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Chemnitz vs Oldenburg Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 95-85
19-19 34-16 26-30 16-20
Position#11
Record11-13
FormWLLWL
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game86.6
vs
Position#10
Record11-14
FormWLWLL
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game84.2
GermanyBBLRound 26· Messe Chemnitz
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Chemnitz v Oldenburg
19 Dec 2026
CHE v OLD
upcoming
28 Mar 2026
CHE95
OLD85
10 Nov 2024
CHE87
OLD78
10 Feb 2024
CHE87
OLD69
15 Apr 2023
CHE89
OLD91
25 Sep 2021
CHE79
OLD78
26 Mar 2021
CHE92
OLD98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chemnitz winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Oldenburg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChemnitzGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChemnitz
Date
Competition
Hamburg
#14
L
69-86
69
86
-17
54avg 77
A31/01
BBL
Trento
#8
W
81-67
81
67
+14
80avg 77
H04/02
Eurocup
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
79-75
79
75
+4
81avg 77
H07/02
BBL
Turk Telekom
#4
L
62-79
62
79
-17
54avg 77
A11/02
Eurocup
Trier
#12
W
105-100
105
100
+5
94avg 77
A15/02
BBL
Heidelberg
#18
W
99-96 OT
99
96
+3
87avg 77
H18/02
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
L
69-81
69
81
-12
52avg 77
A06/03
BBL
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
65-73
65
73
-8
60avg 77
A11/03
Eurocup
Rostock
#8
W
78-73
78
73
+5
68avg 77
A15/03
BBL
Vechta
#7
L
78-80
78
80
-2
66avg 77
A21/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-14
19-26
13-26
19-20
18-17
21-19
21-21
21-10
18-8
22-36
24-15
15-16
17-20
19-14
16-22
10-23
28-22
22-20
26-32
29-26
16-18
18-16
19-21
21-19
15-19
19-20
19-24
16-18
15-16
24-20
7-18
19-19
14-20
19-17
19-18
26-18
20-21
22-24
22-16
14-19
159.5Avg total
78.5Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)84.886.6171.4-1.846%
Season at home (11)88.986.0174.9+2.964%
Season away (13)81.487.1168.5-5.731%
Last 10 (10)78.581.0159.5-2.550%
Last 5 (5)77.880.6158.4-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)78.085.7163.7-7.731%
vs Similar ◀ (12)83.885.6169.3-1.850%
vs Weaker (5)82.280.2162.4+2.080%
This opponent (Oldenburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OldenburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOldenburg
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#11
W
89-72
89
72
+17
82avg 77
H24/01
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
90-84
90
84
+6
82avg 77
A30/01
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
102-88
102
88
+14
97avg 77
H14/02
BBL
Ulm
#6
L
72-101
72
101
-29
55avg 77
A18/02
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
78-98
78
98
-20
56avg 77
A21/02
German Cup
Bonn
#4
W
98-94
98
94
+4
92avg 77
H06/03
BBL
Vechta
#7
L
70-91
70
91
-21
57avg 77
H08/03
BBL
Frankfurt
#15
W
79-73
79
73
+6
69avg 77
A15/03
BBL
Jena
#16
L
75-97
75
97
-22
62avg 77
A18/03
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
L
79-85
79
85
-6
76avg 77
H22/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-23
16-24
20-16
30-9
15-28
21-20
29-18
25-18
23-24
33-18
19-18
27-28
8-31
24-21
23-25
17-24
18-29
20-17
23-25
17-27
20-22
30-26
23-21
25-25
15-20
18-26
16-20
21-25
11-18
22-22
18-21
28-12
14-17
23-22
18-29
20-29
20-18
25-21
18-23
16-23
171.5Avg total
83.2Scored
88.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)83.684.2167.7-0.644%
Season at home (13)87.287.6174.8-0.446%
Season away (12)79.680.4160.0-0.842%
Last 10 (10)83.288.3171.5-5.150%
Last 5 (5)80.288.0168.2-7.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)80.092.5172.5-12.517%
vs Similar ◀ (15)83.682.6166.2+1.053%
vs Weaker (7)85.783.9169.6+1.943%
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -6.3-6.3Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +0.6+0.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -6.3-6.3Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +0.6+0.6
ChemnitzOldenburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hamburg
#14
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A31/01
BBL
Trento
#8
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H04/02
Eurocup
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H07/02
BBL
Turk Telekom
#4
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A11/02
Eurocup
Trier
#12
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A15/02
BBL
Heidelberg
#18
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H18/02
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A06/03
BBL
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A11/03
Eurocup
Rostock
#8
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A15/03
BBL
Vechta
#7
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A21/03
BBL
77.1Avg total
38.4Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.641.583.1+0.050%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.641.281.9-0.657%-
Last 30 away (16)42.441.884.2+0.644%-
Last 10 (10)38.438.777.1-0.340%-
Last 5 (5)36.438.274.6-1.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)41.242.583.6-1.362%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)42.641.484.0+1.250%-
