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Chemnitz vs Oldenburg Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 87-78
22-20 24-19 20-23 21-16
Position#7
Record4-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game77.7
vs
Position#9
Record3-3
FormLLWWL
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game81.8
GermanyBBLRound 8· Messe Chemnitz
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Chemnitz v Oldenburg
19 Dec 2026
CHE v OLD
upcoming
28 Mar 2026
CHE95
OLD85
10 Nov 2024
CHE87
OLD78
10 Feb 2024
CHE87
OLD69
15 Apr 2023
CHE89
OLD91
25 Sep 2021
CHE79
OLD78
26 Mar 2021
CHE92
OLD98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chemnitz winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Oldenburg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChemnitzGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChemnitz
Date
Competition
Bayern
#1
L
59-73
59
73
-14
51avg 81
A20/09
BBL
Ulm
#2
L
86-90
86
90
-4
84avg 81
H22/09
BBL
Tortona
#5
L
81-87
81
87
-6
74avg 81
A02/10
Champions League
Vechta
#10
W
88-77
88
77
+11
76avg 81
H06/10
BBL
Heidelberg
#6
L
73-78
73
78
-5
63avg 81
A13/10
German Cup
Benfica
#30
W
103-75
103
75
+28
112avg 81
H16/10
Champions League
Alba Berlin
#6
W
81-78
81
78
+3
72avg 81
A20/10
BBL
Rostock
#12
W
68-60
68
60
+8
60avg 81
A27/10
BBL
Manresa
#9
L
59-105
59
105
-46
48avg 81
A30/10
Champions League
Gottingen
#17
W
96-88
96
88
+8
90avg 81
H03/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-16
12-20
18-26
13-11
18-24
20-23
21-22
27-21
17-22
25-25
18-21
21-19
24-16
20-18
21-17
23-26
10-19
25-23
15-15
23-21
32-17
25-16
22-21
24-21
21-21
16-20
25-19
19-18
16-17
19-20
12-12
21-11
11-26
20-18
12-21
16-40
23-25
26-16
27-22
20-25
160.5Avg total
79.4Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)79.777.7157.3+2.067%
Season at home (3)90.085.0175.0+5.067%
Season away (3)69.370.3139.7-1.067%
Last 10 (10)79.481.1160.5-1.750%
Last 5 (5)81.481.2162.6+0.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)73.286.6159.8-13.420%
vs Similar ◀ (15)84.882.1166.9+2.760%
vs Weaker (9)88.980.8169.7+8.167%
This opponent (Oldenburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OldenburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOldenburg
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#11
W
107-84
107
84
+23
106avg 77
H12/05
BBL
Hamburg
#10
L
81-93
81
93
-12
71avg 77
H14/05
BBL
Tubingen
#24
W
91-63
91
63
+28
74avg 77
A14/09
German Cup
Heidelberg
#4
W
105-82
105
82
+23
92avg 77
H21/09
BBL
Alba Berlin
#6
L
70-105
70
105
-35
58avg 77
A28/09
BBL
Hamburg
#13
L
78-87
78
87
-9
66avg 77
A06/10
BBL
Frankfurt
#3
L
79-85
79
85
-6
66avg 77
A12/10
German Cup
Ulm
#2
W
93-66
93
66
+27
84avg 77
H19/10
BBL
Bamberg
#15
W
67-59
67
59
+8
no box
H25/10
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#11
L
77-92
77
92
-15
66avg 77
A03/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-25
24-19
36-20
25-20
22-27
25-19
17-28
17-19
17-19
27-19
24-11
23-14
27-22
29-20
25-20
24-20
11-28
28-20
20-28
11-29
23-21
20-20
21-19
14-27
16-19
10-24
16-21
37-21
25-14
21-15
25-12
22-25
15-17
20-11
14-18
18-13
16-21
18-24
25-27
18-20
166.4Avg total
84.8Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)81.781.8163.5-0.250%
Season at home (3)88.369.0157.3+19.3100%
Season away (3)75.094.7169.7-19.70%
Last 10 (10)84.881.6166.4+3.250%
Last 5 (5)78.877.8156.6+1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)74.387.8162.2-13.517%
vs Similar ◀ (14)86.787.4174.1-0.650%
vs Weaker (9)89.774.8164.4+14.978%
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +0.1+0.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +0.1+0.1
ChemnitzOldenburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#1
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A20/09
BBL
Ulm
#2
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H22/09
BBL
Tortona
#5
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A02/10
Champions League
Vechta
#10
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H06/10
BBL
Heidelberg
#6
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A13/10
German Cup
Benfica
#30
W
57-33
57
33
+24
H16/10
Champions League
Alba Berlin
#6
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A20/10
BBL
Rostock
#12
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A27/10
BBL
Manresa
#9
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A30/10
Champions League
Gottingen
#17
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H03/11
BBL
79.8Avg total
39.6Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.240.082.2+2.253%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.538.481.9+5.167%-
Last 30 away (15)40.841.682.4-0.840%-
Last 10 (10)39.640.279.8-0.630%-
Last 5 (5)41.839.281.0+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.243.078.2-7.80%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)43.540.183.6+3.560%-
