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Olimpia Milano vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 26 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 74-84
19-15 24-21 19-27 12-21
Position#2
Record12-4
FormWLWLL
Points / game86.1
Allowed / game77.4
vs
Varese 🏆
Italy
Position#8
Record6-10
FormWWWLL
Points / game83.1
Allowed / game87.6
ItalyLega ARound 17· Unipol Forum
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Varese
03 Jan 2027
MIL v VAR
upcoming
26 Jan 2026
MIL74
VAR84
02 Feb 2025
MIL119
VAR92
03 Mar 2024
MIL94
VAR63
26 Dec 2022
MIL96
VAR84
26 Mar 2022
MIL95
VAR77
05 Apr 2021
MIL81
VAR83
10 Sep 2020
MIL91
VAR77
03 Nov 2019
MIL93
VAR69
23 Dec 2018
MIL72
VAR67
08 Oct 2017
MIL74
VAR73
16 Oct 2016
MIL79
VAR71
11 Oct 2015
MIL90
VAR62
15 Mar 2015
MIL79
VAR69
20 Oct 2013
MIL84
VAR72
23 Dec 2012
MIL77
VAR83
09 Oct 2011
MIL89
VAR75
29 Dec 2010
MIL84
VAR80
31 Jan 2010
MIL74
VAR70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Varese winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Cremona
#12
W
91-74
91
74
+17
93avg 80
H29/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#17
L
85-97
85
97
-12
77avg 80
A02/01
Euroleague
Udine
#13
W
85-84
85
84
+1
75avg 80
H04/01
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#7
W
87-74
87
74
+13
86avg 80
A06/01
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#19
W
87-74
87
74
+13
84avg 80
H09/01
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#11
W
77-71
77
71
+6
65avg 80
A12/01
Lega A
Crvena zvezda
#9
L
96-104
96
104
-8
no box
H15/01
Euroleague
Tortona
#6
W
87-78
87
78
+9
no box
A17/01
Lega A
Real Madrid
#2
L
77-106
77
106
-29
61avg 80
A20/01
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
L
82-86
82
86
-4
83avg 80
H22/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-12
16-19
29-19
19-24
27-14
20-33
19-30
19-20
15-21
24-19
15-23
31-21
15-20
23-23
23-15
26-16
16-27
22-22
24-8
25-17
15-23
17-15
20-17
25-16
25-27
30-17
27-26
14-34
25-27
24-23
22-11
16-17
23-30
13-24
19-24
22-28
22-19
22-26
23-17
15-24
170.2Avg total
85.4Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)86.177.4163.5+8.875%
Season at home (8)85.477.8163.1+7.675%
Season away (8)86.977.0163.9+9.975%
Last 10 (10)85.484.8170.2+0.660%
Last 5 (5)83.889.0172.8-5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)84.090.2174.2-6.250%
vs Similar (14)86.286.6172.8-0.450%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)86.879.3166.2+7.575%
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Tortona
#6
L
87-90
87
90
-3
81avg 74
A09/11
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
91-82
91
82
+9
86avg 74
H16/11
Lega A
Udine
#13
L
59-66
59
66
-7
44avg 74
H23/11
Lega A
Cremona
#12
W
87-79
87
79
+8
79avg 74
A08/12
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
94-102
94
102
-8
81avg 74
A14/12
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
84-69
84
69
+15
76avg 74
H21/12
Lega A
Trapani
#3
W
95-88
95
88
+7
95avg 74
A28/12
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#11
W
84-80
84
80
+4
74avg 74
H03/01
Lega A
Treviso
#14
L
83-86
83
86
-3
70avg 74
A11/01
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
94-106
94
106
-12
no box
H18/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-23
25-17
24-31
15-19
18-21
25-19
27-17
21-25
17-21
10-18
9-13
23-14
22-17
17-22
18-24
30-16
18-29
29-21
18-25
29-27
13-11
19-26
28-11
24-21
22-19
25-26
27-19
21-24
20-18
18-24
24-18
22-20
13-18
18-22
29-17
23-29
25-31
34-18
18-35
17-22
170.6Avg total
85.8Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)83.187.6170.6-4.538%
Season at home (8)78.083.1161.1-5.138%
Season away (8)88.192.0180.1-3.938%
Last 10 (10)85.884.8170.6+1.050%
Last 5 (5)88.085.8173.8+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)81.094.4175.4-13.416%
vs Similar (11)85.882.3168.1+3.564%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +0.8+0.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +0.8+0.8
Olimpia MilanoVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cremona
#12
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H29/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#17
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A02/01
Euroleague
Udine
#13
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H04/01
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#7
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A06/01
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#19
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H09/01
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#11
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A12/01
Lega A
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H15/01
Euroleague
Tortona
#6
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A17/01
Lega A