vs Weaker (5)40.239.479.6+0.820%-
This opponent (Oldenburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OldenburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#11
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H24/01
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A30/01
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
56-42
56
42
+14
H14/02
BBL
Ulm
#6
L
32-52
32
52
-20
A18/02
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A21/02
German Cup
Bonn
#4
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H06/03
BBL
Vechta
#7
L
33-46
33
46
-13
H08/03
BBL
Frankfurt
#15
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A15/03
BBL
Jena
#16
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A18/03
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H22/03
BBL
84.6Avg total
39.9Scored
44.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.542.684.1-1.247%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.643.687.2+0.164%-
Last 30 away (16)39.641.881.4-2.231%-
Last 10 (10)39.944.784.6-4.830%-
Last 5 (5)39.642.482.0-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)41.245.286.3-4.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)41.542.984.3-1.447%-
vs Weaker (7)40.942.783.6-1.943%-
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 75.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.218.2
58.3%
53.8%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.78.8
30.7%
34.0%26.4
🏀 Free throws17.912.5
69.8%
73.5%12.5
They take 59.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Oldenburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oldenburg: 83.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.318.5
52.4%
53.8%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.910.6
38.0%
34.0%31.8
🏀 Free throws17.814.4
80.9%
73.5%14.4
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Chemnitz
LWLLWWLWWL
Oldenburg
LLWLWLLWWW
#11
League position
#10
-2.8
Net rating
-5.5
88.0
Offensive rating
95.5
90.8
Defensive rating
101.0
52.4%
Effective FG%
54.4%
55.2%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
16.9%
Turnover %
15.8%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.28
30.7%
3-point %
38.0%
56.7%
Assist %
50.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence88.0 · 95.5Defence90.8 · 101.0Shooting52.4% · 54.4%3-point %30.7% · 38.0%Ball care16.9% · 15.8%Free throws0.30 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Chemnitz   ■ Oldenburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Chemnitz wins
6
Oldenburg wins
DateGameScore
24/01/26Oldenburg v Chemnitz89-72
11/05/25Oldenburg v Chemnitz104-94
10/11/24Chemnitz v Oldenburg87-78
10/02/24Chemnitz v Oldenburg87-69
03/12/23Oldenburg v Chemnitz58-79
15/04/23Chemnitz v Oldenburg89-91
03/01/23Oldenburg v Chemnitz83-81
13/03/22Oldenburg v Chemnitz92-87
25/09/21Chemnitz v Oldenburg79-78
26/03/21Chemnitz v Oldenburg92-98 OT
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/26AVechta78-80
15/03/26ARostock78-73
11/03/26ACedevita Olimpija65-73
06/03/26AWurzburg69-81
18/02/26HHeidelberg99-96 OT
15/02/26ATrier105-100
11/02/26ATurk Telekom62-79
07/02/26HSyntainics MBC79-75
04/02/26HTrento81-67
31/01/26AHamburg69-86
Oldenburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/26HWurzburg79-85
18/03/26AJena75-97
15/03/26AFrankfurt79-73
08/03/26HVechta70-91
06/03/26HBonn98-94
21/02/26AAlba Berlin78-98
18/02/26AUlm72-101
14/02/26HLudwigsburg102-88
30/01/26ASyntainics MBC90-84
24/01/26HChemnitz89-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chemnitz
BBL 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL46%
HomeWLLWW64%
AwayLWLWL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241113
Win %46%64%31%
Points / game84.888.981.4
Allowed / game86.686.087.1
Point differential-1.8+2.9-5.7
Avg total171.4174.9168.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%36%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)75% (4)50% (6)
Overtime %8%9%8%
Oldenburg
BBL 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL44%
HomeWWWLL46%
AwayLWLWL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %44%46%42%
Points / game83.687.279.6
Allowed / game84.287.680.4
Point differential-0.6-0.4-0.8
Avg total167.7174.8160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%23%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)67% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern2320387%87.772.6+15.1
2 Alba Berlin2518772%85.378.8+6.5
3 Bamberg2516964%89.483.8+5.6
4 Ulm2415962%83.277.3+5.9
5 Wurzburg25151060%81.680.0+1.7
6 Bonn27161159%82.379.5+2.8
7 Ludwigsburg25141156%84.483.6+0.9
8 Trier25141156%90.992.0-1.1
9 Rostock23121152%84.283.3+0.9
10 Chemnitz24111346%84.886.6-1.8
11 Oldenburg25111444%83.684.2-0.6
12 Vechta26111542%87.087.8-0.8
13 Frankfurt25101540%82.885.8-3.0
14 Jena25101540%82.990.0-7.2
15 Syntainics MBC26101638%84.386.9-2.6
16 Hamburg2491538%84.989.0-4.1
17 Heidelberg2561924%77.786.0-8.2
18 Basketball Braunschweig2451921%80.089.2-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Chemnitz1934261695
Oldenburg1916302085
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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