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Olimpia Milano vs Barcelona Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 05 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 87-84
24-17 22-17 32-17 9-33
Position#13
Record14-15
FormWWLWL
Points / game85.3
Allowed / game86.3
vs
Position#8
Record17-12
FormWWLWL
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game84.9
EuropeEuroleagueRound 30· Allianz Cloud
European cup2025
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Barcelona
22 Oct 2026
MIL81
BAR89
05 Mar 2026
MIL87
BAR84
27 Mar 2025
MIL88
BAR98
26 Jan 2024
MIL74
BAR70
07 Apr 2023
MIL84
BAR76
04 Nov 2021
MIL75
BAR70
19 Mar 2021
MIL56
BAR72
09 Jan 2019
MIL85
BAR90
26 Oct 2017
MIL78
BAR74
23 Feb 2017
MIL78
BAR83
23 Oct 2014
MIL63
BAR78
02 Apr 2014
MIL91
BAR63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Barcelona winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
L
82-86
82
86
-4
83avg 80
H22/01
Euroleague
Varese
#8
L
74-84
74
84
-10
67avg 80
H26/01
Lega A
Partizan
#15
W
85-79
85
79
+6
79avg 80
H29/01
Euroleague
Brescia
#4
L
81-90
81
90
-9
72avg 80
H01/02
Lega A
Baskonia
#18
W
109-89
109
89
+20
110avg 80
H03/02
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
77-76
77
76
+1
78avg 80
A06/02
Euroleague
Treviso
#14
W
76-71
76
71
+5
73avg 80
A09/02
Lega A
Dubai
#11
L
78-96
78
96
-18
70avg 80
H13/02
Euroleague
Cremona
#12
W
86-67
86
67
+19
82avg 80
A15/02
Lega A
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
86-92
86
92
-6
82avg 80
A26/02
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
22-26
23-17
15-24
19-15
24-21
19-27
12-21
25-22
27-21
17-14
16-22
25-20
25-23
14-23
17-24
32-29
25-27
27-15
25-18
20-22
22-15
25-16
10-23
16-15
21-17
20-20
19-19
20-18
26-33
13-22
19-23
23-20
25-11
23-17
15-19
19-29
28-20
17-24
22-19
166.4Avg total
83.4Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)85.386.3171.7-1.048%
Season at home (15)87.387.5174.8-0.153%
Season away (14)83.285.1168.3-1.943%
Last 10 (10)83.483.0166.4+0.450%
Last 5 (5)80.680.4161.0+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)82.791.3174.0-8.733%
vs Similar ◀ (15)87.388.3175.6-0.947%
vs Weaker (12)83.780.0163.7+3.775%
This opponent (Barcelona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BarcelonaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBarcelona
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
98-91
98
91
+7
101avg 83
A23/01
Euroleague
Tenerife
#8
L
82-89
82
89
-7
72avg 83
H25/01
ACB
Olympiacos
#1
L
75-87
75
87
-12
72avg 83
A29/01
Euroleague
Murcia
#4
L
83-84
83
84
-1
75avg 83
A01/02
ACB
Fenerbahce
#4
L
78-82
78
82
-4
59avg 83
H03/02
Euroleague
Baskonia
#18
W
97-91
97
91
+6
97avg 83
A06/02
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#12
W
97-92
97
92
+5
96avg 83
H08/02
ACB
Paris
#16
L
74-85
74
85
-11
63avg 83
H12/02
Euroleague
Manresa
#10
W
97-60
97
60
+37
92avg 83
H15/02
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#17
L
80-85
80
85
-5
80avg 83
A25/02
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-26
25-23
27-21
24-21
17-23
28-13
21-26
16-27
13-27
24-19
27-13
11-28
30-18
21-24
17-19
15-23
14-29
27-24
15-20
22-9
17-27
31-24
28-17
21-23
32-22
20-18
20-27
25-25
18-21
25-18
12-28
19-18
22-14
21-17
30-12
24-17
28-20
15-27
14-21
23-17
170.7Avg total
86.1Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)86.084.9170.9+1.259%
Season at home (14)89.587.9177.4+1.664%
Season away (15)82.882.1164.9+0.753%
Last 10 (10)86.184.6170.7+1.540%
Last 5 (5)89.082.6171.6+6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)78.084.0162.0-6.033%
vs Similar ◀ (11)84.883.0167.8+1.855%
vs Weaker (16)92.779.4172.1+13.388%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -4.2-4.2Q4: -0.8-0.8
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -4.2-4.2Q4: -0.8-0.8
Olimpia MilanoBarcelona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H22/01
Euroleague
Varese
#8
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H26/01
Lega A
Partizan
#15
W
52-43
52
43
+9
H29/01
Euroleague
Brescia
#4
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H01/02
Lega A
Baskonia
#18
W
57-56
57
56
+1
H03/02
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A06/02
Euroleague
Treviso
#14
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A09/02
Lega A
Dubai
#11
L
46-51
46
51
-5
H13/02
Euroleague
Cremona
#12
W
48-31
48
31
+17
A15/02
Lega A
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A26/02
Euroleague
88.9Avg total
46.6Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.043.989.0+1.147%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.943.389.2+2.656%-
Last 30 away (14)44.044.688.6-0.636%-
Last 10 (10)46.642.388.9+4.370%-
Last 5 (5)44.040.084.0+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)43.346.089.3-2.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)46.146.992.9-0.833%-
vs Weaker (12)44.239.883.9+4.467%-
