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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Houston Rockets Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 20:30
Final 106-112
28-28 24-18 22-34 32-32
Position#1
Record39-11
FormWLWWL
Points / game120.0
Allowed / game108.2
vs
Position#8
Record31-19
FormWWWLL
Points / game115.2
Allowed / game110.1
USANBA· Paycom Center
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Oklahoma City Thunder v Houston Rockets
13 Jan 2027
OKC v HOU
upcoming
07 Feb 2026
OKC106
HOU112
21 Oct 2025
OKC125
HOU124
03 Mar 2025
OKC137
HOU128
14 Dec 2024
OKC111
HOU96
08 Nov 2024
OKC126
HOU107
27 Mar 2024
OKC126
HOU132
27 Feb 2024
OKC112
HOU95
15 Feb 2023
OKC133
HOU96
04 Feb 2023
OKC153
HOU121
01 Dec 2021
OKC110
HOU114
17 Nov 2021
OKC101
HOU89
03 Feb 2021
OKC104
HOU87
01 Feb 2021
OKC106
HOU136
31 Aug 2020
OKC104
HOU100
24 Aug 2020
OKC117
HOU114
22 Aug 2020
OKC119
HOU107
09 Jan 2020
OKC113
HOU92
09 Apr 2019
OKC112
HOU111
08 Nov 2018
OKC98
HOU80
06 Mar 2018
OKC112
HOU122
25 Dec 2017
OKC112
HOU107
23 Apr 2017
OKC109
HOU113
21 Apr 2017
OKC115
HOU113
09 Dec 2016
OKC99
HOU102
16 Nov 2016
OKC105
HOU103
22 Mar 2016
OKC111
HOU107
29 Jan 2016
OKC116
HOU108
05 Apr 2015
OKC112
HOU115
16 Nov 2014
OKC65
HOU69
11 Mar 2014
OKC106
HOU98
29 Dec 2013
OKC117
HOU86
01 May 2013
OKC100
HOU107
24 Apr 2013
OKC105
HOU102
21 Apr 2013
OKC120
HOU91
28 Nov 2012
OKC120
HOU98
13 Mar 2012
OKC103
HOU104
06 Jan 2012
OKC109
HOU94
15 Dec 2010
OKC117
HOU105
17 Nov 2010
OKC116
HOU99
24 Mar 2010
OKC122
HOU104
29 Nov 2009
OKC91
HOU100
09 Jan 2009
OKC96
HOU98
17 Nov 2008
OKC89
HOU100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oklahoma City Thunder winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Houston Rockets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#17
L
120-122
120
122
-2
120avg 111
A18/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
136-104
136
104
+32
132avg 111
A19/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
122-102
122
102
+20
114avg 111
A22/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
L
114-117
114
117
-3
104avg 111
H24/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
101-103
101
103
-2
92avg 111
H26/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
104-95
104
95
+9
100avg 111
H28/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
111-123
111
123
-12
103avg 111
A30/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
121-111
121
111
+10
111avg 111
A02/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
W
128-92
128
92
+36
129avg 111
H04/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
106-116
106
116
-10
96avg 111
A05/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
37-30
28-30
30-35
25-27
32-27
34-24
25-28
45-25
38-18
31-33
30-26
23-25
28-39
25-19
32-31
29-28
30-25
20-29
31-25
20-24
17-14
31-32
31-23
25-26
22-34
28-29
30-33
31-27
32-26
30-29
39-30
20-26
39-14
29-27
26-27
34-24
26-39
32-34
27-22
21-21
224.8Avg total
116.3Scored
108.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (50)120.0108.2228.2+11.978%
Season at home (25)119.9107.1227.0+12.884%
Season away (25)120.2109.3229.4+10.972%
Last 10 (10)116.3108.5224.8+7.850%
Last 5 (5)114.0107.4221.4+6.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)109.2115.2224.5-6.025%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)120.1108.5228.6+11.573%
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRockets
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
111-106
111
106
+5
109avg 107
H21/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
122-128 OT
122
128
-6
112avg 107
A23/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
W
111-104
111
104
+7
105avg 107
A24/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
108-99
108
99
+9
107avg 107
H27/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
99-111
99
111
-12
82avg 107
H29/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
104-86
104
86
+18