vs Weaker (9)44.638.082.6+6.678%-
This opponent (Oldenburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OldenburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#11
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H12/05
BBL
Hamburg
#10
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H14/05
BBL
Tubingen
#24
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A14/09
German Cup
Heidelberg
#4
W
56-42
56
42
+14
H21/09
BBL
Alba Berlin
#6
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A28/09
BBL
Hamburg
#13
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A06/10
BBL
Frankfurt
#3
L
26-43
26
43
-17
A12/10
German Cup
Ulm
#2
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H19/10
BBL
Bamberg
#15
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H25/10
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#11
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A03/11
BBL
82.0Avg total
41.6Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.140.783.8+2.360%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.739.787.3+8.087%-
Last 30 away (15)38.541.880.3-3.333%-
Last 10 (10)41.640.482.0+1.270%-
Last 5 (5)36.837.274.0-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.841.880.7-3.017%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)44.143.487.6+0.764%-
vs Weaker (9)44.136.180.2+8.078%-
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.919.3
53.8%
52.3%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.88.5
34.3%
33.6%25.5
🏀 Free throws20.214.1
69.8%
73.5%14.1
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Oldenburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oldenburg: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.519.2
55.7%
52.3%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.99.9
30.1%
33.6%29.7
🏀 Free throws19.515.7
80.5%
73.5%15.7
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Chemnitz
WLWWWLWLLL
Oldenburg
LWWLLLWWLW
#7
League position
#9
-2.8
Net rating
+4.2
103.6
Offensive rating
109.5
106.4
Defensive rating
105.3
52.8%
Effective FG%
50.5%
51.4%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
20.6%
Turnover %
19.2%
29.6%
Off. rebound %
34.0%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.29
34.3%
3-point %
30.1%
65.1%
Assist %
61.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence103.6 · 109.5Defence106.4 · 105.3Shooting52.8% · 50.5%3-point %34.3% · 30.1%Ball care20.6% · 19.2%Off. rebounds29.6% · 34.0%Free throws0.33 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Chemnitz   ■ Oldenburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Chemnitz wins
5
Oldenburg wins
DateGameScore
10/02/24Chemnitz v Oldenburg87-69
03/12/23Oldenburg v Chemnitz58-79
15/04/23Chemnitz v Oldenburg89-91
03/01/23Oldenburg v Chemnitz83-81
13/03/22Oldenburg v Chemnitz92-87
25/09/21Chemnitz v Oldenburg79-78
26/03/21Chemnitz v Oldenburg92-98 OT
04/12/20Oldenburg v Chemnitz119-73
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/24HGottingen96-88
30/10/24AManresa59-105
27/10/24ARostock68-60
20/10/24AAlba Berlin81-78
16/10/24HBenfica103-75
13/10/24AHeidelberg73-78
06/10/24HVechta88-77
02/10/24ATortona81-87
22/09/24HUlm86-90
20/09/24ABayern59-73
Oldenburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/24ASyntainics MBC77-92
25/10/24HBamberg67-59
19/10/24HUlm93-66
12/10/24AFrankfurt79-85
06/10/24AHamburg78-87
28/09/24AAlba Berlin70-105
21/09/24HHeidelberg105-82
14/09/24ATubingen91-63
14/05/24HHamburg81-93
12/05/24HBamberg107-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chemnitz
BBL 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW67%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game79.790.069.3
Allowed / game77.785.070.3
Point differential+2.0+5.0-1.0
Avg total157.3175.0139.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Oldenburg
BBL 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL50%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game81.788.375.0
Allowed / game81.869.094.7
Point differential-0.2+19.3-19.7
Avg total163.5157.3169.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern75271%79.174.0+5.1
2 Ulm75271%79.980.1-0.3
3 Wurzburg64267%78.370.8+7.5
4 Bonn64267%84.079.8+4.2
5 Chemnitz64267%79.777.7+2.0
6 Heidelberg85362%84.481.1+3.2
7 Ludwigsburg74357%76.972.6+4.3
8 Syntainics MBC74357%86.183.7+2.4
9 Rostock84450%76.874.8+2.0
10 Oldenburg63350%81.781.8-0.2
11 Alba Berlin73443%84.782.1+2.6
12 Vechta73443%80.683.3-2.7
13 Basketball Braunschweig62433%73.074.2-1.2
14 Hamburg62433%82.784.7-2.0
15 Frankfurt62433%74.278.2-4.0
16 Bamberg62433%77.082.2-5.2
17 Gottingen6060%75.096.5-21.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Chemnitz2224202187
Oldenburg2019231678
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