Pacers126-106
15/01/23ABrooklyn Nets112-102
14/01/23AChicago Bulls124-110
13/01/23APhiladelphia 76ers133-114
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/23HToronto Raptors111-117
02/02/23HOklahoma City Thunder112-106
29/01/23ADetroit Pistons117-114
27/01/23HCleveland Cavaliers95-113
26/01/23HWashington Wizards103-108
24/01/23HMinnesota Timberwolves119-114
22/01/23AMinnesota Timberwolves104-113
19/01/23HCharlotte Hornets117-122
17/01/23ALos Angeles Lakers132-140
15/01/23ALos Angeles Clippers100-121

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL47%
HomeWWLWL58%
AwayWWLWL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games512625
Win %47%58%36%
Points / game116.6119.4113.8
Allowed / game115.8115.5116.1
Point differential+0.8+3.9-2.3
Avg total232.5234.9229.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%31%16%
Close games (≤5 pts) won31% (16)33% (9)29% (7)
Overtime %10%15%4%
Houston Rockets
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL25%
HomeWLLWL31%
AwayLLLLW19%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games522626
Win %25%31%19%
Points / game109.7108.7110.7
Allowed / game116.9113.0120.8
Point differential-7.2-4.3-10.1
Avg total226.5221.6231.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%8%4%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)33% (6)67% (3)
Overtime %2%4%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics53371670%117.7111.9+5.8
2 Denver Nuggets52361669%117.0112.8+4.2
3 Milwaukee Bucks52351767%114.1111.8+2.3
4 Philadelphia 76ers51341767%114.9111.0+3.9
5 Memphis Grizzlies52322062%116.5112.8+3.7
6 Brooklyn Nets52322062%114.4112.3+2.1
7 Cleveland Cavaliers54322259%111.6106.9+4.7
8 Sacramento Kings51292257%119.2116.2+3.0
9 Miami Heat53292455%108.4108.1+0.3
10 Los Angeles Clippers56302654%111.0110.8+0.2
11 Dallas Mavericks53282553%112.3111.8+0.5
12 Phoenix Suns55292653%112.6111.3+1.3
13 New York Knicks54282652%114.5112.9+1.6
14 Atlanta Hawks53272651%116.5116.3+0.1
15 Minnesota Timberwolves55282751%115.2115.2+0.0
16 New Orleans Pelicans54272750%115.1113.8+1.3
17 Utah Jazz54272750%117.6116.5+1.1
18 Portland Trail Blazers52262650%114.5113.8+0.7
19 Golden State Warriors52262650%118.0118.3-0.3
20 Oklahoma City Thunder51242747%116.6115.8+0.8
21 Chicago Bulls51242747%114.3114.1+0.2
22 Los Angeles Lakers54252946%117.1118.4-1.3
23 Indiana Pacers54252946%114.9116.9-1.9
24 Washington Wizards52242846%113.2113.5-0.2
25 Toronto Raptors54243044%113.1112.6+0.5
26 Orlando Magic53213240%111.2114.5-3.2
27 Charlotte Hornets54153928%112.0118.6-6.6
28 San Antonio Spurs53143926%112.8122.5-9.8
29 Detroit Pistons54144026%112.5119.8-7.3
30 Houston Rockets52133925%109.7116.9-7.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Oklahoma City Thunder38414430153
Houston Rockets19342840121
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.