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Chemnitz vs Oldenburg Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 87-69
20-21 24-22 15-11 28-15
Position#3
Record16-3
FormLLWWW
Points / game87.5
Allowed / game76.2
vs
Position#8
Record9-10
FormLWWWL
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game85.8
GermanyBBLRound 20· Messe Chemnitz
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Chemnitz v Oldenburg
19 Dec 2026
CHE v OLD
upcoming
28 Mar 2026
CHE95
OLD85
10 Nov 2024
CHE87
OLD78
10 Feb 2024
CHE87
OLD69
15 Apr 2023
CHE89
OLD91
25 Sep 2021
CHE79
OLD78
26 Mar 2021
CHE92
OLD98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chemnitz winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Oldenburg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChemnitzGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChemnitz
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#2
L
90-101
90
101
-11
81avg 80
A31/12
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
85-66
85
66
+19
81avg 80
H06/01
BBL
Leiden
#14
W
88-58
88
58
+30
97avg 80
A10/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Bonn
#7
W
85-77
85
77
+8
84avg 80
A12/01
BBL
CSM Oradea
#17
W
101-98 OT
101
98
+3
94avg 80
H17/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Bayern
#1
L
73-86
73
86
-13
63avg 80
H21/01
BBL
Varese
#7
L
78-90
78
90
-12
67avg 80
A24/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Heidelberg
#16
W
99-77
99
77
+22
76avg 80
A27/01
BBL
Rostock
#15
W
94-90
94
90
+4
90avg 80
A03/02
BBL
Leiden
#14
W
78-57
78
57
+21
70avg 80
H07/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-34
26-26
25-20
20-21
14-16
24-14
15-16
32-20
17-13
27-7
24-20
20-18
18-18
20-21
20-10
27-28
23-18
28-22
19-23
19-26
25-23
19-15
16-25
13-23
21-25
16-20
20-18
21-27
21-20
28-19
29-7
21-31
23-26
26-18
19-19
26-27
16-15
25-16
21-11
16-15
167.1Avg total
87.1Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)87.576.2163.6+11.384%
Season at home (9)87.473.0160.4+14.489%
Season away (10)87.579.0166.5+8.580%
Last 10 (10)87.180.0167.1+7.170%
Last 5 (5)84.480.0164.4+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)81.389.0170.3-7.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)88.872.3161.0+16.593%
This opponent (Oldenburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OldenburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOldenburg
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#2
L
85-90
85
90
-5
82avg 78
H17/12
BBL
Strasbourg
#11
L
77-85
77
85
-8
68avg 78
A19/12
Champions League
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
89-71
89
71
+18
90avg 78
A23/12
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
80-104
80
104
-24
74avg 78
A27/12
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
L
78-83
78
83
-5
70avg 78
A29/12
BBL
Bonn
#7
L
83-108
83
108
-25
78avg 78
H07/01
BBL
Gottingen
#14
W
106-85
106
85
+21
108avg 78
H13/01
BBL
Hamburg
#10
W
91-80
91
80
+11
83avg 78
A20/01
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
91-85
91
85
+6
85avg 78
H27/01
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
73-93
73
93
-20
63avg 78
A05/02
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-19
22-21
27-26
11-24
17-18
15-23
19-24
26-20
23-16
17-14
27-26
22-15
18-31
15-27
18-29
29-17
17-14
14-19
18-26
29-24
28-21
25-28
14-30
16-29
32-17
33-27
19-22
22-19
21-21
22-14
26-22
22-23
28-19
26-22
25-21
12-23
20-25
21-21
18-25
14-22
173.7Avg total
85.3Scored
88.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)85.285.8171.0-0.647%
Season at home (9)83.987.3171.2-3.444%
Season away (10)86.484.4170.8+2.050%
Last 10 (10)85.388.4173.7-3.140%
Last 5 (5)88.890.2179.0-1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)77.485.4162.8-8.020%
vs Similar (15)82.386.4168.7-4.133%
vs Weaker (9)90.480.8171.2+9.767%
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +6.1+6.1Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -1.3-1.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +6.1+6.1Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -1.3-1.3
ChemnitzOldenburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#2
L
45-60
45
60
-15
A31/12
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H06/01
BBL
Leiden
#14
W
44-20
44
20
+24
A10/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Bonn
#7
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A12/01
BBL
CSM Oradea
#17
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H17/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Bayern
#1
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H21/01
BBL
Varese
#7
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A24/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Heidelberg
#16
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A27/01
BBL
Rostock
#15
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A03/02
BBL
Leiden
#14
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H07/02
FIBA Europe Cup
82.2Avg total
43.6Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.436.079.5+7.473%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.035.580.5+9.588%-
Last 30 away (14)41.636.678.3+5.057%-
Last 10 (10)43.638.682.2+5.070%-
