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Olimpia Milano vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 22 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 82-86
22-19 22-26 23-17 15-24
Position#13
Record11-12
FormWWLWL
Points / game85.1
Allowed / game86.3
vs
Position#5
Record13-10
FormWWLWW
Points / game88.1
Allowed / game82.0
EuropeEuroleagueRound 24
European cup2025
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Zalgiris Kaunas
12 Nov 2026
MIL v ZAL
upcoming
22 Jan 2026
MIL82
ZAL86
17 Oct 2024
MIL82
ZAL85
30 Nov 2023
MIL70
ZAL83
13 Jan 2023
MIL61
ZAL66
28 Jan 2022
MIL65
ZAL58
20 Nov 2020
MIL98
ZAL92
24 Jan 2019
MIL80
ZAL70
09 Nov 2017
MIL62
ZAL94
29 Dec 2016
MIL70
ZAL78
24 Oct 2013
MIL82
ZAL75
07 Dec 2012
MIL65
ZAL67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Dubai
#11
L
92-99
92
99
-7
84avg 80
A23/12
Euroleague
Cremona
#12
W
91-74
91
74
+17
93avg 80
H29/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#17
L
85-97
85
97
-12
77avg 80
A02/01
Euroleague
Udine
#13
W
85-84
85
84
+1
75avg 80
H04/01
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#7
W
87-74
87
74
+13
86avg 80
A06/01
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#19
W
87-74
87
74
+13
84avg 80
H09/01
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#11
W
77-71
77
71
+6
65avg 80
A12/01
Lega A
Crvena zvezda
#9
L
96-104
96
104
-8
no box
H15/01
Euroleague
Tortona
#6
W
87-78
87
78
+9
no box
A17/01
Lega A
Real Madrid
#2
L
77-106
77
106
-29
61avg 80
A20/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-31
29-25
22-16
21-27
27-12
16-19
29-19
19-24
27-14
20-33
19-30
19-20
15-21
24-19
15-23
31-21
15-20
23-23
23-15
26-16
16-27
22-22
24-8
25-17
15-23
17-15
20-17
25-16
25-27
30-17
27-26
14-34
25-27
24-23
22-11
16-17
23-30
13-24
19-24
22-28
172.5Avg total
86.4Scored
86.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)85.186.3171.4-1.248%
Season at home (11)86.987.5174.4-0.555%
Season away (12)83.585.2168.8-1.842%
Last 10 (10)86.486.1172.5+0.360%
Last 5 (5)84.886.6171.4-1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)84.791.7176.3-7.067%
vs Similar (14)86.286.6172.8-0.450%
vs Weaker (13)87.980.0167.9+7.977%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#7
L
85-92
85
92
-7
74avg 84
H23/12
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
W
90-81
90
81
+9
86avg 84
A27/12
LKL
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
93-80
93
80
+13
88avg 84
A30/12
Euroleague
Neptunas
#3
W
112-77
112
77
+35
115avg 84
H04/01
LKL
Virtus Bologna
#17
L
79-83
79
83
-4
75avg 84
A06/01
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
99-67
99
67
+32
101avg 84
H09/01
Euroleague
Siauliai
#4
W
75-71
75
71
+4
68avg 84
A11/01
LKL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
L
97-100
97
100
-3
no box
A15/01
Euroleague
Jonava
#8
W
89-63
89
63
+26
no box
H17/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
96-77
96
77
+19
96avg 84
A20/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-19
22-21
14-23
21-29
23-20
27-18
22-19
18-24
18-25
21-15
24-13
30-27
31-25
32-6
23-18
26-28
22-25
12-18
22-20
23-20
26-12
21-16
21-24
31-15
17-20
15-14
19-17
24-20
24-27
25-25
22-26
26-22
17-16
26-13
26-19
20-15
23-18
22-23
30-14
21-22
170.6Avg total
91.5Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)88.182.0170.1+6.257%
Season at home (11)84.975.9160.8+9.064%
Season away (12)91.187.5178.6+3.650%
Last 10 (10)91.579.1170.6+12.470%
Last 5 (5)91.275.6166.8+15.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)78.095.0173.0-17.00%
vs Similar (7)91.383.4174.7+7.957%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)90.676.6167.2+14.077%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +5.4+5.4Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +1.8+1.8
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +5.4+5.4Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +1.8+1.8
Olimpia MilanoZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dubai
#11
L
49-56
49
56
-7
A23/12
Euroleague
Cremona
#12
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H29/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#17
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A02/01
Euroleague
Udine
#13
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H04/01
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#7
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A06/01
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#19
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H09/01
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#11
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A12/01
Lega A
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H15/01
Euroleague
Tortona
#6
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A17/01
Lega A
Real Madrid
#2
L
36-54
36
54
-18
A20/01
Euroleague
87.8Avg total
42.6Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.042.586.5+1.547%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.440.284.6+4.262%-