98avg 107
A30/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
111-107
111
107
+4
101avg 107
H01/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
118-114
118
114
+4
113avg 107
A03/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
93-114
93
114
-21
76avg 107
H05/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
99-109
99
109
-10
91avg 107
H06/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-39
32-31
22-22
29-14
34-32
27-36
27-22
27-25
28-20
24-32
34-20
25-32
23-24
28-30
25-23
32-22
36-26
26-28
24-30
13-27
23-23
20-19
35-24
26-20
31-28
28-23
28-31
24-25
24-28
39-28
24-31
31-27
17-18
25-31
21-36
30-29
26-29
23-32
26-30
24-18
215.4Avg total
107.6Scored
107.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (50)115.2110.1225.3+5.162%
Season at home (23)113.7108.1221.8+5.674%
Season away (27)116.5111.8228.3+4.752%
Last 10 (10)107.6107.8215.4-0.260%
Last 5 (5)105.0106.0211.0-1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)91.0111.0202.0-20.00%
vs Similar (14)109.0107.0216.0+2.064%
vs Weaker (15)114.2113.4227.6+0.847%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +2.2+2.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +2.2+2.2
Oklahoma City ThunderHouston Rockets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#17
W
65-60
65
60
+5
A18/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
66-51
66
51
+15
A19/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
69-51
69
51
+18
A22/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
L
53-58
53
58
-5
H24/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
50-54
50
54
-4
H26/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H28/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
50-63
50
63
-13
A30/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
62-55
62
55
+7
A02/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
W
68-41
68
41
+27
H04/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
58-73
58
73
-15
A05/02
NBA
114.1Avg total
58.9Scored
55.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.455.1114.5+4.367%-
Last 30 at home (15)59.856.5116.3+3.360%-
Last 30 away (15)59.153.7112.8+5.373%-
Last 10 (10)58.955.2114.1+3.760%-
Last 5 (5)57.255.6112.8+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)58.263.0121.2-4.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)59.653.9113.5+5.769%-
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
60-70
60
70
-10
H21/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
61-68
61
68
-7
A23/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
D
52-52
52
52
+0
A24/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
L
51-54
51
54
-3
H27/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
62-54
62
54
+8
H29/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A30/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
59-51
59
51
+8
H01/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
63-56
63
56
+7
A03/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H05/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
49-61
49
61
-12
H06/02
NBA
109.9Avg total
54.2Scored
55.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.554.3109.8+1.243%-
Last 30 at home (14)55.455.1110.5+0.436%-
Last 30 away (16)55.653.6109.2+2.050%-
Last 10 (10)54.255.7109.9-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)51.251.8103.0-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)48.055.0103.0-7.00%-
vs Similar (14)53.654.4108.1-0.836%-
vs Weaker (15)57.854.1111.9+3.753%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 116.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.827.3
57.1%
54.8%54.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.014.2
37.4%
35.8%42.6
🏀 Free throws23.419.1
81.6%
78.1%19.1
They take 85.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 107.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.930.0
48.5%
54.8%60.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.510.4
36.5%