Real Madrid
#2
L
36-54
36
54
-18
A20/01
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H22/01
Euroleague
86.2Avg total
42.1Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.842.486.2+1.543%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.139.984.0+4.156%-
Last 30 away (14)43.645.188.7-1.629%-
Last 10 (10)42.144.186.2-2.020%-
Last 5 (5)43.246.289.4-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)44.245.289.5-1.050%-
vs Similar (14)43.643.186.6+0.536%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)44.040.684.6+3.450%-
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tortona
#6
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A09/11
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H16/11
Lega A
Udine
#13
L
27-39
27
39
-12
H23/11
Lega A
Cremona
#12
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A08/12
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A14/12
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H21/12
Lega A
Trapani
#3
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A28/12
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#11
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H03/01
Lega A
Treviso
#14
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A11/01
Lega A
Venezia
#5
W
59-49
59
49
+10
H18/01
Lega A
83.2Avg total
41.1Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.843.484.1-2.637%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.340.678.9-2.340%-
Last 30 away (15)43.346.189.4-2.933%-
Last 10 (10)41.142.183.2-1.040%-
Last 5 (5)41.442.684.0-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)41.745.987.7-4.232%-
vs Similar (11)39.138.978.0+0.245%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 84.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.019.7
53.2%
54.1%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.89.7
39.1%
34.6%29.1
🏀 Free throws20.516.4
80.0%
76.1%16.4
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 83.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.521.6
56.1%
54.1%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.79.6
30.3%
34.6%28.8
🏀 Free throws15.811.3
71.5%
76.1%11.3
They take 70.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
LLWLWWWWLW
Varese
LLWWWLWLWL
#2
League position
#8
-0.1
Net rating
+1.8
110.3
Offensive rating
102.5
110.5
Defensive rating
100.7
55.4%
Effective FG%
51.3%
56.1%
Opp. effective FG%
48.5%
14.9%
Turnover %
18.9%
28.8%
Off. rebound %
31.8%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.23
39.1%
3-point %
30.3%
56.8%
Assist %
61.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence110.3 · 102.5Defence110.5 · 100.7Shooting55.4% · 51.3%3-point %39.1% · 30.3%Ball care14.9% · 18.9%Off. rebounds28.8% · 31.8%Free throws0.33 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Varese
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Olimpia Milano wins
2
Varese wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/26HZalgiris Kaunas82-86
20/01/26AReal Madrid77-106
17/01/26ATortona87-78
15/01/26HCrvena zvezda96-104
12/01/26ABasket Napoli77-71
09/01/26HAnadolu Efes87-74
06/01/26APanathinaikos87-74
04/01/26HUdine85-84
02/01/26AVirtus Bologna85-97
29/12/25HCremona91-74
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/26HVenezia94-106
11/01/26ATreviso83-86
03/01/26HBasket Napoli84-80
28/12/25ATrapani95-88
21/12/25HTrieste84-69
14/12/25ABrescia94-102
08/12/25ACremona87-79
23/11/25HUdine59-66
16/11/25HCantu91-82
09/11/25ATortona87-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW75%
HomeLWWWW75%
AwayLLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %75%75%75%
Points / game86.185.486.9
Allowed / game77.477.877.0
Point differential+8.8+7.6+9.9
Avg total163.5163.1163.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)67% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Varese
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL38%
HomeWLWWL38%
AwayLWLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %38%38%38%
Points / game83.178.088.1
Allowed / game87.683.192.0
Point differential-4.5-5.1-3.9
Avg total170.6161.1180.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna1614288%81.672.8+8.8
2 Brescia1714382%88.882.8+6.1
3 Olimpia Milano1612475%86.177.4+8.8
4 Venezia1611569%93.086.9+6.1
5 Trapani1510567%78.877.9+0.9
6 Tortona1711665%87.686.7+0.9
7 Trieste168850%83.587.1-3.6
8 Trento178947%81.578.6+2.9
9 Cremona167944%82.983.9-1.0
10 Basket Napoli1771041%84.985.5-0.6
11 Varese1661038%83.187.6-4.5
12 Udine1761135%80.881.6-0.8
13 Sassari1761135%84.287.4-3.2
14 Reggiana1751229%80.282.6-2.4
15 Cantu1741324%81.989.5-7.6
16 Treviso1731418%81.491.1-9.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano1924191274
Varese1521272184
← all games of the day
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