Last 30 away (14)43.645.188.7-1.629%-
Last 10 (10)42.645.287.8-2.620%-
Last 5 (5)42.047.089.0-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)44.345.389.7-1.067%-
vs Similar (14)43.643.186.6+0.536%-
vs Weaker (13)44.541.285.7+3.254%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#7
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H23/12
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
W
50-38
50
38
+12
A27/12
LKL
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A30/12
Euroleague
Neptunas
#3
W
63-31
63
31
+32
H04/01
LKL
Virtus Bologna
#17
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A06/01
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H09/01
Euroleague
Siauliai
#4
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A11/01
LKL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
L
49-52
49
52
-3
A15/01
Euroleague
Jonava
#8
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H17/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A20/01
Euroleague
82.8Avg total
45.2Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.439.183.4+5.360%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.136.581.6+8.679%-
Last 30 away (16)43.741.385.0+2.444%-
Last 10 (10)45.237.682.8+7.660%-
Last 5 (5)43.236.880.0+6.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)36.050.086.0-14.00%-
vs Similar (7)44.438.683.0+5.971%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)44.738.783.5+6.059%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 83.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.218.9
50.8%
60.4%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.49.8
38.6%
35.9%29.4
🏀 Free throws20.716.7
80.7%
78.2%16.7
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 94.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.625.1
60.3%
60.4%50.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.89.4
41.2%
35.9%28.2
🏀 Free throws21.016.4
78.1%
78.2%16.4
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
LWLWWWWLWL
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWLWWLWWWL
#13
League position
#5
-1.3
Net rating
+24.2
110.2
Offensive rating
123.9
111.5
Defensive rating
99.7
53.7%
Effective FG%
60.9%
56.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.3%
14.5%
Turnover %
14.6%
29.0%
Off. rebound %
37.1%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.33
38.6%
3-point %
41.2%
56.4%
Assist %
64.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence110.2 · 123.9Defence111.5 · 99.7Shooting53.7% · 60.9%3-point %38.6% · 41.2%Ball care14.5% · 14.6%Off. rebounds29.0% · 37.1%Free throws0.33 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/26AReal Madrid77-106
17/01/26ATortona87-78
15/01/26HCrvena zvezda96-104
12/01/26ABasket Napoli77-71
09/01/26HAnadolu Efes87-74
06/01/26APanathinaikos87-74
04/01/26HUdine85-84
02/01/26AVirtus Bologna85-97
29/12/25HCremona91-74
23/12/25ADubai92-99
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/26ALyon-Villeurbanne96-77
17/01/26HJonava89-63
15/01/26AMaccabi Tel Aviv97-100
11/01/26ASiauliai75-71
09/01/26HCrvena zvezda99-67
06/01/26AVirtus Bologna79-83
04/01/26HNeptunas112-77
30/12/25AHapoel Tel-Aviv93-80
27/12/25ARytas90-81
23/12/25HPanathinaikos85-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL48%
HomeWWLWL55%
AwayLLLWL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %48%55%42%
Points / game85.186.983.5
Allowed / game86.387.585.2
Point differential-1.2-0.5-1.8
Avg total171.4174.4168.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%9%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)33% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW57%
HomeLLWLW64%
AwayWWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %57%64%50%
Points / game88.184.991.1
Allowed / game82.075.987.5
Point differential+6.2+9.0+3.6
Avg total170.1160.8178.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%45%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)100% (1)40% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hapoel Tel-Aviv2216673%86.881.0+5.8
2 Fenerbahce2215768%82.179.8+2.4
3 Monaco2315865%92.084.8+7.2
4 Olympiacos2315865%88.983.3+5.6
5 Valencia2315865%90.185.3+4.8
6 Real Madrid2315865%87.782.9+4.7
7 Barcelona2315865%86.784.3+2.3
8 Panathinaikos24141058%86.684.1+2.5
9 Zalgiris Kaunas23131057%88.182.0+6.2
10 Crvena zvezda23131057%86.685.3+1.2
11 Virtus Bologna23111248%82.382.6-0.3
12 Olimpia Milano23111248%85.186.3-1.2
13 Dubai23101343%85.687.9-2.3
14 Maccabi Tel Aviv24101442%88.991.6-2.7
15 Baskonia2381535%87.090.7-3.7
16 Bayern2381535%78.983.6-4.7
17 Paris2271532%89.892.5-2.8
18 Partizan2371630%78.989.0-10.0
19 Lyon-Villeurbanne2361726%78.286.9-8.7
20 Anadolu Efes2461825%78.884.7-5.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano2222231582
Zalgiris Kaunas1926172486
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