35.8%31.2
🏀 Free throws22.816.4
71.9%
78.1%16.4
They take 90.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Oklahoma City Thunder
LWWLWLLWWL
Houston Rockets
LLWWWLWWLW
#1
League position
#8
+7.8
Net rating
-0.2
116.2
Offensive rating
108.2
108.4
Defensive rating
108.4
56.6%
Effective FG%
50.4%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.7%
12.1%
Turnover %
13.2%
20.0%
Off. rebound %
31.4%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.25
37.4%
3-point %
36.5%
60.7%
Assist %
62.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence116.2 · 108.2Defence108.4 · 108.4Shooting56.6% · 50.4%3-point %37.4% · 36.5%Ball care12.1% · 13.2%Off. rebounds20.0% · 31.4%Free throws0.27 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Oklahoma City Thunder   ■ Houston Rockets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
05/02/26ASan Antonio Spurs106-116
04/02/26HOrlando Magic128-92
02/02/26ADenver Nuggets121-111
30/01/26AMinnesota Timberwolves111-123
28/01/26HNew Orleans Pelicans104-95
26/01/26HToronto Raptors101-103
24/01/26HIndiana Pacers114-117
22/01/26AMilwaukee Bucks122-102
19/01/26ACleveland Cavaliers136-104
18/01/26AMiami Heat120-122
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/02/26HCharlotte Hornets99-109
05/02/26HBoston Celtics93-114
03/02/26AIndiana Pacers118-114
01/02/26HDallas Mavericks111-107
30/01/26AAtlanta Hawks104-86
29/01/26HSan Antonio Spurs99-111
27/01/26HMemphis Grizzlies108-99
24/01/26ADetroit Pistons111-104
23/01/26APhiladelphia 76ers122-128 OT
21/01/26HSan Antonio Spurs111-106

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL78%
HomeWLLWW84%
AwayWWLWL72%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games502525
Win %78%84%72%
Points / game120.0119.9120.2
Allowed / game108.2107.1109.3
Point differential+11.9+12.8+10.9
Avg total228.2227.0229.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%60%56%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)60% (5)20% (5)
Overtime %6%8%4%
Houston Rockets
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL62%
HomeWLWLL74%
AwayLLWWW52%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games502327
Win %62%74%52%
Points / game115.2113.7116.5
Allowed / game110.1108.1111.8
Point differential+5.1+5.6+4.7
Avg total225.3221.8228.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%26%37%
Close games (≤5 pts) won53% (15)75% (8)29% (7)
Overtime %12%4%19%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder50391178%120.0108.2+11.9
2 Detroit Pistons51381375%117.5109.7+7.8
3 San Antonio Spurs49331667%117.1111.9+5.2
4 Boston Celtics52341865%115.6108.4+7.2
5 Denver Nuggets52331963%120.1116.2+3.9
6 Los Angeles Lakers49311863%116.3115.8+0.5
7 Houston Rockets50311962%115.2110.1+5.1
8 New York Knicks50311962%117.2112.3+4.9
9 Phoenix Suns51312061%114.3110.9+3.4
10 Minnesota Timberwolves53322160%119.5114.8+4.7
11 Cleveland Cavaliers52312160%119.4115.8+3.7
12 Toronto Raptors52312160%114.2112.3+1.9
13 Philadelphia 76ers51292257%116.8115.4+1.5
14 Golden State Warriors52282454%115.9113.6+2.3
15 Orlando Magic48252352%114.9115.3-0.4
16 Miami Heat52272552%119.7117.7+2.0
17 Atlanta Hawks53262749%117.5118.3-0.8
18 Los Angeles Clippers51242747%112.3113.1-0.7
19 Charlotte Hornets52242846%115.8113.9+1.9
20 Portland Trail Blazers52242846%115.6118.1-2.4
21 Chicago Bulls52242846%117.0120.2-3.2
22 Milwaukee Bucks50212942%112.0115.7-3.7
23 Memphis Grizzlies50203040%115.3117.4-2.1
24 Dallas Mavericks51193237%114.0116.8-2.8
25 Utah Jazz52163631%118.3126.8-8.5
26 Brooklyn Nets51143727%107.3114.9-7.6
27 Washington Wizards51143727%112.4122.7-10.3
28 New Orleans Pelicans54144026%114.6120.9-6.3
29 Indiana Pacers52133925%110.7118.4-7.7
30 Sacramento Kings53124123%110.5120.4-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Oklahoma City Thunder28242232106
Houston Rockets28183432112
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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