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Oldenburg vs Chemnitz Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 14 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 14:00
Scheduled
Position#12
Record4-5
FormLLLWL
Points / game74.7
Allowed / game83.4
vs
Form · last 5 games
3.5/10
Below normal
5.6/10
Above normal
Position#16
Record2-6
FormWWLLL
Points / game87.1
Allowed / game90.0
GermanyBBLRound 25· Gro
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Oldenburg v Chemnitz
14 Mar 2027
OLD v CHE
upcoming
24 Jan 2026
OLD89
CHE72
11 May 2025
OLD104
CHE94
03 Dec 2023
OLD58
CHE79
03 Jan 2023
OLD83
CHE81
13 Mar 2022
OLD92
CHE87
04 Dec 2020
OLD119
CHE73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oldenburg win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Chemnitz win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OldenburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOldenburg
Date
Competition
Bayern
#1
L
67-77
67
77
-10
54avg 70
A10/05
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#3
W
96-81
96
81
+15
95avg 70
H20/09
BBL
Wurzburg
#9
W
77-68
77
68
+9
68avg 70
A25/09
BBL
Hamburg
#15
W
75-74
75
74
+1
71avg 70
H27/09
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
60-113
60
113
-53
44avg 70
A04/10
BBL
Phoenix Hagen
#17
L
78-87
78
87
-9
70avg 70
H10/10
BBL
Bamberg
#10
L
70-80
70
80
-10
62avg 70
H23/10
BBL
Ulm
#11
L
65-81
65
81
-16
55avg 70
A31/10
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#7
W
74-72
74
72
+2
no box
A08/11
BBL
Alba Berlin
#8
L
77-95
77
95
-18
no box
H14/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-19
16-20
15-19
16-19
27-25
27-16
14-22
28-18
21-12
19-21
13-21
24-14
8-19
15-27
28-12
24-16
18-17
13-40
18-32
11-24
20-29
19-24
18-13
21-21
24-25
15-12
25-23
6-20
20-18
12-26
20-16
13-21
22-19
22-20
15-20
15-13
18-23
11-28
17-31
31-13
156.7Avg total
73.9Scored
82.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)74.783.4158.1-8.844%
Season at home (5)79.283.4162.6-4.240%
Season away (4)69.083.5152.5-14.550%
Last 10 (10)73.982.8156.7-8.940%
Last 5 (5)72.883.0155.8-10.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)73.285.7158.8-12.533%
vs Similar (12)84.685.8170.3-1.258%
vs Weaker (6)86.283.8170.0+2.367%
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChemnitzGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChemnitz
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#26
W
93-84
93
84
+9
88avg 75
H07/10
Eurocup
Bayern
#1
L
83-87
83
87
-4
77avg 75
H10/10
BBL
Trento
#27
W
88-80
88
80
+8
75avg 75
A13/10
Eurocup
Slask Wroclaw
#31
W
95-67
95
67
+28
88avg 75
H21/10
Eurocup
Wurzburg
#9
L
88-98
88
98
-10
87avg 75
A26/10
BBL
JL Bourg
#24
W
96-77
96
77
+19
92avg 75
H28/10
Eurocup
Ludwigsburg
#7
W
94-78
94
78
+16
no box
H31/10
BBL
Buducnost
#10
L
84-96
84
96
-12
no box
A03/11
Eurocup
Vechta
#13
L
90-99
90
99
-9
no box
A07/11
BBL
Basket Napoli
#2
L
90-112
90
112
-22
no box
H11/11
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-15
26-24
18-27
18-18
25-21
25-24
12-22
21-20
19-17
18-17
18-24
33-22
20-21
26-19
24-20
25-7
17-27
25-23
15-27
31-21
25-19
21-13
29-17
21-28
18-23
25-25
24-10
27-20
22-23
22-26
22-24
18-23
24-27
26-18
14-33
26-21
22-24
19-35
28-20
21-33
177.9Avg total
90.1Scored
87.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)87.190.0177.1-2.925%
Season at home (3)90.386.0176.3+4.367%
Season away (5)85.292.4177.6-7.20%
Last 10 (10)90.187.8177.9+2.350%
Last 5 (5)90.892.4183.2-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)76.583.5160.0-7.030%
vs Similar (10)84.287.1171.3-2.930%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)89.785.0174.7+4.770%
This opponent (Oldenburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -6.5-6.5Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +2.8+2.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -6.5-6.5Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +2.8+2.8
OldenburgChemnitz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OldenburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#1
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A10/05
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#3
W
54-41
54
41
+13
H20/09
BBL
Wurzburg
#9
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A25/09
BBL
Hamburg
#15
L
23-46
23
46
-23
H27/09
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
31-57
31
57
-26
A04/10
BBL
Phoenix Hagen
#17
L
39-53
39
53
-14
H10/10
BBL
Bamberg
#10
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H23/10
BBL
Ulm
#11
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A31/10
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#7
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A08/11
BBL
Alba Berlin
#8
L
29-51
29
51
-22
H14/11
BBL
80.7Avg total
36.7Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.344.583.8-5.233%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.944.686.5-2.753%-
Last 30 away (15)36.644.481.0-7.813%-
Last 10 (10)36.744.080.7-7.340%-