Last 5 (5)44.039.483.4+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)42.746.088.7-3.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)43.534.978.4+8.678%-
This opponent (Oldenburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OldenburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#2
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H17/12
BBL
Strasbourg
#11
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A19/12
Champions League
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A23/12
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
33-58
33
58
-25
A27/12
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A29/12
BBL
Bonn
#7
W
53-49
53
49
+4
H07/01
BBL
Gottingen
#14
W
65-44
65
44
+21
H13/01
BBL
Hamburg
#10
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A20/01
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
54-41
54
41
+13
H27/01
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A05/02
BBL
85.6Avg total
43.9Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.343.185.4-0.847%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.142.286.3+1.953%-
Last 30 away (15)40.543.984.4-3.540%-
Last 10 (10)43.941.785.6+2.260%-
Last 5 (5)51.243.094.2+8.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)40.042.082.0-2.040%-
vs Similar (15)40.743.584.1-2.833%-
vs Weaker (9)47.141.788.8+5.478%-
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 86.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.923.0
56.2%
54.6%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.68.2
32.0%
35.4%24.6
🏀 Free throws22.815.7
68.9%
76.0%15.7
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Oldenburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oldenburg: 84.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.720.4
58.8%
54.6%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.89.3
34.7%
35.4%27.9
🏀 Free throws19.816.0
80.8%
76.0%16.0
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Chemnitz
WWWLLWWWWL
Oldenburg
LWWWLLLWLL
#3
League position
#8
+9.1
Net rating
-4.3
110.8
Offensive rating
116.4
101.7
Defensive rating
120.7
53.1%
Effective FG%
55.9%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
58.8%
20.2%
Turnover %
19.9%
37.9%
Off. rebound %
35.6%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.32
32.0%
3-point %
34.7%
66.7%
Assist %
53.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence110.8 · 116.4Defence101.7 · 120.7Shooting53.1% · 55.9%3-point %32.0% · 34.7%Ball care20.2% · 19.9%Off. rebounds37.9% · 35.6%Free throws0.34 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Chemnitz   ■ Oldenburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Chemnitz wins
5
Oldenburg wins
DateGameScore
03/12/23Oldenburg v Chemnitz58-79
15/04/23Chemnitz v Oldenburg89-91
03/01/23Oldenburg v Chemnitz83-81
13/03/22Oldenburg v Chemnitz92-87
25/09/21Chemnitz v Oldenburg79-78
26/03/21Chemnitz v Oldenburg92-98 OT
04/12/20Oldenburg v Chemnitz119-73
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/24HLeiden78-57
03/02/24ARostock94-90
27/01/24AHeidelberg99-77
24/01/24AVarese78-90
21/01/24HBayern73-86
17/01/24HCSM Oradea101-98 OT
12/01/24ABonn85-77
10/01/24ALeiden88-58
06/01/24HLudwigsburg85-66
31/12/23AAlba Berlin90-101
Oldenburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/02/24ABayern73-93
27/01/24HLudwigsburg91-85
20/01/24AHamburg91-80
13/01/24HGottingen106-85
07/01/24HBonn83-108
29/12/23AWurzburg78-83
27/12/23ALudwigsburg80-104
23/12/23ASyntainics MBC89-71
19/12/23AStrasbourg77-85
17/12/23HAlba Berlin85-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chemnitz
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW84%
HomeWWWWL89%
AwayWLWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %84%89%80%
Points / game87.587.487.5
Allowed / game76.273.079.0
Point differential+11.3+14.4+8.5
Avg total163.6160.4166.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%67%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)-80% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Oldenburg
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL47%
HomeLLLWW44%
AwayWLLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %47%44%50%
Points / game85.283.986.4
Allowed / game85.887.384.4
Point differential-0.6-3.4+2.0
Avg total171.0171.2170.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%22%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)33% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %5%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chemnitz1916384%87.576.2+11.3
2 Bayern1714382%88.976.3+12.6
3 Alba Berlin1611569%91.884.9+6.9
4 Vechta1913668%90.580.8+9.7
5 Wurzburg1913668%85.278.8+6.4
6 Ulm1913668%92.289.0+3.2
7 Ludwigsburg2013765%89.580.1+9.3
8 Bonn2012860%90.385.2+5.1
9 Hamburg1911858%87.988.4-0.5
10 Basketball Braunschweig21101148%84.486.2-1.8
11 Oldenburg1991047%85.285.8-0.6
12 Bamberg2071335%87.090.5-3.5
13 Rostock1961332%91.094.6-3.6
14 Syntainics MBC1961332%85.089.9-4.9
15 Gottingen1751229%90.799.9-9.2
16 Tubingen1951426%87.396.6-9.4
17 Crailsheim Merlins2041620%79.593.9-14.3
18 Heidelberg2031715%81.896.0-14.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Chemnitz2024152887
Oldenburg2122111569
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