This opponent (Barcelona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BarcelonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A23/01
Euroleague
Tenerife
#8
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H25/01
ACB
Olympiacos
#1
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A29/01
Euroleague
Murcia
#4
W
51-42
51
42
+9
A01/02
ACB
Fenerbahce
#4
L
41-53
41
53
-12
H03/02
Euroleague
Baskonia
#18
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A06/02
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#12
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H08/02
ACB
Paris
#16
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H12/02
Euroleague
Manresa
#10
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H15/02
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#17
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A25/02
Euroleague
88.4Avg total
45.0Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.340.083.4+3.363%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.739.984.6+4.875%-
Last 30 away (14)41.840.181.9+1.650%-
Last 10 (10)45.043.488.4+1.650%-
Last 5 (5)45.841.687.4+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)36.742.779.3-6.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)43.941.285.1+2.764%-
vs Weaker (16)44.238.882.9+5.469%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 79.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.419.2
61.1%
60.4%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.89.4
35.1%
35.9%28.2
🏀 Free throws15.713.1
83.4%
78.2%13.1
They take 58.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Barcelonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Barcelona: 83.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.220.0
58.5%
60.4%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.910.0
40.2%
35.9%30.0
🏀 Free throws17.613.1
74.4%
78.2%13.1
They take 59.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
LWLWWWLWLL
Barcelona
LWLWWLLLLW
#13
League position
#8
+1.3
Net rating
+2.8
97.1
Offensive rating
98.3
95.8
Defensive rating
95.5
57.2%
Effective FG%
59.2%
53.6%
Opp. effective FG%
57.8%
14.6%
Turnover %
16.2%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.30
35.1%
3-point %
40.2%
66.4%
Assist %
61.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence97.1 · 98.3Defence95.8 · 95.5Shooting57.2% · 59.2%3-point %35.1% · 40.2%Ball care14.6% · 16.2%Free throws0.27 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Barcelona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Olimpia Milano wins
4
Barcelona wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/26AHapoel Tel-Aviv86-92
15/02/26ACremona86-67
13/02/26HDubai78-96
09/02/26ATreviso76-71
06/02/26ALyon-Villeurbanne77-76
03/02/26HBaskonia109-89
01/02/26HBrescia81-90
29/01/26HPartizan85-79
26/01/26HVarese74-84
22/01/26HZalgiris Kaunas82-86
Barcelonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/26AVirtus Bologna80-85
15/02/26HManresa97-60
12/02/26HParis74-85
08/02/26HBasquet Girona97-92
06/02/26ABaskonia97-91
03/02/26HFenerbahce78-82
01/02/26AMurcia83-84
29/01/26AOlympiacos75-87
25/01/26HTenerife82-89
23/01/26ALyon-Villeurbanne98-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL48%
HomeLLWWL53%
AwayLWLWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %48%53%43%
Points / game85.387.383.2
Allowed / game86.387.585.1
Point differential-1.0-0.1-1.9
Avg total171.7174.8168.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%13%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)25% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %3%0%7%
Barcelona
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL59%
HomeWWWLL64%
AwayLWLWL53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %59%64%53%
Points / game86.089.582.8
Allowed / game84.987.982.1
Point differential+1.2+1.6+0.7
Avg total170.9177.4164.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%36%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)67% (3)33% (6)
Overtime %3%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce2922776%82.778.9+3.8
2 Valencia29191066%91.085.9+5.1
3 Olympiacos28181064%90.184.3+5.9
4 Real Madrid29181162%87.482.8+4.6
5 Hapoel Tel-Aviv28171161%86.583.4+3.1
6 Zalgiris Kaunas29171259%89.083.6+5.4
7 Crvena zvezda29171259%87.485.5+1.9
8 Barcelona29171259%86.084.9+1.2
9 Panathinaikos29161355%85.784.3+1.4
10 Monaco30161453%90.186.3+3.8
11 Dubai29151452%88.087.6+0.4
12 Olimpia Milano29141548%85.386.3-1.0
13 Maccabi Tel Aviv29141548%89.691.7-2.2
14 Virtus Bologna29131645%81.484.3-2.8
15 Bayern29121741%80.584.0-3.5
16 Paris28101836%89.591.9-2.4
17 Anadolu Efes2992031%80.284.0-3.8
18 Baskonia2992031%87.092.3-5.2
19 Partizan2992031%80.087.8-7.8
20 Lyon-Villeurbanne2972224%78.486.2-7.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano242232987
Barcelona1717173384
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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