Last 5 (5)36.644.881.4-8.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)36.943.480.3-6.533%-
vs Similar (12)39.746.686.2-6.933%-
vs Weaker (6)43.242.585.7+0.733%-
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#26
W
57-39
57
39
+18
H07/10
Eurocup
Bayern
#1
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H10/10
BBL
Trento
#27
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A13/10
Eurocup
Slask Wroclaw
#31
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H21/10
Eurocup
Wurzburg
#9
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A26/10
BBL
JL Bourg
#24
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H28/10
Eurocup
Ludwigsburg
#7
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H31/10
BBL
Buducnost
#10
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A03/11
Eurocup
Vechta
#13
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A07/11
BBL
Basket Napoli
#2
L
41-59
41
59
-18
H11/11
Eurocup
89.7Avg total
45.6Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.541.584.0+1.150%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.939.784.6+5.264%-
Last 30 away (16)40.443.083.4-2.638%-
Last 10 (10)45.644.189.7+1.560%-
Last 5 (5)44.846.691.4-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)41.343.084.3-1.740%-
vs Similar (10)43.741.585.2+2.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)42.639.982.5+2.760%-
This opponent (Oldenburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Oldenburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oldenburg: 77.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.819.8
52.4%
55.6%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.58.6
35.1%
33.7%25.8
🏀 Free throws18.712.3
65.8%
73.4%12.3
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 87.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.321.8
55.5%
55.6%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.09.5
31.7%
33.7%28.5
🏀 Free throws19.314.9
77.2%
73.4%14.9
They take 69.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Oldenburg
LWLLLLWWWL
Chemnitz
LLLWWLWWLW
#12
League position
#16
-7.3
Net rating
+4.0
91.7
Offensive rating
94.5
99.0
Defensive rating
90.5
52.5%
Effective FG%
52.0%
54.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
17.4%
Turnover %
16.6%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.28
35.1%
3-point %
31.7%
57.4%
Assist %
60.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence91.7 · 94.5Defence99.0 · 90.5Shooting52.5% · 52.0%3-point %35.1% · 31.7%Ball care17.4% · 16.6%Free throws0.30 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Oldenburg   ■ Chemnitz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Oldenburg wins
5
Chemnitz wins
DateGameScore
28/03/26Chemnitz v Oldenburg95-85
24/01/26Oldenburg v Chemnitz89-72
11/05/25Oldenburg v Chemnitz104-94
10/11/24Chemnitz v Oldenburg87-78
10/02/24Chemnitz v Oldenburg87-69
03/12/23Oldenburg v Chemnitz58-79
15/04/23Chemnitz v Oldenburg89-91
03/01/23Oldenburg v Chemnitz83-81
13/03/22Oldenburg v Chemnitz92-87
25/09/21Chemnitz v Oldenburg79-78
Oldenburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HAlba Berlin77-95
08/11/26ALudwigsburg74-72
31/10/26AUlm65-81
23/10/26HBamberg70-80
10/10/26HPhoenix Hagen78-87
04/10/26ABayern60-113
27/09/26HHamburg75-74
25/09/26AWurzburg77-68
20/09/26HSyntainics MBC96-81
10/05/26ABayern67-77
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HBasket Napoli90-112
07/11/26AVechta90-99
03/11/26ABuducnost84-96
31/10/26HLudwigsburg94-78
28/10/26HJL Bourg96-77
26/10/26AWurzburg88-98
21/10/26HSlask Wroclaw95-67
13/10/26ATrento88-80
10/10/26HBayern83-87
07/10/26HNeptunas93-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oldenburg
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL44%
HomeWWLLL40%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %44%40%50%
Points / game74.779.269.0
Allowed / game83.483.483.5
Point differential-8.8-4.2-14.5
Avg total158.1162.6152.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Chemnitz
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL25%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %25%67%0%
Points / game87.190.385.2
Allowed / game90.086.092.4
Point differential-2.9+4.3-7.2
Avg total177.1176.3177.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %25%33%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern87188%96.070.1+25.9
2 Trier76186%98.486.1+12.3
3 Syntainics MBC86275%86.680.1+6.5
4 Bonn96367%87.781.2+6.4
5 Frankfurt64267%87.383.3+4.0
6 Rostock85362%89.882.4+7.4
7 Ludwigsburg95456%86.185.2+0.9
8 Alba Berlin95456%87.286.6+0.7
9 Wurzburg84450%81.883.2-1.5
10 Bamberg94544%85.185.7-0.6
11 Ulm94544%84.185.4-1.3
12 Oldenburg94544%74.783.4-8.8
13 Vechta83538%86.290.8-4.5
14 Basketball Braunschweig83538%86.096.5-10.5
15 Hamburg93633%83.390.8-7.4
16 Chemnitz82625%87.190.0-2.9
17 Phoenix Hagen92722%83.492.0-8.6
18 Jena92722%77.989.6-11.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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